EUR/GBP edged higher to 0.8710 last week, but retreated ahead of 0.8720 resistance. Initial bias is turned neutral this week first. On the upside, decisive break of 0.8720 high will carry larger bullish implications. Next target is 100% projection of 0.8201 to 0.8720 from 0.8338 at 0.8857. However, break of 0.8565 will indicate rejection by 0.8270, and turn bias back to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 0.8515) and below.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697. Sustained break there will argue that rise from 0.8201 is a medium term up trend, rather than a correction. Next target is 61.8% retracement at 0.9003. Rejection by 0.8697 again will maintain medium term bearishness, for extending the down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high) at a later stage.

In the long term picture, the lack of medium term downside momentum suggests that fall from 0.9499 (2020 high) is merely a correction to rise from 0.6935 (2015 high). In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9499 at 0.7917 to bring rebound. Sustained trading above 55 month EMA (now at 0.8601) will indicate that the correction has completed and bring retest of 0.9499.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8512; (P) 0.8550; (R1) 0.8575; More…

Outlook in EUR/GBP is unchanged and intraday bias stays neutral first. With 0.8365 support intact, further rise is in favor. On the upside, break of 0.8617 will resume rise from 0.8201 medium term bottom to 0.8697 medium term fibonacci level. However, break of 0.8365 will dampen this bullish view, and turn bias back to the downside instead.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom could be in place at 0.8201, on bullish convergence condition in daily and weekly MACD. Rise from there could either be a correction to the down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high), or a medium term up trend itself. In either case, further rise should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697. Sustained break there will target 61.8% retracement at 0.9003.

EUR/GBP dipped to 0.8451 last week but quickly recovered. Initial bias is neutral this week first. On the downside, below 0.8451 will bring retest of 0.8276 low. On the upside, break of 0.8591 will extend the rebound form 0.8276 to 38.2% retracement of 0.9324 to 0.8276 at 0.8676.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) should have completed at 0.9324 already. As long as 0.8786 support turned resistance holds, further decline is expected. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9324 at 0.7848. Nevertheless, break of 0.8786 will argue that fall from 0.9324 has completed and turn focus back to this high.

In the long term picture, fall form 0.9324 is currently seen as the third leg of the whole pattern from 0.9799 (2008 high). It’s a bit early to judge how fall the decline would extend to and whether 0.6935 would be taken out. We’ll pay attention to the structure of the fall from 0.9324 and corresponding downside momentum to made an assessment later.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8721; (P) 0.8769; (R1) 0.8821; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral at this point, and deeper decline is in favor with 0.8848 minor resistance intact. Rise from 0.8201 could have completed at 0.9267 in three-wave corrective pattern. Sustained break of 55 day EMA (now at 0.86426) will target 0.8201/8338 support zone. On the upside, above 0.8848 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for recovery instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.8720 resistance turned support holds, rise from 0.8201 is seen as resuming larger up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low). Break of 0.9499 (2020 high) should be seen at a later stage. However, firm break of 0.8720 will argue that sideway pattern from 0.9499 is extending with another falling leg instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8557; (P) 0.8599; (R1) 0.8672; More…

EUR/GBP’s rebound from 0.8448 resumed by breaking 0.8612 resistance. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 0.8668 key structural resistance next. Sustained break there will be a strong sign of larger bullish reversal. Next target will be 161.8% projection of 0.8448 to 0.8612 from 0.8499 at 0.8764.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall could be seen as long as 0.8668 resistance holds, towards long term support at 0.8276. However, firm break of 0.8668 resistance would argue that a medium term bottom was already formed. Stronger rise would be seen to 0.8861 support turned resistance to confirm completion of the corrective pattern.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8975; (P) 0.9006; (R1) 0.9023; More…

No change in EUR/GBP’s outlook as sideway trading is still in progress. With 0.8861 support intact, choppy rise from 0.8670 is in favor to extend. On the upside, decisive break of 0.9291 will target 0.9449 high. On the downside, however, break of 0.8861 will bring deeper fall back to 0.8670 support.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. Decisive break of 0.9499 will target 0.9799 (2008 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9045; (P) 0.9073; (R1) 0.9120; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the upside at this point. rebound form 0.8670 is in progress for 61.8% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8670 at 0.9182 first. Sustained trading above there will pave the way to retest 0.9499 high. On the downside, below 0.9901 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for testing 0.8864 support instead.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 was deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8622; (P) 0.8639; (R1) 0.8648; More….

Break of 0.8629 support indicates resumption of the choppy decline from 0.8704. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 0.8568 support next. Whole rebound form 0.8491 could have completed after rejection by 0.8700 resistance. Break of 0.8568 will bring retest of 0.8491 low. On the upside, though, above 0.8654 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is seen as part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Decisive break of 0.8700 resistance will argue that this decline has completed with three waves down to 0.8491. Rise from 0.8491 could then be another leg inside the pattern and targets 0.8977 and above. However, rejection by 0.8700 will keep the down trend alive for another fall through 0.8491 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8523; (P) 0.8592; (R1) 0.8628; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the downside for 0.8402 support. Break of 0.8402 will extend the correction from 0.9304 with the third leg. In that case, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, though, above 0.8604 minor resistance will turn bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9304 are viewed as a medium term corrective pattern. Deeper fall cannot be ruled out yet. But we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside. Overall, the corrective pattern would take some time to complete before long term up trend resumes at a later stage. Break of 0.9304 will pave the way to 0.9799 (2008 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8358; (P) 0.8380; (R1) 0.8396; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, below 0.8344 minor support will bring retest of 0.8282 low. . Sustained break of 0.8276 key long term support will carry larger bearish implication. On the upside, above 0.8411 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 0.8476 resistance. Break there will resume the rebound from 0.8282.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still seen a corrective pattern that should be contained by 0.8276 long term support (2019 low). Bullish convergence condition in daily MACD and break of 55 day EMA raises the chance that it might be completed. Sustained trading above 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8282 at 0.8747 will affirm this bullish case. However, sustained break of 0.8276 will argue that the long term trend has reversed.

EUR/GBP surged to as high as 0.9086 last week but failed to take out 0.9098 resistance, and turned into consolidation. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. As long as 0.8931 resistance turned support holds, further rise is expected. Decisive break of 0.9098 resistance will extend the rally from 0.8655 and target 0.9304 key resistance next. However, considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, firm break of 0.8931 will indicate near term reversal and target 0.8810 support and below.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). It should be in medium term rising leg for 0.9304. Meanwhile, in case of another fall, down side should be contained by 0.8620/55 support zone to bring rebound.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Hence, after the consolidation from 0.9304 completes, we’d expect another medium term up trend through 0.9799 to 100% projection of 0.5680 to 0.9799 from 0.6935 at 1.1054.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8573; (P) 0.8594; (R1) 0.8611; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains mildly on the upside. Rise from 0.8448 would target 0.8668 resistance. Firm break there will be a strong sign of near term bullish reversal at least. Next target is 0.8718 resistance. On the downside, break of 0.8561 support, however, would argue that the rebound has completed, and turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8448 low.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall could be seen as long as 0.8668 resistance holds, towards long term support at 0.8276. However, firm break of 0.8668 resistance would argue that a medium term bottom was already formed. Stronger rise would be seen to 0.8861 support turned resistance to confirm completion of the corrective pattern.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8542; (P) 0.8568; (R1) 0.8611; More…

EUR/GBP’s rally resumed after brief consolidation and intraday bias is back on the upside. Further rally should be seen to 0.8697 medium term fibonacci level next. On the downside, break of 0.8514 support is needed to signal short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom could be in place at 0.8201, on bullish convergence condition in daily and weekly MACD. Rise from there could either be a correction to the down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high), or a medium term up trend itself. In either case, further rise should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697. Sustained break there will target 61.8% retracement at 0.9003.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8597; (P) 0.8622; (R1) 0.8648; More…

EUR/GBP is still bounded in consolidation from 0.8472 and outlook is unchanged. While further recovery cannot be ruled out, upside should be limited below 0.8681 resistance. On the downside, decisive break of 0.8472 will confirm resumption of down trend from 0.9101 and target 61.8% projection of 0.9101 to 0.8472 from 0.8681 at 0.8292 next.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 0.9306 (2017 high) is seen as a corrective move. Current development suggests that it’s extending through 0.8312 support towards 50% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9306 at 0.8121. We’ll look for strong support around there to contain downside to complete the correction. But for now, break of 0.8681 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8793; (P) 0.8818; (R1) 0.8848; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral as it’s bounded in sideway trading between 0.8732/9032 last week. Outlook stays bearish with 0.9032 resistance intact. That is, fall from 0.9305 is expected to resume later. Break of 0.8732 will target 0.8303 key support level. Nonetheless, decisive break of 0.9032 will confirm completion of the decline from 0.9305. In such case, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 0.9305 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, there are various ways to interpret price actions from 0.9304 high. But after all, firm break of 0.9304/5 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, range trading will continue with risk of deeper fall. And in that case, EUR/GBP could have a retest on 0.8303. But we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8515; (P) 0.8537; (R1) 0.8553; More…

EUR/GBP is staying in tight range above 0.8512 and intraday bias remains neutral. On the downside, below 0.8521 will resume the fall from 0.8764 to retest 0.8491. Break there will extend larger down trend to 0.8464 projection level. On the upside, above 0.8566 minor resistance will suggest short term bottoming, on bullish convergence condition in 4H MACD. Intraday bias will be turned to the upside for stronger rebound to 55 D EMA (now at 0.8602).

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.8764 is seen as another leg in the whole down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high). Outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8713 resistance holds. Break of 0.8491 will target 61.8% projection of 0.8977 to 0.8491 from 0.8764 at 0.8464.

EUR/GBP’s late breach of 0.8535 minor support argues that recovery from 0.8497 has completed at 0.8577 already. Initial bias is now on the downside this week for retesting 0.8491/7 support zone. Decisive break there will resume larger down trend. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.8577 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.8764 is seen as another leg in the whole down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high). Outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8713 resistance holds. Break of 0.8491 will target 61.8% projection of 0.8977 to 0.8491 from 0.8764 at 0.8464.

In the long term picture, price action from 0.9499 (2020 high) is seen as part of the long term range pattern from 0.9799 (2008 high). Fall from 0.9267 is the third leg of the pattern from 0.9499. Break of 0.8201 (2022 low) will target 100% projection of 0.9499 to 0.8201 from 0.9267 at 0.7969.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8933; (P) 0.8969; (R1) 0.8990; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, firm break of 0.8944 support will come with firm break of 55 day EMA. That would argue that rebound from 0.8670 has completed. In this case, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 0.8864 support for confirmation. On the upside, break of 0.9175 will resume larger rise from 0.8670, towards 0.9499 high.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 was deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8326; (P) 0.8371; (R1) 0.8457; More…

EUR/GBP’s break of 0.8421 resistance indicates that a short term bottom is at least formed at 0.8282, just ahead of 0.8276 long term support. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 0.8598 structural resistance next. For now, risk will stay on the upside as long as 0.8282 support holds, even in case of deep retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still see a corrective pattern that should be contained by 0.8276 long term support. Bullish convergence condition in daily MACD and break of 55 day EMA raises the chance that it might be completed. Break of 0.8598 and sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 0.8578) should confirm this case and turn outlook bullish for 0.9499 high again. However, sustained break of 0.8276 will argue that the long term trend has reversed.

EUR/GBP continued to gyrate inside near term falling channel last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the downside, break of 0.8529 will resume the choppy decline towards retesting 0.8470 low. On the upside, decisive break of 0.8670 will confirm that corrective fall from 0.8718 has completed. Further rise would be seen to resume the rebound from 0.8470.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. However, firm break of 0.8276 support will suggest that rise from 0.6935 has completed and turn medium term outlook bearish.

In the long term picture, rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is still in progress. It could be resuming long term up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Break of 0.9799 (2008 high) is expected down the road, as long as 0.8276 support holds.