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BOE voted 9-0 to Stay Status Quo, Sterling Rallied as Jobless Claims Reduced Unexpectedly
| | Action Insight | Mar 17 10 12:12 GMT
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The BOE minutes unveiled that MPC members voted unanimously on March 4 to keep the policy rate unchanged at 0.5% and to maintain the asset purchase program at 200B pound. While growth outlook remained...
| | Central Banks
BOE
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Bank of Japan Expands QE Modestly
| | Fundamental Analysis | Mar 17 10 11:17 GMT
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While today's easing move by BoJ was only a small move, it underlines that, unlike most other countries, Japan is far from starting to exit is non-conventional easing measures and might even ease furt...
| | Central Banks
BOJ
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BOJ Doubled Funding Operations. Dissenting Votes Increased Uncertainty on Future Easing
| | Action Insight | Mar 17 10 07:14 GMT
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Under the pressure from the government and dismal inflation outlook, the Bank of Japan announced to double the size of the fixed-rate funds-supplying operation against pooled collateral (the fixed-rat...
| | Central Banks
BOJ
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Dovish FOMC Statement Contains Few Surprises
| | Fundamental Analysis | Mar 17 10 06:20 GMT
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The money and fixed income market reacted on the more dovish statement as one would expect. Expectations for higher Interest rate, which had increased ahead of the meeting, were priced out. In the T-N...
| | Central Banks
Fed
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FOMC Retained The 'Extended Period' Language. Hoeing The Only Dissenter
| | Action Insight | Mar 17 10 03:55 GMT
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As we and the market anticipated, the FOMC left its policy rate unchanged at 0-0.25% and retained the pledge to keep interest rates at current low level for an 'extended period'. Economic assessment c...
| | Central Banks
Fed
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FOMC: Less Dovish, but Hikes Remain Distant
| | Fundamental Analysis | Mar 16 10 20:55 GMT
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The assessment of activity was slightly more upbeat than in the previous statement. As expected the FOMC turned more optimistic on the labour market while on the other hand noting recent very weak hou...
| | Central Banks
Fed
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FOMC Stays the Course
| | Fundamental Analysis | Mar 16 10 20:47 GMT
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As was widely expected by us (and to a lesser extent by the markets) the Fed kept the wording and tone of its interest rate decision statement largely unchanged, and maintained its commitment to keepi...
| | Central Banks
Fed
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FOMC Dovish as Expected - Now for the Reaction
| | Fundamental Analysis | Mar 16 10 20:44 GMT
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The two critical phrases in the FOMC statement, about keeping rates "exceptionally low" for a "critical period" were kept in the statement, and this conformed with consensus expectations for little ch...
| | Central Banks
Fed
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U.S. Fed Makes Only Minor Changes to its Characterization of the Economy
| | Fundamental Analysis | Mar 16 10 20:41 GMT
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The statement issued by the Fed at the conclusion of today’s policy-setting FOMC meeting was very much in line with expectations and flags no imminent shift in policy. It suggested a very modest upgra...
| | Central Banks
Fed
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BOJ May Ease Policy Wednesday
| | Fundamental Analysis | Mar 16 10 19:09 GMT
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The Bank of Japan (BOJ) will complete a two day policy meeting on March 17th. The BOJ has been under significant pressure from the Japanese government to take action to combat deflation and boost the ...
| | Central Banks
BOJ
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FOMC Maintains "Extended Period" Language on Ultra-Low Rates
| | Fundamental Analysis | Mar 16 10 19:04 GMT
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The Fed kept its language regarding keeping interest rates at their low levels for an "extended period" of time. That means rates should remain at their current levels for at least 6 months. Economic ...
| | Central Banks
Fed
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BOJ to Extend and Expand QE
| | Action Insight | Mar 16 10 11:25 GMT
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The Bank of Japan will likely extend the duration and expand the size of the new lending facility (launched in December) so as to fight against deflation. This is likely the only change the central ba...
| | Central Banks
BOJ
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Flash Comment: FOMC Preview
| | Fundamental Analysis | Mar 16 10 08:01 GMT
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We see increasing signs of a self-sustained recovery with relatively solid progress in consumer spending and more developed indications of an imminent turnaround in the labour market. Still, recent si...
| | Central Banks
Fed
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FOMC Expected to Hold Policy Steady Tuesday
| | Fundamental Analysis | Mar 15 10 18:53 GMT
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The FOMC will hold a one-day policy meeting on Tuesday, March 16th. This will be the first scheduled single day policy meeting for the Federal Reserve since the start of the financial crisis in Septem...
| | Central Banks
Fed
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Will the Fed Retain the 'Extended Period' Wordings?
| | Action Insight | Mar 15 10 12:42 GMT
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At the March FOMC meeting, the Fed will leave the policy rate unchanged at 0-0.25%. With economic development being largely consistent with expectations since January's meeting, the central bank will ...
| | Central Banks
Fed
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CHF: SNB Maintains Its Loose Monetary Policy - For Now
| | Fundamental Analysis | Mar 12 10 14:50 GMT
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As widely expected the Swiss National Bank (SNB) held its target for the three-month Libor unchanged at 0.00-0.75% and reiterated its intention to keep it within the lower end of the range - i.e. arou...
| | Central Banks
SNB
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SNB Revised Up Growth and Inflation Forecasts While Leaving Monetary Policy Unchanged
| | Action Insight | Mar 11 10 14:33 GMT
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As expected, the SNB left the 3-month LIBOR target range unchanged at 0.00-0.75% and intended to keep the lower part of the target range at around 0.25%. The SNB also reiterated the stance to act 'dec...
| | Central Banks
SNB
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RBNZ Retained Monetary Stance, Raised Growth Outlook But Remained Cautious
| | Action Insight | Mar 11 10 03:20 GMT
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As we and the market expected, the RBNZ left the OCR unchanged at 2.5% and reiterated the stance to 'removing policy stimulus around the middle of 2010'. The quarterly MPS also revealed modest upgrade...
| | Central Banks
RBNZ
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SNB to turn More Hawkish in Monetary Policy
| | Action Insight | Mar 10 10 07:37 GMT
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Despite recent positive economic data, the SNB will continue to leave the target range for 3-month LIBOR at 0-0.75, targeting to keep the rate at 0.25%, in March. The Monetary Policy Announcement will...
| | Central Banks
SNB
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RBNZ to Hold Monetary Policy Unchanged. Focus on the Quarterly MPS
| | Action Insight | Mar 08 10 18:38 GMT
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The RBNZ will likely leave the OCR at 2.5%, for the 11th month, at the March meeting. Therefore, the market will focus on the Monetary Policy Statement as well as how the central bank describe economi...
| | Central Banks
RBNZ
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ECB Continues On A Slow And Steady Path
| | Fundamental Analysis | Mar 05 10 04:48 GMT
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Primed by comments from ECB president Jean Claude Trichet that this month's ECB Governing Council meeting would be 'an important rendezvous', markets awaited today's press conference with greater than...
| | Central Banks
ECB
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ECB Holds Rates Steady, But Makes Moves to Tighten Monetary Policy
| | Fundamental Analysis | Mar 04 10 16:55 GMT
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The ECB is in the middle of a tough balancing act as it is attempting to lay the groundwork for mopping up extra liquidity in the banking system while still maintaining favorable lending conditions an...
| | Central Banks
ECB
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ECB Meeting: A Slow Normalisation
| | Fundamental Analysis | Mar 04 10 16:41 GMT
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The 3-month auctions will be with fixed allotment from now on. The ECB's weekly main refinancing operations and the one-month auctions will continue to be with full allotment at least until 12 October...
| | Central Banks
ECB
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ECB Press Conference: No Mention Of You-Know-Who
| | Fundamental Analysis | Mar 04 10 15:25 GMT
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The Governing Council decided to leave the key ECB interest rates unchanged. The Euro-system continues to provide liquidity support to the banking system of the euro area at very favorable conditions,...
| | Central Banks
ECB
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ECB Continued to Mop Up Excess Liquidity as Growth Outlook Improved
| | Action Insight | Mar 04 10 14:58 GMT
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ECB's monetary decisions in March are broadly inline with expectations. The central bank left the main refinancing rate unchanged at 1% while fine-tuning the funding operation frameworks. The ECB staf...
| | Central Banks
ECB
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Bond Markets and Fed Rhetoric: Lessons from 2003-04
| | Fundamental Analysis | Mar 04 10 12:26 GMT
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During Bernanke's semi-annual testimony to Congress, he reiterated that rates could remain low for an "extended period", thus signalling that the recent hike in the discount rate did not indicate that...
| | Central Banks
Fed
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Beige Book: Economic Conditions Improved Modestly
| | Fundamental Analysis | Mar 03 10 19:41 GMT
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With data prepared and collected on or before February 22, The Fed’s Beige Book indicated that economic conditions have improved, but “in most cases, the increases were modest”. Of the 12 Federal Rese...
| | Central Banks
Fed
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ECB Meets to Discuss Phase Two of the Exit Policy
| | Fundamental Analysis | Mar 03 10 13:57 GMT
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Last month's ECB press conference was largely uneventful and it surely was meant to be so. The ECB had “surprised” the markets in December by setting out its exit strategy and implementing initial mea...
| | Central Banks
ECB
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ECB Preview: Dovish
| | Fundamental Analysis | Mar 03 10 13:49 GMT
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Since the last Governing Council meeting, macroeconomic data has been soft and concerns about Greece remain high on the agenda. The tiny GDP growth in Q4 09 brings forward concerns about whether the e...
| | Central Banks
ECB
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ECB to Drain Liquidity Gradually
| | Action Insight | Mar 03 10 07:25 GMT
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The upcoming ECB meeting is the focus of the week as the President Trichet has mentioned several times that more detailed money market measures will be announced at the March meeting. Given the negati...
| | Central Banks
ECB
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BOE to Stay Sidelined as Inflation Remains Strong in the Near-term
| | Action Insight | Mar 03 10 07:22 GMT
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The BOE is expected to continue its 'wait-and-see' stance in monetary policy. At Thursday's meeting, the central bank should unanimously vote for keeping the official Bank Rate paid on commercial bank...
| | Central Banks
BOE
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BoC: Interest Rates on Hold
| | Fundamental Analysis | Mar 02 10 14:35 GMT
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As was widely expected, the Bank of Canada today has maintained its commitment to hold interest rates at their historically low levels until the end of the second quarter of 2010 and so left the overn...
| | Central Banks
BOC
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BOC Kept Policy Rate at 0.25% but Delivered More Hawkish Statement
| | Action Insight | Mar 02 10 14:24 GMT
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As expected, the Bank of Canada left the overnight rate target at 0.25%. Moreover, the central bank reiterated 'conditional on the outlook for inflation, the target overnight rate can be expected to r...
| | Central Banks
BOC
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Bank of Canada -- Committed to Low Rates
| | Fundamental Analysis | Mar 02 10 14:16 GMT
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The Bank of Canada left the overnight rate at 0.25% this morning and maintained its assessment of risks to the outlook as being balanced based on macro considerations. The Bank removed the statement a...
| | Central Banks
BOC
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RBA Raised Cash Rate to 4%, Resuming the Tightening Cycle
| | Action Insight | Mar 02 10 04:47 GMT
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After pausing in February, the RBA resumed its tightening cycle in March by announcing to raise its cash rate by +25 bps to 4%. In the accompanying statement, the central bank stated that interest rat...
| | Central Banks
RBA
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BoC Monetary Policy Monitor: Set Housing Aside
| | Fundamental Analysis | Feb 27 10 13:56 GMT
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There has been much to digest since the last Bank of Canada decision, though little to motivate a major change to the monetary policy outlook. Central bank speakers have filled the calendar like never...
| | Central Banks
BOC
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Unchanged Monetary Policy Stance Expected at BoC's Meeting
| | Action Insight | Feb 27 10 08:48 GMT
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Both market expectations and economic development evolved recently point to an unchanged monetary policy stance at BoC's March meeting. The central bank will most likely announce to keep its policy ra...
| | Central Banks
BOC
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RBA to Pause for a Second Month
| | Action Insight | Feb 27 10 08:44 GMT
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While RBA' tightening cycle , which began late last year, will continue in 2010, more rate hikes will be delivered in 2H10 as policymakers need to gauge how previous hikes feed through to the economy....
| | Central Banks
RBA
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Bernanke Reiterated The Low Rate Policy
| | Action Insight | Feb 25 10 03:11 GMT
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The Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke's testimony was inline with market expectation. While the Chairman acknowledged improvement in economic condition, he noted the job market remains quite weak while inflat...
| | Central Banks
Fed
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Enter The Exit Strategy
| | Fundamental Analysis | Feb 19 10 17:55 GMT
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The Fed's exit strategy has begun to capture the market's imagination over the past few weeks, and is starting to wrest away control of the bond market from simmering European fiscal woes. There have ...
| | Central Banks
Fed
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Fed Raises the Discount Rate: Return to Normalcy
| | Fundamental Analysis | Feb 19 10 16:38 GMT
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For the Fed, the initial step in a return to normalcy is increasing the spread between the funds rate and the discount rate to reestablish the discount rate as a penalty rate. Moreover, we would expec...
| | Central Banks
Fed
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FOMC: Fed Normalizes Discount Rate Spread
| | Fundamental Analysis | Feb 19 10 09:21 GMT
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Overnight the Federal Reserve Board announced an increase in the spread between the discount and the Fed funds rate spread from 25bp to 50bp effective from today. This leaves the discount rate at 0.75...
| | Central Banks
Fed
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FOMC Minutes Review: Slightly More Hawkish On Growth
| | Action Insight | Feb 18 10 03:22 GMT
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In the minutes of the January FOMC meeting, the Fed showed slightly more hawkish tone on the economic outlook. It revised up its forecast on 2010 GDP growth to 2.8%-3.5% from 2.5% to 3.5% projected in...
| | Central Banks
Fed
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U.S. Fed Discusses Exit Strategies, Says Economy Strengthened
| | Fundamental Analysis | Feb 17 10 20:13 GMT
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The minutes of the January 26-27 meeting suggested that most members saw recent economic data as indicating that conditions have improved with economic activity continuing to ‘strengthen’ and the labo...
| | Central Banks
Fed
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ECB Doesn't Dare Lift its Foot From the Gas-Pedal
| | Fundamental Analysis | Feb 15 10 13:27 GMT
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The ECB is expected to deliver a first hike of the refinancing rate to 1.25% in November 2010. This is somewhat later than the hawkish August 2010 hike we had previously communicated. The implementati...
| | Central Banks
ECB
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A Roadmap for the Fed's Exit
| | Fundamental Analysis | Feb 12 10 08:13 GMT
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This week a testimony by Chairman Bernanke to the House revealed the Fed has progressed further in its move towards the exit. During the crisis the Federal Reserve System implemented several alternati...
| | Central Banks
Fed
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Fed Chair Bernanke Outlines Framwork for Exit Strategy
| | Fundamental Analysis | Feb 10 10 17:28 GMT
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In his published remarks today, Chairman Bernanke laid out some of the possible approaches the Fed could take to extricate the U.S. economy from the current significant monetary policy accommodation b...
| | Central Banks
Fed
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BOE Inflation Report: Downward Revision in Growth and Inflation Forecast, More Easing Highly Likely
| | Action Insight | Feb 10 10 12:18 GMT
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At the February Inflation Report, the BOE unveiled downside risks to economic recovery. The MPC members believed that growth in the United Kingdom has been and will continue to be driven by the consid...
| | Central Banks
BOE
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SNB - An Information Vacuum
| | Fundamental Analysis | Feb 09 10 07:17 GMT
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As of 1 January 2010, Philipp Hildebrand replaced Jean-Pierre Roth as chairman of the governing board at the Swiss National Bank (SNB). Not a major event, given that Hildebrand has expressed no indica...
| | Central Banks
SNB
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ECB Bides It's Time
| | Fundamental Analysis | Feb 04 10 17:22 GMT
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As expected, today's ECB press conference was largely uneventful in terms of major market- moving developments. Both the ECB and financial markets approached it with the understanding that it would be...
| | Central Banks
ECB
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