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Euroland: PMI Warns that the Recovery is Fragile
| | Fundamental Analysis | Jun 23 09 10:52 GMT
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Euroland flash PMI disappointed today as the composite index rose moderately to 44.4 in June from 44.0 in April while consensus had expected an increase to 45.2 and we had anticipated an increase to 4...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Euroland: Ifo Signals that We Are Heading for Better Days
| | Fundamental Analysis | Jun 22 09 11:07 GMT
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The Ifo economic expectations indicator increased sharply for the sixth month in a row to 89.5 in June from 85.9 in April. Consensus had expected an increase to 87.0 and we expected 87.7 The overall I...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Euroland: A Quarter of Foreign Trade has Evaporated
| | Fundamental Analysis | Jun 17 09 14:06 GMT
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Foreign trade data for April was somewhat disappointing, though not a complete surprise. Exports have been in a stabilisation phase since February after having been in freefall. We project that export...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Euroland: ZEW Jumps in line with our 'Outlier' Forecast
| | Fundamental Analysis | Jun 16 09 11:00 GMT
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The ZEW economic expectations indicator increased sharply to 44.8 in June (consensus 35.0) from 31.1 in April. Forecasts from 40 analysts ranged from 25 to 45. We were the outlier on the upside. It is...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Euro-Area Retail Sales Gain 0.2% In April, More Than Expected
| | Fundamental Analysis | Jun 04 09 09:28 GMT
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Retail sales in the Euro-area rose for the first time in seven months in April, following a 0.1% (revised) decrease in the previous month. From one year ago, retail sales are down 2.3%....
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Euro-Area GDP Contracts 2.5% In Q1
| | Fundamental Analysis | Jun 03 09 09:45 GMT
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The Euro-area GDP release showed that the economy contracted 2.5% in the first quarter. Q1 was the fourth consecutive quarter in which the economy contracted....
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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The Euro-Area PPI Drops To The Lowest Level On Record
| | Fundamental Analysis | Jun 03 09 09:19 GMT
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The Euro-area PPI shows that the pace of inflation is dropping at a sustained pace. Producer prices fell 1.0% in April, following a 0.7% drop just one month prior. From one year earlier, the PPI came ...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Euro-Area Final Services PMI Rose To 44.8
| | Fundamental Analysis | Jun 03 09 08:12 GMT
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The service side of the economy in the Euro-area has been in contraction for the last eleven months according to the latest PMI release. However, the released number of 44.8 shows substantial improvem...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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European Unemployment Rate Rises To The Highest Level Since 1999
| | Fundamental Analysis | Jun 02 09 09:31 GMT
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The unemployment rate in the Euro-area continues to rise as the economic slowdown affects the labor market. The latest release, for the month of April, shows that the unemployment rate has reached 9.1...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Euro-Area Manufacturing PMI Slightly Better Than Expected
| | Fundamental Analysis | Jun 01 09 08:22 GMT
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The PMI release shows the euro-area manufacturing side of the economy has contracted for twelve consecutive months, although the pace of contraction has slowed lately. The release number of 40.7 is sl...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Euro-Area CPI Estimate Drops To 0.0%, The Lowest Level On Record
| | Fundamental Analysis | May 29 09 09:38 GMT
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Euro-area May inflation, as measured by the Flash estimate, dropped to 0.0%, the lowest level on record. Over the last few months, the inflation gauge has dropped sharply, reflecting tougher credit co...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Euro Zone M3 Money Supply Continues To Tighten In April
| | Fundamental Analysis | May 29 09 08:37 GMT
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The Euro zone M3 number hit the wires at 4.9%, higher than what analysts had previously estimated, but still lower than March's number. The number for the month of March was revised to 5.0%, slightly ...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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German Retail Sales Increased 0.5% In April On Easter Holiday Sales
| | Fundamental Analysis | May 29 09 06:39 GMT
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German retail sales increased 0.5% in April, seasonally adjusted, pulled higher by the Easter Holiday. In real terms however, German retail sales continued to decline, falling another 0.8% in April. ...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Euro-Zone Consumer Confidence Holds Steady
| | Fundamental Analysis | May 28 09 09:22 GMT
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Consumer confidence in the Euro-area held steady at -31, slightly lower than analysts’ estimates. The read indicates that consumers are still optimistic that the economic contraction may be slowing or...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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German Economy Loses 1K Jobs In April
| | Fundamental Analysis | May 28 09 08:14 GMT
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The number of unemployed persons looking for a job in Germany for the month of April rose by only 1K, much better than what analysts had expected. From one year ago in April, the German economy shed 1...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Euro-Area Current Account Deficit Shrinks To -6.5B
| | Fundamental Analysis | May 26 09 08:24 GMT
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The Euro-area current account was released at -6.5B, better than analysts’ expectations. The previously released number, for the month of February, was revised lower, to -7.8B. “The report shows that ...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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GfK German Consumer Climate Holds Steady In June
| | Fundamental Analysis | May 26 09 07:23 GMT
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German consumer climate remained steady for the month of June 2009. 'German consumers face difficult times, as uncertainty regarding the economic future mounts. However, some improvement had been seen...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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The German Economy Shrinks 3.8% In Q1
| | Fundamental Analysis | May 26 09 07:21 GMT
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The German economy contracted in the first quarter by 3.8%, as the preliminary read showed. The released number represents the biggest quarterly drop since records first begun, in 1970. Compared with ...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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German Import Prices Drop To The Lowest Level Since 1987
| | Fundamental Analysis | May 26 09 07:18 GMT
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In April, German import prices fell by 0.8%, extending the record pace of declines set over the last few months. From April 2008, the index is down by 8.6%, the biggest YoY decline since 1987. During ...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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German Ifo Expectations Continue Higher
| | Fundamental Analysis | May 25 09 11:52 GMT
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The German Ifo rose again in May to 84.2 from 83.7 in April. This was slightly lower than consensus at 85. The most forward looking sub-index “expectations” rose stronger than expected though, and poi...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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German Ifo Business Climate Improves In May, But Less Than Expected
| | Fundamental Analysis | May 25 09 08:32 GMT
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The German IFO Business Climate continued to improve in May, but less than what the market expected. The index rose for a second consecutive month in May, reaching 84.2. ...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Euroland: PMI Heading Towards 50
| | Fundamental Analysis | May 21 09 12:54 GMT
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Euroland flash PMI surprised on the upside today as the composite index rose strongly from 41.1 in April to 43.9 in May (consensus 42.3). Manufacturing PMI increased from 36.8 to 40.5 while consensus ...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Euro-Area Flash PMI Improves For A Third Consecutive Month
| | Fundamental Analysis | May 21 09 08:15 GMT
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The European PMI service shows that both the service and manufacturing side of the economy are still in a contraction phase. This is the twelfth consecutive month when the two indexes have shown a rea...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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German PMI Data Rises More Than Expected
| | Fundamental Analysis | May 21 09 08:08 GMT
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The German service PMI was released at 46.0, showing the industry has contracted during the last eight months, while the manufacturing index came at 39.1, better than expected. ...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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German PPI Falls To The Lowest Level Since 1987
| | Fundamental Analysis | May 20 09 06:24 GMT
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In April, the German PPI was released at -1.4%, lower than market's expectations. The year-over-year read dropped to the lowest level since 1987, from -0.5% in March to -2.7% in April. The largest upw...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Euroland: A Swift Shift in Sentiment
| | Fundamental Analysis | May 19 09 12:58 GMT
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The ZEW economic expectations indicator increased sharply to 31.1 in May (consensus 20.0) from 13.0. This surprisingly sharp increase in expectations brings the expectations index up to pre-crisis lev...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Euro-Area Trade Deficit Shrinks To 2.1B In Mar
| | Fundamental Analysis | May 18 09 09:24 GMT
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The Euro-area adjusted trade balance was released at -2.1B in March, better than expected. In March 2009 compared with February 2009, seasonally adjusted exports rose by 1.4% and imports by 0.6%....
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Euro-zone Economy Tanked in First Quarter
| | Fundamental Analysis | May 15 09 13:28 GMT
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The Euro-zone economy contracted at a record pace in the first quarter, and the plunge in German GDP was simply breath-taking. In our view, the Euro-zone economy will continue to contract through at l...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Euro-Area CPI Remained Stable At 0.6% In April
| | Fundamental Analysis | May 15 09 09:36 GMT
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Inflation remained stable in the Euro-area in April, as the Flash CPI forecast. However, the core CPI was higher than expected, 1.8 vs 1.6%. The ECB mandate is to maintain the inflation rate close, bu...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Euro-Area GDP Contracts 2.5% In Q1
| | Fundamental Analysis | May 15 09 09:27 GMT
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The Euro-area GDP release showed that the economy contracted 2.5% in the first quarter. Q1 was the fourth consecutive quarter in which the economy contracted....
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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The German Economy Shrinks 3.8% In Q1
| | Fundamental Analysis | May 15 09 06:32 GMT
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The German economy contracted in the first quarter by 3.8%, much more than what economist had expected. The released number represents the biggest quarterly drop since records first begun, in 1970. Co...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Euro-Area Industrial Production Posts The Largest Annual Drop
| | Fundamental Analysis | May 13 09 09:29 GMT
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Industrial production fell in March in the Euro-area by 2.0%, more than what the market had expected. Compared with one year ago, industrial production is down by 20.2%, the largest annual drop on rec...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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German Final CPI Held Steady In April
| | Fundamental Analysis | May 12 09 06:30 GMT
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The German CPI held steady in April, in-line with the preliminary release. Last month, in March, the German CPI fell by 0.1%. 'Year-over-year, inflation in Germany rose to 0.7% in April. However, excl...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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German Industrial Production Unchanged In March
| | Fundamental Analysis | May 08 09 10:16 GMT
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German industrial production remained unchanged in March from the previous month. Over the last six months, German industrial production contacted at a sustainable pace, reflecting the severity of the...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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German Factory Orders Rose Unexpectedly In March
| | Fundamental Analysis | May 07 09 10:40 GMT
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Factory orders in Germany rose for the first time in the last seven months in March. Previously, German factory orders declined at a record pace, posting a huge 38.5% decline in February from one year...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Euro-Area Final Services PMI Rose To 43.8
| | Fundamental Analysis | May 06 09 08:23 GMT
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The service side of the economy in the Euro-area has been in contraction for the last ten months according to the latest PMI release. However, the released number of 43.8 shows some improvements had b...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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The Euro-Area PPI Drops To The Lowest Level Since March 1987
| | Fundamental Analysis | May 05 09 09:19 GMT
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The Euro-area PPI shows that the pace of inflation is dropping at a sustained pace. Producer prices fell 0.7% in March, following a 0.4% (revised) drop just one month prior. From one year earlier, the...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Sentix Investor Confidence Improves Less Than Expected In May
| | Fundamental Analysis | May 04 09 08:48 GMT
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The Sentix report improved slightly in May, but the released number is considerably below the market's expectations. The index rose only 1.0 point from April, to -34.3. 'The Euro-zone's assessment is ...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Euro-Area Manufacturing PMI Released Slightly Better Than Expected
| | Fundamental Analysis | May 04 09 08:26 GMT
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The PMI release shows the euro-area manufacturing side of the economy has contracted for eleven consecutive months. The release number of 36.8 is slightly bigger than what analysts expected. ”Over the...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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German Retail Sales Falls 1.0% In March
| | Fundamental Analysis | May 04 09 06:21 GMT
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German retail sales continued to tumble in March, as the economy slows. Retail sales have fallen by 1.0% compared with an expected number of 0.0%. “The German release shows that consumption is slowing...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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European Unemployment Rate Rises To The Highest Level Since 2005
| | Fundamental Analysis | Apr 30 09 09:32 GMT
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The unemployment rate in the Euro-area continues to rise. The latest release, for the month of March, shows that the unemployment rate reached 8.7%, more than was expected....
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Euro-Area CPI Estimate Stays At 0.6% In April
| | Fundamental Analysis | Apr 30 09 09:31 GMT
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Euro-area April inflation, as measured by the Flash estimate, is expected to remain at 0.6%. Over the last few months, the inflation gauge has dropped sharply, reflecting tougher credit conditions and...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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German Economy Loses 58K Jobs In March
| | Fundamental Analysis | Apr 30 09 08:22 GMT
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The number of unemployed persons looking for a job in Germany for the month of March rose by 58K, less than what analysts had expected. 'The unemployment number in Germany has been in a strong downtr...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Euro-Zone Consumer Confidence Better Than Expected
| | Fundamental Analysis | Apr 29 09 09:51 GMT
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Consumer confidence in the Euro-area improved to -31, beating analysts’ estimates and rising from the -34 read the previous month. The better than expected read indicates that consumers are becoming m...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Euro Zone M3 Money Supply Continues To Tighten
| | Fundamental Analysis | Apr 29 09 08:22 GMT
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The Euro zone M3 number hit the wires at 5.1%, much lower than what analysts had previously estimated. The number for the month of February was revised to 5.8%, slightly lower than the initial release...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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GfK German Consumer Climate Holds Steady In May
| | Fundamental Analysis | Apr 27 09 06:28 GMT
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German consumer climate remained steady for the month of May 2009. In the same time, the previous read, for April, was revised slightly higher, to 2.5. 'German consumers face difficult times ahead, as...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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German Import Prices Drop To The Lowest Level Since 1987
| | Fundamental Analysis | Apr 27 09 06:27 GMT
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In March, German import prices fell by 0.4%, extending the record pace of declines set over the last few months. From March 2008, the index is down by 7.1%, the biggest YoY decline since 1987. During ...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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German Ifo Business Climate Improves More Than Expected In April
| | Fundamental Analysis | Apr 24 09 08:24 GMT
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The German IFO Business Climate bounced from a 26-year low in April, gaining 1.6 points. The index rose to 83.7 in April, the second increase in the last 12 months. ...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Euroland: PMIs Send Positive Signals
| | Fundamental Analysis | Apr 23 09 12:35 GMT
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Euroland flash PMI surprised to the upside today as the composite index rose from 38.3 in March to 40.5 in April (consensus 38.7). This is the best PMI reading in six months. Manufacturing PMI increas...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Euro-Area Flash PMI Improves For A Second Consecutive Month
| | Fundamental Analysis | Apr 23 09 08:34 GMT
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The European PMI service shows that both the service and manufacturing side of the economy are still in a contraction phase. This is the eleventh consecutive month when the two indexes have shown a re...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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