EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1735; (P) 1.1767 (R1) 1.1798; More

As long as 1.1818 minor resistance holds, deeper fall is expected in EUR/USD to 1.1669 support. Break there will confirm resumption of the whole corrective fall from 1.2091. In that case, EUR/USD will target 38.2% retracement of 1.0569 to 1.2091 at 1.1510. Strong support is expected there to complete the correction. Nonetheless, above 1.1818 will turn bias back to the upside and extend the rebound from 1.1669 through 1.1879.

In the bigger picture, rise from medium term bottom at 1.0339 is not finished yet. It’s expected to continue after pull back from 1.2091 completes. And, next target will be 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. However, it should be noted that there is no confirmation of trend reversal yet. That is, such rebound from 1.0399 could be a correction. And the long term fall from 1.6039 (2008 high) could resume. Hence, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.2516 to limit upside.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

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