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Fundamental analysis refers to the study of the core underlying elements that influence the economy of a particular entity. It is a method of study that attempts to predict price action and market trends by analyzing economic indicators, government policy and societal factors (to name just a few elements) within a business cycle framework. For forex traders, the fundamentals are everything that makes a country tick. From interest rates and central bank policy to natural disasters, the fundamentals are a dynamic mix of distinct plans, erratic behaviors and unforeseen events. Therefore, it is best to get a handle on the most influential contributors to this diverse mix than it is to formulate a comprehensive list of all "The Forex Fundamentals."
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Weekly Forex Fundamentals |
Written by FXTimes |
Mar 23 12 16:47 GMT
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This week was mainly characterized by a shift in sentiment as we went from generally mild risk positive tone to one in which investors showed renewed worries around global growth expectations with data from China and Europe disappointing.
The result was a flight from higher yielding commodity linked currencies like the AUD and NZD - which are closely linked to demand from China - and then the CAD as it posted a much weaker retail sales report which undermined the fundamental picture for that economy. The key benefactor was the JPY which manged to pare some of the gains seen by commodity currencies during March. But the USD, EUR, and GBP all strengthened against the commodity currencies as well. We did have some pullback to this risk theme in Friday, but likely more a bout of profit taking than the end of the dynamics we have seen this week.
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Weekly Forex Fundamentals |
Written by Danske Bank |
Mar 23 12 14:46 GMT
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Chinese HSBC and euro area PMIs disappointed causing concern that the fragile global recovery could derail.
US housing data signalled that the recovery in the housing market is still intact but very uneven.
Initial jobless claims fell 5,000, implying that only 348,000 persons signed up for unemployment benefits, which is the lowest level in four years.
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Weekly Forex Fundamentals |
Written by TD Bank Financial Group |
Mar 16 12 19:58 GMT
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Statements by the Federal Open Market Committee usually move markets. This week was no exception. While the Fed signaled no material change in policy – it maintained its commitment to keep interest rates exceptionally low and announced no new asset purchases – Tuesday's statement fueled risk taking in equity markets and a corresponding sell-off in Treasuries. On Thursday, the S&P 500 closed above 1400 for the first time since June 2008. As of writing, yields on 10-year Treasury notes had risen 27 basis points since Monday, and are currently hovering around levels not seen since last October.
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Weekly Forex Fundamentals |
Written by Wells Fargo Securities |
Mar 16 12 18:19 GMT
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As March Mayhem arrives in the sports world, investors found much to be happy about with many of this week's economic releases. Retail sales improved for the second straight month thanks to a stronger labor market, rising consumer confidence and unseasonably warm weather across much of the country. Regional manufacturing indices also improved, while import and producer price growth slowed. However, Friday's reports tempered the enthusiasm as industrial production was unchanged, rising gas prices led to the biggest increase in consumer prices in 10 months, and consumer sentiment slipped.
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Weekly Forex Fundamentals |
Written by Forex.com |
Mar 16 12 18:05 GMT
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This week U.S. Treasury yields broke out of their ranges and rocketed higher. 10-year yields rose nearly 28bps since Monday and advanced above the 200-day sma for the first time since July to reach current levels of around 2.31%. U.S. equity markets rallied significantly as well this week with the S&P 500 closing above 1400 for the first time since 2008 while the Dow Jones Industrial Average traded at levels that have not been seen since 2007. At the same time, the USD gained against its major counterparts most notably against the Japanese yen.
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Weekly Forex Fundamentals |
Written by Danske Bank |
Mar 16 12 15:45 GMT
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With the Greek debt swap in place, focus could return to the remainder of the eurozone. The Eurogroup and ECOFIN meeting did not attract market attention.
The FOMC meeting on Tuesday provided no major shocks, keeping the 2014 rate guidance, and announcing no new balance sheet initiatives.
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Weekly Forex Fundamentals |
Written by Investica |
Mar 12 12 02:56 GMT
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The dollar will look to gain momentum from Friday’s payroll data and the path of least resistance is a slightly firmer US currency but substantial gains are likely to be effectively blocked by the Federal Reserve. There are three central bank meetings during the coming week and all three currency areas will continue their policies of trying to avoid being the international safe-haven currency of choice.
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Weekly Forex Fundamentals |
Written by Wells Fargo Securities |
Mar 10 12 13:13 GMT
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This week's economic indicators continued to signal a moderate pace of economic activity. The big headline for the week was the employment report, which showed the labor market added 227,000 jobs in February and the unemployment rate unchanged at 8.3 percent. The print was slightly better than consensus estimates and the previous month's job gain was revised higher to 284,000. While February's reading showed a slight pullback, we are still seeing consistent signs of firming in the labor market. To be sure, the private sector added 233,000 jobs with the largest gains in manufacturing, education and health and leisure and hospitality.
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Weekly Forex Fundamentals |
Written by Forex.com |
Mar 10 12 06:54 GMT
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The debt deal agreed by Greece and its private sector bond holders to wipe EUR 100 billion from its enormous debt pile was an historic move: the largest sovereign debt restructuring in history. This is the latest piece of the jigsaw to try and solve the sovereign debt crisis, but the market's response suggests that the saga does not end here.
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Weekly Forex Fundamentals |
Written by TD Bank Financial Group |
Mar 09 12 20:10 GMT
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This was arguably the most turbulent week in financial markets so far this year. On Tuesday, the S&P 500 declined 1.5% as asset managers worried about the prospects of slowing global growth. Investors, however, quickly turned their attention to the more uplifting news of a successful debt swap agreement in Greece and a strong February U.S. jobs report. As of 12pm on Friday, the S&P500 was poised to end the week up 0.3%.
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