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Forex Weekly Fundamental Reports

Fundamental analysis refers to the study of the core underlying elements that influence the economy of a particular entity. It is a method of study that attempts to predict price action and market trends by analyzing economic indicators, government policy and societal factors (to name just a few elements) within a business cycle framework. For forex traders, the fundamentals are everything that makes a country tick. From interest rates and central bank policy to natural disasters, the fundamentals are a dynamic mix of distinct plans, erratic behaviors and unforeseen events. Therefore, it is best to get a handle on the most influential contributors to this diverse mix than it is to formulate a comprehensive list of all "The Forex Fundamentals."



Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Wells Fargo Securities | May 28 16 08:51 GMT
Although the first quarter is now firmly in the rear view mirror, growth is reported to have been stronger than it initially appeared. GDP in the first quarter is now estimated to have risen at a 0.8 percent annualized pace compared to the previous estimate of 0.5 percent. The more flattering picture of Q1 activity was driven by slightly stronger residential investment and smaller drags from inventories and net exports. Second quarter GDP still looks poised to strengthen. The advance report on trade showed the goods deficit widening less than expected in April, which suggests a smaller drag from net exports than previously anticipated.
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The Weekly Bottom Line Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by TD Bank Financial Group | May 28 16 08:38 GMT
Markets have kicked this week off in good spirits with sentiment boosted by positive U.S. housing data, a rise in oil prices, and news that Greece struck a deal with its creditors. Several Fed speeches were also on the docket, largely maintaining the recent hawkish undertones. While trading volumes have thinned ahead of the long weekend, sentiment was still upbeat today, with any remaining traders likely doing so in anticipation of potential monetary policy clues from Chair Yellen's remarks early this afternoon.
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Fundamental Recap: Brexit Risk Should Derail Fed Rate Hike in June Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Forex.com | May 28 16 08:30 GMT
US Federal Reserve members have repeatedly voiced concerns over the risk of a potential UK exit from the European Union, or "Brexit." Most recently, Fed Governor and voting FOMC member, Jerome Powell, alluded to the upcoming EU referendum in a speech on Thursday. While Powell reinforced the Fed's recent hawkish turn, stating that a rate hike should be appropriate "fairly soon," he also mentioned that the EU referendum remained a significant concern.
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Weekly Focus: US Domestic Economy Picks Up Speed Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Danske Bank | May 28 16 08:23 GMT
In the US, we have a heavy calendar next week with many important data releases. Most importantly, the labour market report for May is due out on Friday, which might be pivotal to the market's pricing of a potential summer hike from the Fed. We estimate non-farm payrolls increased by 160,000 in May. Moreover, we estimate that the unemployment rate declined to 4.9% and that average hourly earnings increased by 0.2% m/m, implying a wage inflation rate of 2.5% y/y.
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Week Ahead in FX: ECB, OPEC and US Employment to Drive Market Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | May 28 16 02:21 GMT
The U.S. Memorial Day weekend will shorten the trading week and compress employment releases in a week that is already filled with major events. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) will meet in Vienna on Thursday and that day the European Central Bank (ECB) will publish its rate statement and forecasts. The U.S. will release its employment indicators as well as manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMIs in a week that could make or break the possibility of a June Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting interest rate hike.
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The Week Ahead: Big Week Ahead For The Majors Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by ThinkForex | May 27 16 06:15 GMT
Next week could provide a host of tradable opportunities from PMI, inflation, consumer and growth data across the majors. ECB are the only central bank with a rate decision but a lot of this week's data could shape pending central bank decisions in the coming weeks.
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Weekly Focus: Waiting for a Signal Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Danske Bank | May 20 16 16:22 GMT
Risk markets will continue to be challenged by uncertainties over growth and the Fed's outlook. The Fed is rattling its sabre and yields are set to move higher in coming quarters. More downside in EUR/USD short term on looming Fed hike. Metal prices and EM assets in temporary correction.
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Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Wells Fargo Securities | May 14 16 03:46 GMT
We released our revised GDP forecast this week after last week's labor report. We are expecting GDP to grow at a 1.4 percent annual rate in the second quarter and 1.6 percent in the year as a whole, given the slower start to the year. We still expect two rate hikes in 2016, but we expect the next move to be in September rather than June. The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) results for March showed a solid increase in job openings while hiring edged lower, signaling continued demand for labor and that the job creation rate will likely rebound from the slowdown in April (top chart). More workers quit their jobs in March, hinting increased confidence in finding another job which bodes well for future wage increases. More small businesses reported job openings and hiring plans in April, according to the NFIB optimism survey. Small business optimism improved in April, after three months of index declines, but owners remain uncertain about future economic conditions as they struggle with limited pricing power and rising labor costs. However, more small businesses expect to increase hiring but increasingly cite difficulty finding qualified workers as a top concern.
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The Weekly Bottom Line Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by TD Bank Financial Group | May 14 16 03:22 GMT
The death of the American consumer has been greatly exaggerated. Retail sales kicked off the second quarter with a bang, rising a whopping 1.3% in April. A rebound in auto sales and higher energy prices contributed to the blockbuster gain, but the strength was more widespread. Core sales, excluding autos and gasoline stations, also jumped a strong 0.6%. On a three month annualized basis, core retail sales were up over 6% through April. A return to more robust spending growth after a poor start to the year has been a recurring trend. This weakness has every year invited doubts as to the resilience of the American economy, but every year, the economy has bounced back. We expect this to be the case this year as well. The strong gain in April positions consumer spending to re-accelerate to above 3.0% in the second quarter, enough to lift GDP growth back above the 2.0% mark.
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Fundamental Recap: As Brexit Vote Draws Closer, GBP/USD Could Get Pounded Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Forex.com | May 14 16 03:12 GMT
With less than six weeks left to go before the UK holds its June 23 referendum to vote on whether or not it remains in the European Union, concerns have begun to escalate over the potentially dire economic consequences that may result in the event of an actual "Brexit." These concerns were further compounded this past week when the Bank of England (BoE) issued its monetary policy and inflation reports on Thursday. Although the central bank kept interest rates unchanged at a record low 0.5%, as widely expected, the most compelling aspect of its statements was a grave and forceful warning that a UK exit of the EU would cause substantial harm to the economy and currency. Though many such warnings have surfaced in the months leading up to the June referendum, the BoE's admonition was particularly compelling.
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