China’s CPI fell to -0.5% yoy in Nov, deepening deflation
Released over the weekend, China's economic data revealed a concerning trend as CPI plunged further into negative territory in November, marking the country's deepest deflationary period in three years. CPI fell to -0.5% yoy, a notable decline from -0.2% yoy in the previous month and falling short of the...
A Week of Market Shifts, Yen Skyrockets on BoJ Speculations
The global financial markets last week were primarily influenced by three pivotal themes: Yen's dramatic rise, Dollar's strength following robust US employment data, and repercussions of Moody's downgrading China's rating outlook.
The most striking was the Yen's significant surge, driven by intensified speculation about an impending exit from negative interest...
Dollar Rallies on Strong US Employment Data
Dollar jumps in early US session, buoyed by a robust set of employment data. headline job growth exceeded expectations, narrowly missing 200k mark, while unemployment rate showed a decline. This data suggests a still-tight job market, raising concerns among some market participants that underlying inflation pressures may not be...
Yen Robust on Strong Wage Growth Data, NFP to Determine Dollar’s Path
Japanese Yen continues to dominate as the strongest currency for the week, finding additional support from Japan's unexpectedly robust wage growth data. However, its rally is currently pausing, with global financial markets redirecting their focus towards the impending US non-farm payroll data.
Dollar, currently ranking as the second strongest currency,...
Yen Dominates with Strong Rally, USD/JPY Enters Bearish Trend Reversal
Yen is trading as the runaway leader in today's market, dominating traders' focus. This rally was initially triggered by comments from BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda regarding the central bank's potential strategies upon exiting negative interest rates. Buying momentum for then intensified further following Ueda's meeting with Japanese Prime Minister...
Yen Climbs as Markets React to BoJ Ueda’s Talk and China’s Import Contraction
Yen and Dollar strengthened notably in Asian session today, amid a backdrop of risk aversion that's reflected in the continued downturn in Hong Kong's stock market and softness in Japan. A key factor impacting market sentiment is the unexpected slump in China's imports, including the decline in crude oil...
Falling Yields Drive Euro and Sterling Down
Euro and Sterling are falling broadly in European session today, a trend largely driven by notable decrease in benchmark yields in Germany and the UK. German 10-year bund yield has reached its lowest point since June. Simultaneously, UK 10-year gilt yield has dipped below 4% mark for the first...
Market Sentiment Stabilizes, Attention on BoC Decision and US ADP Job
Global market sentiment shows signs of stabilization in Asia today, marked by gains in major indices like Nikkei Hong Kong's HSI. This shift indicates that the markets have largely absorbed the impact of Moody's downgrade of China's rating outlook, redirecting attention towards economic data and central bank policies. The...
Moody’s Downgrade on China Weighs on Commodity Currencies, AUD Leads Decline
Commodity currencies, particularly Australian Dollar, are experiencing notable selling pressure today. However, it should be noted that European investor sentiment, while not explicitly full-blown risk-on, clearly lacks the typical features of risk aversion. In the US, futures markets are just slightly down, indicating a cautious rather than outright negative...
Aussie Dips Following RBA, With Loonie and Kiwi Also Impacted by Risk Aversion
Today's Asian session saw broad decline in Australian Dollar, along with New Zealand and Canadian Dollars. This pattern suggests a shift towards risk aversion among investors, a sentiment echoed by the performance of major Asian stock indexes. Hong Kong stocks, in particular, continued their recent down trend, reaching new...
Yen Strengthens, Aussie Falls in Anticipation of Tokyo CPI and RBA
Today's markets are characterized by a sense of caution, with most major pairs and crosses gyrating inside Friday's range. Japanese Yen is an exception as a stronger performer, although it has not yet seen significant follow-through buying. Dollar and the Euro are currently in a consolidation phase, with traders...
Gold and Bitcoin Lead Market Frenzy, Yen Jumps While Others Tread Cautiously
Gold and Bitcoin are leading the charge in Asian markets today, with Gold breaking to a new record high and Bitcoin surpassing the 40000 mark. This surge contrasts with the mixed performance of Asian equity markets, where indices like Japan's Nikkei and Hong Kong's HSI experienced some pressure. The...
Market Upturn as Inflation Cools; Stocks Climb, Euro and Dollar Falter
Financial markets were dominated by themes of cooling inflation, a slowing economy, and increasing expectations of policy easing by both ECB and Fed last week. This convergence of factors ignited a full risk-on mode among investors, propelling major US stock indexes and Germany's DAX to sharp gains. In tandem,...
Canadian Dollar Rises on Jobs Data, Dollar Soft, Euro Worse
Canadian Dollar is firming slightly up in early US session, bolstered by stronger-than-expected Canadian job growth data. Despite the weakness in oil prices following disappointment over OPEC's production cut decisions, Loonie is displaying resilience. However, in the weekly performance chart, while Canadian Dollar is outshining Australian Dollar, it still...
Dollar and Euro Neck-and-Neck for Weakest Performer, Awaiting ISM Manufacturing Insights
The competition between Dollar and Euro for the title of the week's weakest performer remains intense. Current talking point is particularly on ECB, where economists are increasingly predicting an early rate cut following this week's pivotal inflation data. Goldman Sachs, aligning with this growing consensus, has updated its forecast...
Euro Sell-Off Intensifies Following CPI Miss, Spurring Broad-Based Dollar Rebound
Dollar is staging a broad-based rebound today, driven in part by the selloff in Euro. However, a more significant factor behind Dollar's recovery appears to be the exhaustion of selling momentum as the month draws to a close. This rebound continues after both headline and core PCE inflation data...
Dollar and Euro Slide on Rate Cut Expectations, with US PCE and Eurozone CPI in Focus
Dollar and Euro are emerging as notable underperformers for the week, largely influenced by increasing market anticipation of interest rate cuts by Fed and ECB in the coming year, a sentiment that is also impacting treasury yields. In US, 10-year treasury yield, a key benchmark for market expectations, has...
Dollar Finds Its Footing, Euro Faces Headwinds, Aussie at a Critical Point
Dollar is stabilizing after earlier selloff but remains the weakest performer for the week. Its modest recovery can be partly attributed to a bounce back against Euro, which is currently under pressure due to Germany's lower-than-expected CPI readings. Meanwhile, Australian Dollar is experiencing a delayed reaction to Australia's lower-than-expected...
Fed’s Dovish Tone Pressures Dollar and Yields, RBNZ’s Hawkishness Lifts Kiwi
Dollar's decline finally takes off again overnight, following dovish comments from some Fed officials. In particular, Fed Governor Christopher Waller, typically known for his hawkish views, softened his stance and expressed a level of satisfaction with the current interest rate policy. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee's even raised concerns...
Hesitant Dollar Sellers In Search of Clear Signals for Further Action
The forex markets today are characterized by a lack of decisive direction. Dollar remains generally weak, yet there seems to be a reluctance among sellers to push it further down. Market focus is now shifting to comments from several Fed officials scheduled for today and the rest of the...