EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1446; (P) 1.1466 (R1) 1.1498; More…..

EUR/USD’s rally continues today and reaches as high as 1.1567 so far. Intraday bias remains on the upside for 1.1615 key resistance. Decisive break there will pave the way to 1.2 handle next. On the downside, below 1.1471 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But downside of retreat should be contained above 1.1312 support and bring rise resumption.

In the bigger picture, the firm break of 1.1298 resistance further affirm medium term reversal. That is, an important bottom was formed at 1.0339 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Further rise would be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 1.1756). Sustained break there will pave the way to 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 next. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.1118 support holds.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

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