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Forex Weekly Fundamental Reports

Fundamental analysis refers to the study of the core underlying elements that influence the economy of a particular entity. It is a method of study that attempts to predict price action and market trends by analyzing economic indicators, government policy and societal factors (to name just a few elements) within a business cycle framework. For forex traders, the fundamentals are everything that makes a country tick. From interest rates and central bank policy to natural disasters, the fundamentals are a dynamic mix of distinct plans, erratic behaviors and unforeseen events. Therefore, it is best to get a handle on the most influential contributors to this diverse mix than it is to formulate a comprehensive list of all "The Forex Fundamentals."



Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Wells Fargo Securities | Aug 29 15 08:44 GMT
It was a week that kept everyone on pins and needles. Recent Chinese news, including an unexpected yuan devaluation and a soft manufacturing survey, contributed to the most volatile week for equity markets since the U.S. Treasury debt downgrade in 2011. Oil prices fell below the psychological level of $40 per barrel and the U.S. Treasury yield touched 2 percent. By the end of the week, the release of solid economic data out of the U.S. and some communication from the Federal Reserve on the expected timing of the rate hike helped assuage some of the market jitters.
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The Weekly Bottom Line Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by TD Bank Financial Group | Aug 29 15 08:32 GMT
This week's events served as a reminder of how quickly sentiment can turn. While wild market gyrations made headlines every day, the mood became more upbeat in the latter part of the week. Investors took comfort in comments by N.Y. Fed president Dudley regarding the timing of the rate liftoff, as well as a slew of positive U.S. economic data. The week started off with another rout in Chinese equity markets, which pulled the Shanghai Composite down by 8.5% on Monday. Mounting concerns about the health of Chinese economy and its implications on global growth weighed heavily on investors' sentiment, with the selloff spreading to global markets, with both equities and commodities tumbling. Following another disappointing trading session on Tuesday, the PBOC moved in with a slew of fresh monetary stimulus measures, cutting by 25 bps the benchmark lending and savings rates and trimming the banks' reserve requirement ratio by 50bps. These new measures brought modest respite to the struggling mainland markets, which remain some 40% off their June peaks, and should help lift China's economic growth slightly over the near term.
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AUDUSD Gears up for a Big Week Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Forex.com | Aug 29 15 08:26 GMT
It's going to be another massive week for AUDUSD, with a monetary policy meeting in Australia and important economic data out of China, the US and Australia, all while the market keeps one eye on conditions in China. At the beginning of last week AUDUSD was mauled by bears as investors fled the risky aussie for the safe haven status of the US dollar, sparked by extremely volatile conditions in China's stock markets. The Shanghai Composite dropped 8.5% on Monday and then 7.6% on Tuesday, adding to earlier losses for a total fall of around 22% in a four-day period, pushing the index into negative territory for the year.
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Week Ahead in FX: China Indecision Could Delay Fed Rate Hike Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Aug 29 15 08:18 GMT
Chinese officials learnt a big lesson on the speed of market reactions this week. The Chinese government miscalculated the effect of not announcing expected stimulus measures over the weekend and instead put forth a pension plan investment reform. The losses in capital markets going into the weekend had pressured the government into quick action. The devaluation of the Yuan had put the government in the driver's seat only to be taught that as intervention was needed making a firm and bold statement is the way to go.
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Weekly Focus: China and Oil Prices are Key in the Short Term Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Danske Bank | Aug 29 15 08:15 GMT
In the US, there is a heavy agenda, with the Jackson Hole Symposium running over this weekend and major economic releases during the week. In terms of US data, we estimate that job growth slowed to a still-solid 205,000 in August from a growth rate of 235,000 on average over the past three months. We expect the manufacturing ISM to decline from 52.7 to 52.2, while the non-manufacturing ISM should fall back to 57.8 in August, from an elevated 60.3 in July. In the euro area, the main event next week is the ECB meeting. We expect Mario Draghi to sound dovish, emphasising the open-endedness of the QE programme and that the ECB is ready to use all available instruments if needed. We do not expect the ECB to deliver further easing in September.
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Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Wells Fargo Securities | Aug 22 15 05:12 GMT
The week got off to a shaky start on Monday with the release of the New York Fed's Empire State Manufacturing Index. The first look at the factory sector in August showed activity in New York state slowing sharply. The Empire State index fell 19 points to -14.9, the worst reading since early 2009. Regional purchasing managers' indices can certainly be noisy on a monthly basis, but the plunge raised concerns about further weakness in the manufacturing sector given ongoing sluggish growth overseas and a still-strong dollar. The Philadelphia Fed survey released later in the week suggested that the New York survey was likely more noise than signal. The Philly Fed survey showed activity just a few hours south actually expanding at a faster pace over the month. Taken together, it appears the factory sector has remained sluggish in recent weeks, but we doubt activity is imploding as the Empire Survey would indicate, particularly as respondents from both regions reported better expectations for the months ahead.
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The Weekly Bottom Line Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by TD Bank Financial Group | Aug 22 15 04:57 GMT
It was another turbulent week in global financial markets, as uncertainty surrounding the timing of the first Fed rate hike, weak Chinese macro data, and increased equity market volatility weighed heavily on investor confidence. With risk-off sentiment prevailing, U.S. equities ended the week on the back foot, with the S&P 500 and DJ30 down 5.0% and 5.1%, respectively, at the time of writing. Base metal and energy commodities also came under pressure. Declines were skewed towards the energy space though, as renewed concerns about China's slowdown and a bearish oil inventory report pushed the price of the U.S. benchmark down to $40.
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What's up with the Dollar? Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Forex.com | Aug 22 15 04:47 GMT
The dollar was once considered a safe-haven; however, during the recent bout of market panic, when stock markets like the Dax have had their biggest weekly decline since September 2011, the buck has had a torrid time versus other G10 currencies. We should add a caveat here. There has been a vast contrast between the performances of the dollar versus EM currencies, some of which have fallen to fresh record lows vs. the greenback, and the performance of the buck vs. the G10. For this piece, we will focus on the G10 space, as the selloff in the EM FX sphere is fairly easy to understand.
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Weekly Focus: Emerging Markets Stress Intensifies Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Danske Bank | Aug 22 15 04:38 GMT
The scale of the current emerging market crisis is wider than the EM scares in 2013 and 2014 and hence a real cause for concern. Weak Chinese data add to depreciation pressure on CNY and it is too early to call the bottom for emerging market currencies. Uncertainty and continued decline in commodity prices is expected to keep the downward pressure on bond yields intact in the short term.
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Weekly Wrap: PBoC Likely To Dominate Sentiment Again This Week Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by ThinkForex | Aug 17 15 00:53 GMT
Excluding the Japanese Yen there were no significant changes from the large speculators in Friday's CFTC report. However this data may not fully reflect JPY positioning as it misses out positions from Wednesday, which was the 2nd successive day of Yuan devaluation, so we could see JPY saw inflows from speculators at the height of uncertainty.
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