AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7820; (P) 0.7877; (R1) 0.7982; More…

AUD/USD’s break of 0.7909 minor resistance argues that fall from 0.8135 has completed at 0.7758 already. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for retesting 0.8135 resistance first. Break will resume medium term up trend for 0.8451 fibonacci level. On the downside, below 0.7758 will resume the fall towards 0.7500 key support. We’d look for strong support from 0.7500 to contain downside and bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. It might still extend higher but we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 0.7500 support will now be an important signal that such corrective rebound is completed.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

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