Contributors Fundamental Analysis US Confirms Planned Tariffs On $200B In China Goods

US Confirms Planned Tariffs On $200B In China Goods

General Trend:

  • Hang Seng underperforms
  • Nikkei 225 outperforms amid Monday’s holiday and focus on trade talks
  • Japanese steelmakers outperform on hopes regarding US/Japan trade talks
  • NY Copper declines over 2%, later pares loss
  • (CN) China likely will not send trade delegation to Washington following US announcement on new round of tariffs (HK Press)
  • China Securities Regulator official plays down stock market declines
  • China HNA Group announces executive changes

Headlines/Economic Data

Australia/New Zealand

  • ASX 200 opened -0.2%
  • (AU) Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Sept Meeting Minutes: Reiterates next move in cash rate more likely to be an increase, sees no strong case for near-term adjustment in policy
  • (AU) Australia Q2 House Price Index Q/Q: -0.7% v -0.7%e; Y/Y: -0.6% v -0.7%e
  • (AU) Australia Debt Agency (AOFM): Priced A$3.75B in Feb 21 2050 Indexed Bonds through syndication, yield 1.16%
  • (NZ) New Zealand Aug Non Resident Bond Holdings: 58.2% v 58.7% prior

China/Hong Kong

  • Shanghai Composite opened -0.3%, Hang Seng -0.3%
  • (CN) USTR publishes tariffs list related to $200B in China goods
  • (CN) China Commerce Minister: China has confidence and ability to achieve 2018 targets; Cooperation between the US and China is the only correct choice on trade
  • (CN) China Vice Premier said to convene tariff response meeting
  • (CN) China Securities Market (CSRC) Official Fang: China has ample fiscal and monetary policy tools to cope with the impact from trade frictions with the US; China preparing for worst scenario on trade issue, sees tariffs negative impact on China GDP of about 0.7 ppt
  • (CN) PBoC Advisor Liu: trade war has relatively big impact on expectations; trade war’s impact on domestic economy not ‘very big’, but should watch impact on equity and currency markets
  • (CN) According to analysts, China PBoC may announce targeted RRR cut around Oct – China Securities Journal
  • (CN) China may announce additional measures to stabilize investment – Chinese Press
  • (CN) China PBoC Open Market Operation (OMO): Injects CNY200B in 7 and 14-day reverse repos v skipped prior: Net: CNY200B injection
  • (CN) China PBoC set yuan reference rate: 6.8554 v 6.8509 prior
  • (HK) Hong Kong Finance Sec Chan: Reiterates Hong Kong dollar (HKD) currency peg is ‘very strong’

Japan

  • Nikkei 225 opened -0.2%
  • (JP) Japan Fin Min Aso: Reiterates specific monetary policy up to BoJ to decide; Understands BoJ Gov Kuroda’s view that premature debate on exit strategy will cause market confusion
  • (JP) Japan to offer measures to reduce trade surplus with US in upcoming talks in order to avoid tariffs on autos, which is expected to hit Japan the hardest if implemented – Nikkei
  • (JP) Japan Economy Min Montegi: No country wants ‘tit-for-tat’ tariff retaliation; Japan and the US are making final adjustments on the date for bilateral trade meeting, will likely make an announcement ‘shortly’

Korea

  • Kospi opened -0.7%
  • (KR) South Korea President Moon trip to N. Korea today to focus on peace and a new economic relationship on the basis of denuclearization – Korean press

North America

  • US equity markets ended lower: Dow -0.4%, S&P500 -0.6%, Nasdaq -1.4%, Russell 2000 -1.1%
  • (CA) Canada PM Trudeau: Moving ‘close to a decision point on NAFTA’, might be days or weeks away

Europe

  • (UK) UK Brexit Minister Raab expects the EU to make concessions – German Press
  • (UK) UK Prime Min May: under a no-deal Brexit, there would be disruptions but UK has to make a success of a potential no-deal Brexit – BBC interview
  • (EU) EU Commissioner Dombrovskis: Trade conflict is raising downside risks to the economy

Levels as of 01:30ET

  • Nikkei 225, +1.5%, ASX 200 -0.4%, Hang Seng -0.8%; Shanghai Composite +0.2%; Kospi +0.3%
  • Equity Futures: S&P500 -0.1%; Nasdaq100 -0.2%, Dax -0.1%; FTSE100 flat
  • EUR 1.1703-1.1666 ; JPY 112.04-111.66 ; AUD 0.7211-0.7143 ;NZD 0.6603-0.6561
  • Dec Gold -0.3% at $1,202/oz; Oct Crude Oil -0.5% at $68.33/brl; Dec Copper flat at $2.648 /lb
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