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Forex Weekly Fundamental Reports

Fundamental analysis refers to the study of the core underlying elements that influence the economy of a particular entity. It is a method of study that attempts to predict price action and market trends by analyzing economic indicators, government policy and societal factors (to name just a few elements) within a business cycle framework. For forex traders, the fundamentals are everything that makes a country tick. From interest rates and central bank policy to natural disasters, the fundamentals are a dynamic mix of distinct plans, erratic behaviors and unforeseen events. Therefore, it is best to get a handle on the most influential contributors to this diverse mix than it is to formulate a comprehensive list of all "The Forex Fundamentals."



Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Wells Fargo Securities | Sep 24 16 03:50 GMT
Housing market indicators released this week came in largely below the consensus estimates for August. Housing starts fell 5.8 percent in August to an annualized rate of 1.14 million units after averaging over 1.2 million units in the previous two months. Despite the August drop, we are comfortable with the trend in the housing recovery. New home building has averaged a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.16 million units in 2016. Moreover, single-family home building appears to be gaining momentum as apartment development levels off. Permits for future home construction were down slightly in August, although the decline was in multifamily permits. Single-family building permits rose 3.7 percent on the month which suggests solid single-family starts in coming months. More single-family homebuilding should be a welcomed relief to homebuyers. The inventory of pre-owned housing available for sale in the U.S. remains painfully short, with only a 4.6-month supply. Tight inventory likely played a large role in the unexpected 0.9 percent drop in existing home sales in August. Sales of single-family homes were behind the soft reading as they declined 2.3 percent. Homebuyers are likely finding it difficult to find an affordable home as the inventory of homes for sale shrank 10.1 percent over the past year, while the median price of a sold home rose 5.1 percent.
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The Weekly Bottom Line Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by TD Bank Financial Group | Sep 24 16 03:11 GMT
This week has been rather an exhilarating one in financial markets. Alongside some weak data on domestic housing activity, investors were treated to two major central bank announcements midweek. The Bank of Japan was up first, tweaking its stimulative toolkit in a bid to better its odds in the long-running fight against the deflationary mindset. The Fed decision came later in the New York trading day, with officials releasing updated economic projections alongside the highly anticipated policy statement. After the dust settled, the dollar was broadly lower alongside long-term yields, while equities rallied as a result of the central bank action.
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Week Ahead Central Bank Patience Left Unanswered Questions for Markets Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Sep 24 16 03:03 GMT
The USD is mixed against major currencies after a week filled with central banks statements but little action. The Bank of Japan (BOJ) and the U.S. Federal Reserve published their respective rate statements less than 24 hours between them. The status quo was maintained with very little in way of changes to monetary policy. Markets were for the most part prepared for the cautious approach from monetary policy makers. The BoJ was under more pressure and has now desisted on a 2 year goal for its inflation target. The Fed seems to once again be putting all its policy eggs in the December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) basket.
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Weekly Focus: Important Data Releases for Fed and ECB Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Danske Bank | Sep 23 16 15:06 GMT
Political uncertainty, monetary/fiscal policies and the economic cycle will be the driving market forces in the autumn. Most US observers appear convinced that Clinton will win the election; we expect elevated political uncertainty will prevail on both sides of the Atlantic. Major central banks will maintain an ultra-loose policy stance while the cycle is heading lower led by the US. Global interest rates to stay low; the USD to weaken medium term.
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Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Wells Fargo Securities | Sep 17 16 03:25 GMT
Extinguishing the flame that was lit in recent months, readings from the torrent of key U.S. economic data during the week dampened hope for a pickup in momentum in Q3. August releases of retail sales and industrial production came in weaker than expected. Retail sales fell 0.3 percent in August, with auto sales, building materials, health stores, gasoline stations, recreation, miscellaneous and non-store retailers all contracting from the headline figure. The dip in non-store retailers, which comprise of online sales and fuel dealers, was somewhat surprising. However, weakness in the online sales component could be payback from the boost due to Amazon Prime Day in July (the overall result was dampened by slow fuel dealer sales).
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The Weekly Bottom Line Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by TD Bank Financial Group | Sep 17 16 03:02 GMT
In the lead-up to next week's FOMC meeting, market action this week was dominated not only by speculation of whether the Fed would raise rates, but also concerns that maybe, just maybe, longer-term global interest rates have finally troughed. Markets gyrated the most we've seen since Brexit this week, driven by rumours of a forthcoming reverse Operation Twist by the Bank of Japan next Tuesday and somewhat contradictory Fed-speak, as hawkish speeches by Presidents Rosengren (Boston) and Lockhart (Atlanta) were countered by a dovish speech by Fed Governor Brainard .
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Market Review & Outlook: All Eyes on the Fed/BoJ Interplay Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Forex.com | Sep 17 16 02:55 GMT
The past few weeks have seen exceptional back-and-forth speculation over the possibility of the US Federal Reserve raising interest rates next week for the second time in over ten years. While the likelihood of this occurring remains low, at least from the markets' perspective, key Fed speakers and major US economic data releases have alternately shifted the discussion from one side to another, often moving financial markets abruptly along the way.
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Week Ahead USD Rises After US Inflation Boost Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Sep 17 16 02:42 GMT
The USD rose across the board on Friday, September 16 after August's consumer prices advanced 0.2 percent beating expectations. The core consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.3 percent ahead of a 0.2 percent forecast. The USD had taken a hit on Thursday after retail sales were lower than anticipated but managed to turn the corner as consumer prices climbed giving food for thought to the members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) at the data dependent U.S. Federal Reserve.
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Weekly Focus: Soft Data Will Keep Fed on Hold Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Danske Bank | Sep 16 16 14:07 GMT
In the US, the FOMC meeting is the main event. In our view, the Fed will not raise the federal funds target range this year, in light of sluggish growth and continued labour market slack. We expect Markit manufacturing PMI to confirm this picture. In Japan, we do not expect the Bank of Japan to ease monetary policy at next week's meeting but we expect it to abandon calendar-based communications and instead pursue 2% inflation 'at the earliest possible stage'.
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Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Wells Fargo Securities | Sep 10 16 09:13 GMT
It was a very light week for economic data but there were still disappointments to be found in the economic releases. The biggest surprise came from the Institute for Supply Management's (ISM) August non-manufacturing survey, which showed the largest pullback in the measure since late 2008. Other economic data this week were not as disappointing with initial jobless claims remaining at a very low level and the number of job openings rising to a new record level. Wholesale inventories in July showed that the pace of inventory building remained unchanged to begin the third quarter. Our team also released our September Monthly Economic Outlook which included our forecast through 2018 (see the Topic of the Week on page 7 for more).
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