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US Dollar/Japanese Yen Monthly Forecast Print E-mail
Long Term Forecasts |  Written by DailyFX |  Oct 04 08 08:29 GMT | 

US Dollar/Japanese Yen Monthly Forecast

US Dollar/Japanese Yen Long Term Technical Forecast

No change since last month: This is a chart that we have focused on time and time again. A 4th wave triangle (that took 12 years) is complete at 124.13 as a 4th wave and the USDJPY is headed lower in a 5th wave (and terminal thrust) that will end below 81.12. The underside of the lower line of the triangle was tested as resistance at 110.65 last month. This could be the top of corrective wave 2 from 95.72.

US Dollar/Japanese Yen Fundamental Outlook/Interest Rate Forecast

Japanese Yen interest rate expectations have remained relatively unchanged through the past several months of trading, and clear deterioration in US Federal Reserve rate forecasts means that markets predict that the USD-JPY yield differential will shrink by 4 basis points in the year ahead. Yet the Japanese Yen is far more likely to move on developments in global risky asset classes; if we see global equity markets continue to decline, the Japanese Yen will likely continue strengthening against the US Dollar.

Forex Sentiment and Positioning Outlook for the US Dollar/Japanese Yen

Forex Futures data Shows USDJPY May Rally Further Before Noteworthy Declines

DailyFX

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