Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3974; (P) 1.4070; (R1) 1.4132; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for the moment. At this point, we’re still mildly favoring the case of trend reversal. And, another rise is expected as long as 1.3872 support holds. Above 1.4309 should send the cross through channel resistance (now at 1.4378) to 1.4721 key resistance. However, break of 1.3872 will dampen our bullish view and bring retest of 1.3642 low instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6587 medium term top are viewed as a corrective pattern. Such correction could be completed after testing 1.3671 support. Break of 1.4721 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.6587 to 1.3624 at 1.4756) should confirm this case and target 61.8% retracement at 1.5455 and above. Overall, we’d expect the up trend from 1.1602 to resume later. However, sustained break of 1.3671 will invalidate our bullish view and would turn focus back to 1.1602 long term bottom.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6269; (P) 1.6423; (R1) 1.6508; More…

EUR/AUD dropped sharply to 1.6298 but recovered since then. Intraday bias is neutral first. Further fall is mildly in favor as long as 1.6686 resistance holds. Below 1.6298 will target a test on 1.6033 low. On the upside, though, break of 1.6686 will likely resume the corrective rebound from 1.6033 through 1.6827 resistance.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that price actions form 1.9799 might be developing into a sideway pattern only. That is, medium term outlook is just neutral, and up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) could resume at a later stage. On the downside, though, sustained trading below 55 week EMA (now at 1.6463) would revive medium term bearishness for 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6004; (P) 1.6044; (R1) 1.6103; More….

EUR/AUD surges to as high as 1.6123 so far and intraday bias remains on the upside. Current rally should target 100% projection of 1.5271 to 1.5886 from 1.5601 at 1.6216, which is close to 1.6189 high. On the downside, below 1.5983 resistance turn support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, EUR/AUD drew strong support from 55 week EMA and rebounded. And the development argues that medium term rally from 1.3624 (2017 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 1.6189 will target a test on 1.6587 (2015 high). On the downside, break of 1.5601 support will now be the first sign of medium term reversal, and will bring a test on 1.5271 key support for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6122; (P) 1.6185; (R1) 1.6216; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.6033 might extend further. Above 1.6299 minor resistance might bring another recovery. But outlook stays bearish as long as 1.6586 resistance holds. . On the downside, firm break of 1.6033 will confirm resumption of whole fall from 1.9799. Deeper fall would then be seen to long term EMA at 1.5790.

In the bigger picture, whole up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) might have completed at 1.9799. Deeper fall could be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 1.5790). Sustained break there will pave the way to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. This will remain the preferred case now as long as 1.6586 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4809; (P) 1.4919; (R1) 1.5016; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains on the downside for the moment. The correction from 1.5226 short term top could extend to 38.2% retracement of 1.3980 to 1.5226 at 1.4750. At this point, we’d expect strong support from 1.4669 to contain downside and bring rebound. Larger rise from 1.3642 is expected to resume later after the pull back completes.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6587 medium term top are viewed as a corrective pattern. Such correction should be completed at 1.3624 after defending 1.3671 key support. Rise from 1.3642 is now expected to target 61.8% retracement of 1.6587 to 1.3624 at 1.5455. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.6587. In any case, outlook will now stay cautiously bullish as long as 1.4669 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6162; (P) 1.6189; (R1) 1.6222; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for the moment. Some consolidations would be seen. But risk will stay on the upside as long as 1.5962 support holds. Break of 1.6314 will re-affirm medium term bullishness and target 1.6432 next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5894 support holds, outlook remains bullish. Firm break of 1.6786 will resume up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Next upside target is 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488. However, sustained break of 1.5894 will have 55 week EMA (now at 1.6079) firmly taken out too. That should indicate medium term topping and target 1.5346 key support next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5878; (P) 1.5938; (R1) 1.6000; More…

EUR/AUD continues to lose downside momentum as seen in 4H MACD. Strong support is still expected from around 100% projection of 1.6785 to 1.6134 from 1.6513 at 1.5862 to complete the fall from 1.6785. On the upside, break of 1.6101 resistance will confirm short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for rebound.

In the bigger picture, a medium term is possibly in place at 1.6785 already, on bearish divergence condition in D MACD. Fall from there is seen as corrective whole up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.6513 resistance holds, to 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.6785 at 1.5828. Strong support could be seen there to complete the first leg of the corrective pattern.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4962; (P) 1.5045; (R1) 1.5180; More…

EUR/AUD’s rally from 1.4281 is extending and intraday bias stays on the upside. Firm break of 61.8% projection of 1.4281 to 1.4965 from 1.4716 at 1.5139 will target 100% projection at 1.5400, which is close to 1.5396 key resistance. On the downside, break of 1.4716 support is needed to indicate completion of the rebound. Otherwise, further rise will remain in favor in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.9799 is still in progress. Break of 1.4318 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 1.5250 from 1.6434 at 1.3623, which is close to 1.3624 long term support (2017 low). This will remain the favored case now as long as 1.5396 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6353; (P) 1.6387; (R1) 1.6433; More…

No change in EUR/AUD’s outlook. Corrective fall from 1.6786 might extend. But downside should be contained by 1.6247 resistance turned support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, above 1.6594 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.6786 resistance first. Break will resume larger up trend. However, firm break of 1.6247 will turn focus back to 1.5894 support instead.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains bullish as up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is resuming. Strong support from 55 week EMA indicates medium term bullishness. Next upside target is 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488. In any case, break of 1.5894 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6601; (P) 1.6626; (R1) 1.6653; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains mildly on the downside for the moment. Deeper Deeper fall would be seen to 1.6449 support next. Firm break there will argue that the pattern from 1.6319 has completed at 1.6844 as a corrective move, and fall from 1.7062 is ready to resume through 1.6319. On the upside, above 1.6694 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, while 1.7062 is a medium term top, there is no clear sign of trend reversal as EUR/AUD continues to draw strong support from the medium term trend line. Break of 1.7062 will resume the larger up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) to 1.7691 fibonacci level. Nevertheless, break of 1.6449 support will argue that deeper correction is underway to 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6455; (P) 1.6514; (R1) 1.6555; More…

EUR/AUD’s consolidation from 1.6671 is in progress and intraday bias stays neutral. Rise from 1.6127 is expected to continue as long as 1.6398 support holds. Corrective fall from 1.7062 should have completed with three waves down to 1.6127 already. Above 1.6671 will target 1.6844 resistance to confirm this bullish case.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). Break of 1.6844 resistance will argue that this up trend is ready to resume through 1.7062 high. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen around 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6172; (P) 1.6215; (R1) 1.6279; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD stays neutral as sideway consolidations continue. Further rally is expected as long as 1.6053 support holds. Decisive break there of 61.8% projection of 1.4281 to 1.5976 from 1.5254 at 1.6302 will resume larger rally from 1.4281 to 1.6389 fibonacci level and then 1.6434 resistance. However, firm break of 1.6053 will indicate rejection by 1.6302 and turn bias back to the downside for 1.5848 support.

In the bigger picture, the strong support from 55 week EMA (now at 1.5404) is raising the chance of bullish trend reversal. Focus is now on 1.6434 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.4281 at 1.6389). Sustained break there should confirm that whole down trend from 1.9799 (2020 high) has completed. Further rally should then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.7691. However, rejection by this cluster resistance will make medium term outlook neutral at best.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5115; (P) 1.5146; (R1) 1.5185; More….

The corrective pull back from 1.5392 is still in progress and could extend lower. But after all, with 1.4949 support intact, outlook remains bullish and medium term rally is still in favor to resume. On the upside, break of 1.5392 will resume medium term rise from 1.3624 and target 61.8% projection of 1.3624 to 1.5226 from 1.4949 at 1.5939 first. However, decisive break of 1.4949 will carry larger bearish implication and turn bias to the downside.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that corrective decline from 1.6587 medium term top has completed at 1.3624. Rise from 1.3624 is expected to extend to retest 1.6587. However, break of 1.4949 support will dampen our view and argue that rise from 1.3624 has completed. In that case, EUR/AUD would turn southward for retesting 1.3624 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6566; (P) 1.6627; (R1) 1.6671; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD is mildly on the upside for retesting 1.6872 resistance Decisive break there will resume the corrective rebound from 1.6033 and target 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.6033 at 1.7472. On the downside, however, break of 1.6461 will bring deeper fall to 1.6337 support instead.

In the bigger picture, EUR/AUD is now back above 55 day EMA (now at 1.6463) with current rebound. The development argues that price actions form 1.9799 might be developing into a sideway pattern only. That is, medium term outlook is just neutral, and up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) could resume at a later stage. On the downside, though, sustained trading below 55 week EMA would revive medium term bearishness for 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6762; (P) 1.6846; (R1) 1.6895; More…

Despite retreating, further rise is expected in EUR/AUD with 1.6708 support intact. Current rally is part of the up trend from 1.4281. Next target is 1.7377 projection level next. On the downside, break 1.6708 minor support will turn bias to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, the rise from 1.4281 (2022 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.5254 to 1.6785 from 1.5846 at 1.7377. For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.5846 support holds, even in case of another pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6112; (P) 1.6128; (R1) 1.6158; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral first. Further fall is in favor as long as 1.6256 support turned resistance holds. Break of 1.6085 will extend the decline from 1.6593 to 1.5962 support. Nevertheless, firm break of 1.6256 will turn bias to the upside for 1.6448 resistance.

In the bigger picture, EUR/AUD is still struggling in established range of 1.5905/6786. And it’s trying to draw support from 55 week EMA (now at 1.6113) again. For now, larger up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is still in favor to continue as long as 1.5962 support holds. Break of 1.6503 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4997; (P) 1.5027; (R1) 1.5081; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral and risk stays on the downside with 1.5227 resistance intact. Corrective rebound from 1.4318 could have completed with three waves up to 1.5277 already. Below 1.4885 will target 1.4597 support first. Break there will bring retest of 1.4318 low next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5354 support turned resistance holds, larger down trend form 1.9799 (2020 high) is still expected to continue. On resumption, next target is 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 1.5250 from 1.6434 at 1.3623, which is close to 1.3624 long term support (2017 low). However, firm break of 1.5354 will indicate medium term bottoming and bring stronger rally back to 1.6434 key resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5757; (P) 1.5825; (R1) 1.5868; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral at this point. Rise from 1.5271 is likely still in progress. ON the upside, break of 1.5888 resistance will extend the rally towards 1.6139/89 resistance zone. However, break of 1.5651 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.5271 to 1.5886 at 1.5651) will indicate near term reversal and turn bias back to the downside for 1.5271.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that fall from 1.6189 is a corrective move and has completed at 1.5271 already. Key support levels of 1.5153 and 38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.6189 at 1.5209 were defended. And medium term rise from 1.3624 (2017 low) is still in progress. Break of 1.6189 will target 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6523; (P) 1.6591; (R1) 1.6649; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD stays neutral for the moment. With 1.6485 support intact, further rise is expected. The cross should be in correction to fall from 1.9799 to 1.6033. Break of 1.6827 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.6033 at 1.7472. However, break of 1.6485 support will argue that the rebound might be completed and turn focus to 1.6337 support for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, EUR/AUD is now back above 55 day EMA (now at 1.6463) with current rebound. The development argues that price actions form 1.9799 might be developing into a sideway pattern only. That is, medium term outlook is just neutral, and up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) could resume at a later stage. On the downside, though, sustained trading below 55 week EMA would revive medium term bearishness for 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4498; (P) 1.4534; (R1) 1.4562; More…

EUR/AUD’s fall from 1.5396 resumes by breaking through 1.4508 support. Intraday bias is back on the downside for retesting 1.4318 low. Decisive break there will resume larger down trend. On the upside, break of 1.4804 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.9799 is still in progress. Break of 1.4318 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 1.5250 from 1.6434 at 1.3623, which is close to 1.3624 long term support (2017 low). This will remain the favored case now as long as 1.5396 resistance holds.