Contributors Fundamental Analysis China Not Worried About Trade War With US

China Not Worried About Trade War With US

General Trend:

  • Asian equity markets trade generally lower
  • Chinese automaker BAIC Motor trades at record low, reported 9-month results
  • Australian equities weighed down by Utilities, Energy and Financial shares
  • Shipping and Iron/Steel companies underperform in Japan
  • Asian steelmaker earnings in focus
  • Tokyo Steel declines ahead of expected earnings report
  • South Korean steelmaker Posco declines ahead of expected earnings report
  • Samsung Biologics declines over 4% ahead of expected earnings report
  • China govt official Zhang Qingli reportedly told US investors at meeting that ‘We don’t fear a trade war with the US
  • US companies expected to report earnings on Tuesday (including afterhours) include 3M, Arch Coal, Biogen, Caterpillar, Corning, Harley Davidson, Lockheed Martin, McDonald’s, Pulte Homes, Texas Instruments and Verizon

Headlines/Economic Data

Japan

  • Nikkei 225 opened -0.9%
  • 7202.JP Reportedly to partner with Nvidia on self-driving trucks and large commercial vehicles – Nikkei
  • (JP) Japan to end new official development assistance to China – Japanese Media
  • (JP) Former BOJ gov Shirakawa: Growing global debt may lead to the next economic crisis – Japan press
  • (JP) Japan Fin Min Aso: ‘In principle’ the sales tax increase will happen as planned, some disruption expected when it takes place but will not delay for that
  • Nomura: Planning to set up ¥100B fund with China sovereign wealth fund CIC – Japan press

Korea

  • Kospi opened -0.7%
  • (KR) According to economists South Korea needs to quickly take measures to prevent a possible interest rate hike next month from making a deeper dent in the country’s economic growth and employment – Korean press
  • (KR) South Korea Sept PPI M/M: 0.3% v 0.5% prior; Y/Y: 2.7% v 3.0% prior
  • (KR) South Korea Fin Min Kim: domestic financial and FX markets are stable
  • Posco, 005490.KR Reports Q3 (KRW) Net 1.1T v 910Be; Op 1.5T v 1.4Te; Rev 16.4T v 16Te; Expect steel prices to remain solid due to China winter production cuts

China/Hong Kong

  • Hang Seng opened -0.5%, Shanghai Composite -0.1%
  • (CN) China govt official Zhang Qingli reportedly told US investors at meeting that ‘We don’t fear a trade war with the US’
  • (CN) Brokerage firms in China to establish CNY21.0B asset management plan – China Securities Times
  • (CN) China PBoC Open Market Operation (OMO): To inject CNY120B in 7-day reverse repos v CNY120B prior: Net: CNY120B injection v CNY120B prior
  • (CN) China PBOC sets Yuan Reference Rate: 6.9338 v 6.9236 prior
  • (CN) China Industry Ministry (MIIT) Official: China vehicle sales may grow slowly in the future
  • (CN) China PBOC funds release from re-lending is not QE – China 21st

Australia/New Zealand

  • ASX 200 opened flat
  • (AU) New polling analysis shows collapse in support for Australia PM Morrison’s Coalition in every mainland state since the leadership change – The Australian
  • WPP.AU Cuts FY18 EPS tracking below current guidance of +3% y/y, now expects -15% to -13% y/y; Rev -2% to -1% y/y; CEO Mike Connaghan resigns, effective Dec 31st [-28%]
  • BXB.AU Reports Q1 Rev $1.42B, +6% y/y at cc [-0.8%]
  • HSO.AU Receives A$2.36/share cash offer from BGH Consortium; board to assess the proposal [+21%]
  • (AU) Australia PM Morrison: Energy retailers to set price benchmarks for bills
  • (AU) Australia ANZ Roy Morgan Weekly Consumer Confidence: 112.3 v 119.5 prior
  • (AU) Rabobank sees Australia Winter 2018/19 wheat harvest at 29.3M tons, -23% y/y – Winter Crop Production Outlook

Other Asia

  • (SG) Singapore Sept CPI M/M: 0.0% v 0.1%e; Y/Y: 0.7% v 0.8%e

North America

  • US equity markets ended mixed: Dow -0.5%, S&P500 -0.4%, Nasdaq +0.3%, Russell -0.2%
  • (US) President Trump seeking extra tax cut of 10% for middle income Americans
  • TRPX FSD Pharma Signs Binding LOI to Acquire Therapix Biosciences, TRPX shareholders to receive $48M [+70% afterhours]
  • (US) President Trump: Drug prices will soon be “plunging”

Europe

  • (UK) OBR underestimate on tax receipts gives Finance Ministry a £13B/yr windfall in budget to ease pressure on National Health Service (NHS) – FT
  • Bayer [BAYN.DE]: San Francisco judge in ‘Roundup’ case Ramos Bolanos ruled the $250M in punitive damages awarded by jury must be cut to match the ~$39.3M in compensatory damages – US financial press

Levels as of 01:30ET

  • Hang Seng -2.2%; Shanghai Composite -1.3%; Kospi -2.8%; Nikkei225 -2.4%; ASX 200 -1.1%
  • Equity Futures: S&P500 -0.8%; Nasdaq100 -0.9%, Dax -0.8%; FTSE100 -0.6%
  • EUR 1.1468-1.1452; JPY 112.49-112.84 ; AUD 0.7059-0.7084;NZD 0.6537-0.6612
  • Dec Gold +0.2% at $1,227/oz; Dec Crude Oil -0.3% at $69.19/brl; Dec Copper -0.1% at $2.77/lb
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