Live Comments Fed upgrade 2021 GDP and inflation forecasts, expects lower unemployment rate

    Fed upgrade 2021 GDP and inflation forecasts, expects lower unemployment rate

    In the Fed’s new median economic projections:

    • 2021 GDP projection was raised from 4.2% to 6.5%. 2022 GDP projection was raised from 3.2% to 3.3%. But 2023 GDP projection was lowered from 2.4% to 2.2%.
    • Unemployment rate forecast was lowered from 5.0% to 4.5% in 2021, from 4.2% to 3.9% in 2022, and from 3.7% to 3.5% in 2023.
    • Core PCE inflation forecast was upgraded from 1.8% to 2.2% in 2021, from 1.9% to 2.0% in 2022, from 2.0% to 2.1% in 2023.
    • Federal funds rate projection was left unchanged at 0.1% throughout the projections horizon.

    Full projections here.

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