GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4261; (P) 1.4302; (R1) 1.4379; More…

GBP/USD retreats after hitting 1.4376. But with 1.4236 minor support intact, intraday bias remains on the upside. Prior break of 1.4345 indicates resumption of medium term up trend. Further rise should be seen to 61.8% projection of 1.3038 to 1.4345 from 1.3711 at 1.4519 next. On the downside, below 1.4236 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again. But retreat should be contained well above 1.3964 support to bring another rally.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1946 (2016 low) is in progress and resuming. It is at least correcting the long term down trend from 2007 high at 2.1161. Further rally would be seen back to 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1946 (2016 low) at 1.5466. We’d continue to favor this medium term bullish view as long as 1.3711 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.