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Forex Expos

Forex Weekly Fundamental Reports

Fundamental analysis refers to the study of the core underlying elements that influence the economy of a particular entity. It is a method of study that attempts to predict price action and market trends by analyzing economic indicators, government policy and societal factors (to name just a few elements) within a business cycle framework. For forex traders, the fundamentals are everything that makes a country tick. From interest rates and central bank policy to natural disasters, the fundamentals are a dynamic mix of distinct plans, erratic behaviors and unforeseen events. Therefore, it is best to get a handle on the most influential contributors to this diverse mix than it is to formulate a comprehensive list of all "The Forex Fundamentals."

Gold Treads Water Around July Low Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Dukascopy Swiss FX Group | Nov 24 15 08:34 GMT
Yesterday the bullion was pushed below July low at 1,070. However, on Tuesday gold observes another round of purchases, which try to raise the price above the above mentioned technical level. Therefore, current short term estimates remains rather uncertain. Any gains are likely to be capped by the weekly pivot point at 1,080. Medium term forecasts have a more pronounced bearish bias and the short traders are eventually aiming at breaching the five-year low at 1,044.
Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Wells Fargo Securities | Nov 21 15 01:48 GMT
Overall conditions in the U.S. economy continue to show improvement. With labor market conditions back on solid footing, attention has now turned to the second half of the Federal Reserve's dual mandate, stable inflation. This week, we took the pulse of consumer prices, which are increasing at a much faster pace than the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, the core PCE deflator. Consumer prices rose 0.2 percent in October, pushing the year-over-year reading up to 1.9 percent.
The Weekly Bottom Line Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by TD Bank Financial Group | Nov 21 15 01:33 GMT
We are now less than one month away from the Federal Reserve's December meeting. At that time, the FOMC will decide whether or not to start the first tightening cycle in more than a decade. Putting that into perspective, it will potentially be the first interest rate hike for an entire generation of millennials that has less than a decade of work experience. Markets are currently pegging the probability of a hike at just shy of 70%, and with each passing week, the data and Fed communications increasingly bolsters that position.
The Week Ahead: Week of November 23, 2015 Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by | Nov 21 15 01:23 GMT
We have published a few bullish reports on the stock markets since the middle of this week after noticing how resilient the markets were following last Friday's terror attacks in Paris. From a trading perspective, the reaction of the market is always more important than the news itself and this was yet another example of this bullish market behavior. In addition, the FOMC meeting minutes suggested the Fed is likely to increase rates in December. But the US stocks markets have rallied, thereby shrugging off concerns that the slightly higher rates will hold back economic growth there or in emerging markets. Of course, the Fed did say that further rate rises will be very gradual and dependant on incoming data.
Week in FX: FOMC Minutes Show December Rate Hike on Track Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Nov 21 15 01:20 GMT
The USD finished the week higher against the majors, except the AUD after the Reserve Bank of Australia published the minutes of its November 3 monetary policy meeting and ruled out further rate cuts. The Federal Reserve also published the notes from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in October. The latest FOMC marked a turning point for the USD as it brought back the possibility of a rate hike in the last policy meeting of the year for the American central bank. Subsequent statements from Fed members, a strong non-farm payrolls and soft retail sales and inflation have paved the way forward to the first U.S. benchmark interest rate hike in 10 years.
Weekly Focus: Key Norwegian Oil Survey Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Danske Bank | Nov 20 15 14:23 GMT
Our MacroScope models have turned positive for the first time in more than six months. This is positive for equities, particularly the European ones, neutral for fixed income. Previous Fed rate hiking cycles suggest that the USD will weaken after lift-off. The CNY to weaken but we still do not expect a big devaluation.
Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Wells Fargo Securities | Nov 14 15 01:09 GMT
Inflation appears to again have been underwhelming in October. The Import Price Index declined 0.5 percent, missing expectations for just a 0.1 percent decline (top graph). This decline caused the year-over-year rate to fall to 10.5 percent. Lower energy prices and a strengthening dollar continue to weigh on the import price index. In addition, producer prices fell unexpectedly in October. More concerning was the decline in the PPI for personal consumption, which closely tracks the PEC deflator. Producer prices have faced the usual headwinds, which have weighed on input costs for producers. That said, we expect inflation to gradually return to the Fed's 2 percent target, although the stronger dollar and volatile energy prices will likely add noise to this trend.
The Weekly Bottom Line Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by TD Bank Financial Group | Nov 14 15 00:54 GMT
This week's economic calendar was relatively light, with U.S. retail sales being the release most watched by markets. In light of the sparse economic data calendar, investors instead focused on central bank communications, with several Fed officials offering their perspective on the U.S. economic momentum and the timing of the first rate hike.
Retail Sales Fails to Impress Forex Traders Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by | Nov 14 15 00:48 GMT
There are no two ways about it: it's been a slow week for foreign exchange traders (though equities and commodities have certainly been more volatile - see below for more). With no top-tier data releases from Europe or the US during the first four days of the week, the US dollar generally consolidated against most of its major rivals over the first 96 hours of this week's trade.
Week Ahead in FX: Fed Rate Hike on Track Awaiting FOMC Minutes and US Inflation Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Nov 14 15 00:40 GMT
The USD rally received a temporary setback this morning with the release of the U.S. retail sales data. American retail sales edged up 0.1 percent missing the expectations of a 0.3 percent rise. Auto sales were to blame as they had a significant drop. Core retail sales data that excludes auto fared only slightly better as it came in at 0.2 percent when 0.4 percent has been forecasted. The consumer spending economic indicator did not post a shocking data point although it was expected higher. The USD did retreat across the board after the retail sales figures were announced, but it made back all the lost ground minutes after as the path to the December interest rate hike looks clear. The next hurdle ahead will be American inflation data and the notes from the October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting.
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