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GBPUSD Outlook

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook


Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3438; (P) 1.3493; (R1) 1.3583; More....

With 1.3431 minor support intact, intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside for 1.3651 high. Break there will resume medium term rally from 1.1946 to 1.3835 key resistance. On the downside, below 1.3382 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring retreat before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, as noted before, GBP/USD hit strong resistance from the long term falling trend line. Nonetheless, subsequent fall was contained by 55 week EMA (now at 1.3069). Outlook is a bit mixed. For the moment, as long as 1.3835 support turned resistance holds, medium term rise from 1.1946 are viewed as a corrective pattern. That is, we'd expect another leg in the long term down trend through 1.1946 low. However, sustained break of 1.3835 should at least send GBP/USD to 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1946 (2016 low) at 1.5466.

GBP/USD 4 Hours Chart

GBP/USD Daily Chart