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Forex Weekly Fundamental Reports

Fundamental analysis refers to the study of the core underlying elements that influence the economy of a particular entity. It is a method of study that attempts to predict price action and market trends by analyzing economic indicators, government policy and societal factors (to name just a few elements) within a business cycle framework. For forex traders, the fundamentals are everything that makes a country tick. From interest rates and central bank policy to natural disasters, the fundamentals are a dynamic mix of distinct plans, erratic behaviors and unforeseen events. Therefore, it is best to get a handle on the most influential contributors to this diverse mix than it is to formulate a comprehensive list of all "The Forex Fundamentals."



Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Wells Fargo Securities | Aug 20 16 03:58 GMT
Although the week was not short on key U.S. economic data or Fed speak, market participants are still confounded on the Fed's next policy move. Slack is diminishing and monthly indicators suggest economic activity is gaining momentum, a stage in the cycle that should warrant consensus from Fed officials on normalizing the target rate. That said, the Fed is divided on next steps as inflation remains stubbornly below the explicit target and the real fed funds rate is modestly below the real neutral rate (as explained by Chair Yellen, it is the "federal funds rate that would be neither expansionary nor contractionary if the economy was operating near potential," June 6, 2016), suggesting that monetary policy should be accommodative.
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The Weekly Bottom Line Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by TD Bank Financial Group | Aug 20 16 03:42 GMT
The recent week offered ample economic data, both domestic and international, to gauge the strength of the global economic recovery. Helping frame the discussion on both sides of the Atlantic was a bounty of central bank communications. The generally dovish rhetoric from major central banks, including the Fed, has supported global equities which also got a lift from the surge in oil prices related to anticipated action from OPEC next month.
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Directionless Fed Confounds Markets Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Forex.com | Aug 20 16 03:37 GMT
Market action this past week was dominated early in the week by mixed expectations regarding the Fed's monetary policy stance ahead of Wednesday's release of July's FOMC minutes, and then by even more mixed opinions and conflicted speculation after the release. The Fed's policy talk worsened the confusion throughout the week - from the highly-dissected public statements by key Fed members to the actual release of the FOMC minutes.
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Week Ahead USD on Retreat Ahead of Central Bank Summit Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Aug 20 16 03:30 GMT
The U.S. dollar has depreciated across the board after mixed comments from Fed members and the release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) July minutes showed that even though some members are in favor of a rate hike, they are a minority. The market is pricing the probability of a rate hike at 18 percent in September according to the CME FedWatch tool.
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Weekly Focus: All Eyes on Jackson Hole Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Danske Bank | Aug 19 16 16:04 GMT
Risk sentiment has been supported by positive macro momentum, lower tail risks and monetary easing. We see more upside potential for now but, in our view, too high earnings expectations and a potential loss of macro momentum loom. Bonds are still supported by QE. We expect EUR/USD to be range bound in coming months before moving higher.
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Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Wells Fargo Securities | Aug 13 16 04:57 GMT
Productivity growth has been quite dismal in the current economic cycle. As the key determinant of a prosperous economy, the exceptionally weak trend in productivity does not bode well for the long-term economic outlook, but does support hiring and income gains in the short term. Output per worker hour declined for the third straight quarter, falling 0.5 percent in the second quarter and 0.4 percent on a yearly basis. Sluggish productivity growth and the tightening labor market are putting pressure on costs, with unit labor costs rising 2 percent in Q2.
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The Weekly Bottom Line Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by TD Bank Financial Group | Aug 13 16 04:42 GMT
U.S. stock markets reached new highs this week, with the S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq all breaking records, but the economic data has been disappointing. Labor productivity declined for the third consecutive quarter in Q2, while this morning's flat July retail sales report suggested consumer spending slowed at the start of the third quarter, with personal consumption expenditures on pace to grow by 3.0% during Q3. While this is not unhealthy growth, it is nonetheless a significant slowdown from the robust second quarter pace of 4.2%, and suggests less support for third quarter GDP growth - currently tracking below 3% after mere 1% growth in the first half of the year.
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Week Ahead Fed Minutes to Guide USD After Retail Sales Flop Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by MarketPulse | Aug 12 16 16:14 GMT
Central bank credibility is bruised as markets do not seem to follow the guidance from policy makers. The latest example was the rate cut and dovish rhetoric by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). The central bank cut rates by 25 basis points and made strong comments about the negative effects of the overvalued NZD with a promise to favour further easing down the line. Investors were anticipating a bolder rate cut than the one that left the benchmark interest rate at an all time low of 2.00 percent and the currency appreciated which ran counter to what the RNBZ wanted. The European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) have had similar surprises from market reactions to their monetary policy announcements. The Bank of England (BoE) managed to convince the market when it cut rates earlier in August and went above expectations on its quantitative easing program but with rising headwinds it is unclear if they can keep the trust of the market for long.
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Weekly Focus: Sluggish Global Growth But Fewer Tail Risks Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Danske Bank | Aug 12 16 16:11 GMT
Risk sentiment has been supported by positive macro momentum, lower tail risks and monetary easing. We see more upside for now but too-high earnings expectations and a potential loss of macro momentum are looming. Bonds are still supported by QE. We expect EUR/USD to be range bound in coming months before moving higher.
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Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary Print E-mail
Weekly Forex Fundamentals | Written by Wells Fargo Securities | Aug 06 16 04:03 GMT
Despite a dismal Q2 real GDP reading, the jump in nonfarm payrolls in July and upward revisions to previous months' data suggest the overall economy has not lost any steam. Coming in much better than expected, nonfarm payrolls rose by 255,000 jobs, with the unemployment rate unchanged at 4.9 percent. With upward revisions to May and June, the three-month moving average is now at 190,000 jobs. Gains were broad-based including construction, which posted a positive reading following three straight months of declines.
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