Sun, Apr 18, 2021 @ 10:52 GMT

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

AUD/USD rebounded to 0.7760 last week but retreated since then. Initial bias is neutral this week first. We’re favoring the case that correction from 0.8006 has completed with three waves down to 0.7530. Above 0.7760 will extend the rebound to 0.7848 resistance first. Break there should confirm this bullish case and bring retest of 0.8006 high. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.7583 support holds.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.1079 (2001 high) should have completed at 0.5506 (2020 low) already. Rise from 0.5506 could either be the start of a long term up trend, or a corrective rise. Reactions to 0.8135 key resistance will reveal which case it is. But in any case, medium term rally is expected to continue as long as 0.7413 resistance turned support holds.

In the longer term picture, 0.5506 is a long term bottom, on bullish convergence condition in monthly MACD. Focus is now back on 0.8135 structural resistance. Decisive break there will raise the chance that rise from 0.5506 is an impulsive up trend. Next target should be 61.8% retracement at 0.8950 of 1.1079 to 0.5506 and above. Though, rejection by 0.8135 will keep the case of medium to long term sideway consolidation open.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7718; (P) 0.7739; (R1) 0.7773; More…

With 0.7676 minor support intact, further rise is expected in AUD/USD. Rebound from 0.7530 should target 0.7848 resistance. Firm break there should confirm completion of the corrective fall from 0.8006 at 0.7530. Retest of 0.8006 high should be seen next. On the downside, below 0.7676 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again. But for now, risk will stay mildly on the upside as long as 0.7583 minor support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.1079 (2001 high) should have completed at 0.5506 (2020 low) already. Rise from 0.5506 could either be the start of a long term up trend, or a corrective rise. Reactions to 0.8135 key resistance will reveal which case it is. But in any case, medium term rally is expected to continue as long as 0.7413 resistance turned support holds.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7659; (P) 0.7699; (R1) 0.7762; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains mildly on the upside for 0.7848 resistance. Firm break there should confirm completion of the corrective fall from 0.8006 at 0.7530. Retest of 0.8006 high should be seen next. On the downside, below 0.7676 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again. But for now, risk will stay mildly on the upside as long as 0.7583 minor support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.1079 (2001 high) should have completed at 0.5506 (2020 low) already. Rise from 0.5506 could either be the start of a long term up trend, or a corrective rise. Reactions to 0.8135 key resistance will reveal which case it is. But in any case, medium term rally is expected to continue as long as 0.7413 resistance turned support holds.

AUD/USD Mid-Day Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7604; (P) 0.7626; (R1) 0.7667; More…

AUD/USD’s break of 0.7676 resistance indicates resumption of rebound from 0.7530. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 0.7848 resistance. Firm break there should completion of the corrective fall from 0.8006. For now, risk will stay mildly on the upside as long as 0.7583 minor support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.1079 (2001 high) should have completed at 0.5506 (2020 low) already. Rise from 0.5506 could either be the start of a long term up trend, or a corrective rise. Reactions to 0.8135 key resistance will reveal which case it is. But in any case, medium term rally is expected to continue as long as 0.7413 resistance turned support holds.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7604; (P) 0.7626; (R1) 0.7667; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral with focus on 0.7676 minor resistance. Break there will resume the rebound from 0.7530, for 0.7848 resistance. Firm break there should confirm completion of the corrective fall from 0.8006. However, break of 0.7587 will likely resume the correction from 0.8006 through 0.7530.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.1079 (2001 high) should have completed at 0.5506 (2020 low) already. Rise from 0.5506 could either be the start of a long term up trend, or a corrective rise. Reactions to 0.8135 key resistance will reveal which case it is. But in any case, medium term rally is expected to continue as long as 0.7413 resistance turned support holds.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7600; (P) 0.7618; (R1) 0.7641; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Rebound from 0.7530 is in favor to continue as long as 0.7587 minor support holds. Break of 0.767 will target 0.7848 resistance. Firm break there should confirm completion of the corrective fall from 0.8006. However, break of 0.7587 will likely resume the correction from 0.8006 through 0.7530.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.1079 (2001 high) should have completed at 0.5506 (2020 low) already. Rise from 0.5506 could either be the start of a long term up trend, or a corrective rise. Reactions to 0.8135 key resistance will reveal which case it is. But in any case, medium term rally is expected to continue as long as 0.7413 resistance turned support holds.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7584; (P) 0.7623; (R1) 0.7657; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral for the moment. Rebound form 0.7530 is in favor to continue as long as 0.7587 minor support holds. Break of 0.767 will target 0.7848 resistance. Firm break there should confirm completion of the corrective fall from 0.8006. However, break of 0.7587 will likely resume the correction from 0.8006 through 0.7530.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.1079 (2001 high) should have completed at 0.5506 (2020 low) already. Rise from 0.5506 could either be the start of a long term up trend, or a corrective rise. Reactions to 0.8135 key resistance will reveal which case it is. But in any case, medium term rally is expected to continue as long as 0.7413 resistance turned support holds.

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

AUD/USD edged higher to 0.7676 last week but struggled to break through 55 day EMA and turned sideway. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Rebound form 0.7530 is in favor to continue as long as 0.7587 minor support holds. Break of 0.767 will target 0.7848 resistance. Firm break there should confirm completion of the corrective fall from 0.8006. However, break of 0.7587 will likely resume the correction from 0.8006 through 0.7530.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.1079 (2001 high) should have completed at 0.5506 (2020 low) already. Rise from 0.5506 could either be the start of a long term up trend, or a corrective rise. Reactions to 0.8135 key resistance will reveal which case it is. But in any case, medium term rally is expected to continue as long as 0.7413 resistance turned support holds.

In the longer term picture, 0.5506 is a long term bottom, on bullish convergence condition in monthly MACD. Focus is now back on 0.8135 structural resistance. Decisive break there will raise the chance that rise from 0.5506 is an impulsive up trend. Next target should be 61.8% retracement at 0.8950 of 1.1079 to 0.5506 and above. Though, rejection by 0.8135 will keep the case of medium to long term sideway consolidation open.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7619; (P) 0.7639; (R1) 0.7676; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD stays neutral at this point. On the downside, break of 0.7590 minor support will bring retest of 0.7530 low. Break there will resume corrective fall from 0.8006. On the upside, above 0.7676 will resume the rebound from 0.7520 to 0.7848 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.1079 (2001 high) should have completed at 0.5506 (2020 low) already. Rise from 0.5506 could either be the start of a long term up trend, or a corrective rise. Reactions to 0.8135 key resistance will reveal which case it is. But in any case, medium term rally is expected to continue as long as 0.7413 resistance turned support holds.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7584; (P) 0.7630; (R1) 0.7660; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD is turned neutral as it retreated after hitting 0.7667. Another rise is mildly in favor as long as 0.7590 minor support holds. Above 0.7676 will resume the rebound from 0.7530 short term bottom to 0.7848 resistance. Break there should confirm completion of the correction from 0.8006, and bring retest of this high. However, break of 0.7590 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 0.7530 and below, to extend the correction from 0.8006.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.1079 (2001 high) should have completed at 0.5506 (2020 low) already. Rise from 0.5506 could either be the start of a long term up trend, or a corrective rise. Reactions to 0.8135 key resistance will reveal which case it is. But in any case, medium term rally is expected to continue as long as 0.7413 resistance turned support holds.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7624; (P) 0.7646; (R1) 0.7686; More…

Breach of 0.7662 minor resistance suggests short term bottoming at 0.7530, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias in AUD/USD is back on the upside for 0.7848 resistance. Break there should confirm completion of the correction from 0.8006, and bring retest of this high. However, break of 0.7590 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 0.7530 and below, to extend the correction from 0.8006.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.1079 (2001 high) should have completed at 0.5506 (2020 low) already. Rise from 0.5506 could either be the start of a long term up trend, or a corrective rise. Reactions to 0.8135 key resistance will reveal which case it is. But in any case, medium term rally is expected to continue as long as 0.7413 resistance turned support holds.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7614; (P) 0.7637; (R1) 0.7675; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 0.7622 minor resistance will suggest short term bottoming at 0.7530, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 0.7848 resistance. Break there should confirm completion of the correction form 0.8006. On the downside, break of 0.7530 will extend the correction to 100% projection of 0.8006 to 7620 from 0.7848 at 0.7462. We’ll look for strong support from there to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.1079 (2001 high) should have completed at 0.5506 (2020 low) already. Rise from 0.5506 could either be the start of a long term up trend, or a corrective rise. Reactions to 0.8135 key resistance will reveal which case it is. But in any case, medium term rally is expected to continue as long as 0.7413 resistance turned support holds.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7593; (P) 0.7616; (R1) 0.7636; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD is turned neutral after recovering from 0.7530. Another fall could be seen as long as 0.7662 resistance holds. Break of 0.7530 will extend the correction from 0.8006 to 7620 from 0.7848 at 0.7462. We’ll look for strong support from there to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.7662 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for 0.7848 resistance.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.1079 (2001 high) should have completed at 0.5506 (2020 low) already. Rise from 0.5506 could either be the start of a long term up trend, or a corrective rise. Reactions to 0.8135 key resistance will reveal which case it is. But in any case, medium term rally is expected to continue as long as 0.7413 resistance turned support holds.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7576; (P) 0.7607; (R1) 0.7625; More…

AUD/USD’s corrective fall from 0.8006 resumes by breaking 0.7562 and hits as low as 0.7530 so far. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 100% projection of 0.8006 to 0.7620 from 0.7848 at 0.7462. We’ll look for strong support from there to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.7662 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for 0.7848 resistance.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.1079 (2001 high) should have completed at 0.5506 (2020 low) already. Rise from 0.5506 could either be the start of a long term up trend, or a corrective rise. Reactions to 0.8135 key resistance will reveal which case it is. But in any case, medium term rally is expected to continue as long as 0.7413 resistance turned support holds.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7567; (P) 0.7615; (R1) 0.7646; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD stays neutral at this point. Corrective fall from 0.8006 could extend lower. Break of 0.7562 will target 100% projection of 0.8006 to 0.7620 from 0.7848 at 0.7462. We’ll look for strong support from there to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.7848 resistance is needed to confirm completion of the correction. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.1079 (2001 high) should have completed at 0.5506 (2020 low) already. Rise from 0.5506 could either be the start of a long term up trend, or a corrective rise. Reactions to 0.8135 key resistance will reveal which case it is. But in any case, medium term rally is expected to continue as long as 0.7413 resistance turned support holds.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7612; (P) 0.7634; (R1) 0.7653; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral for the moment and outlook is unchanged. Corrective fall from 0.8006 could extend lower. Break of 0.7562 will target 100% projection of 0.8006 to 0.7620 from 0.7848 at 0.7462. We’ll look for strong support from there to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.7848 resistance is needed to confirm completion of the correction. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.1079 (2001 high) should have completed at 0.5506 (2020 low) already. Rise from 0.5506 could either be the start of a long term up trend, or a corrective rise. Reactions to 0.8135 key resistance will reveal which case it is. But in any case, medium term rally is expected to continue as long as 0.7413 resistance turned support holds.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7597; (P) 0.7620; (R1) 0.7663; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral at this point. Corrective fall from 0.8006 could extend lower. Break of 0.7562 will target 100% projection of 0.8006 to 0.7620 from 0.7848 at 0.7462. We’ll look for strong support from there to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.7848 resistance is needed to confirm completion of the correction. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.1079 (2001 high) should have completed at 0.5506 (2020 low) already. Rise from 0.5506 could either be the start of a long term up trend, or a corrective rise. Reactions to 0.8135 key resistance will reveal which case it is. But in any case, medium term rally is expected to continue as long as 0.7413 resistance turned support holds.

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

AUD/USD’s correction from 0.8006 extended lower to 0.7562 last week but recovered since then. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the downside, break of 0.7562 will extend the decline to 100% projection of 0.8006 to 0.7620 from 0.7848 at 0.7462. We’ll look for strong support from there to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.7848 resistance is needed to confirm completion of the correction. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.1079 (2001 high) should have completed at 0.5506 (2020 low) already. Rise from 0.5506 could either be the start of a long term up trend, or a corrective rise. Reactions to 0.8135 key resistance will reveal which case it is. But in any case, medium term rally is expected to continue as long as 0.7413 resistance turned support holds.

In the longer term picture, 0.5506 is a long term bottom, on bullish convergence condition in monthly MACD. Focus is now back on 0.8135 structural resistance. Decisive break there will raise the chance that rise from 0.5506 is an impulsive up trend. Next target should be 61.8% retracement at 0.8950 and above. Though, rejection by 0.8135 will keep the case of medium to long term sideway consolidation open.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7559; (P) 0.7586; (R1) 0.7610; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD is turned neutral with current recovery, and with 4 hour MACD crossed above signal line. Correction from 0.8006 could still extend lower. Below 0.7562 will target 100% projection of 0.8006 to 0.7620 from 0.7848 at 0.7462. We’ll look for strong support from there to bring rebound. However, note that AUD/USD has also completed a head and should top (ls: 0.7819; h: 0.8006; rs: 0.7848). Firm break of 0.7462 will argue that it’s correcting whole up trend from 0.5506. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.7848 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.1079 (2001 high) should have completed at 0.5506 (2020 low) already. Rise from 0.5506 could either be the start of a long term up trend, or a corrective rise. Reactions to 0.8135 key resistance will reveal which case it is. But in any case, medium term rally is expected to continue as long as 0.7413 resistance turned support holds.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7561; (P) 0.7599; (R1) 0.7617; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains on the downside at this point. Correction from 0.8006 is in progress for 100% projection of 0.8006 to 0.7620 from 0.7848 at 0.7462. We’ll look for strong support from there to bring rebound. However, note that AUD/USD has also completed a head and should top (ls: 0.7819; h: 0.8006; rs: 0.7848). Firm break of 0.7462 will argue that it’s correcting whole up trend from 0.5506. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.7848 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.1079 (2001 high) should have completed at 0.5506 (2020 low) already. Rise from 0.5506 could either be the start of a long term up trend, or a corrective rise. Reactions to 0.8135 key resistance will reveal which case it is. But in any case, medium term rally is expected to continue as long as 0.7413 resistance turned support holds.