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Forex Weekly Fundamental Reports

Fundamental analysis refers to the study of the core underlying elements that influence the economy of a particular entity. It is a method of study that attempts to predict price action and market trends by analyzing economic indicators, government policy and societal factors (to name just a few elements) within a business cycle framework. For forex traders, the fundamentals are everything that makes a country tick. From interest rates and central bank policy to natural disasters, the fundamentals are a dynamic mix of distinct plans, erratic behaviors and unforeseen events. Therefore, it is best to get a handle on the most influential contributors to this diverse mix than it is to formulate a comprehensive list of all "The Forex Fundamentals."



Weekly Wrap: Leaders And Laggards Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by ThinkForex | Sep 01 14 02:14 GMT
AUD: Building Approvals, Cash Rate, GDP q/q, Retail Sales, Trade Balance. CAD: Overnight Rate, Trade Balance, Employment, Ivey PMI. CNY: Manufacturing PMI, Services PMI, Non-Manufacturing PMI,. EUR: GER Factory Orders, Manufacturing and Services PMI, Bid Rate & ECB Press Conference
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Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Wells Fargo Securities | Aug 30 14 05:45 GMT
Despite some noisy numbers this week, the U.S. economy continues to strengthen. The biggest headline of the week came from the durable goods report, where orders jumped a massive 22.6 percent. July's gain - the largest on record - was exaggerated by a surge in aircraft orders for Boeing's 777 series and 787 Dreamliners following the Farnborough Air Show. With a lengthy production period, these orders will not translate into higher GDP for years to come, but illustrate airlines are feeling more confident in longer-term investments. Also unduly propping up orders (and setting them up for a plunge next month) was a 10.2 percent increase in vehicles and parts, likely flattered by fewer summer shutdowns at auto plants this year.
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The Weekly Bottom Line Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by TD Bank Financial Group | Aug 30 14 05:30 GMT
Optimism over the U.S. economy is quite high at the moment, and it is warranted. The second estimate of real GDP showed that the economy grew 4.2% in the second quarter, above the previous estimate of 4%. The underlying details revealed stronger business fixed investment, with less inventory accumulation, suggesting modest upside for business investment in the third quarter.
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ECB: From Jackson Hole to Frankfurt, a World of Difference Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Forex.com | Aug 30 14 05:23 GMT
This past weekend, the most influential central bankers from around the world gathered in Jackson Hole, Wyoming to compare business cards, challenge each other to Rubik's-Cube-solving contests and, occasionally, give speeches that impact the lives of billions of people and the future of global economies and markets. European Central Bank President Mario Draghi had a particularly interesting speech in which he mentioned that his institution is ready to act, stating, "We stand ready to adjust our policy stance further."
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Week in FX Americas - BoC To Remain With Neutral Stance Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Aug 30 14 05:10 GMT
Friday's data revealed that the Canadian economy accelerated at the fastest pace in nearly three-years in Q2. The usual culprits supported the annualized +3.1% gain between April and June: exports, consumer spending and business investments (an area that Canada is falling well behind in to its largest trading partner, the US). This was in stark contrast to the downwardly revised +0.9% advance print in Q1. Canada's Q2 gain continues to lag that of the US's where GDP rebounded aggressively, posting +4.2% annualized after contracting in Q1.
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Week in FX Europe - ECB Not Influenced by Flash CPI Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Aug 29 14 16:17 GMT
Month-end portfolio demand, geopolitical and event risk are all taking a stab at making an impact on forex prices. So far, and not unfamiliar, investors continue to wade through the same contrived trading ranges, but this time the EUR bear must be feeling a tad stronger in their convictions. It was only natural that investors would adopt a cautious tone early Friday, ahead of Euro inflation numbers. A stable or slightly declining inflation reading would be expected to definitely reduce some pressure on the ECB to take immediate policy action at next weeks policy meet. Nevertheless, the Eurozone's CPI Flash Estimate reading of +0.3%, y/y (expected +0.4%), the lowest in five-years, seems unclear if it's enough for ECB to act again so soon based on the EUR's initial price response of limited movement (€1.3179).
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Week in FX Asia - Yields and Geopolitical Tensions Hit Asian Markets Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Aug 29 14 16:08 GMT
Japan's consumer inflation was steady at 3.3% with a real 1.3% figure which is below the Bank of Japan and Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's target but overall positive given the two decades of Japanese deflation. The government faces a tough balancing act. How to spur inflation after two decades, while at the same time have a way to slow it down and avoid falling prey to hyperinflation.
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Weekly Focus: Very Dovish ECB to Keep Hopes of More Easing Alive Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Danske Bank | Aug 29 14 16:07 GMT
Tug of war for risk appetite between expectations of QE from the ECB and geopolitical risks from the Ukrainian crisis. Rising debate on a possible early rate hike from Fed in the wake of strong US data and relatively hawkish minutes from the last Fed meeting. Continued declines in inflation and inflation expectations have increased expectations that ECB will eventually be forced to embark on aggressive QE. In Japan weak July data suggest that the negative impact from the consumption tax hike in April has been larger than expected. Further Bank of Japan easing is back on the agenda.
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Week in FX Asia - Yen Continues to Slide Awaiting Kuroda at Jackson Hole Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Aug 22 14 19:36 GMT
The JPY continues to weaken versus the USD this week. Strong manufacturing numbers boosted industrial hopes, but the main focus was on the world's largest central banks. The gathering of policymakers in Jackson Hole Wyoming was the main focus on a week that saw dissent from the minutes of the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England. The USD/JPY continues to head higher and blew past the 103 level. It remains to be seen if the Bank of Japan's Governor Kuroda could see the currency even lower after his speech on Saturday. Resistance for the pair sits firmly in the 104 level. After this week the new support line rests on 103.08
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Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Wells Fargo Securities | Aug 22 14 19:25 GMT
In July, Fed Chair Janet Yellen characterized the 0.3 percent June increase in CPI inflation as "noisy". Given other indications of the potential for rising inflation such as the recent run-up in the prices component of many of the purchasing managers' surveys and some indication of wage pressures - there was some concern that the Fed was being lax about inflation and that more upside surprises might portend a rate increase sooner than the Fed's guidance might suggest. Some of those concerns were allayed earlier this week when the CPI report for July showed a month-over-month increase of just 0.1 percent, leaving the year-over-year rate unchanged at 1.9 percent. One swing factor in recent inflation trends is energy prices. After recording strong gains in May and June, energy prices fell 0.3 percent last month as all energy components recorded modest declines.
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