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Forex Expos

Forex Weekly Fundamental Reports

Fundamental analysis refers to the study of the core underlying elements that influence the economy of a particular entity. It is a method of study that attempts to predict price action and market trends by analyzing economic indicators, government policy and societal factors (to name just a few elements) within a business cycle framework. For forex traders, the fundamentals are everything that makes a country tick. From interest rates and central bank policy to natural disasters, the fundamentals are a dynamic mix of distinct plans, erratic behaviors and unforeseen events. Therefore, it is best to get a handle on the most influential contributors to this diverse mix than it is to formulate a comprehensive list of all "The Forex Fundamentals."

Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Wells Fargo Securities | Apr 25 15 04:04 GMT
On balance, economic data this week continued to reflect a soft Q1. Housing data were mixed, with existing home sales rising but new home sales pulling back in March. Durable goods orders bounced back slightly in March, but not enough to reverse the sharp decline observed in February. Based on economic data over the past two weeks, we have left our forecast for Q1 growth unchanged. We maintain our view that Q1 GDP growth will come in around 0.5 percent. While data from the Monthly Treasury Statement showed that federal government spending will not be as large of a drag in Q1, the weaker-than-expected retail sales report led us to revise down our view of real consumer spending. In addition, the industrial production report last week along with this week's durable goods orders data continued to reinforce our call for slower growth in business investment. The biggest change in our GDP outlook is in the second quarter, which we have revised down to 2.7 percent based on our view for softer consumer spending and a greater drag from inventories in Q2.
The Weekly Bottom Line Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by TD Bank Financial Group | Apr 25 15 03:53 GMT
It was a quiet week on the U.S. economic calendar. International developments, including unrest in the Middle East and unease about a potential Greek default moved into the spotlight. Greece's potential exit from the euro zone remained at the top of investors' minds as they anticipated the meeting of euro zone finance ministers in Riga today. On that front there was plenty of heat but little progress. The stalemate between the Greek government and other euro zone members continues. Amidst this game of chicken, Greece's finances are steadily dwindling. This week the Greek government decreed that local governments must move their cash deposits to the central bank. Thus should allow it to pay public sector salaries and pensions due at the end of the month. However, this only buys Greece a small amount of time as other significant payments, such as the EUR750mn IMF repayment due on May 12th and around EUR1.5bn in government salaries at the end of the May are weighting in the wings.
The Changing Faces of Antipodean Currencies and Yield Seekers Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by | Apr 25 15 03:48 GMT
The possibility of a Greek default is at the forefront of investor sentiment, but there's also a lot happening in Asia. Last week, a slew of economic data and some well-aimed comments from central bankers resulted in some big moves in Asia's major commodity currencies, the Australian and New Zealand dollars. In fact, the game-changing events of last week have resulted in another power shift between the two antipodean currencies and a fundamental change in the behavior of yield seekers, with positive economic data out of Australia being weighed against some soft inflation numbers from NZ and dovish comments from the RBNZ in the lead-up to monetary policy meetings in the antipodean countries.
Weekly Focus: Riksbanken to Add Fuel to the Currency War Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Danske Bank | Apr 25 15 03:37 GMT
Euro surprises coming down, US surprises set to head higher. This would underpin a lower EUR/USD and higher US yields and give less cyclical tailwind to euro stocks versus US stocks. The Fed is still on track for a September hike.
Weekly Wrap: 20th April 2015 Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by ThinkForex | Apr 20 15 03:11 GMT
A potentially volatile week for Aussie crosses. The Aussie managed to climb off of the 75c lows helped by a weaker Greenback, surprisingly strong employment figures and now the news that China cut their RRR as part of their tightening cycle.
Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Wells Fargo Securities | Apr 18 15 09:01 GMT
After a rough start to the year filled with relatively weak economic data, the U.S. economy finally looks to be moving past some of the transitory hurdles. Retail sales, producer prices, manufacturing production and residential construction all posted gains in their most recent release, reversing the prior month's decline. Although most data this week turned positive, the size of the rebound remains fairly muted. As a result, we expect stronger indicators to be released in the month ahead as the economy rebounds from earlier setbacks.
The Weekly Bottom Line Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by TD Bank Financial Group | Apr 18 15 08:47 GMT
This week marked the beginning of the highly anticipated corporate earnings season in the U.S. Early indications suggest that businesses are so far withstanding the lofty dollar and lower oil prices. Investor sentiment was further supported by rebounding oil prices, with the U.S. benchmark rising nearly 10% on reports of a sharp decline in rig count and a bullish U.S. storage build. The barrel was further buttressed by a pull-back in the dollar, which lost 2% on a trade-weighted basis. The sentiment on the greenback soured as a slew of economic data - largely completing the picture of economic activity in the first quarter - suggested the American economy appears more fragile than previously thought. Figures out of China were also disappointing. And, while European data proved more uplifting, it was overshadowed by unease about a potential Greek default.
Would There Be Any Winners from a Greek Default? Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by | Apr 18 15 08:39 GMT
With the possibility that Greece is not going to be able to meet its debt payments next month and be forced into bankruptcy, we thought that it was worth trying to see if there could be any winners from a Greek default. Of course, with 3.5 weeks to go before Greece owes the IMF nearly EUR 1 billion, there is still time for Greece to reach a deal with its creditors. However, the rhetoric, especially from Germany, has been heating up in recent days and at the time of writing a deal does not seem likely. Below we list three areas that we think could benefit from a Grexit/default in the coming months, and the first one may surprise you!
Week Ahead: Flash PMIs and Eurogroup to Dictate Pace Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Apr 18 15 08:22 GMT
Greek debt will be the main topic during the Eurogroup meetings next week. Bond yields have fallen in the rest of Europe as investor demand more yield form Greek bonds. Various finance ministers from the Euro zone have spoken out about the lack of clear reforms from Greece. The IMF also issued a stern statement about its negative about writing off Greek debt. All comments converge on the same point. Greece must get to work and come up with a series of reforms that bring the country to a more stable economic reality. There is little hope in the market that the Greek situation will be solved next week, but there are some hints that Greece is working towards more realistic reforms geared at servicing its debt.
Weekly Focus: We Continue to Look for Robust Growth in the Euro Area Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Danske Bank | Apr 18 15 08:20 GMT
We believe we are at a low point in the global business cycle. US growth to recover from here. Stock markets playing recovery. Fed members still signal hike in June-September window. We see German yields falling still as more maturities go below -0.2%. We expect EUR/USD to decline on better US data.
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