Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3590; (P) 1.3666; (R1) 1.3804; More…..
GBP/USD’s rally extends to as high as 1.3769 so far and intraday bias remains on the upside. At this point, we’d still expect strong resistance from 1.3835 to limit upside to complete the medium term rally from 1.1946. However, sustained break there will carry larger bullish implication and target long term fibonacci level at 1.5466. On the downside, below 1.3677 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But near term outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.3457 support holds.
In the bigger picture, the break of long term trend line resistance from 1.7190 (2014 high) is seen as a sign of long term reversal. However, rise from 1.1946 (2016 low) is not impulsive looking. And the pair is limited below 1.3835 key resistance. Hence, we won’t turn bullish yet and would continue to monitor the development. On the downside, break of 1.3038 support will now indicate that rebound from 1.1946 has completed and turn outlook bearish. Meanwhile, sustained break of 1.3835 should at least send GBP/USD to 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1946 (2016 low) at 1.5466.
