Technical Outlook USDJPY Outlook USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 111.44; (P) 111.75; (R1) 112.28; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the upside for the moment. As noted before, the break of 111.71 medium term structural resistance is seen as a sign of long term bullish reversal. Current rise would target 61.8% projection of 102.58 to 111.65 from 108.71 at 114.31 next. On the downside, below 111.19 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring retreat first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, break of 111.71 resistance suggests that the whole corrective decline from 118.65 (2016 high) has completed at 101.18 (2020 low) already. Medium term bullishness is also affirmed as USD/JPY stays well above 55 week EMA (now at 108.60). Sustained trading above 111.71 will affirm this bullish case. Rise from 101.18 could then be resuming whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) through 118.65. This will now be the preferred case as long as 108.71 support holds.

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