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Forex Weekly Fundamental Reports

Fundamental analysis refers to the study of the core underlying elements that influence the economy of a particular entity. It is a method of study that attempts to predict price action and market trends by analyzing economic indicators, government policy and societal factors (to name just a few elements) within a business cycle framework. For forex traders, the fundamentals are everything that makes a country tick. From interest rates and central bank policy to natural disasters, the fundamentals are a dynamic mix of distinct plans, erratic behaviors and unforeseen events. Therefore, it is best to get a handle on the most influential contributors to this diverse mix than it is to formulate a comprehensive list of all "The Forex Fundamentals."



Weekly Wrap: FOMC And Greece Could Make This A Week To Remember Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by ThinkForex | Jul 06 15 02:51 GMT
Nonfarm data last Thursday was, well, not too bad, not too great. NFP fell slightly short of the 231k consensus at 223k but not too bad as long as it remains above the 200k mark. Unemployment fell further to 5.3% whilst average hourly earnings (wage inflation) remained flat at 0%. When you consider that last month's 2.3% print was the highest since 2011 then to retain this level of momentum is in fact a good thing. JOLTS job openings, Yellen's favourite, will be in trader's radars but the highlight will almost certainly be the FOMC minutes. I retain the view that FED will keep rates on hold this year, which is even more likely with the current turmoil surrounding Grece and the Eurozone.
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Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Wells Fargo Securities | Jul 03 15 15:11 GMT
The labor market made further strides in June, with employers adding 223,000 jobs over the month and the unemployment rate fell to a new cycle low of 5.3 percent. While job gains were nearly in line with expectations and still indicate a strong pace of hiring, details were somewhat disappointing. First, job growth in April and May was revised lower by a total of 60,000 jobs. Second, the decline in the unemployment rate came amid a sizeable drop in the labor force, which brought the labor force participation rate down 0.3 percentage points to a new cycle low of 62.6 percent. The participation rate had shown nascent signs of stabilizing over the past year, making it unclear whether June's drop is part of normal volatility in the household survey, or the continuation of the downward trend that has dominated over the course of the expansion.
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The Weekly Bottom Line Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by TD Bank Financial Group | Jul 03 15 14:57 GMT
All eyes were on international developments this week. With the Shanghai A-share Index falling 21.5% since June 12th and with the pace of economic growth remaining tepid in China, authorities sought to boost sentiment by cutting interest rates and reserve requirements for select banks. It appears that the downward slide has slowed for now. The market's primary focus was centered on Greece however. Last Friday, Prime Minister Tsipras announced a referendum for Sunday July 5th, asking Greeks if they would accept the terms of the last bailout plan offered by euro area creditors. With the current Greek bailout extension expiring on Tuesday June 30th, Tsipras also asked his European partners to extend the bailout agreement until after the referendum took place, a demand that was swiftly rebuked.
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Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Wells Fargo Securities | Jun 28 15 05:17 GMT
First-quarter real GDP growth was revised up to show a decline of 0.2 percent in the third estimate from the previously reported 0.7 percent decline. Although a negative real GDP figure appears ominous, we suspect the reported weakness is overstated due to statistical noise. Recent research by the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (FRBSF) highlights an "unusual pattern" in recent years where first-quarter real GDP growth has been lower than later quarters (Rudebusch, Wilson and Mahedy, 2015).
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The Weekly Bottom Line Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by TD Bank Financial Group | Jun 28 15 04:19 GMT
Investor attention this week was once again focused on Europe, where the long-running standoff between creditors and the Greek government continued. Equity markets were elated early in the week as a deal appeared imminent, only to be disappointed once again with the lack of progress that has persistently plagued the negotiations. Still, the continuing Greek drama has so far been largely a non-event as far as currency markets are concerned. The euro remained range bound, ending lower on the week, while the dollar was supported by a slew of positive economic reports. The stronger greenback weighed on oil prices, which were also pressured lower by expectations of a bottoming in U.S. oil rig count.
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The US Economy Shows Signs it is Rising from the Ashes Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Forex.com | Jun 28 15 04:12 GMT
The latest economic data is showing some clear signs that the US economy could be roaring back to life after a weather- inspired slowdown in the first quarter. The list of positive data surprises last week included: consumer confidence - it rose to its highest level since April, an upward revision to Q1 GDP, and a spate of extremely strong housing market data, some economists now expect new home sales in the US to reach their highest level since before the 2007/2008 financial crisis. This helped to reignite the rally in the buck that had lost steam in recent weeks. The USD appreciated against all G10 currencies, and had some stand-out gains vs. the EUR, Swiss franc and Aussie dollar. So where will the buck go next?
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Week Ahead in FX: Greek Crisis Hangs Over Financial Markets Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Jun 28 15 03:41 GMT
Another week in the forex markets and another Greece-Europe deal hangs in the balance. The schedule for next week is packed with indicator releases from all corners of the globe. When Monday's market open comes, there will be a final answer to the question if a Greek debt agreement has been reached, or if the latest domino on the Grexit has fallen.
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Weekly Wrap: 22nd June 2015 Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by ThinkForex | Jun 22 15 03:08 GMT
US Dollar: Further reduction of USD bullish bets, with the removal of 9k contracts, saw open interest also lower. No noticeable short interest has occurred which paints a bullish bias. Price appears to be forming a Bullish Wedge with potential to stall above 93, before reversing and targeting the 98 highs. Final GDP on Wednesday leaves potential for bullish bets to return to the table if revised up from 0.2%.
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Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Wells Fargo Securities | Jun 20 15 03:23 GMT
After the June FOMC meeting, the Fed still looks set to raise the fed funds rate this year. Forward guidance was left unchanged, while the current assessment of the U.S. economy improved. Although the Fed lowered its GDP forecast for 2015, it left its 2016 and 2017 forecasts largely the same. The Fed's own projections for the fed funds rate imply 50 bps of tightening by the end of the year, but there is still some uncertainty for a September rate hike. The Fed will need to see more improvement in the labor market and be "reasonably confident" that inflation will move toward to its 2 percent target. We expect that the Fed will see both of these trends and raise rates twice this year, with 25 basis points moves in September and December.
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The Weekly Bottom Line Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by TD Bank Financial Group | Jun 20 15 03:03 GMT
Two key questions currently shape the financial outlook: will the Fed raise interest rates this year? And, will the Greek government get a deal with their creditors to avoid default? Both questions were front and center in the news this week. Answers, unfortunately, were harder to come by. In Europe, talks between euro area finance ministers and Greece failed to arrive at a solution. As a result, another emergency summit of European leaders was announced for this coming Monday. It is difficult to call the outcome of this ongoing Greek saga. What we do know is that the window to strike a deal is narrowing. On June 30th a bundled payment to the IMF is due. If the Greeks are to make that payment, a deal must be agreed to in time to be passed by euro area parliaments.
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