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Forex Expos

Forex Weekly Fundamental Reports

Fundamental analysis refers to the study of the core underlying elements that influence the economy of a particular entity. It is a method of study that attempts to predict price action and market trends by analyzing economic indicators, government policy and societal factors (to name just a few elements) within a business cycle framework. For forex traders, the fundamentals are everything that makes a country tick. From interest rates and central bank policy to natural disasters, the fundamentals are a dynamic mix of distinct plans, erratic behaviors and unforeseen events. Therefore, it is best to get a handle on the most influential contributors to this diverse mix than it is to formulate a comprehensive list of all "The Forex Fundamentals."

Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Wells Fargo Securities | Jan 21 17 02:13 GMT
In a speech this week, Janet Yellen noted that the Fed is close to meeting its dual mandate, declaring the economy is near full employment and inflation is moving toward the 2 percent target. Economic reports released this week supported that assessment. Federal Reserve banks noted modest economic expansion and intensifying price pressures from late November to the end of 2016 in the recent Beige Book. Increases in input costs were more prevalent than final goods prices, but most expect both to increase further in 2017. Businesses have been slow to pass rising costs to consumers, but with an increasingly tight labor market pushing wages higher in a low-productivity environment, we expect price increases to accelerate in coming months. The BLS released the December CPI this week, in which headline inflation rose 0.3 percent on the month and was up 2.1 percent over the year—north of 2 percent for the first time since mid-2014. There was also broad strength in the core CPI, which excludes volatile food & energy prices and rose 0.2 percent in December and 2.2 percent over the year. The gap between headline and core CPI narrowed as pressure fades from the decline in energy prices. CPI data show that inflation pressures are building, but not fast enough to alarm the Fed.
The Weekly Bottom Line Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by TD Bank Financial Group | Jan 21 17 01:52 GMT
All eyes were on Washington D.C. Friday, as Donald Trump was sworn in as the 45th President of the United States. While it remains to be seen precisely what policies his administration will implement, the President inherits an economy that's growing steadily with low unemployment. The inaugural address stuck to the usual big themes and a call for the nation to unite. There were few policy details, making precise estimates of the impact of repealing the Affordable Care Act, cutting taxes and implementing an "America first" trade agenda challenging.
Weekly Focus: Looking for Solid Indicators to Kick off 2017 Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Danske Bank | Jan 21 17 01:46 GMT
Trump inauguration, May's Brexit speech and China's presence at Davos may well mark the end of the world as we know it. Markets taking a relatively relaxed view on risk with the VIX index trading close to decade lows... ...and awaiting a more concrete economic policy announcement from the Trump administration. The possible shift towards more protectionism may well hurt the global economic outlook.
Week Ahead Trump Speech Fails to Reignite Dollar Rally Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Jan 21 17 01:42 GMT
The dollar is mixed against majors after the inauguration of President Trump. The markets did not get enough information on Friday to support the dollar as the tangible pro-growth agenda items were missing from the event. Trump's speech was delivered in his combative style and he made a pledge to put America first. The protectionist message did not resonate with markets as the dollar and stocks fell.
Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Wells Fargo Securities | Jan 14 17 02:51 GMT
In a light U.S. economic data week, the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) Small Business Optimism Index stole the spotlight with a record increase of more than 7 points in December (see chart on front page). The proportion of small business owners expecting the economy to improve over the next six months surged 38 points. The NFIB index has not been the only sentiment indicator to receive a post-election jolt. The consumer confidence index rose 13 points between October and December, and the ISM manufacturing and nonmanufacturing indices have trekked higher over the past couple months. It remains to be seen, however, if the jump in optimism will translate into an acceleration in economic activity to start 2017. Although we expect faster economic growth this year, the surge in optimism may be a bit overdone.
The Weekly Bottom Line Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by TD Bank Financial Group | Jan 14 17 02:40 GMT
Financial markets this week had a fair bit of information to digest, mainly in the form of verbal communication from policymakers. Despite what was deemed a disappointing press conference by President-elect Trump this week given the lack of policy detail, equity markets are expected to end up on the week, while Treasuries round-tripped and should end the week roughly unchanged. The main story in financial markets this week was the volatility in the U.S. dollar index, which could mark the third consecutive week of declines.
Surging Equities at Risk ahead of Earnings Season, Inauguration Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by | Jan 14 17 02:32 GMT
Friday the 13th has proven to be not-so-unlucky for the equity markets, as stocks surged early in the day at the outset of earnings season. Several major financial institutions reported earnings before the US market open. On balance, the news was good, easily beating estimates in several cases. And although Wells Fargo missed forecasts, its shares still surged on the open. JP Morgan Chase, Bank of America, PNC Financial, and BlackRock all reported earnings that were better than consensus estimates.
Week Ahead Trump Presser Weakens Dollar Awaiting US Inflation Report Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Jan 14 17 02:30 GMT
The defining moment of the week for the USD came as the first press conference of the President-elect Donald Trump unfolded. Few details on topics the market cared like infrastructure spending or fiscal stimulus were shared while the most combative aspects of his campaign were in full view. Inauguration on Friday, January 20 starts the countdown for the first 100 days of the Trump era that is expected to deliver bold action that could see the USD appreciate across the board. U.S. consumer prices will be released on Wednesday, January 18 at 8:30 am EST with a forecast of 0.3 percent rise month-over-month.
Weekly Focus: Trump is Taking Over - Buckle Up Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Danske Bank | Jan 14 17 02:19 GMT
Economic surprise indices are very high. This does not normally last for long. It is a short-term risk for yields. A strong clash between Trump and China is an increasing risk. EUR/USD is moving in tandem with the US-German rate differential. The oil rally is over for now.
Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Wells Fargo Securities | Jan 07 17 04:11 GMT
With the final key indicators of economic conditions in the books, the domestic economy ended 2016 on a positive note. The ISM manufacturing index continued to show a factory sector on an upward trajectory, which is a stark contrast from a year ago when manufacturers were facing plummeting commodity prices, weak global demand and the rising dollar weighing on exports. The ISM manufacturing composite index was half way through a fivemonth stretch of outright contraction a year ago. Improvement came in fits and starts through the second half of 2016, but by December, evidence points to a rebound in factory activity. The headline manufacturing index rose to a two-year high of 54.7 in December from 53.2 in November. Among the encouraging signals in December was notable strength in new orders, both overall and export orders. This bodes well for production in coming months. The solid reading for export orders is significant because it rose despite the post-election surge in the dollar.
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