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Forex Weekly Fundamental Reports

Fundamental analysis refers to the study of the core underlying elements that influence the economy of a particular entity. It is a method of study that attempts to predict price action and market trends by analyzing economic indicators, government policy and societal factors (to name just a few elements) within a business cycle framework. For forex traders, the fundamentals are everything that makes a country tick. From interest rates and central bank policy to natural disasters, the fundamentals are a dynamic mix of distinct plans, erratic behaviors and unforeseen events. Therefore, it is best to get a handle on the most influential contributors to this diverse mix than it is to formulate a comprehensive list of all "The Forex Fundamentals."

Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Wells Fargo Securities | Feb 06 16 03:40 GMT
The U.S. economy clearly lost momentum during the latter part of 2015 and the employment data are now reflecting that slower pace. Employers added just 151,000 jobs in January, which was about 40,000 jobs shy of consensus expectations. Data for December were also revised lower, with nonfarm payrolls now showing a gain of 262,000 jobs instead of the initially reported 292,000-job gain. Job growth over the past three months still works out to a solid pace of 231,000 jobs per month.
The Weekly Bottom Line Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by TD Bank Financial Group | Feb 06 16 03:25 GMT
Punxsutawney Phil did not see his shadow this week, divining that winter will soon be over. Investors are hoping that his prediction might also apply to the chill in financial markets. They did not get much respite this week, despite some glimmers of hope midweek, with the S&P 500 down 2.8% on the week, at the time of writing. Without giving up on the prospects for continued economic growth, we must take the cue from New York Fed President William Dudley and recognize that the recent tightening in financial conditions poses some downside risk to the outlook.
What the January NFP Report Means for Fed Policy Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by | Feb 06 16 03:19 GMT
As the monthly tradition dictates, traders eagerly awaited today's US jobs report with the (lack of) patience of a kid on Christmas. When the report was finally unveiled, it was by no means the anticipated "Red Ryder Carbine Action 200-shot Range Model air rifle with a compass in the stock and ‘this thing which tells time‘(a sundial)" that Ralphie Parker desperately wanted in the classic 1983 film "A Christmas Story," but it's hardly as disappointing as some have made it out to be.
Weekly Focus: Riksbank's Time to Ease Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Danske Bank | Feb 06 16 02:53 GMT
This week has seen further decline inflation expectations and interest rates. Concerns about the US economy prompted a sharp fall in the US dollar. The fall in inflation expectations raises questions about the central bank's ability to fulfil its inflation mandate, especially with the policy vacuum until March. Yellen's testimony on Wednesday will be crucial in providing guidance to the market.
Week Ahead in FX - After NFP Miss All Eyes on Janet Yellen Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Feb 06 16 02:48 GMT
The U.S. non farm payrolls (NFP) report published on Friday revealed a slowdown of the headline jobs number. The American economy added 151,000 jobs in January coming under the market's forecast of 190,000. In December the economy posted a massive 292,000 (now revised downward to 252,000) and a lower number was anticipated. Hourly wages rose in January by 0.5 percent. The unemployment rate also dropped to 4.9 percent given the strong pace of job gains in 2015. The current unemployment rate in the U.S. is the lowest since November 2007.
Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Wells Fargo Securities | Jan 30 16 03:42 GMT
Economic growth in the final quarter of the year came in a bit below the already modest expectations of analysts, advancing at just a 0.7 percent annualized rate. That marks the slowest pace of growth since the first quarter of last year, which was hampered by harsh winter weather, port disruptions and seasonal adjustment issues. Growth slowed across all major categories, indicating a loss of momentum that supports our call for economic growth to slow to around 1.9 percent in 2016.
The Weekly Bottom Line Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by TD Bank Financial Group | Jan 30 16 03:18 GMT
As widely expected, the Federal Reserve stood on the sidelines at this week's FOMC meeting. The statement, while far from committing the Fed to any future policy action, came out on the dovish side, suggesting less possibility of a March hike. In addition to recognizing the weakness in current economic conditions, the statement highlighted concern over recent global economic and financial developments and their implications for the labor market and inflation.
USD/JPY Surges as BOJ Crosses the Negative Interest Rate Rubicon Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by | Jan 30 16 03:13 GMT
The normally tranquil Friday Asian session of trade was rudely interrupted this week by a surprise decision from the Bank of Japan. The excitement started just as US markets were closing down for the day when Japan released disappointing data on household spending (-4.4% y/y vs. -2.3% expected) and Tokyo Core CPI (-0.1% vs. +0.1% eyed). Then, about an hour before the BOJ's official monetary policy announcement, the massive Japanese conglomerate Nikkei reported that BOJ members had discussed the prospect of negative interest rates in an effort to stimulate Japan's moribund economy. Anyone who's been following the central bank rumor mill over the past few years know that almost every major central bank has "discussed" negative interest rates, but that it there is a big difference between talking about it and actually making the decision to cross the proverbial 0% interest rate Rubicon.
Weekly Focus: Rate Cuts Back on the Agenda Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Danske Bank | Jan 30 16 03:02 GMT
The Fed keeps the hiking cycle alive and fails to turn risk sentiment. The Bank of Japan introduces negative rates and signals more to come. Oil finding a bottom but not a risk-positive one. Risk rally to prove short-lived - the ECB and the Fed are priced too dovishly.
Week in FX - BOJ Shock to Pressure Central Banks Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Jan 30 16 02:59 GMT
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) announced that it would apply a negative 0.1 percent rate to excess reserves starting February 16. The policy decision is a token as it would only apply to a limited set of funds, but the signal it sent was felt across the FX market. The JPY depreciated against all pairs with high yielding currencies being the biggest winners like the South African rand (ZAR). Stock markets welcomed the news with the financial sector not enjoying the benefits as it pushes investors away from savings and bonds. The move by the BOJ is seen as putting pressure on other central banks to step up their monetary policy actions.
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