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Another Big New Zealand Rate Cut Expected
| | Fundamental Analysis | Dec 02 08 16:10 GMT
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Opinion is split over whether the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will slash its 6.5% cash rate to 5.5% or 5.0%. The announcement will be made at 02:00 GMT Wednesday (09:00 local time and 21:00 Eastern St...
| | Central Banks
RBNZ
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USA: Bernanke Ready to Take Further Steps
| | Fundamental Analysis | Dec 02 08 11:18 GMT
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In a speech yesterday evening, Fed chairman Bernanke said that the Fed is ready to take additional steps to bring longer-term interest rates lower. Bernanke acknowledged that there is limited room to ...
| | Central Banks
Fed
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Japan Emergency Rate Meeting
| | Fundamental Analysis | Dec 02 08 07:28 GMT
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In an emergency meeting held by the Bank of Japan tonight, the policy board decided unanimously to keep the Overnight Call Rate at 0.30%. This comes after the BoJ had cut the interest rate from 0.50% ...
| | Central Banks
BOJ
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Reserve Bank of Australia Cuts Cash Rate to 4.25% From 5.25%
| | Fundamental Analysis | Dec 02 08 07:07 GMT
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The 100-basis point reduction was slightly above consensus, although matched several forecasts including my own. There have been four cuts since September 2nd, totaling 300 basis points. The new 4.25%...
| | Central Banks
RBA
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Australia Cuts Interest Rates by 1%, RBA Signals Easing Over
| | Fundamental Analysis | Dec 02 08 05:03 GMT
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The Reserve Bank of Australia cut interest rates by a greater-than-expected 100 basis points, bringing borrowing costs to six-year low at 4.25%. As had been suggested in the minutes from the bank's la...
| | Central Banks
RBA
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RBA Cuts Interest Rates by 100bp, to 4.25%
| | Fundamental Analysis | Dec 02 08 04:06 GMT
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The Reserve Bank of Australia slashed its benchmark cash rate by 100bp to 4.25%. Economists expected a cut of 75bp to 4.50%. The RBA's announcement stated "together with the spending measures announce...
| | Central Banks
RBA
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Australia Cash Rate Lowered A Full 100 Basis Points
| | Fundamental Analysis | Dec 02 08 03:56 GMT
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The Reserve Bank of Australia has lowered its interest rate a full 100 basis points to 4.25 percent. Governor Glenn Stevens has lowered the rate to a low not seen during the last six years. By doing t...
| | Central Banks
RBA
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Australian Central Bank Rate Cut Forecast: 100 Basis Points
| | Fundamental Analysis | Dec 01 08 19:34 GMT
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A drop of 100 basis points to 4.25% is near the high end of expectations. There were earlier easings of 25 basis points on September 2nd, 100 bps on October 7th, and 75 bps on November 4th. 4.25% woul...
| | Central Banks
RBA
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AUD/USD: Trading the Reserve Bank of Australia's Rate Decision
| | Fundamental Analysis | Dec 01 08 15:10 GMT
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The Reserve Bank of Australia is widely expected to lower the benchmark interest rate to 4.50% from 5.25% as the growth outlook for the $1T economy turns bleak. A Bloomberg News survey showed that 15 ...
| | Central Banks
RBA
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Bank of Japan to Hold Emergency Meeting This Week
| | Fundamental Analysis | Dec 01 08 03:06 GMT
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The Bank of Japan will hold an emergency meeting this week to discuss plans on creating a lending facility for domestic firms struggling to get financing in current market conditions. The plan would a...
| | Central Banks
BOJ
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RBNZ December MPS Preview: OCR to be Cut 100bp to 5.50%
| | Fundamental Analysis | Nov 29 08 08:50 GMT
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Life isn't getting any easier for the RBNZ. Each time they have sat down to review interest rates this year, the global credit crisis has been deeper, the outlook for economic growth has deteriorated,...
| | Central Banks
RBNZ
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The Race to Zero Interest Rates
| | Fundamental Analysis | Nov 28 08 19:41 GMT
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We expect December to be another active month for the foreign exchange market as central banks around the world take their interest rates to historically significant levels. There are 4 central banks ...
| | Central Banks
Fed
ECB
BOJ
BOE
SNB
BOC
RBA
RBNZ
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Bank of Japan Divided on Future Policy, Meeting Minutes Reveal
| | Fundamental Analysis | Nov 27 08 06:15 GMT
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Minutes from the October's Bank of Japan meeting revealed policymakers were deeply divided on the appropriate monetary response as the world's second largest economy sinks to recession. The bank settl...
| | Central Banks
BOJ
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Japanese Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
| | Fundamental Analysis | Nov 27 08 01:24 GMT
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The monetary policy meeting minutes from Japan revealed that member Atsushi Mizuno voted against the 20 basis point rate cut at the October 31st meeting, stating that a cut would not have any effect o...
| | Central Banks
BOJ
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FOMC: The Sound of Whirring Rotors
| | Fundamental Analysis | Nov 25 08 16:08 GMT
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The Federal Reserve and the Treasury this afternoon announced new measures to secure the flow of credit to the economy to prevent a deepening of the slowdown. Specifically, the measures are targeted t...
| | Central Banks
Fed
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Bank of England Reiterates Credit Concerns Amid Mandate for Price Stability
| | Fundamental Analysis | Nov 25 08 10:34 GMT
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BoE's King said deflation is not part of the MPC's central CPI projection and said that although there's a risk of negative price growth, such a scenario should only be last for a short period. There ...
| | Central Banks
BOE
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Could Deflation Derail De Fed?
| | Long Term | Nov 24 08 17:05 GMT
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Using history as a guide, credit conditions to date imply U.S. job losses could continue to accelerate late into 2009, with over a million job losses in a quarter, and core inflation could fall to nea...
| | Central Banks
Fed
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Bank of Japan Resists Cutting Rates
| | Fundamental Analysis | Nov 21 08 13:35 GMT
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As expected, the Bank of Japan did not reduce its 0.3% rate target for overnight money, but a released statement painted a bleak picture with recession persisting for some time. Officials moreover ide...
| | Central Banks
BOJ
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Japan: BoJ Leaves Interest Rates Unchanged as Expected
| | Fundamental Analysis | Nov 21 08 10:21 GMT
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The Bank of Japan (BoJ) as expected left its leading O/N target rate unchanged at 0.3% in a unanimous decision by its board members. In its statement the BoJ said that the economy has been increasingl...
| | Central Banks
BOJ
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Bank of Japan Holds Rates Steady at 0.3%
| | Fundamental Analysis | Nov 21 08 06:10 GMT
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In a unanimous vote today, the Bank of Japan held its benchmark interest rate at 0.30%. The previous meeting saw the bank cut rates by 20bp, the first of such moves in seven years. It was also reveale...
| | Central Banks
BOJ
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Bank Of Japan Keeps On Hold The Overnight Rate
| | Fundamental Analysis | Nov 21 08 04:52 GMT
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The Bank of Japan decided unanimously to keep the Overnight Call Rate at 0.30%. This comes after the BoJ had cut rates at the last meeting from 0.50% to 0.30%, while the market expected a full 25 basi...
| | Central Banks
BOJ
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Swiss National Bank Slashes Target Rate 100 Bps After Unscheduled Meeting
| | Fundamental Analysis | Nov 20 08 15:52 GMT
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The Swiss National Bank cut its point target on 3-month Libor interest rate by 100 basis points to 1.0%, the center of a 0.5-1.5% range. This was the third reduction between scheduled policy assessmen...
| | Central Banks
SNB
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Swiss National Bank Cuts 3-Month LIBOR Rate By 100bp To Meet 2% Target for Inflation
| | Fundamental Analysis | Nov 20 08 12:46 GMT
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The Swiss National Bank surprised the markets for the third time as the central bank unexpectedly lowered the 3-month LIBOR target rate by 100bp to 0.50-1.50 as fears of deflation intensified. The SNB...
| | Central Banks
SNB
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SNB Cut 3-Month Target Rate by 100 bp to 1.00%
| | Fundamental Analysis | Nov 20 08 12:25 GMT
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The SNB cut the target range for 3m Libor by 100 bp to 0.5-1.5% in another inter-meeting move. The SNB said in a statement that as a result of price falls to oil and raw materials, inflation is likely...
| | Central Banks
SNB
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FOMC: Deflation Fears Looming
| | Fundamental Analysis | Nov 20 08 07:34 GMT
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On Wednesday night the Federal Open Market Committee published the minutes of the October 28-29 monetary policy meeting. It is very clear from them that all committee members are highly aware of the s...
| | Central Banks
Fed
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Reserve Bank of Australia Monthly Bulletin, Growth to Slow Significantly
| | Fundamental Analysis | Nov 20 08 01:15 GMT
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The international environment has weakened considerably. The Bank’s forecasts incorporate a projection that average growth in Australia’s major trading partners will slow sharply from around 3.75 perc...
| | Central Banks
RBA
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The Low Down on a Low Fed Funds Rate
| | Long Term | Nov 19 08 20:34 GMT
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The Fed has been on an easing cycle for many months now. At its most recent rate decision, the Fed lowered the fed funds rate by 50 bps to 1.00% and left the door open for further cuts. Going forward,...
| | Central Banks
Fed
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FOMC Downgrades Its GDP and Employment Estimates
| | Fundamental Analysis | Nov 19 08 20:23 GMT
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The Federal Reserve cuts its estimate for U.S. growth in 2009 and raised its estimates for unemployment, according to minutes released today of the Oct. 28-29 meeting. Fed officials said they expect t...
| | Central Banks
Fed
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Where Bank of England Policymakers Are Seeking Future Guidance
| | Fundamental Analysis | Nov 19 08 16:46 GMT
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Minutes from the Monetary Policy Committee's (MPC) early-November meeting candidly reveal that policymakers believe that they would ultimately need to cut rates by more than 200 basis points from the ...
| | Central Banks
BOE
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Bank of England Won't Stand in the Way of the British Pound
| | Fundamental Analysis | Nov 19 08 14:54 GMT
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The markets are ecstatic about the Bank of England's proactiveness even if it means that UK interest rates will probably drop below 2 percent. Given the tone of the BoE minutes, we expect another 100b...
| | Central Banks
BOE
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BOE Voted Unanimously For A 150 Basis Points Rate Cut
| | Fundamental Analysis | Nov 19 08 09:59 GMT
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The BoE's minutes from the meeting held at the beginning of November shows that the committee voted unanimously in favor for a 150 basis point rate cut, despite a consensus that said a 200 basis point...
| | Central Banks
BOE
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Bank of England Panel Vote Unanimously for Rate Cut to 3%, Further Rate Cuts Ahead
| | Fundamental Analysis | Nov 19 08 09:45 GMT
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The minutes from the BoE November 5-6 meeting showed a unanimous 9-0 vote behind the 150 bp rate cut and revealed that a larger move was even discussed but that the MPC felt that it would have proved ...
| | Central Banks
BOE
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ECB Lowers Inflation and Growth Forecasts, Raising Expectations for Lower Borrowing Costs
| | Fundamental Analysis | Nov 13 08 10:24 GMT
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ECB monthly report echoes Trichet's statement last week with the editorial stressing saying that the crisis is likely to damp demand for a "rather protracted period". It also called on the banking sec...
| | Central Banks
ECB
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ECB Bulletin Analysis
| | Fundamental Analysis | Nov 13 08 09:13 GMT
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The ECB releases the data that backs the bank’s decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points, to 3.25% at the meeting held one week ago. Usually, the market has a weak response to this release, s...
| | Central Banks
ECB
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The Bank of England Chimes In
| | Fundamental Analysis | Nov 12 08 19:43 GMT
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The Bank of England, like Australia's central bank, has reduced its key rate by 200 basis points since September. In fact, the BOE accomplished such in just two steps of 50 basis points in October and...
| | Central Banks
BOE
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Central Banks Explain Radical Policy Shifts: First Australia
| | Fundamental Analysis | Nov 12 08 18:49 GMT
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The Reserve Bank of Australia was hesitant about easing monetary policy with inflation still cresting. That central bank made its final two hikes during 1Q08 of a multi-year, 300-basis point tightenin...
| | Central Banks
RBA
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BoE Governor Mervyn King Sparks Speculation for Currency Intervention as Pound Drops to Record Lows
| | Fundamental Analysis | Nov 12 08 12:13 GMT
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BoE Governor King said if Sterling falls far enough, it would be a concern, but noted that he is not surprised of the recent depreciation. Sterling has depreciated sharply on a deteriorating growth ou...
| | Central Banks
BOE
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Trade Desk Thoughts - BOE Inflation Report
| | Fundamental Analysis | Nov 12 08 11:19 GMT
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According to the latest Inflation Report, there has been a strong deterioration in the outlook for domestic and global economies. This will have a strong affect on the domestic demand in the United Ki...
| | Central Banks
BOE
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BoE Forecasts Inflation to Fall Below 1%, Raising Bets For Additional Rate Cuts
| | Fundamental Analysis | Nov 12 08 10:56 GMT
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The BoE Inflation Report has CPI just below 1% in two years time based on market rate expectations before the November rate cut, which included a 2.8% repo rate estimate for Q3 of 2009. However, even ...
| | Central Banks
BOE
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Economics Weekly: How Low Can Official Interest Rates Go?
| | Fundamental Analysis | Nov 10 08 18:04 GMT
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Interest rates are being cut aggressively around the world as economic growth slows and as price inflation either falls back from recent peaks or is set to fall sharply in the months ahead. A worsenin...
| | Central Banks
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Reserve Bank of Australia Monthly Policy Statement- Global Growth Stifled
| | Fundamental Analysis | Nov 10 08 01:20 GMT
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The Reserve Bank of Australia has stated that the gross domestic product forecast has been reduced in the wake of slower global demand and that more rate cuts may be necessary. The bank expects unempl...
| | Central Banks
RBA
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ECB Cuts Rates by 50 Basis Points, More to Come
| | Fundamental Analysis | Nov 07 08 08:43 GMT
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We think there are at least three reasons why the ECB did not implement a bolder rate cut today. First of all, it appears at least some at the ECB still harbour residual concerns about the inflation o...
| | Central Banks
ECB
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Forex Market Impact Of European Central Bank And Bank Of England Rate Cuts
| | Fundamental Analysis | Nov 06 08 19:09 GMT
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A year ago, many economists and traders believed the US financial crisis would stay within the boarders of the world's largest economy and other countries would be immune to the economic consequences....
| | Central Banks
ECB
BOE
SNB
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Euroland: ECB is Ready to Cut Rates in December
| | Fundamental Analysis | Nov 06 08 17:42 GMT
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As expected the ECB today lowered the policy rate rates by 50 bp to 3.25%. In the statement the tone was clearly softer on inflation. Also the tone on activity was soft. They did not reintroduce their...
| | Central Banks
ECB
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BOE Slashes While ECB Keeps With Expectations
| | Fundamental Analysis | Nov 06 08 16:21 GMT
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The Bank of England this morning shocked the markets by cutting interest rates by 1.50 percentage points to 3.00%. Consensus forecasts were for 50bps, the high was 100bps, and financial markets were p...
| | Central Banks
ECB
BOE
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ECB Press Conference Bullet Points And Analysis
| | Fundamental Analysis | Nov 06 08 15:51 GMT
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Mr. Trichet appeared more bearish than usual over the Euro-area economy, especially as the financial crisis is affecting the real economy. In the bank’s words, the HICP is expected to come down in the...
| | Central Banks
ECB
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ECB Reduces Its Key Rates by 50 Basis Points
| | Fundamental Analysis | Nov 06 08 15:36 GMT
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The ECB had been projected to cut rates by 50 basis points and did so. But the move was only a third as forceful as the Bank of England's and in that context appears to timid. A 75-basis point cut was...
| | Central Banks
ECB
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Bank of England Cuts 150bp - King Rises to the Task
| | Fundamental Analysis | Nov 06 08 14:39 GMT
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It is almost as if there is a new man in town at the BoE. Yesterday, I argued that the BoE could cut by 100bp and they even blew away that outside expectation. Earlier this year, Mervyn King was still...
| | Central Banks
BOE
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ECB Disappoints with 50bp Cut, Trichet's Comments
| | Fundamental Analysis | Nov 06 08 14:38 GMT
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It is the morning for rate cuts with the European Central Bank, Bank of England and the Swiss National Bank all cutting interest rates. On a day when the Bank of England shocked the markets with a 150...
| | Central Banks
ECB
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The Swiss National Bank Cuts Rate Target Midpoint by 50 Basis Points to 2.0%
| | Fundamental Analysis | Nov 06 08 13:51 GMT
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Swiss monetary officials acted outside of a scheduled quarterly meeting for the second time in a month. The new LIBOR target range becomes 1.5-2.5%, with a point target of 2.0%. The Swiss on October 8...
| | Central Banks
SNB
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