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Forex Expos

Forex Weekly Fundamental Reports

Fundamental analysis refers to the study of the core underlying elements that influence the economy of a particular entity. It is a method of study that attempts to predict price action and market trends by analyzing economic indicators, government policy and societal factors (to name just a few elements) within a business cycle framework. For forex traders, the fundamentals are everything that makes a country tick. From interest rates and central bank policy to natural disasters, the fundamentals are a dynamic mix of distinct plans, erratic behaviors and unforeseen events. Therefore, it is best to get a handle on the most influential contributors to this diverse mix than it is to formulate a comprehensive list of all "The Forex Fundamentals."

Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Wells Fargo Securities | Apr 30 16 08:58 GMT
Real GDP grew at just a 0.5 percent annual rate during the first quarter, repeating an all-too-familiar pattern. The first quarter has shown an uncanny ability to turn out to be the weakest of the year, having done so in four of the past six years (top chart). While part of the problem may be due to some residual seasonality issues emanating from the Great Recession, the causes of each year's early year soft patch have differed from year-to-year, ranging from port shutdowns and harsh winter weather to the knock-on effects of the Japanese earthquake and the after-effects of the debt-ceiling debacle and implementation of sequestration.
The Weekly Bottom Line Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by TD Bank Financial Group | Apr 30 16 08:47 GMT
The last week of April was busy for global markets in the midst of earnings season. Along with two major central bank decisions, investors had to digest the last batch of key economic indicators for the first quarter of the year. The mood was relatively positive through much of the week supported by a continued rally in oil prices. Crude prices were helped along by bullish U.S. inventory data and declines in domestic production - already down 700,000 barrels per day from its mid-2015 peak.
Fundamental Recap: Unchanging Rates Lead to Changing Markets Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by | Apr 30 16 08:40 GMT
Three major central bank policy decisions occurred this past week that followed in the footsteps of the European Central Bank's (ECB) decision during the previous week. The three were, in chronological order, the US Federal Reserve, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ), and the Bank of Japan (BoJ). In summary, every one of these four central banks opted to keep interest rates unchanged. While this was expected for both the ECB and Fed, there was some prior speculation over potential further easing by the RBNZ, and certainly much anticipation that the BoJ would act with additional stimulus measures in attempts to halt the strengthening of the Japanese yen. In the end, however, non-action was the theme of the week, and it affected the markets in sometimes drastic ways.
Weekly Focus: Uncertainty from Start of Year Has Eased but Brexit Risks Lurking Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Danske Bank | Apr 30 16 08:35 GMT
The BoJ's inaction may be due to the economy doing better than many envisaged. The pickup in global inflation is flying under the radar, in our view. Upside risks to the long end of the EUR swap curve are rising on oil, global IP, reduced Brexit risks and issuance. The USD is set to weaken short term against emerging market currencies and the JPY and to strengthen against the EUR. Emerging market equities are set to rally further on China and metal prices.
Week Ahead in FX: USD Falls After Fed Holds Gives No Rate Hike Hints Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Apr 30 16 08:32 GMT
The USD depreciated against major pairs after the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decided to hold rates unchanged in April. The Fed's patience combined with a shocking inaction from the Bank of Japan (BOJ) on Thursday as Japanese central bank also decided to wait until more data was available to measure the true impact of earlier quantitative easing measure. The result was a flight to safety away from the USD which benefitted most of the majors.
Weekly Fundamental View Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Admiral Markets | Apr 25 16 08:31 GMT
On Tuesday 26 April we have US durable goods orders for March. Durable goods orders are seen as a leading indicator, because they track how busy factories are likely to be in the coming months. The data since December has been inconclusive. February's reading was -2.8% versus January's +4.9%. Why should traders care? This metric can tell investors what to expect from the manufacturing sector - a major part of the US economy. The performance of this sector helps to determine interest rate policy. Watch Dollar index (USDX) support 93.79 : resistance 95.14
Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Wells Fargo Securities | Apr 23 16 13:05 GMT
Housing starts stumbled to end the first quarter, falling 8.8 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.089 million units. Despite the pullback in March, total housing starts in the first quarter are running 14.5 percent ahead of their year-ago pace. Single-family starts have accounted for the vast majority of this pickup, increasing 22.2 percent from the first quarter of 2015, while multifamily starts were roughly flat from a year ago. We are forecasting for single-family starts to drive the gains in total housing starts for the remainder of 2016, leading to a gain of roughly 11 percent for the year. Home-builder sentiment is also supportive of continued gains in housing starts. The National Association of Home Builders index held steady for the thirdconsecutive month at 58. While this does reflect a slight pullback from levels during parts of 2015, the index remains well above the demarcation line of 50, indicating more builders view conditions as good rather than poor.
The Weekly Bottom Line Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by TD Bank Financial Group | Apr 23 16 12:52 GMT
The U.S. economic calendar was relatively light this week. It was dominated by data on new and existing housing with weekly jobless claims and the Philly Fed manufacturing survey making up the remainder of top tier data. However, ongoing developments in commodity markets as well as the ECB monetary policy announcement helped guide investor sentiment.
Fundamental Recap: Central Banks Take Center Stage Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by | Apr 23 16 12:40 GMT
For both this past week and the coming week, some of the world's most prominent central banks are taking center stage, issuing eagerly anticipated rate decisions and policy statements. This past week, the European Central Bank (ECB) was in focus. Not much about the ECB's public pronouncements on Thursday was unexpected. Interest rates remained unchanged this time, as anticipated, after the surprisingly aggressive easing actions presented at last month's meeting. ECB President Mario Draghi struck an overall dovish tone, reiterating the need to address persistent conditions of low inflation and economic growth risk.
Week Ahead in FX: USD Rebounds Ahead of FOMC Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Apr 23 16 12:33 GMT
The Sunday news that the Doha oil output freeze meeting had failed hit markets with the Asian open. Commodity currencies were hit as another news item was gaining traction in the energy sector. Kuwait oil workers entered an oil strike which for all intents and purposes had a bigger impact on oil prices, a reduction in crude output. Efforts from Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and Russia to return to the negotiating table have kept the price of oil stable even though there has been few signs that the black gold glut is set to decrease anytime soon.
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