Special Topics – Action Forex https://www.actionforex.com Live Forex Analysis, Currency Rates, Economic Calendar, Technical Forecast, Fundamental News, Free Trading Signals. Best. USD Dollar, EUR Euro, JPY Yen, GBP Pound, CHF Swiss Franc, CAD Canadian Dollar, AUD Australian Dollar, NZD New Zealand Dollar Mon, 10 Dec 2018 04:08:32 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=4.9.8 US-China Trade Ceasefire: Too Early to be Relieved https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/154263-us-china-trade-ceasefire-too-early-to-be-relieved/ https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/154263-us-china-trade-ceasefire-too-early-to-be-relieved/#respond Tue, 04 Dec 2018 04:47:06 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=154263 We remain cautious over the 90-day ceasefire on US- China trade dispute. Over the weekend, the US agrees to postpone raising tariff on US$200B worth of Chinese goods from 10% to 25%. In return, China would buy significant amount of US goods within agriculture, energy and industry products. Meanwhile, both sides would immediately begin negotiations […]

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CFTC Commitments of Traders – Bets for Higher Euro Fell Sharply as Confidence Data Soured https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/153805-cftc-commitments-of-traders/ https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/153805-cftc-commitments-of-traders/#respond Sun, 02 Dec 2018 15:51:56 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=153805 As suggested in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended November 27, NET LENGTH in USD Index slipped slightly whilst bets increased on both sides. All other major currencies stayed in NET SHORT positions. During the week, the greenback strengthened against major currencies. Note that the report date was before Fed Chair […]

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CFTC Commitments of Traders – Traders Trimmed Bets on USD, GBP, JPY and AUD on Rising Uncertainty https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/152140-cftc-commitments-of-traders-traders-trimmed-bets-on-usd-gbp-jpy-and-aud-on-rising-uncertainty/ https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/152140-cftc-commitments-of-traders-traders-trimmed-bets-on-usd-gbp-jpy-and-aud-on-rising-uncertainty/#respond Tue, 27 Nov 2018 05:34:31 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=152140 As suggested in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended November 20, NET LENGTH in USD Index persisted although bets were trimmed on both sides. All other major currencies stayed in NET SHORT positions. This came in line with the FX movement that the greenback strengthened against major currencies with the exception […]

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Brexit Update – The Remaining 1%, The Most Challenging https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/151725-brexit-update-the-remaining-1/ https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/151725-brexit-update-the-remaining-1/#respond Mon, 26 Nov 2018 05:18:36 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=151725 UK PM Theresa May demonstrates to us that her way to end dispute is compromise (to counterparty) and threat (to own people). After months of negotiation, the Withdrawal Agreement for Brexit was approval unanimously by EU member states on Sunday. The final draft has not addressed the concerns of Brexiteers at home. Instead, most of […]

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CFTC Commitments of Traders – Bulls Outweighed Bears Amidst Thin Trading in USD https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/149746-cftc-commitments-of-traders-bulls-outweighed-bears-amidst-thin-trading-in-usd/ https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/149746-cftc-commitments-of-traders-bulls-outweighed-bears-amidst-thin-trading-in-usd/#respond Mon, 19 Nov 2018 04:13:46 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=149746 As suggested in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended November 13, NET LENGTH in USD Index persisted despite little volume. All other major currencies stayed in NET SHORT positions. This came in line with the FX movement that the greenback strengthened against major currencies with the exception of New Zealand dollar. […]

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Brexit Update – EU and UK Agree on Draft Deal, Still More Challenge Ahead https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/148839-brexit-update-eu-and-us-agrees-on-draft-deal-still-more-challenge-ahead/ https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/148839-brexit-update-eu-and-us-agrees-on-draft-deal-still-more-challenge-ahead/#respond Thu, 15 Nov 2018 04:42:41 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=148839 Brexit news again dominates the headline as UK Prime Minister Theresa May announced that she has gained support from the Cabinet the Withdrawal Deal hammered out between the UK and EU. End of the story? Not yet. If both the UK Cabinet and the EU approve the deal, the EU would call for a special […]

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CFTC Commitments of Traders – USD Index Stayed in NET LENGTH Although Traders Trimmed Bets on Both Sides https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/147730-cftc-commitments-of-traders-usd-index-stayed-in-net-length-although-traders-trimmed-bets-on-both-sides/ https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/147730-cftc-commitments-of-traders-usd-index-stayed-in-net-length-although-traders-trimmed-bets-on-both-sides/#respond Mon, 12 Nov 2018 04:40:46 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=147730 The CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended November 6 shows that all major currencies (except USD) remained in NET SHORT positions. Speculative longs on USD index fell -1 564 contracts while shorts declined -2 323, sending the NET LENGTH higher, by +759 contracts, to 40 282 contracts. The greenback weakened against major […]

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US Midterm Elections – Split Congress Paves the Way for Slower, but More Sustainable, Growth Outlook https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/146844-us-midterm-elections-split-congress-paves-the-way-for-slower-but-more-sustainable-growth-outlook/ https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/146844-us-midterm-elections-split-congress-paves-the-way-for-slower-but-more-sustainable-growth-outlook/#respond Thu, 08 Nov 2018 08:13:03 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=146844 The dust is settled on the result of US midterm elections. As polls have suggested, the Congress is split with Republicans continuing the control of the Senate and Democrats is taking over the House. In our election preview, we have suggested that the most Democrats can do is delaying the legislative process and rejecting some […]

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CFTC Commitments of Traders – GBP Got Biggest Increase in NET SHORT, Ahead of BOE Comments https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/145570-cftc-commitments-of-traders-gbp-got-biggest-increase-in-net-short-ahead-of-boe-comments/ https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/145570-cftc-commitments-of-traders-gbp-got-biggest-increase-in-net-short-ahead-of-boe-comments/#respond Mon, 05 Nov 2018 04:37:17 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=145570 The CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended October 30 shows that all major currencies (except USD) were in NET SHORT positions. Speculative longs on USD index added +1 040 contracts while shorts dropped -455, sending the NET LENGTH higher, by +1 495 contracts, to 39 523 contracts. The greenback generally strengthened against […]

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Brexit: No News is Bad News https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/144432-brexit-no-news-is-bad-news/ https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/144432-brexit-no-news-is-bad-news/#respond Wed, 31 Oct 2018 09:28:53 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=144432 At the meeting later this week, we expect BOE members to vote unanimously to keep the Bank rate unchanged at 0.75% and the asset purchase program at 435B pound. The macroeconomic indicators released during the inter-meeting period are mixed, while no progress on Brexit negotiations although the deadline is approaching. Chancellor Phillip Hammond declared “austerity […]

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Populist Sentiment Still Evolving – Brazil and Germany Markets Responded Positively https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/143950-populist-sentiment-still-evolving-brazil-and-germany/ https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/143950-populist-sentiment-still-evolving-brazil-and-germany/#respond Tue, 30 Oct 2018 07:22:47 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=143950 The Brazilian presidential and German state elections over the weekend have sent a common message – the desire for change. The election results reveal that the anti-establishment and populist sentiment continues to ferment. Both elections have led to severe loss of the establishment and upsurge in the right-wing, populist parties. These signal voters’ dissatisfaction of […]

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Italy Credit Rating – Further Downgrades are Yet to Come https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/143738-italy-credit-rating-further-downgrades-are-yet-to-come/ https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/143738-italy-credit-rating-further-downgrades-are-yet-to-come/#respond Mon, 29 Oct 2018 13:00:01 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=143738 Italy’s budget problem continues to haunt. S&P refrained from downgrading Italy’s sovereign credit rating, keeping it at BBB, two notches above junk grade. Yet, the relief might just be temporary as the rating agency has placed the country in “negative” watch, suggesting a downgrade can come with the 24-month period.Moody’s went further a week ago […]

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CFTC Commitments of Traders – All Major Currencies in NET SHORT, Except USD https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/143493-cftc-commitments-of-traders-all-major-currencies-in-net-short-except-usd/ https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/143493-cftc-commitments-of-traders-all-major-currencies-in-net-short-except-usd/#respond Mon, 29 Oct 2018 03:35:08 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=143493 The CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended October 23 shows that all major currencies (except USD) were in NET SHORT positions. Bets on USD index increased on both sides. Speculative longs gained +2 989 contracts while shorts added +2 837, sending the NET LENGTH higher, by +152 contracts, to 38 028 contracts. […]

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CFTC Commitments of Traders – Traders Trimmed Speculations on Currencies amid Looming Uncertainty https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/141427-cftc-commitments-of-traders-traders-trimmed-speculations-on-currencies-amid-looming-uncertainty/ https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/141427-cftc-commitments-of-traders-traders-trimmed-speculations-on-currencies-amid-looming-uncertainty/#respond Mon, 22 Oct 2018 04:56:53 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=141427 The CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended October 16 indicates that positioning on major currencies lowered as a whole. Speculative long positions for USD index futures dropped -2 635 contracts while shorts fell -2 802, sending the NET LENGTH higher, by +167 contracts, to 37 876 contracts. US dollar fell across the board […]

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CFTC Commitments of Traders – USD Bulls Triumphed as Greenback Remained Firm https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/139386-cftc-commitments-of-traders-usd-bulls-triumphed-as-greenback-remained-firm/ https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/139386-cftc-commitments-of-traders-usd-bulls-triumphed-as-greenback-remained-firm/#respond Mon, 15 Oct 2018 05:25:26 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=139386 USD rose against major currencies with the exception of JPY and GBP. As suggested in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended October 9, NET LENGTH of USD index climbed slightly, by +673 contracts, to 37 709 contracts. Both speculative long and short positions increased during the week. Bulls of European currencies […]

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Who is a Currency Manipulator? https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/138170-who-is-a-currency-manipulator/ https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/138170-who-is-a-currency-manipulator/#respond Wed, 10 Oct 2018 09:05:52 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=138170 As US-China trade war continues to evolve, the market is increasingly concerned over the pace of slowdown in China’s economic growth. Meanwhile, weakness in renminbi (China Yuan) has given more bullets for the White House to attack China and threaten to impose more restriction. US Treasury’s semiannual currency report, due next week, is under the […]

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CFTC Commitments of Traders – EUR Futures Drifted to NET SHORT on Italy Deficit Concerns https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/137332-cftc-commitments-of-traders-eur-futures-drifted-to-net-short-on-italy-deficit-concerns/ https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/137332-cftc-commitments-of-traders-eur-futures-drifted-to-net-short-on-italy-deficit-concerns/#respond Mon, 08 Oct 2018 03:24:16 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=137332 USD bulls lost ground as the greenback corrected from its peak. As suggested in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended October 2, NET LENGTH of USD index climbed mildly higher, by +27 contracts to 37 036 contracts. Both speculative long and short positions increased only marginally. During the week, the DXY […]

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Democrats Might Regain Control of House, And Then? https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/136917-democrats-might-regain-control-of-house-so/ https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/136917-democrats-might-regain-control-of-house-so/#respond Fri, 05 Oct 2018 08:57:12 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=136917 Opinion polls suggest that the upcoming US midterm elections, scheduled on November 6, would lead to a split Congress – Democrat regaining control of the House and Republic retaining majority of the Senate. Such outcome could lead to political gridlock and more vigilant oversight of Trump’s administration. Yet, the most Democrats can do is delaying […]

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Italy Rating Downgrade Inevitable Although Government Might Water Down Stimulus https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/136087-italy-rating-downgrade-inevitable-although-government-might-water-down-stimulus/ https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/136087-italy-rating-downgrade-inevitable-although-government-might-water-down-stimulus/#respond Wed, 03 Oct 2018 08:39:21 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=136087 (Update: The Italian government has announced that it would now set the budget deficit targets to 2.4% of GDP for 2019, 2.1% for 2020 and 1.8% for 2021. Given short-lived and fractious nature of Italian government, we view these targets with suspicion. Suggest to continue monitoring the debt problems of the country, movement of yields and […]

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Trump’s USMCA – NAFTA 2.0 or Old Wine in New Bottles? And, Prepared for China Too? https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/135770-trumps-new-trade-deal-nafta-2-0-or-old-wine-in-new-bottles/ https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-topics/135770-trumps-new-trade-deal-nafta-2-0-or-old-wine-in-new-bottles/#respond Tue, 02 Oct 2018 07:57:16 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=135770 Canada and the US eventually reached a preliminary trade deal, named USMCA, just a few hours before the US-imposed negotiation deadline. Obviously, the market was thrilled by the “breakthrough”, evidenced by the rally of Canadian dollar and, to a lesser extent, Mexican peso against the greenback. While there are new ingredients in the trade deal, […]

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