Thu, Aug 22, 2019 @ 04:40 GMT

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0660; (P) 1.0693 (R1) 1.0727; More…..

EUR/USD dips notably in early US session but stays above 1.0588 minor support so far. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Price actions from 1.0339 are seen as a corrective move. Break of 1.0588 will indicate that such rise is completed and turn bias to the downside for retesting 1.0339 low. In case of extension, upside should be limited by 1.0872 resistance.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is in progress. Such down trend is expected to extend to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115. On the upside, break of 1.1298 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of rebound.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0548; (P) 1.0589 (R1) 1.0627; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD strays neutral as consolidation from 1.0493 temporary low continues. With 1.0678 minor resistance intact, deeper decline is still expected. We’re viewing fall from 1.0828 as resuming the larger down trend. Below 1.0493 will target 1.0339 low first. Break will confirm our bearish view and target parity. However, break of 1.0678 will dampen our view and turn focus back to 1.0828 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is in progress. Such down trend is expected to extend to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115. On the upside, break of 1.1298 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of rebound.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

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EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0846; (P) 1.0890 (R1) 1.0916; More….

The breach of 1.0874 minor support suggests short term topping at 1.1020, on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias in EUR/USD is turned back to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.0757) first. As noted before, rise from 1.0339 is seen as a corrective move. Break of 55 day EMA will affirm the case that such correction is completed and bring deeper decline to 1.0569 for confirmation. Above 1.1020 will extend such corrective rise instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1298 key resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0339 low will send EUR/USD through parity to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115. However, considering bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD, break of 1.1298 will indicate long term reversal.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

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EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1753; (P) 1.1790 (R1) 1.1851; More

While EUR/USD recovered, it’s limited below 1.1846 minor resistance so far. Intraday bias remains neutral as consolidation from 1.1908 might extend. In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.1119 to 1.1908 at 1.1606 to bring up trend resumption. Break f 1.1846 minor resistance will argue that larger rise from 1.0339 is resuming for 1.2042 long term support turned resistance next.

In the bigger picture, an important bottom was formed at 1.0339 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Sustained trading above 55 month EMA (now at 1.1768) will pave the way to key fibonacci level at 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. While rise from 1.0339 is strong, there is no confirmation that it’s developing into a long term up trend yet. Hence, we’ll be cautious on strong resistance from 1.2516 to limit upside. But for now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.1295 support holds, in case of pull back.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

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EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1189; (P) 1.1206 (R1) 1.1228; More….

EUR/USD continues to gyrate in range below 1.1284 and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Focus remains on 1.1298 key resistance. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implication and target 1.1615 resistance next. On the downside, break of 1.1109 support will indicate short term topping and rejection from 1.1298. In such case, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 1.0838 support.

In the bigger picture, the case for medium term reversal continues to build up with EUR/USD staying far above 55 week EMA (now at 1.0922). Also, bullish convergence condition is seen in weekly MACD. Focus will now be on 1.1298 key resistance. Rejection from there will maintain medium term bearishness and would extend the whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high). However, firm break of 1.1298 will indicate reversal. In such case, further rally would be seen back to 1.2042 support turned resistance next.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

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EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1777; (P) 1.1799 (R1) 1.1817; More

The break of 1.1780 minor support argues that rebound from 1.1669 is completed. Also, correction from 1.2091 is still in progress. Intraday bias is turned back tot he downside for 1.1669 first. Break will target 38.2% retracement of 1.0569 to 1.2091 at 1.1510. Strong support is expected there to complete the correction. On the upside, above 1.1879 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.2091 high.

In the bigger picture, rise from medium term bottom at 1.0339 is not finished yet. It’s expected to continue after pull back from 1.2091 completes. And, next target will be 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. However, it should be noted that there is no confirmation of trend reversal yet. That is, such rebound from 1.0399 could be a correction. And the long term fall from 1.6039 (2008 high) could resume. Hence, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.2516 to limit upside.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1721; (P) 1.1738 (R1) 1.1758; More

EUR/USD’s rebound form 1.1669 is still in progress and focus is now on 1.1832 resistance. Decisive break there will suggest that the correction from 1.2091 is completed at 1.1669, ahead of 1.1661 support. In that case, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.2091 high. On the downside, break of 1.1669 will extend the correction to 1.2091 to 38.2% retracement of 1.0569 to 1.2091 at 1.1510. We’d expect strong support from 1.1510 to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, rise from medium term bottom at 1.0339 is not finished yet. It’s expected to continue after pull back from 1.2091 completes. And, next target will be 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. However, it should be noted that there is no confirmation of trend reversal yet. That is, such rebound from 1.0399 could be a correction. And the long term fall from 1.6039 (2008 high) could resume. Hence, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.2516 to limit upside.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

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EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1585; (P) 1.1604 (R1) 1.1629; More

EUR/USD is still bounded in consolidation from 1.1574 and intraday bias stays neutral. But after all, break of 1.1879 resistance is needed to confirm completion of the decline from 1.2091. Otherwise, near term outlook will stay bearish. Below 1.1574 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.0569 to 1.2091 at 1.1510.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0339 medium term bottom is seen as a corrective move for the moment. Therefore, in case of another rally, we’d be cautious on 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 to limit upside and bring reversal. Meanwhile, sustained trading below 55 week EMA will suggest that such medium term rebound is completed and could then bring retest of 1.0339 low.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

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EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1702; (P) 1.1738 (R1) 1.1780; More

No change in EUR/USD’s outlook. With 1.1832 minor resistance intact, fall from 1.2091 is expected to extend through 1.1661 support. Decline from 1.2091 is correcting whole rise from 1.0569. Deeper fall should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.0569 to 1.2091 at 1.1510, where we’re expecting support to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.1832 minor resistance will suggest that the corrective fall is completed and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, rise from medium term bottom at 1.0339 is not finished yet. It’s expected to continue after pull back from 1.2091 completes. And, next target will be 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. However, it should be noted that there is no confirmation of trend reversal yet. That is, such rebound from 1.0399 could be a correction. And the long term fall from 1.6039 (2008 high) could resume. Hence, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.2516 to limit upside.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0550; (P) 1.0590 (R1) 1.0616; More…..

EUR/USD is still bounded in range of 1.0493/0678 and intraday bias remains neutral first. With 1.0678 minor resistance intact, deeper decline is still expected. We’re viewing fall from 1.0828 as resuming the larger down trend. Below 1.0493 will target 1.0339 low first. Break will confirm our bearish view and target parity. However, break of 1.0678 will dampen our view and turn focus back to 1.0828 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is in progress. Such down trend is expected to extend to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115. On the upside, break of 1.1298 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of rebound.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0550; (P) 1.0590 (R1) 1.0616; More…..

EUR/USD recovers ahead of 1.0493 after forming a temporary low at 1.0494. Intraday bias remains neutral as the pair is still bounded in range of 1.0493/0630. Overall near term outlook stays bearish with 1.0630 resistance intact. Downside breakout is expected sooner or later. Fall from 1.0828 is resuming the larger down trend. Below 1.0493 will target 1.0339 low first. Break will confirm our bearish view and target parity. However, break of 1.0630 will dampen our view and turn focus back to 1.0828 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is in progress. Such down trend is expected to extend to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115. On the upside, break of 1.1298 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of rebound.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

EUR/USD lost much upside momentum after hitting 38.2% retracement of 1.1298 to 1.0339 at 1.0705. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. With 1.0578 minor support intact, further rise could be seen. But such rise from 1.0339 is seen as a corrective move and should be limited by 1.0872 resistance. On the downside, below 1.0453 will argue that it’s completed and turn bias back to the downside for 1.0339 support.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is in progress. Such down trend is expected to extend to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115. On the upside, break of 1.1298 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of rebound.

In the long term picture, the down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still in progress and there is no clear sign of completion. We’d expect more downside towards 0.8223 (2000 low) as long as 1.1298 resistance holds.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Weekly Chart

EUR/USD Monthly Chart

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EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1568; (P) 1.1612 (R1) 1.1651; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the downside for the moment. Current fall from 1.20191 would target 38.2% retracement of 1.0569 to 1.2091 at 1.1510. We’d expect strong support from there, at least on first attempt, to bring rebound. Above 1.1643 minor resistance will turn bias neutral first. But break of 1.1879 is needed to confirm completion of the decline. Otherwise, near term outlook remains bearish. Meanwhile, sustained break will of 1.1510 will carry larger bearish implication and target 55 week EMA (now at 1.1346).

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0339 medium term bottom is seen as a corrective move for the moment. Therefore, in case of another rally, we’d be cautious on 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 to limit upside and bring reversal. Meanwhile, sustained trading below 55 week EMA will suggest that such medium term rebound is completed and could then bring retest of 1.0339 low.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

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EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0630; (P) 1.0685 (R1) 1.0751; More…..

EUR/USD is still staying in consolidation inside range of 1.0588/0774. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Choppy rise from 1.0339 is seen as a corrective move. Break of 1.0588 will indicate that such rise is completed and turn bias to the downside for retesting 1.0339 low. In case of extension, upside should be limited by 1.0872 resistance.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is in progress. Such down trend is expected to extend to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115. On the upside, break of 1.1298 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of rebound.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0631; (P) 1.0672 (R1) 1.0694; More…..

EUR/USD’s break of 1.0630 support mixed up the near term outlook mildly and intraday bias stays is turned back to the downside for retesting 1.0494 low. Overall price actions from 1.0339 are seen as a corrective pattern. Break of 1.0494 will revive that case that such correction is completed. And in such case, deeper decline should be seen to retest 1.0339. Meanwhile, above 1.0713 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0828 and above to extend the correction from 1.0339.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1298 key resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0339 low will send EUR/USD through parity to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2418; (P) 1.2470 (R1) 1.2556; More….

EUR/USD failed to take out 1.2537 resistance and drops notably in early US session. But for the moment, intraday bias remains neutral. As long as 1.2222 support holds, near term outlook remains bullish. On the upside, sustained break of 1.2494/2516 resistance zone will extend recent rally to 100% projection of 1.0569 to 1.2091 from 1.1553 at 1.3075 next. However, break of 1.2222 will indicate rejection from 1.2494/2516, on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, and turn near term outlook bearish for 1.1915 support first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0339 medium term bottom is still seen as a corrective move for the moment. But key fibonacci level at 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 is looking vulnerable. Sustained break of 1.2516 will carry larger bullish implication and target 61.8% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.3862. Nonetheless, rejection from 1.2516 will maintain long term bearish outlook and keep the case for retesting 1.0039 alive.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

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EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1327; (P) 1.1352 (R1) 1.1368; More…..

EUR/USD is staying in consolidation from 1.1444 and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Downside of retreat should be contained by 1.1291 support to bring rise resumption. Break of 1.1444 will extend the rally from 1.0339 low to 1.1615 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, the firm break of 1.1298 resistance further affirm medium term reversal. That is an important bottom was formed at 1.0339 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Further rise would be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 1.1776). Sustained break there will pave the way to 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 next. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.1118 support holds.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1733; (P) 1.1784 (R1) 1.1831; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, decisive break of 1.1712 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 1.1553 to 1.1960 at 1.1708) should confirm completion of rebound from 1.1553 at 1.1960. This would also be supported by a head and shoulder pattern (ls: 1.1860; h: 1.1960; rs: 1.1862). And in that case, deeper fall should be seen through 1.1553 to extend the medium term decline from 1.2091. Meanwhile, above 1.1862 will revive near term bullishness and target 1.1960 and above.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0339 medium term bottom is seen as a corrective move for the moment. Therefore, in case of another rally, we’d be expect 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 to limit upside and bring reversal. Meanwhile, sustained trading below 55 week EMA (now at 1.1435) will suggest that such medium term rebound is completed and could then bring retest of 1.0339 low.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2277; (P) 1.2316 (R1) 1.2355; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral as it’s still bounded in range of 1.2205/2555. On the upside, break of 1.2555 will revive the bullish case of up trend resumption and target 100% projection of 1.0569 to 1.2091 from 1.1553 at 1.3075. However, break of 1.2205 will confirm rejection by 1.2516 key fibonacci level and trend reversal.

In the bigger picture, key fibonacci level at 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 remains intact despite attempts to break. Hence, rise from 1.0339 medium term bottom is still seen as a corrective move for the moment. Rejection from 1.2516 will maintain long term bearish outlook and keep the case for retesting 1.0039 alive. However, sustained break of 1.2516 will carry larger bullish implication and target 61.8% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.3862.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

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EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0728; (P) 1.0767 (R1) 1.0808; More…..

EUR/USD’s rise from 1.0339 is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside for 1.0872 resistance. At this point, we’re still viewing choppy rise from 1.0339 as a corrective move. Thus, upside should be limited by 1.0872 resistance and bring reversal. On the downside, break of 1.0619 will indicate that such rise is completed and turn bias to the downside for retesting 1.0339 low.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is in progress. Such down trend is expected to extend to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115. On the upside, break of 1.1298 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of rebound.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

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