AUD/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7563; (P) 0.7598; (R1) 0.7620; More…

Breach of 0.7542 temporary low suggests that fall from 0.7740 is resuming. Intraday bias in AUD/USD is turned back to the downside. As noted before, rebound from 0.7158 is finished at 0.7740. Sustained trading below 55 day EMA will pave the way back to 0.7144/7158 support zone. However, on the upside, break of 0.7631 minor resistance will dampen our bearish view and turn focus back to 0.7740 high instead.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seek to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8164) and above.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

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