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Nonfarm Payroll Data Weak, But Dollar Buttresed by Weakness in Other Currencies Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals |  Written by CMS Forex |  Sep 05 08 23:10 GMT | 

Nonfarm Payroll Data Weak, But Dollar Buttresed by Weakness in Other Currencies

JPN Capital Spending Down 6.5% in 2nd Quarter

In Japan, capital spending took another sharp tumble in the 2nd quarter falling 6.5%, far below expectations of a small increase. Weaker demand from home and abroad combined with record energy and material costs reduced the willingness of companies to spend. The data factors into GDP, and will likely cause 2nd quarter GDP to be revised down from its preliminary estimate of -0.6%.

AUD/JPY - Aussie Slides to 2-Year Low vs Yen

The Yen strengthened against the Aussie last night as declines in US stocks prompted traders to sell higher-yielding assets financed with Japan's currency. The Aussie-Yen pair hit a 2-year low when it tested support near 85.00. That level was about 560 pips lower than yesterday's high. Commodity prices continued to decline as demand weakens with economies around the world slowing.

GER Industrial Production Down 1.8% in July

In Germany, industrial production undershot forecasts, falling 1.8% in July, increasing the pressure on the economy. Manufacturing orders declined for the 8th straight month, and the business climate remains weak, which will limit production in the coming months.

US Economy Sheds 84K in August

In the US, payrolls fell 84K in August, and July's figure was revised down to show the economy shedding 60K jobs. The unemployment rate jumped to 6.1%, which is the highest since September 2003.

EUR/USD - Euro Hits 11-Month Low Overnight

The Euro-Dollar pair breached 1.42 overnight following the weak German data. That's the lowest the pair has been in nearly one year. The weak US jobs report gave the Euro a boost, but those gains were short lived. For the week, the pair is down more than 400 pips.

USD/JPY - Dollar Falls to 105.50 Before Recovering

The Dollar-Yen pair fell further overnight and tested the 105.50 level after the nonfarm release. Equities in Europe and Asia fell overnight as investors fretted about the global economic outlook and positioned themselves to face index lows for the year. US stocks were lower in the Friday morning session, but staged a rebound, which helped the Dollar recover most of the losses it suffered earlier in the session against the Yen.

CAN Employment Grows by 15.2K in August

The Canadian economy added 15,200 jobs in August, a rebound from last month's sharp decline of 55K. The unemployment rate stayed at 6.1%, when expectations had it rising.

CAN Ivey PMI Falls to 51.5 in August

The Ivey PMI grew at a tepid pace in August, as the index fell from 65.5 to 51.5. It remains above the boom-bust level of 50, but is at its lowest point this year. A breakdown of the data showed that there was an improvement in employment while prices eased.

USD/CAD - Loonie Gains on Canadian Jobs Report

The US Dollar-Canadian Dollar pair fell in favor of the Loonie following the Canadian jobs report. The pair hit support at 1.06 and rose after the Ivey PMI. The pair has had a volatile week, especially after the decision by the Bank of Canada, but at the end of the week it traded close to where it started.

Next Week Upcoming Releases

Early next week the UK will post its producer prices, manufacturing production, and trade balance. The rest of the week includes retail sales data from the US, Australia, New Zealand and the UK.

Capital Market Services, L.L.C.
www.cmsfx.com

©C2004-2005 Globicus International, Inc. and Capital Market Services, L.L.C. Any information in this report is based on data obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but no representations or guarantees are made by Capital Market Services, L.L.C. with regard to the accuracy of the data. The opinions and estimates contained herein constitute our best judgment at this date and time, and are subject to change without notice. Capital Market Services, L.L.C. accepts no responsibility or liability whatsoever for any expense, loss or damages arising out of, or in any way connected with, the use of all or any part of this report. No part of this report may be reproduced or distributed in any manner without the permission of Capital Market Services, L.L.C.


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