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Trade Desk Thoughts - German Trade Balance
| | Fundamental Analysis | Oct 09 08 06:18 GMT
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The German trade balance recorded a 13.1B surplus in August, beating market expectations. The previous number, released for the month of July was revised to 11.6B from 11.8B. From one year earlier, th...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Trade Desk Thoughts - German Industrial Production
| | Fundamental Analysis | Oct 08 08 10:29 GMT
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Industrial production had surged in the month of August in Germany, up by 3.4% from one month earlier. The market expected a read of -0.2%. Year over year, industrial production had rose by 1.7%, howe...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Euro-Zone GDP Contracts, Fueling Recessionary Fears
| | Fundamental Analysis | Oct 08 08 09:54 GMT
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Euro-Zone final Q2 GDP was confirmed at -0.2% QoQ and 1.4% YoY, in line with expectations. There were minor revisions to the components, with contractions in investment and exports revised slightly do...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Recessionary Trends in German Industrial Orders And British Industrial Production
| | Fundamental Analysis | Oct 07 08 16:49 GMT
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The volume of German industrial orders rebounded 3.6% in August. While such a bounce was not anticipated, the trend remains clearly adverse. Orders had declined in each of the eight previous months an...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
UK Data
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Trade Desk Thoughts - German Factory Orders
| | Fundamental Analysis | Oct 07 08 10:41 GMT
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Factory orders in Germany have risen for the first time in nine months. The released number of 3.6% is much greater than the forecasted number of 0.2%. At the same time, the previously released number...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Euro-Zone Investor Confidence Falls, EURUSD Holds Below 1.36
| | Fundamental Analysis | Oct 06 08 09:46 GMT
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Investor confidence in the Euro-Zone fell more than expected as the Sentix index slipped to -27.8 from -20.2 in September. A deeper look at the report showed that investor expectations plunged to -41....
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Trade Desk Thoughts - Sentix Investor Confidence
| | Fundamental Analysis | Oct 06 08 08:53 GMT
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The Sentix indicator shows investors are continuing to turn bearish on the European economy. At the same time, private and institutional traders’ assessment of the European economic future has deterio...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Trade Desk Thoughts - Euro-Area Retail Sales
| | Fundamental Analysis | Oct 03 08 09:27 GMT
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Retail sales in the Euro-area rose in August 0.3%, up from the previous month, when retail sales rose by 0.1% (revised from -0.4%). In August, the released number deviated slightly from the forecasted...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Euro-Zone Services PMI Revised Higher, EURUSD Finds Support Near 1.3800
| | Fundamental Analysis | Oct 03 08 08:57 GMT
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The Euro-Zone Services PMI contracted for the fourth consecutive month, but was revised higher to 48.4 from a preliminary reading of 48.2. Meanwhile, the PMI reading for Germany was also revised highe...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Trade Desk Thoughts - Euro-Area Final Services PMI
| | Fundamental Analysis | Oct 03 08 08:14 GMT
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The service side of the economy in the Euro-area has been in contraction for the last four months according to the latest PMI release. The released number of 48.4 is near a five year low and the econo...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Trade Desk Thoughts - Euro-Area PPI
| | Fundamental Analysis | Oct 02 08 09:27 GMT
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The Euro-area PPI showed deflation for the first time in almost two years. The release number of -0.5% was in-line with analyst forecasts. The number released for the month of July was revised up from...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Manufacturing: U.S. and Euroland PMI's Cross Over Again
| | Fundamental Analysis | Oct 01 08 15:36 GMT
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Early today, Euroland reported a downward revision of its September PMI-manufacturing index to 45.0 from a preliminary estimate of 45.3 and an August reading of 47.6. In the United States, the Institu...
| | Economic Data
US Data
EU Data
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Trade Desk Thoughts - Euro-area Unemployment Rate
| | Fundamental Analysis | Oct 01 08 09:22 GMT
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The unemployment rate in the Euro-area rose to a higher level than expected, 7.5%, versus analyst expectations of 7.3%. The unemployment rate for the month of July was revised up, to 7.4%. Around 11.5...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Trade Desk Thoughts - Euro-Area Manufacturing PMI
| | Fundamental Analysis | Oct 01 08 08:05 GMT
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The PMI release shows the euro-area manufacturing side of the economy contracted for the fourth consecutive month. The release number of 45.0 is slightly smaller than analyst expectations of 45.3. It ...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Trade Desk Thoughts - European CPI Estimate
| | Fundamental Analysis | Sep 30 08 09:18 GMT
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Euro Zone inflation was released in-line with analysts forecast. Expectations had been for a drop to 3.6% from 3.8%, unrevised, indicating that we may have reached a peak in inflation. Inflation in th...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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German Unemployment Rate Holds at 16 Year Low, Euro-Dollar Holds 1.4360
| | Fundamental Analysis | Sep 30 08 09:15 GMT
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The German jobless rate slipped to -29K from a revised reading of -39K in August, which helped to keep the unemployment rate held steady at its lowest level in 16 years. The unemployment rate was unch...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Trade Desk Thoughts - German Unemployment Change
| | Fundamental Analysis | Sep 30 08 08:06 GMT
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The unemployment rate in Germany declined by 29K, seasonally adjusted, larger than market expectations. The previously released number, for the month of August, was left unrevised at 40K. The release ...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Euro-Zone Economic Confidence Tumbles Lower, Heightening Growth Fears
| | Fundamental Analysis | Sep 29 08 10:04 GMT
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The eurozone September economic confidence indicator fell less than feared - to 87.7 from 88.5 in the previous month. Our median was 87.1. The drop in the overall reading reflects a decline in industr...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Trade Desk Thoughts - Euro-Area Consumer Confidence
| | Fundamental Analysis | Sep 29 08 09:27 GMT
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Consumer confidence in the Euro-area remained stable at -19, in-line with market expectations. The index is just a few points above the bottom reached in early 2003. The last time the euro-area consum...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Euro-Zone M3 Falls, Euro-Dollar (EURUSD) Holds Ground
| | Fundamental Analysis | Sep 25 08 09:00 GMT
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Eurozone M3 money supply growth slowed to 8.8% y/y in August. July data were revised down to 9.1% from 9.3% reported initially. The 3-months moving average, the ECB's preferred target, slowed to 9.2% ...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Trade Desk Thoughts - Euro Zone M3 Money Supply
| | Fundamental Analysis | Sep 25 08 08:10 GMT
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The M3 number hit the wires at 8.8% lower than what analyst had previously estimated. The number for the month of June was left revised to 9.1%. The M3 money read is a very important release for the E...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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German Consumer Confidence Unexpectedly Improves, Euro-Dollar (EURUSD) Ticks Higher
| | Fundamental Analysis | Sep 25 08 06:43 GMT
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German consumer confidence unexpectedly improved to 1.8 from 1.5 in September on the back of falling oil prices. Indeed, the improved sentiment should help to brighten the growth outlook for Europe’s ...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Trade Desk Thoughts - GfK German Consumer Climate
| | Fundamental Analysis | Sep 25 08 06:28 GMT
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The consumer climate in Germany for the month of October was released at 1.8, better than market expectations of 1.3. The forecasted number, 1.5 for the month of September was revised higher to 1.6. G...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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German Business Sentiment Breaking Down
| | Fundamental Analysis | Sep 24 08 16:57 GMT
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The prestigious IFO Economic Institute of Munich surveys firms each month for their assessment of whether business conditions are currently good or bad and whether such are likely to become more or le...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Euroland: Ifo Highlights Recession Risk
| | Fundamental Analysis | Sep 24 08 11:18 GMT
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The German ifo fell yet again from 94.8 in August to 92.9 in September (consensus 94.3). This was the fourth month in a row the ifo index disappointed. The ifo expectations index fell to its lowest le...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Trade Desk Thoughts - German Ifo Business Climate
| | Fundamental Analysis | Sep 24 08 08:49 GMT
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The German IFO business climate fell to 92.9, less than the market expected, hitting a three year low. This is the fourth release in a row in which German business expectations have deteriorated, sugg...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Trade Desk Thoughts - Euro-Area Current Account
| | Fundamental Analysis | Sep 24 08 08:48 GMT
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The Euro-area current account was released at -1.7B, much better than analyst expectations of -6.2B. At the same time, the previously released number, for the month of June, was revised lower from -8....
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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German IFO Signals Weaker Growth Ahead, Raising Hopes for a ECB Rate Cut
| | Fundamental Analysis | Sep 24 08 08:36 GMT
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IFO economist Nerb said the time has come for rate cuts. IFO president Sinn said German confidence is falling in "large steps" and IFO economist Nerb said "it is no secret that the third quarter is re...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Euroland Activity Contracted More Sharply in September Than August
| | Fundamental Analysis | Sep 23 08 16:37 GMT
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Euroland's composite PMI reading in September fell after a small rebound and was also below the July reading. A score above 50 is needed to connote expanding activity, so September's result implies an...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Euroland: PMI at Recession Levels
| | Fundamental Analysis | Sep 23 08 11:59 GMT
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PMI fell further in September confirming a picture of a Euroland economy flirting with recession. Composite PMI fell to 47 from 48.2 in August (consensus 47.8, Danske Bank 47.9). The decline was drive...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Trade Desk Thoughts - Euro-Area Industrial New Orders
| | Fundamental Analysis | Sep 23 08 09:25 GMT
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Industrial orders rose unexpectedly in July from the previous month. The market anticipated industrial orders falling by 0.7% in July, instead of the released number that saw order rise by 1.0%. Exclu...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Trade Desk Thoughts - Euro-Area Flash Services PMI, Euro-Area Flash Manufacturing PMI
| | Fundamental Analysis | Sep 23 08 08:08 GMT
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The European PMI service shows that both the service and manufacturing side of the economy are still in a contraction phase. This is the fourth consecutive month when the two indexes show a read below...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Trade Desk Thoughts - German Flash Manufacturing PMI, German Flash Services PMI
| | Fundamental Analysis | Sep 23 08 07:44 GMT
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The German service PMI was released at 49.3, showing a drop since the last month, while the manufacturing index came at 49.3. Last month, the manufacturing side of the economy dipped into the contract...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Trade Desk Thoughts - German PPI
| | Fundamental Analysis | Sep 19 08 06:33 GMT
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The German PPI was released at -0.6% for the month of August, diverging from the market’s expectations of -0.4%. This is the first time since January 2007 that German producers have seen lower input p...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Euroland: Headline Inflation Lowering While Core Picks Up
| | Fundamental Analysis | Sep 16 08 12:44 GMT
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On first glance, today's inflation figures did contain a small surprise as core inflation (i.e. total ex energy, food, alcohol and tobacco) rose by 1.9%, up 0.2 percentage points relative to July. Acc...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Inflation Has Turned the Corner, ECB Rates Too?
| | Fundamental Analysis | Sep 16 08 12:37 GMT
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Over the summer, the growth outlook for the euro zone economy deteriorated quite dramatically. It became clear that the US economic slowdown wouldn't remain contained in the 'States, but would also hu...
| | Central Banks
ECB
Economic Data
EU Data
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Trade Desk Thoughts - Euro-Area CPI
| | Fundamental Analysis | Sep 16 08 09:41 GMT
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Inflation in the Euro-area is up 3.8% from one year earlier, in-line with market expectations. The core read, excluding volatile items rose to 1.9%, higher than the expected 1.7%. The highest annual r...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Trade Desk Thoughts - German ZEW Economic Sentiment , Euro-area ZEW Economic Sentiment
| | Fundamental Analysis | Sep 16 08 09:40 GMT
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The ZEW Indicator for Germany improved much more than expected in September 2008, by 14.4 points. The indicator now stands at minus 41.1 points after minus 55.5 points the previous month. The released...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
UK Data
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Trade Desk Thoughts - German Final CPI
| | Fundamental Analysis | Sep 16 08 06:17 GMT
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In August, the German CPI fell 0.3%, in-line with market expectations. This is the first time the CPI has shown deflation since April 2008, as the high cost of energy had made inflation rise to record...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Trade Desk Thoughts - Euro-Area Industrial Production
| | Fundamental Analysis | Sep 12 08 09:26 GMT
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In July, industrial production fell in the Euro-area 0.3% from one month earlier. Analysts had expected a 0.2% rise in production output. From one year earlier, production declined by 1.7%. In July 20...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Trade Desk Thoughts - Euro-Area Employment Change
| | Fundamental Analysis | Sep 12 08 09:26 GMT
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The number of persons employed in the euro-area rose by 0.2% in the second quarter of 2008. Compared with the second quarter of 2007, employment grew by 1.2%. Employment in the Euro-area grew by almos...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Trade Desk Thoughts - ECB Bulletin
| | Fundamental Analysis | Sep 11 08 09:42 GMT
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The ECB releases the data that backs the bank’s decision to hold interest rates at 4.25% at the meeting held one week ago. Usually, the market has a weak response to this release, since the data that ...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Trade Desk Thoughts - German Trade Balance
| | Fundamental Analysis | Sep 09 08 06:22 GMT
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German exports rose to 11.8B in July, a lot less than analyst expectations. From the beginning of 2006 to the middle of 2007, German exports were in a clear uptrend, however, since the global slowdown...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Trade Desk Thoughts - German Industrial Production
| | Fundamental Analysis | Sep 05 08 10:29 GMT
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In July, German Industrial Production fell by 1.8% from one month earlier, much lower than analysts’ expectations of -0.5%. Compared to August 2007, industrial production fell by 0.6%, in seasonally a...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Trade Desk Thoughts - German Factory Orders
| | Fundamental Analysis | Sep 04 08 10:27 GMT
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Weak demand has caused German factory orders to drop for an eighth month in a row. Factory orders fell by 1.7% from last month, lower than market expectations, and off by 0.7% from last year. Domestic...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Trade Desk Thoughts - Euro-Area Retail Sales
| | Fundamental Analysis | Sep 03 08 09:42 GMT
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The volume of retail trade was down by 0.4% in July, lower than analyst expectations, while sales were down by 2.8% from last year. Last month’s number of -0.6% was revised lower to -0.9%. The largest...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Trade Desk Thoughts - Euro-Area Revised GDP
| | Fundamental Analysis | Sep 03 08 09:41 GMT
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The Euro-area GDP declined by 0.2% in the second quarter of 2008, in-line with analysts’ expectations. Compared with last year, the Euro-area GDP is up by 1.4%. During the second quarter of 2008, hous...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Trade Desk Thoughts - Final Services PMI
| | Fundamental Analysis | Sep 03 08 08:13 GMT
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The service side of the economy in the Euro-area has been in contraction for the last 3 months the PMI release shows. The released number of 48.5 is near a five years low and the economy is struggling...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Trade Desk Thoughts - Euro-Area PPI
| | Fundamental Analysis | Sep 02 08 09:27 GMT
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Producer price inflation in the Euro-zone rose 1.1% in July, higher than the average read of the last few years. Analysts had predicted a 1.3% increase from the previous month. Year-over-year, produce...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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Trade Desk Thoughts - Euro-area Manufacturing PMI
| | Fundamental Analysis | Sep 01 08 08:42 GMT
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The PMI release shows the Euro-area manufacturing side of the economy contracted for the third consecutive month. The release number of 47.6 is in-line with analyst expectations of 47.5. It is thought...
| | Economic Data
EU Data
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