EMU Economic Indicators Preview
(Week of 8 to 14 March 2010)
- Output in the German producing sector (January): unchanged or up
- EMU industrial production (January): up

After having plummeted in December, output in the German producing sector is not expected to have decreased again in January. Industrial output is likely to have gone up, as most of the correlated climate indicators improved. Industrial new orders soared in January, but mainly because of bulk orders, which tend to be carried out with delay. However, construction output has declined due to the bad weather.

French, Italian and EMU industrial production will probably have increased in January, because most of the correlated indicators went up.
Following the usual seasonal pattern, the German current account could have suffered a setback in January, contrary to the German trade balance. Italian GDP in Q4 is unlikely to be revised significantly.
Final German consumer prices for February are expected to be revised upwards. On Friday, statistical offices of the Länder revised their preliminary data due to a correction in car insurance premiums.
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