Fundamental Analysis – Action Forex https://www.actionforex.com Live Forex Analysis, Currency Rates, Economic Calendar, Technical Forecast, Fundamental News, Free Trading Signals. Best. USD Dollar, EUR Euro, JPY Yen, GBP Pound, CHF Swiss Franc, CAD Canadian Dollar, AUD Australian Dollar, NZD New Zealand Dollar Mon, 10 Dec 2018 04:08:32 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=4.9.8 Asia Market Update: Oil, Cnh, Aud Trade https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/156001-asia-market-update-oil-cnh-aud-trade/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/156001-asia-market-update-oil-cnh-aud-trade/#respond Mon, 10 Dec 2018 03:29:01 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=156001 Oil market update Commodity market, in general, remains a binary trade very much but China’s unquenchable demand for Oil and Gas is back in focus this morning after Reuters reports China’s November oil, gas imports set fresh monthly record Reuters Given the fact we are entering a 90-day trade war moratorium where its expected that […]

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Brexit Monitor: Vote On Tuesday Is Not The Final Word In The Brexit Saga https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/155980-brexit-monitor-vote-on-tuesday-is-not-the-final-word-in-the-brexit-saga/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/155980-brexit-monitor-vote-on-tuesday-is-not-the-final-word-in-the-brexit-saga/#respond Mon, 10 Dec 2018 02:59:59 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=155980 Key dates 10 December: ECJ ruling on Brexit reversal and 4th day of Brexit debate. 11 December: Vote in House of Commons on Theresa May’s Brexit deal. 13-14 December: EU summit. 20 December to 7 January: House of Commons recess due to Christmas The vote on PM Theresa May’s Brexit deal takes place on Tuesday, […]

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Equity Markets: The Bar Is High For A Sustained Bullish Pivot https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/155978-equity-markets-the-bar-is-high-for-a-sustained-bullish-pivot/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/155978-equity-markets-the-bar-is-high-for-a-sustained-bullish-pivot/#respond Mon, 10 Dec 2018 02:02:41 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=155978 Brexit comes front and centre in the week ahead between the UK Parliament’s Meaningful Vote, Tuesday, December 11 and the following EU Summit, December 13-14. Remember that 320 is the crucial threshold to get a deal over the line in Parliament, with the single biggest issue now continuing to be the backstop arrangement. Foreshadowing a […]

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Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary: Perfect Example of He Said, Xi Said https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/155833-weekly-economic-and-financial-commentary-perfect-example-of-he-said-xi-said/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/155833-weekly-economic-and-financial-commentary-perfect-example-of-he-said-xi-said/#respond Sat, 08 Dec 2018 07:33:16 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=155833 U.S. Review Despite Market Jitters, Fed to Raise Rates in December An ephemeral trade truce, the inversion of the front-end of the yield curve and a softer than expected jobs report fueled fears of the economy slowing. But, with economic data this week suggesting a relatively healthy economy, we still expect the Fed to raise […]

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The Weekly Bottom Line: See You in Spring, Rate Hikes https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/155823-the-weekly-bottom-line-see-you-in-spring-rate-hikes/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/155823-the-weekly-bottom-line-see-you-in-spring-rate-hikes/#respond Sat, 08 Dec 2018 07:12:28 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=155823 U.S. Highlights Data released this week remains consistent with the view that U.S. economy continues to expand at an above-trend pace. Although disappointing in terms of the headline, job gains were also consistent with an economy running near capacity. Furthermore, wage growth held at a healthy pace in November. An agreement between the U.S. and […]

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OPEC+ Agrees on Big Output Cut https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/155821-opec-agrees-on-big-output-cut/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/155821-opec-agrees-on-big-output-cut/#respond Sat, 08 Dec 2018 07:03:50 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=155821 OPEC+ agrees to cut production by 1.2mb/d, effectively bringing its production back to its level at the beginning of the year. The deal is set to last six months and to be reviewed in April. The outcome was about as positive as it could be from the point of view of oil prices. Brent rallied […]

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OPEC+ Agrees to Overall Production Cuts to Counter Slower Demand Growth Next Year https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/155819-opec-agrees-to-overall-production-cuts-to-counter-slower-demand-growth-next-year/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/155819-opec-agrees-to-overall-production-cuts-to-counter-slower-demand-growth-next-year/#respond Sat, 08 Dec 2018 07:00:27 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=155819 The 175th OPEC Conference and the 5th ministerial meeting between OPEC and non-OPEC countries ended earlier today with participants agreeing to reduce overall production by 1.2 million barrels per day (mb/d), effective as of January 2019 and lasting for six months. This action was necessary in their view to reduce potential imbalance in the oil […]

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Brexit to Dominate Agenda in Busy Week for FX https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/155816-brexit-to-dominate-agenda-in-busy-week-for-fx/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/155816-brexit-to-dominate-agenda-in-busy-week-for-fx/#respond Sat, 08 Dec 2018 06:58:28 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=155816 Remember in last week’s outlook, I pointed out that “next week is going to be very interesting in the markets,” and that how I repeat this statement every week? Well, there’s no way I am going to deviate from that statement this time. Next week is unquestionably one of the most exciting times you will […]

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Soft Jobs Data Depreciated Dollar Looking Towards Inflation Data https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/155810-soft-jobs-data-depreciated-dollar-looking-towards-inflation-data/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/155810-soft-jobs-data-depreciated-dollar-looking-towards-inflation-data/#respond Sat, 08 Dec 2018 05:19:37 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=155810 The US dollar is mixed on Friday after a disappointing US jobs report. The NFP showed a 155,000 jobs gain in November, well below the 200,000 forecast. Weather issues played a part but overall the report will have a small impact on the December Fed meeting. What investors are focusing on is the effect it […]

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Treasuries Poised for 5th Straight Weekly Gain as Fed Hike Expectations Dwindle on Weaker US Data https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/155807-treasuries-poised-for-5th-straight-weekly-gain-as-fed-hike-expectations-dwindle-on-weaker-us-data/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/155807-treasuries-poised-for-5th-straight-weekly-gain-as-fed-hike-expectations-dwindle-on-weaker-us-data/#respond Sat, 08 Dec 2018 05:16:14 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=155807 US Treasury prices have rallied over the past month on slower growth concerns globally and domestically. Today’s move in Treasuries stemmed from softer US data that suggested US economic growth is slowing. Two weeks ago, Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida noted that gradual rate hikes are appropriate as monetary policy gets closer to its optimal […]

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Pound Could Shrug off Key Data as Brexit Vote Tops Agenda https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/155805-pound-could-shrug-off-key-data-as-brexit-vote-tops-agenda/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/155805-pound-could-shrug-off-key-data-as-brexit-vote-tops-agenda/#respond Fri, 07 Dec 2018 16:39:07 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=155805 Next week should be a busy one for the British pound as a crucial vote in Parliament will likely open a new era for the Brexit story and  May’s future as a leader. Key data releases such as GDP growth and employment readings are scheduled for delivery as well, but investors will probably be too obsessed with the […]

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Aussie Eyes China’s Trade and Inflation Data https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/155798-aussie-eyes-chinas-trade-and-inflation-data/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/155798-aussie-eyes-chinas-trade-and-inflation-data/#respond Fri, 07 Dec 2018 16:37:47 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=155798 Over the weekend, China will release its trade and inflation data for November. Forecasts point to a slowdown in both exports and imports, as well as in inflationary pressures. Such figures could amplify speculation that trade-related uncertainty is starting to weigh on the world’s second largest economy and potentially hurt the yuan, as well as […]

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China Weekly Letter – Will the Tech War Threaten a Trade Deal? https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/155791-china-weekly-letter-will-the-tech-war-threaten-a-trade-deal/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/155791-china-weekly-letter-will-the-tech-war-threaten-a-trade-deal/#respond Fri, 07 Dec 2018 16:33:48 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=155791 US-China ceasefire off to a rocky start – but we still look for a deal in 2019 The US-China trade deficit at a new high in October as China cuts imports China PMI surprised to the upside but we see more downside in coming months A rollercoaster week as ceasefire trade talks kick off I […]

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Week Ahead – Pound to Take Centre Stage as Brexit Vote Looms; ECB Meets Amid Worsening Eurozone Outlook https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/155784-week-ahead-pound-to-take-centre-stage-as-brexit-vote-looms-ecb-meets-amid-worsening-eurozone-outlook/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/155784-week-ahead-pound-to-take-centre-stage-as-brexit-vote-looms-ecb-meets-amid-worsening-eurozone-outlook/#respond Fri, 07 Dec 2018 16:09:57 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=155784 The pound looks set for even choppier times as British MPs will next week get to vote on Theresa May’s much criticized Brexit deal, while there will also be a flurry of UK data for traders to keep up with. The euro will also be in focus as the European Central Bank is due to […]

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Australia & New Zealand Weekly: Key Market and Economic Views for 2019 and 2020 https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/155773-australia-new-zealand-weekly-key-market-and-economic-views-for-2019-and-2020/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/155773-australia-new-zealand-weekly-key-market-and-economic-views-for-2019-and-2020/#respond Fri, 07 Dec 2018 16:05:37 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=155773 Week beginning 10 December 2018 Key market and economic views for 2019 and 2020. Australia: Westpac-MI consumer sentiment, AusChamber-Westpac survey, housing finance, RBA Assistant Governor Kent speaks, NAB business survey. NZ: Half-Year Fiscal and Economic Update, RBNZ Governor Orr testimony before Parliament, retail card spending, house prices and sales. China: retail sales, industrial production, fixed […]

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Weekly Focus – Rejection of Brexit Deal and ECB Ends QE Programme https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/155771-weekly-focus-rejection-of-brexit-deal-and-ecb-ends-qe-programme/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/155771-weekly-focus-rejection-of-brexit-deal-and-ecb-ends-qe-programme/#respond Fri, 07 Dec 2018 15:43:40 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=155771 Market Movers ahead We expect the ECB to officially end the QE programme when it meets next week. Flash PMIs for the US, Japan and euro area are due for release next week. In particular, the euro area PMIs are interesting given the negative momentum in Europe right now. In the US , CPI inflation […]

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Dollar Punished by Disappointing Jobs Report; Oil Jumps on OPEC Deal https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/155769-dollar-punished-by-disappointing-jobs-report-oil-jumps-on-opec-deal/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/155769-dollar-punished-by-disappointing-jobs-report-oil-jumps-on-opec-deal/#respond Fri, 07 Dec 2018 15:41:05 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=155769 Appetite for the Dollar diminished on Friday after November’s disappointing US jobs report reinforced expectations over the Fed taking a pause on rate hikes next year. The United States added another 155,000 jobs last month which was below the 189,00 forecast, while October figures were revised lower to 237,000 from the first estimate of 250,000. […]

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Sunset Market Commentary https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/155767-sunset-market-commentary-216/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/155767-sunset-market-commentary-216/#respond Fri, 07 Dec 2018 15:18:41 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=155767 Markets Core bonds lost ground today. Global markets calmed down after yesterday’s equity sell-off. Asian markets continued yesterday’s intraday risk rebound on US markets. The German Bund opened higher but edged gradually lower throughout the day. US Treasuries opened in a sideway manner. The EU only printed secondary eco data, leaving the investor focus on […]

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NFP Recap: All Systems Go for a December Fed Hike, Despite Slight Miss https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/155765-nfp-recap-all-systems-go-for-a-december-fed-hike-despite-slight-miss/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/155765-nfp-recap-all-systems-go-for-a-december-fed-hike-despite-slight-miss/#respond Fri, 07 Dec 2018 15:04:06 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=155765 For seemingly the first time in months, today’s US jobs report had at least a little potential to influence the imminent Federal Reserve interest rate decision. Amidst a dramatically flattening yield curve, fears that the US-China trade truce could fall apart following the arrest of a prominent Chinese businesswoman, and a sharp drop in the […]

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U.S. November Employment Slows https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/155763-u-s-november-employment-slows/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/155763-u-s-november-employment-slows/#respond Fri, 07 Dec 2018 15:00:03 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=155763 Highlights: November payroll employment rose 155k which was down from both the 198k expected going into the report and the 237k increase in October (previously reported as up 250k). The unemployment rate remained unchanged at a historically low 3.7%. The annual increase in wages remained unchanged at 3.1% though it is up from 2.5% a […]

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