Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2693; (P) 1.2749; (R1) 1.2787; More…
GBP/USD drops to as low as 1.2611 so far today. Break of 1.2661 support indicates resumption of down trend from 1.4376. Intraday bias is now on the downside for deeper decline. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.4376 to 1.2661 from 1.3174 at 1.2114. On the upside, break of 1.2811 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, near term outlook will remain bearish even in case of recovery.
In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) should have completed at 1.4376 already, after rejection from 55 month EMA. The structure and momentum of the fall from 1.4376 argues that it’s resuming long term down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high). And this will now remain the preferred case as long as 1.3174 structural resistance holds. GBP/USD should now target a test on 1.1946 first. Decisive break there will confirm our bearish view.
