Contributors Fundamental Analysis Equities Cautious Despite N. Korea Stopping Nuclear Program

Equities Cautious Despite N. Korea Stopping Nuclear Program

General Trend:

  • Asian equity markets trade cautiously after pledge by North Korea, rise in interest rates
  • US equity futures pare opening gains
  • Banks rise with increase in 10-yr yields
  • China Unicom rises over 3% after reporting Q1 results
  • Display companies decline after Apple dropped over 4% on Friday
  • Chinese tech companies Lenovo and BoE Technology decline amid US sanction concerns
  • Asia 10-yr bond yields track rise in US interest rates
  • Japan Chief Cabinet Sec commented on declining poll numbers
  • Australia Q1 CPI data due on Tuesday’s session, trimmed mean (CPI) expected to remain below RBA’s 2-3% target
  • North Korea/South Korea summit expected to begin on Friday
  • Bank of Japan (BoJ) to hold policy meeting on April 26-27th (Thursday-Friday)

Headlines/Economic Data

Japan

  • Nikkei 225 opened flat; closed -0.3%
  • TOPIX Electric Appliances index -0.4%; Iron & Steel index +1.1%, Securities +0.7%
  • Megabanks rise over 1%
  • (JP) Japan PM Abe cabinet approval rating falls 3pts to 39% – Yomiuri; Mainichi poll falls 3pts to 30%; ANN poll falls to 29% (lowest level since 2012)
  • (JP) Japan Chief Cabinet Sec Suga: Approval ratings show Abe government is under scrutiny from people
  • (JP) Thus far in April, the BoJ has purchased equity ETFs only 1 time when the Topix declined more than 0.2% during morning trading – Japanese Press
  • (JP) Japan Apr Prelim PMI Manufacturing: 53.3 v 53.1 prior
  • (JP) BOJ Gov Kuroda: Japan needs strong accommodative monetary policy for some time; reiterates long way to 2% inflation target
  • Toshiba, 6502.JP Denies reports it will cancel sale of chip unit if China doesn’t approve it

Korea

  • Kospi opened -0.1%
  • (KR) North Korea announces it will stop nuclear and ICBM testing effective April 21st, and will begin to dismantle a nuclear testing site in the northern part of the country – press (over the weekend)
  • (KR) Korean press looks at North Korea’s decision to end nuclear testing; noting Kim needed to make the announcement in order to justify talks with the US to the North Korean people
  • (KR) North Korea leader Kim has accepted US inspection of nuclear test site – Korean press
  • (KR) According to KITA, South Korean washer exports to the United States -45.4% y/y after US implemented restrictions – Korean press
  • (KR) South Korea Fin Min Kim and US Mnuchin agreed on side lines of G20 to strengthen their policy coordination – Korean press
  • (KR) Bank of Korea (BoK) Gov Lee conducting research on adding employment to mandate – US financial press
  • (KR) South Korea Apr 1-20 Exports y/y: +8.3% v 9.3% prior; Imports y/y: +20.8% v 5.8% prior
  • (KR) Bank of Korea (BOK) sells 1-yr monetary stabilization bonds (MSB), avg yield 1.89%
  • (KR) South Korea sells KRW800B in 20-yr bonds, avg yield 2.74%
  • (KR) South Korea Central Bank sells KRW1.0T v KRW 1.0T indicated in 3-month Monetary Stabilization; Yield: 1.57% v 1.58% prior Bonds (MSB)

China/Hong Kong

  • Hang Seng opened -0.3%, Shanghai Composite -0.3%
  • Hang Seng Industrial Goods index -1.4%, Info Tech -1.3%, Energy -1.1%, Utilities -0.7%, Consumer Goods -0.9%, Property/Construction -0.8%; Financials +0.2%
  • (CN) PBOC Gov Yi Gang: China’s financial sector has remained sound with risks “broadly contained” – Xinhua
  • (CN) China MOFCOM: China has received information that the US Treasury Sec Mnuchin wishes to make a trip to China to negotiate economic and trade issues – Xinhua
  • (CN) US Treasury Sec Mnuchin: continuing dialogue with China on trade; cautiously optimistic we can reach an agreement; Considering a trip to China
  • (CN) China PBoC sets yuan reference rate at 6.3034 v 6.2897 prior
  • (CN) China PBoC Open Market Operation (OMO): Injects CNY80B in 7-day reverse repos v skips prior; Net: injects CNY0B
  • HK$ rises to 7.8433 (1-month high)
  • (CN) Analysts discuss PBOC RRR targeted rate cut last week, noting it is a move to target shadow banking – press
  • (CN) There is CNY520B expected to mature this week related to PBoC monetary policy tools – US financial press
  • (CN) China Foreign Ministry: Notes ‘major’ transportation accident in North Korea involving Chinese tourists, sees ‘large’ number of casualties
  • (HK) Hong Kong 1-month HK$ HIBOR 1.04714% (highest level since Jan 4th)

Australia/New Zealand

  • ASX 200 opened flat
  • ASX 200 Financials index +0.8%, Resources +0.6%; Energy -0.6%, Utilities -0.7%
  • Macquarie Infrastructure , MIG.AU Group of US based shareholders calling for the board to be sacked and company liquidated – AFR
  • iSelect [-52%], ISU.AU Cuts FY18 (A$) Underlying EBIT 8.0-12.0M (guided 26-29M prior); Names Brodie Arnhold as acting-CEO, replacing Scott Wilson
  • (AU) Australia buys back A$500M v A$500M indicated in Oct 2019 and April 2020 bonds
  • (AU) Australia sells A$500M v A$500M indicated in 3.25% April 2029 bonds, avg yield 2.8843% v 2.6337% prior, bid to cover 5.88x v 3.47x prior

North America

  • (US) US 10 year Treasury yield hits 2.968%, highest since Jan 2014
  • Tencent, 700.HK There is renewed speculation that Music Entertainment unit is planning a US IPO in H2 2018 – US financial press

Other Asia

  • (ID) Bank of Indonesia Dep Gov Waluyo: Reiterates central bank will be in market to maintain stability of Rupiah currency (IDR)
  • (PH) Philippines Central Bank (BSP) Gov Espenilla: Premature to sat there is a trade war

Europe

  • (MX) Mexico sign free trade agreement (FTA) with EU over the weekend, expanding prior agreement to cover finance, e-commerce and agriculture (prior was only basic goods and machinery)
  • (EU) ECB said to have no plans to slow normalization plans despite recently slower data – financial press
  • Deutsche Bank, DBK.DE HNA Group cuts stake to 7.9% (prior 8.8%)
  • EU said to be considering a deeper cartel investigation into Daimler, BMW and VW – German press

Levels as of 02:00ET

  • Hang Seng -0.4%; Shanghai Composite -0.4%; Kospi -0.2%; ASX 200 +0.4%
  • Equity Futures: S&P500 +0.3%; Nasdaq100 +0.3%, Dax +0.3%; FTSE100 +0.1%
  • EUR 1.2288-1.2265; JPY 107.89-107.61; AUD 0.7682-0.7658;NZD 0.7218-0.7199
  • Jun Gold -0.1% at $1,336/oz; Jun Crude Oil -0.1% at $68.36/brl; May Copper +0.5% at $3.15/lb
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