EUR/USD – 1.0618
Most recent candlesticks pattern : N/A
Trend : Near term down
Tenkan-Sen level : 1.0604
Kijun-Sen level : 1.0604
Ichimoku cloud top : 1.0623
Ichimoku cloud bottom : 1.0593
Original strategy :
Sell at 1.0665, Target: 1.0565, Stop: 1.0700
Position : –
Target : –
Stop : –
New strategy :
Sell at 1.0665, Target: 1.0565, Stop: 1.0700
Position : –
Target : –
Stop : –
As the single currency has continued trading defensively after recent selloff, suggesting recent decline may resume after consolidation, although corrective bounce to 1.0630-35 cannot be ruled out, however, reckon upside would be limited to 1.0667 resistance (Friday’s high) and bring another decline later, below support at 1.0570 would extend the decline from 1.0906 to 1.0550-55 (50% projection of 1.0906-1.0635 measuring from 1.0689), then 1.0525-30 but near term oversold condition should prevent sharp fall below 1.0500, risk from there is seen for a rebound later.
In view of this, would not chase this fall here and would be prudent to sell dollar on further recovery as 1.0667 resistance should limit upside. Only a firm break above said resistance at 1.0667 would abort and suggest low is formed instead, risk a stronger rebound to 1.0689, then 1.0702.
