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Forex Weekly Fundamental Reports

Fundamental analysis refers to the study of the core underlying elements that influence the economy of a particular entity. It is a method of study that attempts to predict price action and market trends by analyzing economic indicators, government policy and societal factors (to name just a few elements) within a business cycle framework. For forex traders, the fundamentals are everything that makes a country tick. From interest rates and central bank policy to natural disasters, the fundamentals are a dynamic mix of distinct plans, erratic behaviors and unforeseen events. Therefore, it is best to get a handle on the most influential contributors to this diverse mix than it is to formulate a comprehensive list of all "The Forex Fundamentals."



Week in FX Europe - No Thanksgiving for OPEC Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Nov 28 14 12:53 GMT
Energy prices continue to make records. Today, OPEC (the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) is back calling the shots, and putting the squeeze on global crude producers, commodity currencies, trade balances and Russia in particular, after yesterday's stand-pat decision to maintain its existing daily production of +30M bpd. This decision pushed the benchmark North American West Texas Intermediate crude oil to trade down -6% to $68 per barrel, a fresh four-year low. OPEC's decision has given an upward bias to the mighty U.S. dollar, as lower oil prices are deemed a direct boon to the American economy. OPEC's bearish position is also managing to send commodity currencies like the CAD ($1.1385), NOK ($6.99), and RUB tumbling.
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Important Economic Releases To Drive The Market In The Week Ahead Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Admiral Markets | Nov 24 14 13:04 GMT
Last week what looked like a lackluster, range-bound market ended with yet another week of strong performance for the overall US Dollar Index (I.USDX). The US Dollar strength was primarily trigger by ECB President Mario Draghi's comments that took the Euro-zone common currency sharply lower and helped I.USDX rise to the highest weekly close in over 4 years, since June 2010. Also on Friday, Chinese central bank, the People's Bank of China (PBOC), surprisingly lowered its benchmark interest rates. PBOC slashed its one-year deposit rate by 25 basis-points to 2.75% while one-year lending rate was lowered by 40 basis-points to 5.6%.
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Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Wells Fargo Securities | Nov 22 14 01:52 GMT
Inflation has taken center-stage of late now that concerns are beginning to ease the state of the labor market. This week inflation data showed that while hardly robust, weaker price growth seems to primarily stem from falling energy prices. The PPI for final demand unexpectedly rose in October. The 0.2 percent gain, however, was overstated by a 1.5 percent rise in trade services, a new component of PPI that measures margins instead of selling prices. Excluding food, energy and trade services, prices ticked up 0.1 percent and are up 1.6 percent over the past year, just ahead of headline PPI. Meanwhile, the more reliable CPI showed consumer prices were unchanged over the month. Falling energy costs were offset by a rise in food and core services, which have been driving overall inflation higher over the past year. Although goods prices ex-food and energy were flat in October, the core index rose 0.2 percent on increasing shelter, transportation, medical, recreation and personal services. The upticks in the core measures of PPI and CPI last month allay fears of a broad softening inflation.
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The ECB Takes a Step Closer to QE Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Forex.com | Nov 22 14 01:22 GMT
On Friday, ECB President Mario Draghi delivered a damning indictment on the Eurozone economy, saying that underlying growth momentum remains weak, the economic situation in the euro-area remains difficult and that the inflation situation has become more challenging. He ended his speech by saying that a prolonged period of low CPI has weighed on some inflation expectations, which he said were "excessively low". Although he didn't use the words quantitative easing, he said that the ECB would have to broaden their asset purchases if inflation does not rise.
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Weekly Focus: Big Drop in Oil Prices to Boost Consumption Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Danske Bank | Nov 22 14 01:09 GMT
The biggest stimulus to consumers from an oil price decline since 2008. It strengthens the recovery case in early 2015 and thus risk asset performance. Bond yield decline stabilises on rise in risk appetite. Tentative signs of bottoming in the euro area. Rise in US core inflation eases downside inflation risks. Rate cut in China underpins pick-up in growth.
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Week in FX Americas - Dollar Strengtens Thanks to China and Draghi Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Nov 22 14 01:06 GMT
The EUR/USD continued to fall this week after European Central Bank President Mario Draghi urged European Union leaders to do whatever it takes to avoid stagnation. Whatever it takes in this case is quantitative easing. Sovereign bond-buying to increase liquidity and stimulate higher consumption and inflation spurring economic growth. The Federal Reserve just finished its own quantitative easing program in October. The QE and forward guidance combo have a mixed track record but its hard to deny that the U.S. economy looks healthier now than it did before those were implemented.
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Week in FX Europe - Draghi Hands Ammo to Euro Bear Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Nov 22 14 01:05 GMT
The euro bear got a subtle hint yesterday to consider "not" booking any EUR profits just yet, all because the EUR bull happened to be blinded by flash purchasing mangers' index (PMI) numbers. The ones that did nothing should be thanking European Central Bank (ECB) President Mario Draghi this 'frantic' Friday morning, as he managed to "put the boot in" with another whatever-it-takes kind of moment.
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Week in FX Asia - China's Surprise Rate Cut Jolts Currency Markets Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Nov 22 14 01:03 GMT
The Chinese central bank made headlines on Friday morning with a surprise rate cut designed to avoid falling short of its growth target this year. The People's Bank of China (PBoC) had tried smaller stimulus packages earlier this year with limited success. Beijing started a campaign about China falling short of its projected 7.5% growth this year, and that all things considered, it would not be a disaster to the global economy. That is why the market was caught offside by the PBoC's announcement.
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Weekly Wrap: USD Suggesting Deeper Pullback Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by ThinkForex | Nov 17 14 02:19 GMT
A slight reduction of both long and short contracts by large speculators at the highs suggests a hesitancy to commit at current levels. Bearish outside day on Friday and a Rikshaw Man Doji candle on W1 warn of weakness at the 88.30 high. A break below 87.28 warns of a deeper correction and may target the 86.9 and 86.5 support. Until a break lower than the Dollar is likely to trade sideways in the 120 pip range it has been stuck for the past 7 sessions.
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Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Wells Fargo Securities | Nov 15 14 04:48 GMT
NFIB small business optimism improved to 96.1 in October, just above consensus expectations. Consistent with our view for firming real final sales in the domestic economy, one of the strongest components of the NFIB survey was higher expected sales. While the improvement in the headline number suggests small businesses continue to find themselves in a more solid position economically, underlying components still point to a mix of optimism and caution. For example, the net percentage of firms expecting the economy to improve in the next six months remains at -3 percent. On a more positive note, a net 26 percent of firms are expecting to increase capital spending, compared to 22 percent the previous month. The increase in October comes as we have seen an improvement in survey data for businesses and individuals. The ISM manufacturing index returned to a recent multiyear high and the majority of regional PMIs are also pointing to strength ahead. From the consumer side, the Conference Board's measure of consumer confidence jumped 5.5 points to 94.5 and University of Michigan consumer sentiment ticked up to 89.4 as well in November.
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