Contributors Fundamental Analysis September NFP and Canada Job Numbers

September NFP and Canada Job Numbers

U.S non-farm payroll (NFP) saw the first negative reading in seven years at -33k. Headline affected by distortion due to August hurricanes. The unemployment rate, fell two-tenths of a percentage point to +4.2%, a level not seen since early 2001. Workers’ wages jumped last month, another figure that may have been affected by the storms. Average hourly earnings rose 12 cents, or 0.45% from a month earlier. Wages were 2.9% higher from a year earlier.

Details:

  • US Labor Sep Nonfarm Payrolls -33K; Consensus +80K
  • US Sep Unemployment Rate 4.2%; Consensus 4.4%
  • US Sep Average Hourly Earnings +0.45%, or +$0.12 to $26.55; Over Year +2.9%
  • US Sep Private Sector Payrolls -40K and Government Payrolls +7K
  • US Sep Average Workweek 0.0 Hour to 34.4 Hours
  • US Sep Labor-Force Participation Rate 63.1%
  • US Aug Payrolls Revised to +169K; Jul Revised to +138K

USD remains better bid (€1.1678, £1.3037, ¥113.37) across the board, with treasury yields continuing to back up on inflation expectations.

In Canada, employment rose in September for a tenth straight month and workers’ wages increased at their fastest pace in over 17-months. The country’s jobless remain unchanged from the previous month, sitting at a post-crisis low.

  • Canada Sep Net Jobs +10,000 From Aug
  • Canada Sep Jobless Rate Forecast At 6.2%
  • Canada Sep Full-Time Jobs +112,000; Part-Time -100,000
  • Canada Sep Avg Hourly Wages +2.2% From Year Ago
  • Canada Sep Participation Rate At 65.6% Vs 65.7% In Aug

On a year-over-year basis, Canadian employment increased 319,700, or 1.8%, with nearly all of the new jobs created over the past 12 months of the full-time variety, which tend to offer higher pay and steady benefits.

The loonie (C$1.2564) finding support from the full-time employment headline print.

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