Yen Weakens, Yields and Stocks Surge, Focus Turns to NFP
Following strong rally in US stocks and treasury yield overnight, Yen is trading broadly lower today, together with Swiss Franc. Yen is also the worst performing one for the week, followed by Euro. On the other hand, Canadian Dollar is the winner for the week, followed by Aussie. Focus...
Euro Stays Pressured in Slow Markets, Risk Appetite Returning
Selloff in Euro remains the main theme in slow markets today. Return of risk appetite is also weighing down Dollar and Yen. On the other hand, commodity currencies are generally strong, with Aussie having an upper hand over Kiwi and Loonie. Sterling is mixed for now, partly supported by...
Euro Weakness Continues in Flip-Flopping Markets
Overall markets continue to be rather mixed for now. Commodity currencies rally in Asian session, as led by Aussie, following rebound in the stock markets. On the other hand, Dollar is turning softer again, together with Yen. Euro's weakness is the more persistent development this week, in particular against...
Dollar Stronger on ADP, Falling Stocks and Rising Yields, Euro Tumbles
The markets are back on risk-off mode again today, while major global treasury yields trade higher. Stronger than expected ADP job data provides little support to over sentiment. Yen is leading the way higher, followed by Dollar and Swiss Franc. On the other hand, despite RBNZ delivering the expected...
RBNZ Hiked Policy Rate for First Time in 7 Years
For the first time in 7 years, the RBNZ increased the OCR by +25 bps to 0.5% in October. Policymakers pledged to tighten further in coming months as inflation pressure continues to exceed target. Policymakers remained hopeful about the economic outlook, suggesting that easing of pandemic-related restrictions could help...
Kiwi Down after RBNZ Rate Hike, Yen Softer on Rising Yields Again
New Zealand Dollar trades mildly lower together with commodity currencies in quiet Asian session. Overall markets are mixed as Japan and Hong Kong stocks head lower, decoupling from the strong rebound in the US overnight. Dollar appears to be supported by the rise in treasury yields, with 10-year yield...
Sterling Rises in Stable Markets, Euro and Swiss Franc Soft
Market sentiment is stable today, with European index trading mildly higher while US futures point to a rebound. But overall direction remains rather unclear. Sterling is currently the stronger one, with additional help from buying against other European majors. Kiwi is also firmer, awaiting tomorrow's RBNZ rate hike, followed...
RBA Affirmed No Rate Hike Until 2024, Widening Policy Divergence with Counterparts
The RBA left the cash rate unchanged at 0.1%, and asset purchases at AUD 4B/month, in October. Despite sharp rise in housing prices, policymakers chose to stick with ultra-easy monetary policy in order to achieve the inflation target and full employment.
The central bank remained cautiously optimistic about the economic...
Aussie Soft after Uneventful RBA, Dollar Recovering after Brief Selloff
Dollar is regaining some ground in Asian session today, as yesterday's selloff was relatively well contained so far. Sterling is also recovering, together with Euro, against others. On the other hand, Australian Dollar turns softer after uneventful RBA rate decision. Other commodity currencies are also weak. Overall markets will...
Swiss Franc Rises Broadly as Dollar and Yen Pare Gains
Swiss Franc is the winner so far today, as Dollar and Yen pare back some of last week's gains. Meanwhile, Euro is also soft after poor investor confidence data. On the other hand, New Zealand Dollar is following closely as second strongest, on anticipation of RBNZ rate hike later...
Yen to Follow Risk Sentiment, RBA and RBNZ Featured Early in the Week
While some selling pressure is seen in Asian stocks, the forex markets are relatively steady. Canadian Dollar is currently the stronger one, followed by Yen. Sterling is the softer one, followed by Swiss France, Euro and Dollar. Overall risk sentiment will continue to drive the markets this week and...
RBA Preview – To Maintain Rate at Historical Low as Counterparts Begin Tightening
The RBA will maintain all monetary policy measures unchanged at next week’s meeting. That is, the cash rate, as well as the yield target on the April 2024 bond, will stay at 0.1%. Asset purchases will also be kept at a pace of AUD 4B/week. Policymakers will continue to...
Dollar Index Could Be Capped by 94.46 Fibonacci Level as Yields Rally Halts
Dollar had been the strongest for most of the week but lost it first place at the time, as treasury yields retreated. Instead, resilient risk appetite in the US, as well as firm oil price helped Canadian and Australian Dollars stole the first and second place. On the other...
CFTC Commitments of Traders- Bets on Lower Euro Jumped amidst Energy Crisis
As suggested in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended September 28, NET LENGTH of USD index futures gained +1 361 contracts to 26 461. Concerning European currencies, NET LENGTH in EUR futures slumped -11 223 contracts to just 872. Speculative shorts soared remarkably, by +16...
CFTC Commitments of Traders – Bets Trimmed on Gas Price after Sharp Rally
According to the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for the week ended September 28, NET LENGTH of crude oil futures jumped +17 836 contracts to 373 814. Increase in speculative longs clearly outweighed that of shorts. For refined oil products, NET LENGTH for heating oil added +700 contracts to...
Dollar Continues to Pare Gain, Shrugs Higher PCE Inflation
Dollar continues to pare gains in early US session as the week is coming to a close. PCE inflation data is largely ignored by the markets, while Euro also shrugs CPI. Canadian Dollar also ignores smaller than expected GDP contraction. Sterling is leading the way in the rebound, followed...
Yen Rebounds on Steep Selloff in Stocks, ISM and PCE in Focus
Yen recovered much ground as US stocks tumbled steeply overnight. Meanwhile, Dollar remains generally firm, as partly supported by resilient treasury yields. Selling in Euro and Sterling slowed a little bit while commodity currencies are turning softer. ISM manufacturing and PCE inflation will come into spotlight today. But overall...
RBNZ Preview – Rate Hike Cycle Begins
The RBNZ is almost certain to raise the OCR by +25 bps to 0.5% next week. The Funding-For-Lending program (FLP) will stay unchanged at NZ$28B. This should not be affected by the slowdown in economic activities in the third quarter. While cautioning about the uncertainty of the pandemic and...
Selling Focus Turns to Euro as Dollar Digests Gains
As Dollar is digesting this week's yield supported rally today, selling focus is turning to Euro, in particular in crosses. Meanwhile, firmer overall risk sentiment is supporting commodity currencies and Sterling, with Aussie being the stronger one. Yen and Swiss Franc are generally softer on stable risk sentiment.
Technically, as...
Dollar Breaking Key Resistance Levels as Yields Hold Firm
Dollar retreats mildly in Asian session but remains the strongest one over the week. The rally in treasury yields appear to be taking a breather. But 10-year yield is holding firm above 1.54 handle, while 30-year yield is also above 2.0 handle. Canadian is following as the second strongest,...