Sat, Jul 21, 2018 @ 17:30 GMT

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY edged higher to 131.97 last week but retreated since then. Initial bias is neutral this week for some consolidations first. But as long as 129.90 minor support holds, near term outlook stays bullish for another rally. On the upside, above 131.97 will target 100% projection of 124.61 to 130.33 from 127.13 at 132.85 next. However, considering bearish divergent condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 129.90 will indicate short term reversal, and turn bias back to the downside for 127.13 support.

In the bigger picture, the strong break of channel resistance from 137.49 suggests that the decline from there has completed. The three wave structure suggests that it’s a correction. With 124.08 key resistance turned support intact, medium term bullishness is also retained. Break of 133.47 will affirm this bullish case and target 137.49 and above. This will now be the favored case as long as 127.13 support holds.

In the long term picture, at this point, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Rise from 109.03 is seen as a leg inside the pattern. As long as 124.08 support holds, further rally is in favor in medium to long term through 149.76 high. However, break of 124.08 could extend the fall through 109.03 low instead.

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EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.63; (P) 131.03; (R1) 131.35; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 131.97 temporary top. Outlook is unchanged that as long as 129.90 minor support holds, further rise is still in favor. Above 131.97 will target 100% projection of 124.61 to 130.33 from 127.13 at 132.85 next. However, break of 129.90 will indicate short term reversal, with bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, and turn bias back to the downside for 127.13 support.

In the bigger picture, the strong break of channel resistance from 137.49 suggests that the decline from there as completed. The three wave structure suggests that it’s a correction. With 124.08 key resistance turned support intact, medium term bullishness is also retained. Break of 133.47 will affirm this bullish case and target 137.49 and above. This will now be the favored case as long as 127.13 support holds.

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EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.89; (P) 131.34; (R1) 131.79; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral at this point. As long as 129.90 minor support holds, further rise is still in favor. Above 131.97 will target 100% projection of 124.61 to 130.33 from 127.13 at 132.85 next. However, break of 129.90 will indicate short term reversal, with bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, and turn bias back to the downside for 127.13 support.

In the bigger picture, the strong break of channel resistance from 137.49 suggests that the decline from there as completed. The three wave structure suggests that it’s a correction. With 124.08 key resistance turned support intact, medium term bullishness is also retained. Break of 133.47 will affirm this bullish case and target 137.49 and above. This will now be the favored case as long as 127.13 support holds.

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EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.38; (P) 131.69; (R1) 131.93; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral with today’s deep pull back. As long as 129.90 minor support holds, further rise is still in favor. Above 131.97 will target 100% projection of 124.61 to 130.33 from 127.13 at 132.85 next. However, break of 129.90 will indicate short term reversal, with bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, and turn bias back to the downside for 127.13 support.

In the bigger picture, the strong break of channel resistance from 137.49 suggests that the decline from there as completed. The three wave structure suggests that it’s a correction. With 124.08 key resistance turned support intact, medium term bullishness is also retained. Break of 133.47 will affirm this bullish case and target 137.49 and above. This will now be the favored case as long as 127.13 support holds.

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EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.38; (P) 131.69; (R1) 131.93; More….

EUR/JPY is losing upside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. But further rise is expected as long as 129.90 minor support holds. Rebound from 124.61 should target 100% projection of 124.61 to 130.33 from 127.13 at 132.85 next. However, break of 129.90 will indicate short term topping and turn bias back to the downside for 127.13 support.

In the bigger picture, the strong break of channel resistance from 137.49 suggests that the decline from there as completed. The three wave structure suggests that it’s a correction. With 124.08 key resistance turned support intact, medium term bullishness is also retained. Break of 133.47 will affirm this bullish case and target 137.49 and above. This will now be the favored case as long as 127.13 support holds.

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EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.18; (P) 131.45; (R1) 131.74; More….

EUR/JPY’s rally is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the upside. Current rally from 124.61 should target 100% projection of 124.61 to 130.33 from 127.13 at 132.85 next. On the downside, below 130.79 minor support will turn bias to the downside and bring retreat. But downside should be contained by 129.55 resistance turned support to bring another rally.

In the bigger picture, the strong break of channel resistance from 137.49 suggests that the decline from there as completed. The three wave structure suggests that it’s a correction. With 124.08 key resistance turned support intact, medium term bullishness is also retained. Break of 133.47 will affirm this bullish case and target 137.49 and above. This will now be the favored case as long as 127.13 support holds.

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EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.90; (P) 131.21; (R1) 131.62; More….

EUR/JPY’s rally resumes after brief consolidation and breaches 131.52 temporary top. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside. Current rise from 14.61 should target 100% projection of 124.61 to 130.33 from 127.13 at 132.85 next. On the downside, below 130.79 minor support will turn bias to the downside and bring deeper retreat, possibly to 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 130.22) and below. But downside should be contained by 129.55 resistance turned support to bring another rally.

In the bigger picture, the strong break of channel resistance from 137.49 suggests that the decline from there as completed. The three wave structure suggests that it’s a correction. With 124.08 key resistance turned support intact, medium term bullishness is also retained. Break of 133.47 will affirm this bullish case and target 137.49 and above. This will now be the favored case as long as 127.13 support holds.

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EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY surged to as high as 131.52 last week as the rise from 124.61 resumed. As a temporary top was formed, initial bias is neutral for some consolidations first. Downside of retreat should be contained by 129.55 minor support to bring another rally. Above 131.52 will target 100% projection of 124.61 to 130.33 from 127.13 at 132.85 next.

In the bigger picture, the strong break of channel resistance from 137.49 suggests that the decline from there as completed. The three wave structure suggests that it’s a correction. With 124.08 key resistance turned support intact, medium term bullishness is also retained. Break of 133.47 will affirm this bullish case and target 137.49 and above. This will now be the favored case as long as 127.13 support holds.

In the long term picture, at this point, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Rise from 109.03 is seen as a leg inside the pattern. As long as 124.08 support holds, further rally is in favor in medium to long term through 149.76 high. However, break of 124.08 could extend the fall through 109.03 low instead.

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EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.83; (P) 131.15; (R1) 131.66; More….

As long as 129.90 minor support holds, further rally is expected in EUR/JPY. Current rise from 124.61 should target 100% projection of 124.61 to 130.33 from 127.13 at 132.85 next. However, break of 129.90 will indicate short term topping and turn focus back to 127.13 support instead.

In the bigger picture, for now, EUR/JPY is holding above 124.08 key resistance turned support. Fall from 137.49 could be proven to be a correction. Decisive break of 133.47 resistance will confirm its completion and should extend the rise from 109.03 (2016 low) through 137.49 high. However, firm break of 124.08 will confirm trend reversal. That is, whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already. In that case, deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 and below.

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EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.12; (P) 130.54; (R1) 131.18; More….

EUR/JPY’s rally resumes after brief consolidation and reaches as high as 131.17 so far. Intraday bias is back on the upside to extend the rise from 124.61, targeting 100% projection of 124.61 to 130.33 from 127.13 at 132.85 next. On the downside, below 129.90 minor support will turn bias neutral again to bring consolidation.

In the bigger picture, for now, EUR/JPY is holding above 124.08 key resistance turned support. Fall from 137.49 could be proven to be a correction. Decisive break of 133.47 resistance will confirm its completion and should extend the rise from 109.03 (2016 low) through 137.49 high. However, firm break of 124.08 will confirm trend reversal. That is, whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already. In that case, deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 and below.

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EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.09; (P) 130.42; (R1) 130.75; More….

EUR/JPY lose upside momentum after hitting 130.73, as seen in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias is turned neutral for the moment. Further rise is expected as long as 128.49 minor support holds. Above 130.73 will target 100% projection of 124.61 to 130.33 from 127.13 at 132.85 next. However, break of 128.49 will turn focus back to 127.13 support.

In the bigger picture, for now, EUR/JPY is holding above 124.08 key resistance turned support. Fall from 137.49 could be proven to be a correction. Decisive break of 133.47 resistance will confirm its completion and should extend the rise from 109.03 (2016 low) through 137.49 high. However, firm break of 124.08 will confirm trend reversal. That is, whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already. In that case, deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 and below.

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EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.85; (P) 130.05; (R1) 130.45; More….

EUR/JPY rises to as high as 103.59 so far today. The break of 130.33 resistance and sustained trading above near term falling channel indicate trend reversal. Further rise should be seen to 100% projection of 124.61 to 130.33 from 127.13 at 132.85 next. On the downside break of 128.49 support in now needed to indicate completion of rise from 127.13. Otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, for now, EUR/JPY is holding above 124.08 key resistance turned support. Fall from 137.49 could be proven to be a correction. Decisive break of 133.47 resistance will confirm its completion and should extend the rise from 109.03 (2016 low) through 137.49 high. However, firm break of 124.08 will confirm trend reversal. That is, whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already. In that case, deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 and below.

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EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.34; (P) 129.66; (R1) 130.07; More….

EUR/JPY’s rebound continues today and edges higher to 130.16 so far. Focus stays on 130.33 resistance. Decisive break there will resume the rebound from 124.61. More importantly, the sustained break of near term falling channel would be a strong sign of trend reversal. In this case, further rise should be seen to 133.47 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, below 128.49 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 127.13 support. Break will target a test on 124.61 low.

In the bigger picture, for now, EUR/JPY is holding above 124.08 key resistance turned support. Fall from 137.49 could be proven to be a correction. Decisive break of 133.47 resistance will confirm its completion and should extend the rise from 109.03 (2016 low) through 137.49 high. However, firm break of 124.08 will confirm trend reversal. That is, whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already. In that case, deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 and below.

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EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY rebounded further to as high as 129.96 last week but it’s limited below 130.33 resistance so far. Initial bias remains neutral first this week first. On the upside, break of 130.33 will resume the rebound from 124.61. And by then, EUR/JPY should have also taken out near term falling channel decisively. That would be a strong sign of trend reversal. In that case, further rise should be seen to 133.47 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, below 128.49 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 127.13 support. Break will target a test on 124.61 low.

In the bigger picture, for now, EUR/JPY is holding above 124.08 key resistance turned support. Fall from 137.49 could be proven to be a correction. Decisive break of 133.47 resistance will confirm its completion and should extend the rise from 109.03 (2016 low) through 137.49 high. However, firm break of 124.08 will confirm trend reversal. That is, whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already. In that case, deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 and below.

In the long term picture, at this point, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Rise from 109.03 is seen as a leg inside the pattern. As long as 124.08 support holds, further rally is in favor in medium to long term through 149.76 high. However, break of 124.08 could extend the fall through 109.03 low instead.

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EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.76; (P) 129.19; (R1) 129.82; More….

EUR/JPY is sting in range below 130.33 resistance and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 130.33 will resume the rebound from 124.61. And by then, EUR/JPY should have also taken out near term falling channel decisively. That would be a strong sign of trend reversal. In that case, further rise should be seen to 133.47 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, break of 127.13 will bring retest of 124.61 low instead.

In the bigger picture, for now, EUR/JPY is holding above 124.08 key resistance turned support. Fall from 137.49 could be proven to be a correction. Decisive break of 133.47 resistance will confirm its completion and should extend the rise from 109.03 (2016 low) through 137.49 high. However, firm break of 124.08 will confirm trend reversal. That is, whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already. In that case, deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 and below.

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EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.52; (P) 128.78; (R1) 129.07; More….

EUR/JPY drew support from 4 hour 55 EMA and recovers today. But it’s staying below 130.33 resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 130.33 will resume the rebound from 124.61. And by then, EUR/JPY should have also taken out near term falling channel decisively. That would be a strong sign of trend reversal. In that case, further rise should be seen to 133.47 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, break of 127.13 will bring retest of 124.61 low instead.

In the bigger picture, for now, EUR/JPY is holding above 124.08 key resistance turned support. Fall from 137.49 could be proven to be a correction. Decisive break of 133.47 resistance will confirm its completion and should extend the rise from 109.03 (2016 low) through 137.49 high. However, firm break of 124.08 will confirm trend reversal. That is, whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already. In that case, deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 and below.

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EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.58; (P) 129.07; (R1) 129.43; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in range of 127.13/130.33 and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 130.33 will resume the rebound from 124.61. And by then, EUR/JPY should have also taken out near term falling channel decisively. That would be a strong sign of trend reversal. In that case, further rise should be seen to 133.47 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, break of 127.13 will bring retest of 124.61 low instead.

In the bigger picture, for now, EUR/JPY is holding above 124.08 key resistance turned support. Fall from 137.49 could be proven to be a correction. Decisive break of 133.47 resistance will confirm its completion and should extend the rise from 109.03 (2016 low) through 137.49 high. However, firm break of 124.08 will confirm trend reversal. That is, whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already. In that case, deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 and below.

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EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.47; (P) 128.99; (R1) 129.57; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 130.33 will resume the rebound from 124.61. And by then, EUR/JPY should have also taken out near term falling channel decisively. That would be a strong sign of trend reversal. In that case, further rise should be seen to 133.47 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, break of 127.13 will bring retest of 124.61 low instead.

In the bigger picture, for now, EUR/JPY is holding above 124.08 key resistance turned support. Fall from 137.49 could be proven to be a correction. Decisive break of 133.47 resistance will confirm its completion and should extend the rise from 109.03 (2016 low) through 137.49 high. However, firm break of 124.08 will confirm trend reversal. That is, whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already. In that case, deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 and below.

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EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.13; (P) 128.80; (R1) 130.00; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 130.33 will resume the rebound from 124.61. And by then, EUR/JPY should have also taken out near term falling channel decisively. That would be a strong sign of trend reversal. In that case, further rise should be seen to 133.47 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, break of 127.13 will bring retest of 124.61 low instead.

In the bigger picture, for now, EUR/JPY is holding above 124.08 key resistance turned support. Fall from 137.49 could be proven to be a correction. Decisive break of 133.47 resistance will confirm its completion and should extend the rise from 109.03 (2016 low) through 137.49 high. However, firm break of 124.08 will confirm trend reversal. That is, whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already. In that case, deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 and below.

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EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

After some corrective trading EUR/JPY rebounded strongly to close at 129.25. As it stays below 130.33 resistance, initial bias is neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 130.33 will resume the rebound from 124.61. And by then, EUR/JPY should have also taken out near term falling channel decisively. That would be a strong sign of trend reversal. In that case, further rise should be seen to 133.47 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, break of 127.13 will bring retest of 124.61 low instead.

In the bigger picture, for now, EUR/JPY is holding above 124.08 key resistance turned support. Fall from 137.49 could be proven to be a correction. Decisive break of 133.47 resistance will confirm its completion and should extend the rise from 109.03 (2016 low) through 137.49 high. However, firm break of 124.08 will confirm trend reversal. That is, whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already. In that case, deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 and below.

In the long term picture, at this point, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Rise from 109.03 is seen as a leg inside the pattern. As long as 124.08 support holds, further rally is in favor in medium to long term through 149.76 high. However, break of 124.08 could extend the fall through 109.03 low instead.

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