Fri, Jan 18, 2019 @ 18:00 GMT

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5767; (P) 1.5845; (R1) 1.5911; More….

EUR/AUD dips to 1.5783 but due to weak downside momentum, it quickly recovers. Intraday bias stays neutral first. Further decline is expected as long as 1.6154 resistance holds. Break of 1.5783 will extend the fall from 1.6765 to 1.5346 key support next.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high), argues that up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low), is not ready to resume yet. But still, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will remain bullish. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

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EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5826; (P) 1.5871; (R1) 1.5935; More….

EUR/AUD formed a temporary low at 1.5805 and recovered. Intraday bias is turned neutral for some consolidation first. Further decline is expected as long as 1.6154 resistance holds. Break of 1.5805 will extend the fall from 1.6765 to 1.5346 key support next.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high), argues that up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low), is not ready to resume yet. But still, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will remain bullish. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

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EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5796; (P) 1.5876; (R1) 1.5922; More….

EUR/AUD’s decline from 1.6765 extends to as low as 1.5806 so far and intraday bias remains on the downside. With 61.8% retracement of 1.5346 to 1.6765 at 1.5888 taken out, further decline should be seen to 1.5346 key support next. On the upside, break of 1.6154 resistance is needed to confirm completion of the fall from 1.6765. Otherwise, near term outlook is mildly bearish even in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high), argues that up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low), is not ready to resume yet. But still, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will remain bullish. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

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EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5880; (P) 1.5935; (R1) 1.5990; More….

No change in EUR/AUD’s outlook. With 1.6154 minor resistance intact, fall from 1.6765 is expected to extend lower. On the downside, sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.5346 to 1.6765 at 1.5888 will pave the way to 1.5346 key support level. On the upside, however, break of 1.6154 will indicate short term bottoming. Intraday bias will then be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.6765.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high), argues that up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low), is not ready to resume yet. But still, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will remain bullish. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

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EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5841; (P) 1.5937; (R1) 1.5986; More….

With 1.6153 minor resistance intact, the decline from 1.6765 could extend lower. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.5346 to 1.6765 at 1.5888 will pave the way to 1.5346 key support level. On the upside, break of 1.6154 resistance is needed to indicate completion of the decline from 1.6765. Otherwise, further fall will remain in favor even in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high), argues that up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low), is not ready to resume yet. But still, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will remain bullish. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

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EUR/AUD Weekly Outlook

EUR/AUD’s fall from 1.6765 extended to as low as 1.5887 after brief interim recovery. Initial bias remains on the downside this week. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.5346 to 1.6765 at 1.5888 will pave the way to 1.5346 key support level. On the upside, break of 1.6154 resistance is needed to indicate completion of the decline from 1.6765. Otherwise, further fall will remain in favor even in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high), argues that up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low), is not ready to resume yet. But still, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will remain bullish. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 1.1602 long term bottom (2012 low) is still in progress. Break of 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 to 1.1602 at 1.7488 will pave the way to 100% projection of 1.1602 to 1.6587 from 1.3624 at 1.8069. And this will remain the favored case as long as 1.5346 remains intact.

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EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5947; (P) 1.6051; (R1) 1.6108; More….

Despite recovery to 1.5154, EUR/AUD quickly reversed and intraday bias is turned neutral again. On the downside, break of 1.5696 will extend the pull back from 1.6765 to 61.8% retracement of 1.5346 to 1.6765 at 1.5888 and below. On the upside, above 1.6154 will turn bias to the upside for retesting 1.6765 high.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high), argues that up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low), is not ready to resume yet. But still, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will remain bullish. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next.

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EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6012; (P) 1.6057; (R1) 1.6145; More….

EUR/AUD’s recovery and break of 1.6085 minor resistance argues that pull back from 1.6765 is completed at 1.5969. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for retesting 1.6765 first. On the downside, below 1.5969 will extend the fall from 1.6765 through 55 day EMA (now at 1.5939) and below.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high), argues that up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low), is not ready to resume yet. But still, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will remain bullish. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next.

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EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5998; (P) 1.6038; (R1) 1.6069; More….

EUR/AUD’s fall resumed after brief consolidation and intraday bias back on the downside. Current correction from 1.6765 might extend to 55 day EMA (now at 1.5931) and possibly below. On the upside, above 1.6085 minor resistance will argue that the pull back is completed and turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.6765.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high), argues that up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low), is not ready to resume yet. But still, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will remain bullish. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next.

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EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6004; (P) 1.6047; (R1) 1.6095; More….

A temporary low is in place at 1.5997 with 4 hour MACD crossed above signal line. Intraday bias in EUR/AUD is turned neutral first. On the downside, break of 1.5997 will extend the correction fro 1.6765 short term top to 55 day EMA (now at 1.5924) and possibly below. On the upside, above 1.6205 minor resistance will argue that the pull back is completed and turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.6765.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high), argues that up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low), is not ready to resume yet. But still, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will remain bullish. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next.

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EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5905; (P) 1.6106; (R1) 1.6209; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains on the downside as pull back fro 1.6765 is in progress, for 55 day EMA (now at 1.5919) and possibly below. On the upside, above 1.6205 minor resistance will argue that the pull back is completed and turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.6765.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high), argues that up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low), is not ready to resume yet. But still, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will remain bullish. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next.

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EUR/AUD Weekly Outlook

EUR/AUD spiked higher to 1.6765 last week but pulled back sharply from there. A short term top was formed and initial bias is now on the downside for pull back to 55 day EMA (now at 1.5919) and possibly below. On the upside, above 1.6205 minor resistance will argue that the pull back is completed and turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.6765.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high), argues that up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low), is not ready to resume yet. But still, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will remain bullish. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 1.1602 long term bottom (2012 low) is still in progress. Break of 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 to 1.1602 at 1.7488 will pave the way to 100% projection of 1.1602 to 1.6587 from 1.3624 at 1.8069. And this will remain the favored case as long as 1.5346 remains intact.

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EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6091; (P) 1.6406; (R1) 1.6581; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD is neutral for consolidations. As long as 1.6189 support holds, further rise is still expected. Above 1.6407 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.6765 resistance first. However, break of 1.6189 will indicate short term topping and bring lengthier consolidation before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 1.3624 (2017 low) should be resuming. Such rise is part of the up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Sustained break of 1.6587 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7550. For now, in any case, medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.5346 support holds, even in case of deeper pull back.

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EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6169; (P) 1.6259; (R1) 1.6329; More….

EUR/AUD spiked higher to 1.6765 and breached 1.6587 key resistance. While it quickly retreated rather deeply, further rise is expected as long as 1.6189 support holds. Sustained break of 1.6587 will confirm up trend resumption for 1.7550 next. Nevertheless, break of 1.6189 will turn bias to the downside and bring deeper pull back first.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 1.3624 (2017 low) should be resuming. Such rise is part of the up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Sustained break of 1.6587 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7550. For now, in any case, medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.5346 support holds, even in case of deeper pull back.

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EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6123; (P) 1.6291; (R1) 1.6423; More….

EUR/AUD’s rally extends after brief retreat and reaches as high 1.6348 so far. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 1.6357 high. At this point, we’d be cautious on topping around there to bring pull back. On the downside, break of 1.6162 will turn bias to the downside for pull back. Meanwhile, sustained break of 1.6357 will confirm up trend resistance for next key resistance at 1.6587.

In the bigger picture, no change in the view that 1.6357 is a medium term top. But the strong rebound ahead of 1.5271 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.6357 at 1.5313) suggests price actions from 1.6357 are developing into sideway consolidation, rather than a deep correction. The range of 1.5271/6357 is likely set for the consolidation. And we don’t expect a break of the range any time soon. But decisive break of 1.6357 will resume the larger up trend from 1.3624 (2017 low) to 1.6587 (2015 high).

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EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6100; (P) 1.6209; (R1) 1.6371; More….

EUR/AUD’s rally resumed after brief consolidation and reaches as high as 1.6316 so far. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Current rise from 1.5346 should target 1.6357 high. At this point, we’d be cautious on topping around there to bring pull back. On the downside, break of 1.6047 support is needed to signal short term topping. Otherwise, near term outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, no change in the view that 1.6357 is a medium term top. But the strong rebound ahead of 1.5271 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.6357 at 1.5313) suggests price actions from 1.6357 are developing into sideway consolidation, rather than a deep correction. The range of 1.5271/6357 is likely set for the consolidation. And we don’t expect a break of the range any time soon. But decisive break of 1.6357 will resume the larger up trend from 1.3624 (2017 low) to 1.6587 (2015 high).

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EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6000; (P) 1.6115; (R1) 1.6178; More….

A temporary top is in place at 1.6228 in EUR/AUD with 4 hour MACD crossed below signal line. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Further rally is expected as long as 1.5884 resistance turned support holds. On the upside, above 1.6228 will extend the rise from 1.5346 to retest 1.6357 high. At this point, we’d be cautious on topping around there to bring pull back. On the downside, break of 1.5884 will indicate near term reversal and turn bias back to the downside for 1.5346 support.

In the bigger picture, no change in the view that 1.6357 is a medium term top. But the strong rebound ahead of 1.5271 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.6357 at 1.5313) suggests price actions from 1.6357 are developing into sideway consolidation, rather than a deep correction. The range of 1.5271/6357 is likely set for the consolidation. And we don’t expect a break of the range any time soon. But decisive break of 1.6357 will resume the larger up trend from 1.3624 (2017 low) to 1.6587 (2015 high).

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EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6130; (P) 1.6180; (R1) 1.6240; More….

EUR/AUD’s rally resumed after brief consolidate. Despite diminishing upside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD, there is no sign of topping yet. Intraday bias is now on the upside for retesting 1.6357 high. At this point, we’d be cautious on topping around there to bring pull back. On the downside, break of 1.6024 support will now indicate short term topping and bring lengthier consolidation.

In the bigger picture, no change in the view that 1.6357 is a medium term top. But the strong rebound ahead of 1.5271 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.6357 at 1.5313) suggests price actions from 1.6357 are developing into sideway consolidation, rather than a deep correction. The range of 1.5271/6357 is likely set for the consolidation. And we don’t expect a break of the range any time soon. But decisive break of 1.6357 will resume the larger up trend from 1.3624 (2017 low) to 1.6587 (2015 high).

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EUR/AUD Weekly Outlook

EUR/AUD surged to as high as 1.6154 last week but lost momentum since then. With 4 hour MACD crossed below signal line, a temporary top is in place. Intraday bias is turned neutral for some consolidations first. But downside of retreat should be contained by 1.5887 resistance turned support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, above 1.6154 will extend the rebound from 1.5346 to retest 1.6357 high next. At this point, we’d be cautious on topping around there to bring pull back.

In the bigger picture, no change in the view that 1.6357 is a medium term top. But the strong rebound ahead of 1.5271 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.6357 at 1.5313) suggests price actions from 1.6357 are developing into sideway consolidation, rather than a deep correction. The range of 1.5271/6357 is likely set for the consolidation. And we don’t expect a break of the range any time soon. But decisive break of 1.6357 will resume the larger up trend from 1.3624 (2017 low) to 1.6587 (2015 high).

In the longer term picture, the rise from 1.1602 long term bottom (2012 low) isn’t over yet. We’ll keep monitoring the development but there is prospect of extending the rise to 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 to 1.1602 at 1.7488 and above. However, sustained trading below 1.3624 key support should indicate long term reversal and target 1.1602 long term bottom again.

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EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5851; (P) 1.5947; (R1) 1.6099; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains on the upside at this point. Current rise from 1.5346 is in progress for retesting 1.6357 high. At this point, we’d be cautious on topping around there to bring pull back. On the downside, break of 1.5887 resistance turned support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, near term outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, no change in the view that 1.6357 is a medium term top. But the strong rebound ahead of 1.5271 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.6357 at 1.5313) suggests price actions from 1.6357 are developing into sideway consolidation, rather than a deep correction. The range of 1.5271/6357 is likely set for the consolidation. And we don’t expect a break of the range any time soon. But decisive break of 1.6357 will resume the larger up trend from 1.3624 (2017 low) to 1.6587 (2015 high).

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