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Forex Weekly Fundamental Reports

Fundamental analysis refers to the study of the core underlying elements that influence the economy of a particular entity. It is a method of study that attempts to predict price action and market trends by analyzing economic indicators, government policy and societal factors (to name just a few elements) within a business cycle framework. For forex traders, the fundamentals are everything that makes a country tick. From interest rates and central bank policy to natural disasters, the fundamentals are a dynamic mix of distinct plans, erratic behaviors and unforeseen events. Therefore, it is best to get a handle on the most influential contributors to this diverse mix than it is to formulate a comprehensive list of all "The Forex Fundamentals."



Weekly Wrap: Markets Awaiting FOMC Statement Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by ThinkForex | Oct 27 14 02:17 GMT
The only major currency pair to be Net Long. The USD Index may have seen an end to the correction at 84.50 (for an A-B-C correction) with a break above 86.10 swing high targeting the 86.86 highs. Last week closed to confirm a Bullish Piercing Line to further suggest the correction may have completed. Thursday will attract the most attention by traders as we have FOMC statement, rate decision and Advance GDP. We also find out if tapering finally ends, or gets extended.
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Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Wells Fargo Securities | Oct 25 14 03:36 GMT
Even with the dearth of data this week, the U.S. economy looks to be improving. The Chicago Fed National Activity Index confirmed that economic growth was above trend in September, while a solid gain in the Leading Economic Index suggests that there is more growth ahead. Prices remain fairly benign for the consumer, while the labor market continues to accelerate. Meanwhile, the housing market is making modest gains again after the mortgage rate correction that occurred last year.
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The Weekly Bottom Line Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by TD Bank Financial Group | Oct 25 14 03:24 GMT
Following last week's turbulence, a sense of normalcy returned to financial markets this week. As fear subsided, so did market volatility. The U.S. equity fear gauge, also known as the VIX, fell by nearly 50% from its peak last Wednesday. In equity markets, the S&P 500 more than reversed its decline, gaining 3.9% (at the time of writing) relative to last Friday's reading and bringing its year-to-date gain to 6.1%. Consequently, demand for safe-haven Treasuries eased, with 10-year yields rising by 7 basis points to 2.26%.
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Week in FX Americas - USD Recovers Ahead of EU Stress Tests and FOMC Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Oct 25 14 02:50 GMT
The USD continues to strengthen this week versus major pairs even though there was limited economic evidence as few indicators were released. The unemployment claims were higher than previous weeks coming in at 283,000, but not enough to continue talking about a sustained job market recovery. New home sales slowed down to 467,000 units annualized rated in September. This is still the highest reading since July 2008.
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Week in FX Europe - ECB Bank Tests Stress EUR Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Oct 25 14 02:49 GMT
The European Bank Authority will release the results from tests designed to measure the financial strength of 150 of the EU's biggest banks. There have been reports that as many as 25 banks could fail the stress tests. The main goal of the tests is to reassure global investors that the European financial system is solid and there is no need for concerns. This of course is a lofty objective given the economic turmoil surrounding the Eurozone and in particular given the political quagmire that has prevented the European Central Bank to unleash monetary stimulus.
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Week in FX Asia - JPY Back to Fundamentals Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Oct 25 14 02:47 GMT
Japan's trade deficit increased despite a positive growth in exports that could not overcome the rise in imports. A weaker currency gave exporters a boost but also made imports more expensive. Even with lower energy prices the growth in imports increased the deficit. The USD/JPY broke through the 108 price level as safe haven flows have been reduced on the back of stronger US economic data and geopolitical turmoil easing. Inflation data in Japan and the FOMC could further weaken the JPY, which is something the central bank endorses if it's a gradual shift. Rate divergence regains priority after investors look at the fundamentals. On Monday, BoJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda stated that Japan's economy continues to improve modestly, although consumer demand has lessened since the consumption tax hike in April. The BoJ would prefer to stay on the sidelines, but there has been talk that the central bank could step in with additional stimulus if the economy takes a turn for the worse. Such a move would weigh on the already weak Japanese yen.
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Weekly Focus: Focus on Fed Meeting Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Danske Bank | Oct 24 14 15:12 GMT
The extent of the US soft patch will be important for risk assets and bond yields. We look for an only moderate slowdown but expect ISM to come down in coming quarters. Volatility expected to remain high for some time. Still no signs of a turnaround in the euro area, while Japan is recovering and China shows resilience.
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Weekly Wrap: Dollar Correction Extends Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by ThinkForex | Oct 20 14 03:49 GMT
A slight increase of short positions has been added but price continues to whipsaw within a 2c range making positional trading tricky. We have now seen 2x Hammers near the 4-year lows which could either be an inverted Hammer (bullish) or Shooting Star (Bearish) if we break below 0.863. Until then we have to assume the correction and whipsaws will continue. RBA minutes are unlikely to provide much information but traders will look out for any hint of macro-prudential tools for the housing market. Stevens also speaks on Thursday which may provide further direction.
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Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Wells Fargo Securities | Oct 18 14 04:26 GMT
Ghouls and hobgoblins seem to have a knack for taking control over the financial markets in October. The month marked some of the darkest days of the Financial Crisis and also captured many of the worst days on record for the major stock market averages, including Black Monday on October 19, 1987 and Black Tuesday, October 29, 1929, which culminated the two-day sell-off that ushered in the Great Depression. The 1929 sell off also included a Black Thursday and a Black Friday. Wednesday morning started out like we would finally complete the set, with the Dow briefly falling 430 points and the 10-year Treasury bond briefly tumbling 33 basis points to yield just 1.86 percent. Fortunately, the stock market caught its senses somewhat and finished the day down just 173 points and bond yields bounced back up to 2.14 percent.
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The Weekly Bottom Line Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by TD Bank Financial Group | Oct 18 14 04:07 GMT
Oh, how quickly things can change. Back in July, volatility in equity and bond markets was notably missing. Concerns over complacency in financial markets fell on deaf ears, and certain asset values looked stretched. That is until this week, with volatility coming back in a big way. The U.S. equity fear gauge, also known as the VIX, hit its highest level since the euro zone crisis in 2012. At one point on Wednesday, ten-year Treasury yields were down 33bps, while the S&P500 had given back all its gains on the year.
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