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Forex Daily Fundamental Reports

Fundamental analysis refers to the study of the core underlying elements that influence the economy of a particular entity. It is a method of study that attempts to predict price action and market trends by analyzing economic indicators, government policy and societal factors (to name just a few elements) within a business cycle framework. For forex traders, the fundamentals are everything that makes a country tick. From interest rates and central bank policy to natural disasters, the fundamentals are a dynamic mix of distinct plans, erratic behaviors and unforeseen events. Therefore, it is best to get a handle on the most influential contributors to this diverse mix than it is to formulate a comprehensive list of all "The Forex Fundamentals."



Traders Are Sitting On A Razors Edge Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Jul 27 16 02:27 GMT
For the most part, it was a relatively quiet overnight session in risk. This relative calm is not surprising given the summer doldrums are setting in, and the proximity of the FOMC, which is materialising into a major event for the USD. Note the Nikkei fell 1.4% yesterday on the back of weakening USD/JPY but the reaction in Global Bourses was subdued.
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ACTION! The Week Truly Begins With Australian CPI Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by Vantage FX | Jul 27 16 02:20 GMT
If you're only just settling down in front of your trading screens for the first time this week then you've timed yourself perfectly. In just a few hours, arguably the most important piece of the Australian economic puzzle see its second quarter figure released. That is of course, Australian CPI. But before we delve into the release, yesterday's price action was very important and needs a rundown. Price action that was all about the following headline out of Japan which first sent USD/JPY tumbling and then had a flow-on effect to the rest of the Forex market from there: The move was exaggerated by the USDX coming out of key resistance and the flow on effect of this move was the rocket underneath the Aussie Dollar that markets are buzzing about heading into CPI.
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Gold Ticks Higher as Markets Eye Fed Statement Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Jul 26 16 15:35 GMT
Gold has edged higher on Tuesday, as the metal trades at a spot price of $1320.33 per ounce in the North American session. On the release front, US key indicators looked sharp, as CB Consumer Confidence and New Home Sales both beat expectations. On Wednesday, the US releases durable goods orders and the Federal Reserve will issue a policy statement.
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Crude Close to 13-week Lows, US Numbers Sparkle Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Jul 26 16 15:34 GMT
US crude has posted slight losses on Tuesday, continuing the downward trend which started late last week. In the North American session, WTI/USD futures are trading at $42.85. Brent crude is trading at $44.49, as the Brent premium stands at $1.64. On the release front, US key indicators looked sharp, as CB Consumer Confidence and New Home Sales both beat expectations.
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Depressed Oil Prices Weigh on Investor Sentiment Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by ForexTime | Jul 26 16 12:34 GMT
WTI Crude tumbled to fresh three month lows at $42.56 during trading on Tuesday as the ongoing concerns over the persistent oversupply of oil in the global markets encouraged bears to install a round of selling. For an extended period, Oil has remained fundamentally bearish with the recurrent oversupply woes sabotaging any real recovery in value. The growing threat of a renewal in US oil production continues to haunt investor attraction further while fears of a decline in demand amid slowing global growth have capped most upside gains. This commodity could be poised for steeper losses as the toxic combination of excessive oversupply and fading demand provide a foundation for sellers to attack.
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Aussie Punches Past 75, Australian CPI Next Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Jul 26 16 12:32 GMT
The Australian dollar has posted gains on Tuesday, as AUD/USD is trading slightly above the 0.75 line. On the release front, it's a busy day, so traders should be prepared for possible volatility from the pair during the North American session. The US will release its first key events of the week. CB Consumer Confidence is expected to drop to 95.6 points, while New Home Sales is expected to improve to 560 thousand. Australia will release CPI for the second quarter,with the estimate standing at 0.5%. On Wednesday, the US releases durable goods orders and the FOMC policy statement.
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Yen Rise Supported By Guesstimates Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Jul 26 16 11:53 GMT
Market volatility is picking up ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and Bank of Japan (BoJ) decisions later this week. In overnight trading, Australasia markets were especially unsettled with more headlines pertaining to the fiscal/monetary stimulus mix from the BoJ. In Europe, that apprehension is not being lost on investors, as they too are expecting lots of results this week – it's the biggest week for the European market in a long while. They are also waiting for the Euro financial stress test results on Friday before going into the banking sector, and comments after the different policy meetings to get a sense of what central banks will or won't do..
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Pound Steady Ahead of British GDP, Fed Statement Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Jul 26 16 11:52 GMT
The British pound continues to have an uneventful week. GBP/USD is currently trading slightly above the 1.31 line. On the release front, there was only one British event on the schedule, as BBA Mortgage Approvals was very close to the estimate. Later in the day, the US releases key consumer confidence and housing numbers. CB Consumer Confidence is expected to drop to 95.6 points, while New Home Sales is expected to improve to 560 thousand. On Wednesday, the US releases durable goods orders and the FOMC policy statement.
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USD/JPY – Yen Strengthens Following Stimulus Plan Report Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Jul 26 16 11:08 GMT
The Japanese yen has posted strong gains in the Tuesday session, as USD/JPY is trading at 104.30. On the release front, Japanese SPPI, which measures corporate inflation, posted a weak gain of 0.2%, within expectations. In the US, we’ll get a look at consumer confidence and housing numbers. CB Consumer Confidence is expected to drop to 95.6 points, while New Home Sales is expected to improve to 560 thousand. On Wednesday, the US releases durable goods orders and the FOMC policy statement.
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European Market Update: Concern That Japan Monetary And Fiscal Easing Will Disappoint Expectations Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by Trade The News | Jul 26 16 10:27 GMT
Expectations on upcoming Central bank decisions continued to provide the catalyst in FX. The upcoming BOJ meeting on Friday had speculated that BOJ and Japanese govt would embark on a big policy expansion but comments from Japan Fin Min Aso placed some doubt on what Japan would exactly do. Aso noted Govt had yet to decide on the size of a new fiscal package and that it would be up to the BoJ to decide what to do with monetary policy. USD/JPY tested below 104 for the 1st time in two weeks before stabilizing.
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NZD Rallies Amid Trade Surplus, FOMC Meeting Starts Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by Swissquote Bank SA | Jul 26 16 10:07 GMT
In spite of the strong likelihood of rate cut by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, traders turned bullish on the Kiwi amid encouraging trade figures. Data showed the year-to-year trade deficit narrowed to NZ$3.13bn in June from NZ$3.62bn in the previous month as exports fell less than expected to 4.26bn, (versus 4.22bn consensus) from 4.56bn in the previous month. On a seasonally adjusted basis, good exports rose 5.8%q/q in the June quarter, boosted by record export figures from Kiwifruit, which rose 23%q/q (or 30%y/y) in the second quarter to NZ$1.44bn. On the other hand, good imports rose 0.5%q/q.
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EUR/USD – Euro Edges Higher, US Consumer Confidence And Housing Reports Next Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Jul 26 16 09:35 GMT
The euro continues to have a quiet week, as EUR/USD is trading slightly above the 1.10 line. On the economic front, there are no major Eurozone releases. In the US, we’ll get a look at consumer confidence and housing numbers. CB Consumer Confidence is expected to drop to 95.6 points, while New Home Sales is expected to improve to 560 thousand. On Wednesday, the US releases durable goods orders and the FOMC policy statement.
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FOMC Preview: We Expect A Cautious Stance From The Fed But Risk Is Tilted Towards A More Hawkish Message Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by Danske Bank | Jul 26 16 09:26 GMT
The upcoming FOMC meeting is one of the small meetings without new ‘dots’ and a press conference. As it is broadly expected that the FOMC will keep the federal funds target range unchanged at 0.25%-0.50%, focus is on the statement. Even though financial markets have taken Brexit very calmly and the US equity market is at an all-time high, we expect the FOMC to take a cautious stance due to possible negative spill-over effects from Brexit uncertainties. Still, risk is tilted towards a more hawkish Fed given the strong rebound in US data in Q2 (especially on the consumer side). Unfortunately, the FOMC statements do not always send the best signals and we will probably have to wait for the following minutes or new FOMC speeches to get more details about how the Fed sees the economic outlook post-Brexit.
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German Business Morale Deteriorates Slightly In July After Brexit Vote Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by Dukascopy Swiss FX Group | Jul 26 16 08:17 GMT
German business sentiment fell less than expected in July, following the United Kingdom's vote to leave the European Union, survey results from the Munich-based Ifo Institute showed on Monday. The Ifo Business Climate Index dropped to 108.3 on a monthly seasonally adjusted basis in July, down from the previous month's reading of 108.7 points, whereas market analysts anticipated a steeper decrease to 107.4 in the reported month. The headline index posted the first decline in the three-month period, although it was the second highest result this year. According to the Ifo's sub-survey, the Current Assessment Index, which measures current conditions in the Euro zone's largest economy, came in at 114.7 in the same month, while markets penciled in a drop to 113.9 from last month's upwardly revised figure of 114.6 points. Furthermore, the Ifo Expectations Index, indicating companies' outlook for the next six months, rose to 102.2 month-over-month in July, while analysts predicted a fall to 101.0 in the first month of the Q3 2016, following June's 103.1 points.
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New Zealand Trade Balance Sees Sixth Consecutive Surplus In June Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by Dukascopy Swiss FX Group | Jul 26 16 08:15 GMT
New Zealand's trade surplus shrank more than expected in June as the value of both imports and exports slipped. Auckland's trade surplus reached $127 million in June, nearly matching the $128 million forecast by economists, state-run Statistics New Zealand said in a report. June was the sixth consecutive trade surplus for the country. The surplus widened to $358 million in May, the highest in more than a year. In annualized terms, New Zealand had a deficit of ¬3.3 billion, official data showed. In May, the year-over-year deficit was $3.6 billion. Data also showed that the value of imports fell to $4.13 billion last month from $4.21 billion in May, that was revised from $4.22 billion , a 4.6% year-on-year decline, but matching economists' expectations for $4.13 billion. Meanwhile, the value of exports declined to $4.26 billion from $4.56 billion in May, that was revised from $4.57 billion and slightly ahead of forecasts for $4.22 billion. Exports were up 2.6% from June last year.
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USD/JPY Declines As Markets Question Amount Of Japanese Stimulus Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by KBC Bank | Jul 26 16 08:09 GMT
Yesterday, the dollar traded marginally softer as sentiment on risk turned less positive. This morning, USD/JPY declines sharply as markets question the amount of fiscal and monetary stimulus Japanese authorities are preparing. The decline of USD/JPY weighs on the dollar overall. Sterling declines as BoE Weale supports call for immediate monetary stimulus.
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YEN And Nikkei, Slip Sliding Away…. Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Jul 26 16 07:59 GMT
The USDJPY, Yen crosses, and the NIKKEI under relentless pressure today as position squaring and possible disappointments take their toll. The hype over Japan stimuli seems to be fading fast into Friday's BoJ meeting. Various officials have been out on the wires this morning and overnight and the general tone seems to be one of less is more rather than a big bang.
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JPY Surges Amid Fears The BoJ Will Disappoint Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by Swissquote Bank SA | Jul 26 16 07:52 GMT
It was a quite start into the week given the very light economic calendar. Most currency pairs were trading water during the first day of the week with EUR/USD trading between 1.0960 and 1.10. The single currency reacted feebly to the better-than-expected IFO business climate, which fell to 108.3 in July (107.5 consensus) from 108.7 in the previous month. The lower read suggests that German company managers anticipated the negative effects of the Brexit vote on the German economic prospect. On the bright sight, assessments of the current situation improved somewhat to 114.7 from 114.6, beating median forecast of 114, showing that the managers a quite happy of the resilience of the German economy.
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Sentiments Turn Bearish On Oil, Will Downtrend Resume? Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by ForexTime | Jul 26 16 07:50 GMT
Oil prices on both sides of the Atlantic have fallen to 3-month low as bullish traders found little reason to keep betting on higher prices. Brent has declined by more than 15% after posting a 2016 high last month at $52.86 and WTI lost 16%. When prices started to fall from their peaks it was first considered as a correction, but investors are getting worried it is becoming a trend. In fact, short term fundamentals should get us worried as ongoing oversupply will likely keep dragging prices lower.
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Asian Market Update: BOE's Weale Talks Down GBP Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by Trade The News | Jul 26 16 07:08 GMT
Asian equity markets are mixed despite the more negative sentiment on Wall St in US hours, though volatility is picking up ahead of the Fed and BOJ policy decisions later this week. Japan markets are especially unsettled with more headlines pertaining to the fiscal / monetary stimulus mix, with Nikkei225 falling over 1.5% and USD/JPY plunging some 150pips below 104.40. In other USD majors, NZD/USD was little moved by slightly softer than expected China trade surplus, trading in about a 20pips range around 0.70 handle, while AUD/USD was also in a 20pips range above 0.7460 prior to a late session bounce. S&P emini futures were flat after a 0.2% drop in early electronic trade, and gold remained little changed below 1,330.
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