Thu, Aug 13, 2020 @ 20:45 GMT

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8539; (P) 0.8561; (R1) 0.8583; More

EUR/GBP’s consolidation pattern from 0.8472 is possibly extending with another rising leg for now. While further recovery cannot be ruled out, upside should be limited below 0.8681 resistance. On the downside, decisive break of 0.8472 will confirm resumption of down trend from 0.9101 and target 61.8% projection of 0.9101 to 0.8472 from 0.8681 at 0.8292 next.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 0.9306 (2017 high) is seen as a corrective move. Current development suggests that it’s extending through 0.8312 support towards 50% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9306 at 0.8121. We’ll look for strong support around there to contain downside to complete the correction. But for now, break of 0.8681 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

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EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8966; (P) 0.8984; (R1) 0.9012; More…

With 0.8954 minor support intact, further rise is til in favor in EUR/GBP to 0.9101 key resistance. We’d continue to be cautious on topping there to bring pull back. On the downside, break of 0.8954 support will indicate short term topping. In this case, deeper pull back could be seen to 55 day EMA (now at 0.8855) first.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 0.9305 (2017 high) is seen as a corrective move. No change in this view. Current development argues that it might have completed with three waves down to 0.8472, just ahead of 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9306 at 0.8400, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8527). Decisive break of 0.9101 resistance will confirm this bullish case. Nevertheless, as EUR/GBP is still staying inside long term falling channel, correction from 0.9305 could still extend to 0.8400 fibonacci level before completion, if upside is rejected by 0.9101.

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EUR/GBP Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9060; (P) 0.9080; (R1) 0.9107; More…

EUR/GBP retreats sharply after hitting upper channel resistance. A temporary top is in place at 0.9097 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Deeper retreat could be seen to 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 0.9016). But downside should be contained well above 0.8895 and bring rise resumption. On the upside, above 0.9097 will resume the rally from 0.8620 and target 0.9305 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is staying in long term range pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). The corrective structure of the fall from 0.9305 to 0.8620 is raising the chance that rise from 0.8312 to 0.9305 is an impulsive move. But we’re not too confident on it yet. In any case, we’d stay cautious on strong resistance from 0.9304/5 to limit upside in case of further rally. Meanwhile, if there is another medium term decline, strong support will likely be seen from 0.8303 to contain downside.

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EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8772; (P) 0.8807; (R1) 0.8842; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the upside at this point. Current rise should target 0.8840 resistance first. Decisive break there will target 0.9101 key resistance next. On the downside, break of 0.8681 resistance turned support is needed to indicate completion of rise from 0.8489. Otherwise, near term outlook will remain cautiously bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 0.9305 (2017 high) is seen as a corrective move. No change in this view. Current development argues that it might have completed with three waves down to 0.8472, just ahead of 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9306 at 0.8400, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8511). Decisive break of 0.9101 resistance will confirm this bullish case. Nevertheless, as EUR/GBP is still staying inside long term falling channel, correction from 0.9305 could still extend to 0.8400 fibonacci level before completion.

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EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8793; (P) 0.8829; (R1) 0.8851; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for consolidation above 0.8763 temporary low. Further decline is expected as long as 0.8927 support turned resistance holds. Below 0.8763 will target 0.8620/55 support zone. We’d expect strong support from there to bring near term reversal.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). The medium term range is set between 0.8620 and 0.9101. Downside break out of 0.8620 will pave the way back to 0.8302/12 support zone. Break of 0.9101 will bring retest of 0.9304/5 resistance.

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EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8898; (P) 0.8956; (R1) 0.9008; More…

Outlook in EUR/GBP remains unchanged. We’d continue to expect strong support from 0.8891 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.8472 to 0.9324 at 0.8856) to contained downside and bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9015 support turned resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 0.9324 high. However, sustained break of 0.8891 will target 61.8% retracement of 0.8472 to 0.9324 at 0.8797 and below.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should be resuming. Sustained break of 0.9305 will confirm and target 0.9799 (2008 high) and then 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9305 from 0.8472 at 0.9937. In any case, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 0.8891 support holds, in case of deep pull back. However, sustained break of 0.8891 will dampen this bullish view and focus would be back on 0.8472 key support.

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EUR/GBP Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8738; (P) 0.8754; (R1) 0.8765; More…

EUR/GBP’s break of 0.8728 minor support suggests completion of rebound from 0.8617. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for 0.8617/20 key support zone. On the upside, break of 0.8840 will extend the rebound to 61.8% retracement of 0.9101 to 0.8617 at 0.8916 instead.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). The medium term range is set between 0.8620 and 0.9101. Downside breakout of 0.8620 will pave the way back to 0.8312 support . Break of 0.9101 will bring retest of 0.9304/5 resistance.

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EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8809; (P) 0.8835; (R1) 0.8873; More

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral as sideway trading from 0.8879 continues. On the downside, break of 0.8718 support will argue that rise from 0.8312 has completed. In that case, intraday bias with be turned back to the downside for lower side of the range at 0.8312. Meanwhile, break of 0.8879 and sustained trading above 0.8851 will pave the way to retest 0.9304 high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9304 are viewed as a medium term corrective pattern. It’s uncertain whether it is finished yet. But in case of another fall, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside and bring rebound. Whole up trend from 0.6935 is expected to resume after consolidation from 0.9304 completes.

EUR/GBP 4 Hours Chart

EUR/GBP Daily Chart

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EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8773; (P) 0.8789; (R1) 0.8815; More

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment as consolidation from 0.8865 continues. Another fall could be seen but downside should be contained by 0.8639 support to bring rebound. Further rise is expected and decisive of 0.8851 resistance will pave the way to retest 0.9304 high. However, break of 0.8639 support will now indicate near term topping and bring deeper pull back 0.8529 resistance turned support and below.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9304 are viewed as a medium term corrective pattern. The leg from 0.9304 should have completed after testing 0.8332 structural support. But it’s too early to say that larger rise from 0.6935 is resuming. Rejection from 0.9304 will extend the consolidation with another falling leg. Meanwhile, firm break of 0.9304 will target 0.9799 (2008 high). In case of another decline, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside and bring rebound.

EUR/GBP 4 Hours Chart

EUR/GBP Daily Chart

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EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8727; (P) 0.8763; (R1) 0.8801; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral as range trading continues inside 0.8693/8844. With 0.8693 minor support intact, we’d favor another rise. On the upside, break of 0.8844 will resume the rebound from 0.8620 for 0.8967 cluster resistance (50% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.8963). However, break of 0.8693 will bring deeper fall back to retest 0.8620 low.

In the bigger picture, for now, the decline from 0.9305 is seen as a leg inside the long term consolidation pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). Such consolidation pattern could extend further. Hence, in case of strong rally, we’d be cautious on strong resistance by 0.9304/5 to limit upside. Meanwhile, in another decline attempt, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

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EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8397; (P) 0.8442; (R1) 0.8473; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral first. With 0.8487 minor resistance intact, further decline is expected. Corrective rise from 0.8276 should have completed at 0.8595. Below 0.8386 will bring retest of 0.8276 low. On the upside, break of 0.8487 will dampen this bearish view and turn focus back to 0.8595 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 0.9324 medium term top is till in progress. As long as 0.8786 support turned resistance holds, further fall is expected to 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9324 at 0.7848. Nevertheless, break of 0.8786 will argue that fall from 0.9324 has completed and turn focus back to this high.

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EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP’s strong rebound last week revived near term bullishness, with 55 day EMA defended. Pull back from 0.9175 should have completed at 0.8930 and rise from 0.8670 is probably ready to resume. Further rise is expected this week for 0.9175 first. Break will target 61.8% projection of 0.8670 to 0.9175 from 0.8930 at 0.9242. On the downside, below 0.9034 minor support will dampen this bullish case and turn intraday bias back to the downside.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 was deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

In the long term picture, rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is still in progress. It could be resuming long term up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Decisive break of 0.9799 will target 100% projection of 0.5680 to 0.9799 from 0.6935 at 1.1054.

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EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8718; (P) 0.8767; (R1) 0.8805; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays neutral first. With 0.8726 minor support intact, further rise is mildly in favor. Firm break of 38.2% retracement of 0.9101 to 0.8617 at 0.8802 will target 61.8% retracement at 0.8916. On the downside, break of 0.8726 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.8617/20 support instead.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). The medium term range is set between 0.8620 and 0.9101. Downside breakout of 0.8620 will pave the way back to 0.8312 support . Break of 0.9101 will bring retest of 0.9304/5 resistance.

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EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP’s fall from 0.9324 extended lower last week and broke key 0.8891 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.8472 to 0.9324 at 0.8856). The development dampened our original bullish view. Initial bias is back on the downside this week for 61.8% retracement of 0.8472 to 0.9324 at 0.8797. Sustained break will target 0.8472 key support. On the upside, above 0.8974 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 0.9305 (2017 high) suggests that consolidation from there is extending. Breach of 0.8472 cannot be ruled out but downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9305 at 0.8400. On the upside, firm break of 0.9327 will confirm up trend resumption.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). As long as 0.8472 support holds, further rise should be seen through 0.9305 to 0.9799 and above down the road.

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EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8746; (P) 0.8780; (R1) 0.8798; More

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for consolidation below 0.8879. On the downside, break of 0.8718 support will argue that rise from 0.8312 has completed. In that case, intraday bias with be turned back to the downside for lower side of the range at 0.8312. Meanwhile, break of 0.8879 and sustained trading above 0.8851 will pave the way to retest 0.9304 high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9304 are viewed as a medium term corrective pattern. It’s uncertain whether it is finished yet. But in case of another fall, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside and bring rebound. Whole up trend from 0.6935 is expected to resume after consolidation from 0.9304 completes.

EUR/GBP 4 Hours Chart

EUR/GBP Daily Chart

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EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

Despite dipping to 0.8810 last week, EUR/GBP quickly recovered. But there was no follow through buying through 0.8939 resistance. Initial bias is neutral this week first. On the upside, firm break of 0.8939 resistance will confirm completion of the fall from 0.9098 and turn outlook bullish for this resistance. On the downside, below 0.8810 will turn bias to the downside for 0.8655 low instead.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). Sustained break of 0.8939 resistance will confirm that it’s in a medium term rising leg for 0.9098 and above. And for now, in case of another fall, downside will likely be contained by 0.8620/55 support zone to bring rebound.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Hence, after the consolidation from 0.9304 completes, we’d expect another medium term up trend through 0.9799 to 100% projection of 0.5680 to 0.9799 from 0.6935 at 1.1054.

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EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP dipped to 0.8383 last week but quickly recovered. The corrective structure of fall from 0.8529 to 0.8383 suggests that rebound from 0.8312 is still in progress. Break of 0.8508 resistance should confirm and bring stronger rise.

Initial bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 0.8508 will extend the rebound from 0.8312 to 0.8786 resistance next. Further break there will target 0.9304 high. On the downside, below 0.8383 will turn bias to the downside for 0.8303/8312 support zone instead. Overall, EUR/GBP is staying in the corrective pattern from 0.9304 which will extend for a while.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9304 are viewed as a medium term corrective pattern. In case of deeper fall, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside. Rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) will resume at a later stage to 0.9799 (2008 high). However, sustained break of 0.8116 could bring deeper decline to next key support level at 0.7564 before the correction completes.

In the long term picture, firstly, price action from 0.9799 (2008 high) is seen as a long term corrective pattern and should have completed at 0.6935 (2015 low). Secondly, rise from 0.6935 is likely resuming up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Thirdly, this is supported by the impulsive structure of the rise from 0.6935 to 0.9304. Hence, after the correction from 0.9304 completes, we’d expect another medium term up trend to target 0.9799 high and above.

EUR/GBP 4 Hours Chart

EUR/GBP Daily Chart

EUR/GBP Weekly Chart

EUR/GBP Monthly Chart

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EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8470; (P) 0.8484; (R1) 0.8508; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral as consolidation pattern from 0.8276 is extending. Rise from 0.8386 might extend to 0.8595 resistance. Break there will target 38.2% retracement of 0.9324 to 0.8276 at 0.8676. On the downside, break of 0.8386 will bring retest of 0.8276 low instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 0.9324 medium term top is still in progress. As long as 0.8786 support turned resistance holds, further fall is expected to 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9324 at 0.7848. Nevertheless, break of 0.8786 will argue that fall from 0.9324 has completed and turn focus back to this high.

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EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9219; (P) 0.9248; (R1) 0.9266; More…

Break of 0.9198 support suggests short term topping at 0.9324, on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias is back on the downside for pull back to 55 day EMA (now at 0.9019). But strong support should be seen in 0.8891/9051 support zone to bring rise resumption. Break of 0.9324 will resume larger up trend.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should be resuming. Sustained break of 0.9305 will confirm and target t 0.9799 (2008 high) and then 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9305 from 0.8472 at 0.9937. In any case, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 0.8891 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

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EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8750; (P) 0.8781; (R1) 0.8809; More…

EUR/GBP is staying in consolidation above 0.8722 and intraday bias remains neutral. Also, with 0.8847 support turned resistance intact, deeper fall is expected. On the downside, break of 0.8772 will target 0.8620 low first. Decisive break there will resume whole down trend from 0.9304. In that case, next target will be 100% projection of 0.9305 to 0.8620 from 0.9097 at 0.8412.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). Current development suggests that fall from 0.9303, as a down leg in the pattern, is still in progress. But in case of deeper fall, downside should be contained by 0.8116 cluster support, 50% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9304 at 0.8120, to bring rebound.

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