Sep 01 11:09 GMT


Forex Expos

Forex Daily Fundamental Reports

Fundamental analysis refers to the study of the core underlying elements that influence the economy of a particular entity. It is a method of study that attempts to predict price action and market trends by analyzing economic indicators, government policy and societal factors (to name just a few elements) within a business cycle framework. For forex traders, the fundamentals are everything that makes a country tick. From interest rates and central bank policy to natural disasters, the fundamentals are a dynamic mix of distinct plans, erratic behaviors and unforeseen events. Therefore, it is best to get a handle on the most influential contributors to this diverse mix than it is to formulate a comprehensive list of all "The Forex Fundamentals."

European Market Update: Geopolitical Issues Weight Down PMI Manufacturing Readings In Session Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by Trade The News | Sep 01 14 10:21 GMT
The USD basically consolidated its recent against various currencies. The ongoing tensions in the Ukraine prompted the Russia Ruble to hit record lows against the greenback while the EUR/USD pair moved off 11-month lows set on Friday.
Euro At 1-Year Low Ahead Of ECB, Sterling Up Despite Weak PMI Data Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by | Sep 01 14 10:18 GMT
The euro reached the lowest level in almost a year against the dollar on Monday after reports showed manufacturing growth slowed to a 13-month low in August only days ahead of the European Central Bank meeting on Thursday. The final Markit's Eurozone Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) dipped to 50.7 in August, down from 51.8 in July.
Euro-Metrics Disappoint Before Thursday's ECB Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by Swissquote Bank SA | Sep 01 14 09:53 GMT
The economic data drives the FX prices this Monday. Soft Asian manufacturing PMIs have been followed by disappointing Euro-zone and UK readings in August. France and Italy sank into the contraction zone (below 50), UK manufacturing index dropped to its lowest levels over a year. EUR and GBP remain under selling pressures before the ECB and BoE meetings due on September 4th. Given the significant drop in Euro-zone inflation expectations, we are curious to hear what the ECB President Draghi has to say in his monthly speech on Thursday. Are the long-term inflation expectations still 'anchored'?
Euro Zone Unemployment Too High, Inflation Too Low Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by Dukascopy Swiss FX Group | Sep 01 14 09:13 GMT
The latest Eurostat data release reported no change in unemployment rate across 18-nation Euro bloc in comparison with the previous month, therefore staying at 11.5% mark, with 18.4 million jobless people. In comparison with the same period a year ago, unemployment decreased from 11.9%, or by 725,000 persons. Although unemployment has not increased for a long period, experts react negatively by underlying Europe's troubles in the labour market. The lowest unemployment rate was recorded in Germany and Austria, both at 4.9% level, and the highest in Greece and Spain, 27.2% and 24.5%, respectively. Compared with the same period a year ago, unemployment rate decreased in 22 countries, increased in three and remained unchanged in three. Mario Draghi, ECB President, issued a warning by stating that high unemployment stagnation could possibly transform it into structural, additionally pointing out that unemployment is key element of macro-economics, and a necessary tool in dealing with inflation. Furthermore, in the Spring Economics Forecast, the European Commission forecasted unemployment rate to be at 11.4% level in 2015, suggesting that underlying jobless issues are no yet resolved.
U.S. Consumer Spending Unexpectedly Falls Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by Dukascopy Swiss FX Group | Sep 01 14 09:12 GMT
The latest U.S. Commerce Department numbers indicated a slight decrease in consumer spending, falling behind experts' forecasts, following continuous growth in six-month period before. Experts explain the phenomena by stating that households are lagging behind as wages fail to accelerate. Household spending decreased by 0.1% in July compared to an expected increase of 0.1%, after edging up 0.4% in June. Spending on durable goods declined by 0.6%, following the 0.5% increase in June. Spending on non-durable goods, such as fuel and clothing, fell by 0.2%, while spending on services decreased by 0.1%. Prices related to consumer spending surged by 1.6% year-on-year in July. However, Federal Reserve policy makers predicted an annual increase of 2%. The core price category, which excludes items such food and fuel, inched up by 0.1% in July, and ended at 1.5% year-on-year.
U.K. House Prices Rise Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by Dukascopy Swiss FX Group | Sep 01 14 09:11 GMT
Nationwide survey showed that U.K. house prices rose at a much faster monthly pace than projected in August, contrasting with other signs of cooling housing market. Prices rose as much as 0.8% over the month after the 0.2% increase in July. While monthly data can be volatile, the annual gauge also soared in August from 10.6% to 11%. The average house price across the U.K. is now £189,306, rising £357, or 0.8%, in just a month. This is up from the 0.2% increase in July, and marks the sixteenth consecutive monthly advance. Despite property values reaching record highs over the summer period, there have also been signs of a cool down in the housing market in recent months. Mortgage approvals fell after stricter lending rules, which force lenders to ask for more information about a mortgage applicant's spending, were introduced at the end of April, but approvals have since rebounded slightly. Nationwide said it is still unclear how much of the cooling in activity was due to the introduction of the new ‘Mortgage Market Review' rules as opposed to an underlying loss of momentum in the market.
ANZ Shows Business Confidence To Decline As Economic Recovery Stalls Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by Dukascopy Swiss FX Group | Sep 01 14 09:10 GMT
Business sentiment in New Zealand dropped in August of the current year, decreasing for the sixth consecutive month, while the country's economy rebounds at a slower pace than expected. The ANZ Bank's survey revealed that 24.4% of companies predict the business conditions to improve, down from 39.7% a month ago. In July the Treasury of New Zealand worsened their forecast for economic growth in the year ending March 31, 2015 from 4% to 3.8%. Among largest sectors of local economy, the service industry confidence has been the most optimistic, with 41.4% of all companies expecting the environment to improve in the nearest future. Agriculture accounts for a very considerable part of country's economy, however, local farms forecast the business conditions to get worse, namely 34.4% of them.
Canada's Economic Growth Unexpectedly Soars Led By Consumer Spending And Exports Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by Dukascopy Swiss FX Group | Sep 01 14 09:09 GMT
The Canadian economy expanded in the second quarter, after being knocked down in the beginning of the year, as household spending and exports fuelled the strongest quarterly economic growth in more than two years. On an annual basis, Canada's GDP rose 3.1% in the three months through June, beating experts forecasts for a 2.7% growth and following the meagre 0.9% growth rate in the first three months of the year, when harsh winter weather battered the nation's economy. According to StatsCan, consumer spending was robust, particularly on durable goods, turning in the strongest performance since the second quarter of 2013. Meanwhile, exports soared 4.2% in the April-June period, translating into an annualized rate of 17.8%, following a slight drop in the first quarter. This is the last significant data release officials at the Bank of Canada receive before they consider their policy stance this week.
Daily FX Analysis Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by Investica | Sep 01 14 08:27 GMT
The latest flash Euro-zone inflation reading was in line with consensus expectations with a decline to 0.3% for August from 0.4% which was the lowest rate since October 2009. There was some relief that the rate had not fallen further and the core rate was slightly higher than expected at 0.9%. Monetary policy remained an important focus ahead of this week’s ECB meeting. Additional pressure for action and some speculation over a rate cut was offset by fresh suggestions from sources that there was no consensus at this stage for an immediate move to quantitative easing.
Euro Area Manufacturing Slows In August, Euro Trades Slightly Higher Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by | Sep 01 14 08:17 GMT
Euro area manufacturing showed a narrowing expansion in August to raise recovery concerns ahead of ECB monetary policy this week. PMI manufacturing came in at 50.7 last month from 51.8 in July, lower than median forecasts of 50.8. In Germany, the manufacturing sector narrowed expansion to 51.4 in August from 52.4, while French PMI manufacturing slipped to 46.9 from 47.8.
Central Bank Meetings In Focus This Week Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by Swissquote Bank SA | Sep 01 14 07:59 GMT
The week starts with soft economic data out of Asia. The Japanese capital spending grew at the pace of 3.0% in 2Q (vs. 4.1% exp. & 7.4% last), China and Japan manufacturing PMIs came in slightly lower in final August reading. Australia's AiG manufacturing index stepped in the contraction zone (47.3 in Aug vs. 50.7 a month ago). Asian equities made a good start despite soft data and tensions in Ukraine. Nikkei stocks gained 0.34%, Hang Seng ad Shanghai's Composite added 0.18% and 0.62% (at the time of writing).
Euro Reached Its One Year Low Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by Easy Forex | Sep 01 14 07:58 GMT
The euro (EUR) reached its one year low at 1.3118 against the US dollar (USD). The single currency remains under pressure as he US Economy shows signs of recovering. The European Manufacturing PMI are on the calendar with expectations at 50.8.
Asia Largely Ignores China's PMI Misses Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by | Sep 01 14 07:56 GMT
Most of Asia's major equity markets and commodity currencies have brushed off mildly disappointing manufacturing data out of China. While the ASX200 fell on the back of the today's PMI figures, it remains in positive territory and the reactions of most other equity markets were even more muted.
German GDP Contracts 0.2% In Second Quarter, Euro Mixed Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by | Sep 01 14 07:27 GMT
Germany's economy contracted in the second quarter, indicating the Eurozone's yearlong recovery lost momentum, and likely pressuring European Central Bank’s policy makers to come up with some new ideas for boosting growth. The outlook is now clouded by the impact of international measures against Russia over its support of separatists in Ukraine. The euro-area recovery is already fragile, with inflation running at the slowest pace since 2009, and current ECB measures will take time to have an effect.
EUR/USD Nearing 1.3105 Support Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by KBC Bank | Sep 01 14 07:07 GMT
In line EMU inflation data temporary slowed the decline of the euro on Friday. However, ongoing tensions in Ukraine and their possible negative impact on the EMU economy prevented any substantial rebound. The key 1.3105 support is coming with reach. EUR/GBP is also heading south, nearing the 0.79 barrier
China: Official Manufacturing PMI Confirms Loss Of Momentum Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by Danske Bank | Sep 01 14 06:59 GMT
China's official manufacturing PMI released by China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) in August declined to 51.1 (consensus: 51.2, DBM: 51.2) from 51.7 in July broadly in line with expectations. The HSBC/Markit manufacturing PMI released in its final version this morning declined to 50.2 (revised down from 50.3) from 51.7 in July. For both manufacturing PMIs this is the lowest level since May. The development in the NBS manufacturing PMI is broadly consistent with the development in the HSBC/Markit manufacturing PMI that has been more volatile in recent cycles.
Overview Of The Previous Week's Key Economic Events Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by Dukascopy Swiss FX Group | Sep 01 14 06:55 GMT
The previous week brought into light shaky political situation in Europe. French President ordered his Prime Minister Manuel Valls to form a new government as a response to the recent comments of outgoing Economy Minister Arnaud Montebourg, who criticized France's economic direction as well as Germany's economic policies of austerity measures, which dragged France and Europe into the worst economic crisis since the 1929 Depression. Meanwhile, more than 130 businesses spoke out against Scotland's independence, marking the biggest intervention by the U.K. business community into the referendum debate thus far. These political events come as the ECB is weighing to embark on QE to revive the growth in the 18-nation bloc and prevent the economy from falling into deflationary spiral, as inflation cooled further to 0.3%.
Sterling Finds Support Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by Blackwell Global | Sep 01 14 06:40 GMT
Last week saw some positive news for the UK economyin the form of consumer confidence, which rose from -2.0 to 1.0, well ahead of estimates of -1.0. This was after the CBI Realised Sales (a measure of retail sales) also showed improvement from 21 to 37, ahead of market expectations of 27. The week rounded off with house price data that showed prices rose from 0.1% to 0.8% m/m.
EUR/USD: Euro Trading Lower, Ahead Of The Crucial Q2 German GDP Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by GCI Financial | Sep 01 14 06:24 GMT
The pair is expected to find support at 1.3096, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.3068. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.3174, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.3224.
GBP/USD: Pound Trading Flat This Morning, Ahead Of Factory Data Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by GCI Financial | Sep 01 14 06:22 GMT
The pair is expected to find support at 1.6569, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.6540. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.6620, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.6642.
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