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Sep 18 03:37 GMT

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Forex Daily Fundamental Reports

Fundamental analysis refers to the study of the core underlying elements that influence the economy of a particular entity. It is a method of study that attempts to predict price action and market trends by analyzing economic indicators, government policy and societal factors (to name just a few elements) within a business cycle framework. For forex traders, the fundamentals are everything that makes a country tick. From interest rates and central bank policy to natural disasters, the fundamentals are a dynamic mix of distinct plans, erratic behaviors and unforeseen events. Therefore, it is best to get a handle on the most influential contributors to this diverse mix than it is to formulate a comprehensive list of all "The Forex Fundamentals."



FOMC Policy: Inflation Below Target, Lower Growth Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by Wells Fargo Securities | Sep 18 14 03:15 GMT
Central tendency inflation projections for both the overall PCE and core inflation measures were lowered for 2015 (top graph). This confirms that inflation runs below the perceived longer-run target of two percent. This supports the Fed's retention of "considerable time" in its assessment of the pace toward normalization of monetary policy. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) retained its view that longer-run inflation expectations have remained stable. At this point, inflation is the driving force for timing the start of any increase in the federal funds rate.
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Fed Keeps Forward Guidance But Revises Projections Higher Yet Again Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by Danske Bank | Sep 18 14 03:11 GMT
As it turned out, the Fed hung on to its forward guidance of "considerable time" in the statement but the projections turned markedly higher, giving the Fed meeting another hawkish turn as expected. In the statement there was a slight dovish twist as inflation was again described as running below the longer-run objective, whereas before it was said that it moved closer to the objective. In terms of labour market slack the FOMC still sees significant underutilisation of labour resources.
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FOMC Holds Fed Funds Steady in 0% to 0.25% Target Range; Reduces Monthly Asset Purchases by a Further $10 Billion Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by RBC Financial Group | Sep 18 14 03:05 GMT
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) met expectations and cut a further $10 billion from the pace of monthly asset purchases. Beginning in October, the Fed will purchase $5 billion of agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and $10 billion of longer-term Treasuries per month, down from $10 billion and $15 billion, respectively. The statement included an explicit statement that if the data show the economy is progressing in line with the Fed's mandate with respect to the labour market and inflation, the asset purchase program will end at the October meeting.
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Beijing Eases As Economic Data And Property Prices Deteriorate Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by Forex.com | Sep 18 14 03:01 GMT
The People's Bank of China (PBoC) plans to inject around $81bn into the banking system, according to reports coming from within China yesterday. The move by China's central bank is partly in response to some obvious stress in the economy and also in anticipation of a period of tight liquidity. It temporarily breathed life back into Chinese equities before they were choked by concerns surrounding falling property prices.
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USD At 4-Year Highs Despite Lower Growth Forecasts Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by ThinkForex | Sep 18 14 02:31 GMT
'Considerable Time' remains within the statement and FOMC staff projections have been revised down (again). However this didn't prevent the Greenback breaking to 4-year highs following a slightly Hawkish shift in the FED Dot Plot.
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Japan Merchandise Trade Balance Deficit Narrowed In August Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by ICN.com | Sep 18 14 02:06 GMT
Japan's adjusted merchandise trade balance deficit narrowed in August; however, instability in exports' performance remains obvious along with a drop in global demand for Japanese products. The adjusted merchandise trade balance recorded a deficit of 924.2 billion yen in August compared with a previous deficit of 1023.8 billion yen, while median estimates referred to a deficit of 998.0 billion yen.
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New Zealand's GDP Growth Above Estimates In Q2 Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by ICN.com | Sep 18 14 02:05 GMT
New Zealand's economy grew expanded more than estimates in the second quarter of this year, backed by improvements in business services along with higher investments and household consumption. New Zealand's Growth Domestic Product (GDP) grew 0.7% in the second quarter of this year compared with 1.0% in the previous three months, and the reading topped analysts' estimates of 0.6%.
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Aussie Dollar Crushed To New 6 Month Low As The USD Sweeps All Before It After The FOMC Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by Vantage FX | Sep 18 14 02:02 GMT
What a wild and crazy couple of hours we had early this morning after the release of the FOMC statement and then Janet Yellen’s press conference. The markets emotions were clear in the fractious and erratic trade we saw in the Aussie dollar in the two hours between 4 and 6 am.
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Fed Instant Reaction: What Do the Dots Say? Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by Forex.com | Sep 17 14 19:14 GMT
The highly-anticipated Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Statement just hit the wires, and there's plenty for both bulls and bears to digest. Tackling the proverbial "Elephant in the Room" first, the committee chose to keep the "considerable time"[until the first interest rate hike] pledge in its statement. Many market participants thought that the central bank would remove this key phrase to start preparing traders for the inevitable hike, but the inclusion of that statement suggests the initial rate hike may not come as soon as some optimists had hoped.
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GBPUSD: Can the Recovery Continue? Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by Forex.com | Sep 17 14 18:08 GMT
The next 48 hours could provide some potentially explosive events for this pair. First up, we get the FOMC meeting later today (check out our preview HERE) then we get the Scottish referendum result, which we are expecting at approx. 0700 BST on Friday morning. Looking at the referendum first, a yes vote could trigger a decline back to 1.50 in this pair, while a win for the no camp could see it get back to 1.6600. Due to the uncertainty surrounding this referendum and the potential for Scottish independence, we think that the larger market reaction could come on the back of a yes vote, while a no vote could see an initial knee-jerk move higher in the pound before it starts to fade. The extent of upside for GBPUSD on Friday could depend on the margin of victory for the no camp. If they win by only a narrow margin, as we expect, then GBPUSD upside could be limited.
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USD/CAD - Canadian Dollar Rally Continues as US CPI Falters Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Sep 17 14 18:05 GMT
The Canadian dollar continues to post gains, as USD/CAD has dropped below the 1.10 line on Wednesday. The loonie has gained about 150 points this week, recovering most of the losses sustained last week. On the release front, US inflation numbers remain weak, as Core CPI slipped to -0.2% last month. The Federal Reserve will release a statement following its policy meeting. There are no Canadian releases on Wednesday.
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GBP/USD - Pound Improves on Strong UK Job Data Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Sep 17 14 18:04 GMT
The pound pushed above the 1.63 line on Wednesday, marking a two-week high for GBP/USD. The currency received a helping hand from strong UK employment numbers, as Claimant Count Change dropped sharply and the unemployment rate continued to improve. As well, Average Earnings Index beat the estimate. In the US, the news was not as cheery, as Core CPI slipped to -0.2% last month. The Federal Reserve will release a statement later in the day following its policy meeting.
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AUD/USD - Flat as Markets Eye FOMC Statement Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Sep 17 14 14:30 GMT
The Australian dollar is stable on Wednesday, as AUD/USD trades in the mid-0.90 range in the North American session. On the release front, US inflation numbers remain weak, as Core CPI slipped to -0.2% last month. The Federal Reserve will release a statement following its policy meeting. The sole Australian release today, MI Leading Index, posted a decline of -0.1% for a second straight month.
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USD/JPY - Little Activity Ahead of FOMC Statement Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Sep 17 14 13:37 GMT
The Japanese yen continues to show limited movement this week, as USD/JPY trades slightly above the 107 line on Wednesday. On the release front, US inflation numbers remain weak, as Core CPI slipped to -0.2% last month. In Japan, today's sole event is Trade Balance. The markets are expecting little change in the deficit.
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FOMC Meeting To Challenge EURUSD 1.30 Ceiling Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by ForexTime | Sep 17 14 12:19 GMT
The Greenback unexpectedly slipped against its counterparts overnight following growing speculation that Wednesday's FOMC statement will deliver a dovish tone, while continue to suggest that a US interest rate hike remains "a considerable time" away. While I agree the interest rate rise is still a way off, I am not confident that this evening's FOMC statement will be dovish.
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Gold Prices Stable as Markets Eye Fed Statement Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Sep 17 14 12:10 GMT
Gold prices are steady on Wednesday, as the spot price stands at $1237.25 per ounce. The metal has posted modest gains this week, after slipping about 3% against the strong US dollar. Taking a look at today's events, the US will release CPI numbers later in the day. As well, the Federal Reserve releases its policy statement, followed by a press conference with Fed chair Janet Yellen.
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Little Movement Ahead Of Fed Policy Statement Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Sep 17 14 10:57 GMT
The euro continues to show little movement on Wednesday, as EUR/USD trades quietly in the mid-1.29 range. On the release front, Eurozone CPI held steady with a 0.4%, edging above the forecast of 0.3%. The US will also release CPI numbers later in the day. As well, the Federal Reserve releases its policy statement, with the Fed expected to trim QE by another $10 billion.
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European Market Update: Currency Markets Largely Quiet Ahead Of FOMC Statement Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by Trade The News | Sep 17 14 10:47 GMT
GBP - Began the day trading higher on hope of a 'No' vote in the Scottish referendum. UK employment data was mixed, GBP traded higher then lower as BoE minutes show no change in voting (7-2) in the decision to keep interest rates on hold
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Busy Eco-Political Calendar To Boost FX Vols Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by Swissquote Bank SA | Sep 17 14 09:48 GMT
The quiet FX trading will likely come to an end today. The event flow starts with the Fed decision later today (18:00 GMT), the most expected Scottish referendum takes place tomorrow. Else, the ECB's TLTRO results, the SNB and Norges Bank decisions will be closely monitored. As FX positions are mixed on the outcome of leading eco-political events, we shortly deviate from the Fed and the Scots to take a closer look into the Euro-zone's monetary situation. Released in the morning, the UK's labor market showed further improvement in July-August data. Post-data GBP-gains remained limited. We remain in the sidelines before we hear more clarity on the Scottish independence.
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Stoxx 600 Rebounds Slightly As Traders Look For Policy Clues Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by ICN.com | Sep 17 14 09:37 GMT
The stocks market saw an upside correction in the early part of the European session on Wednesday amid anticipation for the Federal Reserve's policy announcement and fresh economic data on tap. The trade remains quite choppy as we anticipate further clues over Scottish independence referendum and of course the FOMC meeting at 2:00 p.m. ET expected to leave policy rates unchanged. Market focus will be on guidance for rates. Little is expected on changes to taper. There may be discussion of preparing for actual unwinding of the Fed's balance sheet. Also, the Fed will release its quarterly forecasts at the same time as the statement, briefed by Janet Yellen, the Fed chief.
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