Contributors Fundamental Analysis US Equity FUTs Decline After Recent Gains, Election Results Remain Unclear

US Equity FUTs Decline After Recent Gains, Election Results Remain Unclear

General Trend

  • Japanese automakers trade generally higher amid earnings releases; TOPIX Iron/Steel index rises ahead of earnings from Nippon Steel; Financials also trade generally higher; Figures from Mitsui Fudosan weigh on the Real Estate index
  • Toyota raised outlook (as speculated); Honda and Isuzu are due to report results later today; Nintendo pared gain amid raised outlook
  • Consumer and Industrial firms are among the decliners in Shanghai; Kweichow Moutai drops over 1%
  • Hang Seng TECH index declines, Alibaba declines after revenue miss; Financial and Property indices rise
  • Resource and Consumer firms are among the gainers in Australia
  • Macquarie Group rises over 2% following earnings report; Tabcorp rises over 15% on M&A speculation; CSR drops over 3% amid ex-dividend
  • Aussie Trade Min addressed press speculation related to China possibly imposing some type of trade ban
  • China is due to release its Oct trade balance data on Nov 7th (Saturday) [after Friday’s US market close]

Headlines/Economic Data

Australia/New Zealand

  • ASX 200 opened flat
  • (AU) Australia Trade Min Birmingham: Trade bans from China only Rumors, no one should jump to conclusions for now; Disappointing that China Authorities refuse to engage with Australia on Ministry level [responds to press speculation]
  • Reminder: (AU) China said to verbally order traders to stop imports of 7 different commodity imports from Australia; effective Fri, Nov 6th; Goods including barley, sugar, wine will be barred from Nov. 6 (financial press from Nov 3rd)
  • (AU) Australia APRA issues letter to banks: Announces A$35B reduction in committed liquidity facility between the RBA and local banks
  • (AU) RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA (RBA) STATEMENT ON MONETARY POLICY (SOMP): Reiterates prepared to expand bond buying if needed
  • (AU) Australia Oct AiG Performance of Services Index: 51.4 v 36.2 prior
  • (AU) Australia sells A$2.0B v A$2.0B indicated in 1.00% Dec 2030 bonds, avg yield 0.7482% v 0.7672% prior, bid to cover 5.1x v 6.4x prior
  • (NZ) New Zealand Q4 Inflation Expectation Survey: 2-year Outlook: 1.6% v 1.4% prior
  • (NZ) Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ): Will seek to purchase NZ$870M v NZ$870M prior in government bonds next week
  • (NZ) New Zealand PM Ardern: Parliament will open on Nov 25th; Must be mindful of Majority of NZ citizens who opposed Cannabis reform

China/Hong Kong

  • Hang Seng opened +0.2%, Shanghai Composite +0.2%
  • (CN) China PBoC Vice Gov Liu Guoqiang: Current interest rate levels are appropriate; Need to consider policy adjustments as China policy recovers; Reiterates monetary policy will be more flexible and appropriate
  • (CN) China PBOC sets Yuan reference rate: 6.6290 v 6.6895 prior (Strongest fix since July 11th 2018)
  • Alibaba [9988.HK]: Reports Q2 $2.65 v $2.06e, Rev $22.8B v $23.0Be [from Nov 5th]
  • (CN) China said to consider a 5% annual GDP growth target for the next five years – financial press [in line with speculation from Sept 23rd]
  • (HK) Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA): Will maintain peg against US dollar for monetary stability; PBoC will issue CNY25B in bills in Hong Kong on Nov 12th; Ample liquidity in banking system
  • The China International Import Expo (CIIE) is being held in Shanghai (Nov 5-10th)
  • (CN) China Commerce Ministry (MOFCOM): Expects Service Imports to reach $2.5T over the next 5-years
  • (CN) China said to temporarily halt entry into country by Russian nationals holding visas
  • (CN) China PBoC Open Market Operation (OMO):skip reverse repos v Injects CNY30B in 7-day reverse repos prior; Net drain CNY100B v Net drain CNY110B prior
  • (CN) China PBoC Open Market Operation (OMO) Net drain CNY590B for the week v Net inject CNY190B w/w

Japan

  • Nikkei225 opened -0.1%
  • (JP) Japan PM Suga: Wants to refrain from comments on FX Rates; Stable FX Rate is important; Will respond appropriately on markets with close coordinations with overseas authorities
  • (JP) Japan Senior LDP Politician Seko: 3rd Extra budget ~¥30T would be reasonable
  • (JP) Japan Fin Min Aso: Need to comprehensively consider Japan income tax; BOJ ETF Purchases are part of Monetary policy
  • (JP) Japan Hokkaido Prefecture said to close restaurants in Sapporo and to raise coronavirus alert as soon as Saturday (Nov 7th) due to spike in cases
  • (JP) Japan Sept Household Spending Y/Y: -10.2% v -10.6%e
  • (JP) Japan Sept Labor Cash Earnings Y/Y: -0.9% v -1.1%e; Real Cash Earnings Y/Y: -1.1% v -1.4%e (7th Consecutive decline)

Korea

  • Kospi opened +0.3%
  • (KR) South Korea said to institute new virus restrictions due to spiking daily case totals; the new measures will have 5 tiers and take effect on Saturday (Nov 7th) – South Korea press

North America

  • (US) Arizona Sec of State: Approx 285K ballots to count – MSNBC [comments made at 21:33]
  • (US) Pennsylvania Attorney General: Ballot count is continuing, should have results “soon”; Few thousand ballots were mailed in late [comments made at 20:12]
  • (US) President Trump: A lot of votes arrived late; If you count the ‘legal’ votes, I easily win; Could be down a little bit in Georgia; I am on track to win Arizona
  • General Motors [GM]: China Chief Julian Blissett: to consider exporting additional China-Made models; China sales strong, forecasts strong sales through end of 2020 – financial press

Levels as of 00:20 ET

  • Nikkei 225, +1.2%, ASX 200 +0.8% , Hang Seng -0.2%; Shanghai Composite -0.7% ; Kospi -0.1%
  • Equity S&P500 Futures: -0.6%; Nasdaq100 -1.1%, Dax -0.7%; FTSE100 -0.4%
  • EUR 1.1846-1.1795 ; JPY 103.75-103.36 ; AUD 0.7290-0.7248 ;NZD 0.6789-0.6752
  • Gold -0.3% at $1,940/oz; Crude Oil -2.7% at $37.72/brl; Copper -0.2% at $3.1063/lb

 

Previous articleElliott Wave View: S&P 500 E-Mini Futures (ES) Resumes Rally Higher
Next articleDollar Remains the Weakest While US Stocks Could Make New Record High
All information provided by Trade The News (a product of Trade The News, Inc. "referred to as TTN hereafter") is for informational purposes only. Information provided is not meant as investment advice nor is it a recommendation to Buy or Sell securities. Although information is taken from sources deemed reliable, no guarantees or assurances can be made to the accuracy of any information provided. 1. Information can be inaccurate and/or incomplete 2. Information can be mistakenly re-released or be delayed, 3. Information may be incorrect, misread, misinterpreted or misunderstood 4. Human error is a business risk you are willing to assume 5. Technology can crash or be interrupted without notice 6. Trading decisions are the responsibility of traders, not those providing additional information. Trade The News is not liable (financial and/or non-financial) for any losses that may arise from any information provided by TTN. Trading securities involves a high degree of risk, and financial losses can and do occur on a regular basis and are part of the risk of trading and investing.

NO COMMENTS

LEAVE A REPLY

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here

Exit mobile version