Weaker China GDP Dampens Sentiment; ECB and Global Inflation Data Highlight the Week
Asian markets began the week with a cautious tone, as weaker-than-expected GDP growth from China dampened investor sentiment, even though the selloff in stocks has been limited. Today's set of data, coupled with recent weak PMI readings, points to broader deceleration in China's recovery momentum, as both consumer and...
Dollar Plummets as Markets Brace for Double or Even Triple Fed Rate Cuts This Year
Dollar weakened broadly last weeks market expectations on Fed's policy path shifted dramatically. The June US CPI report continued the narrative painted by the previous week's Non-Farm Payroll data, both suggesting further cooling in economic activity and easing price pressures. These developments have firmly positioned a September Federal Reserve...
Dollar Softens Post-PPI Release, Yet Selling Momentum Remains Limited
Dollar is under some selling pressure in early US session despite stronger-than-expected PPI readings. However, downside momentum of the greenback is relatively limited. The post-CPI selloff yesterday did not gain significant traction, partly because stock markets unexpectedly retreated. Currently, futures are indicating a flat opening, and if activity in...
Yen’s Sharp Rally Pauses, Japan Declines to Confirm Intervention
Japanese Yen is currently the best performer of the week, bolstered by alleged intervention by Japanese authorities overnight. Both Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki and outgoing top currency official Masato Kanda declined to confirm whether Japan had intervened, with Suzuki reiterating that foreign exchange levels should be market-determined but rapid...
Fed Sep Cut Now Realistic after US CPI; Japan Intervenes to Boost Yen?
Dollar tumbled sharply in early US session following lower-than-expected consumer inflation readings. Headline CPI showed its first month-over-month decline since early 2023, while core CPI annual rate unexpectedly slowed to its lowest level since April 2021. Now, a September Fed rate cut is becoming a realistic possibility. Fed fund...
Dollar Mixed with Inflation Data on Deck; Sterling Maintains Lead
Dollar weakened notably against Sterling and Aussie overnight, but held steady against other currencies. Market focus is now on the upcoming US consumer inflation data, with expectations of a slowdown in the headline CPI and steady core CPI. Fed Chair Jerome Powell's testimony this week boosted risk sentiment, driving...
Yen Weakness Persists in Calm Trading; Dollar Range-Bound
Yen continues its extended selloff today, except against New Zealand Dollar, in an otherwise subdued forex market. Reports indicate that BoJ may lower its economic growth forecasts for this year at its meeting later in July, while predicting that inflation will hover around 2% target in the coming years....
NZD Tumbles on RBNZ Rate Cut Hints; Markets Largely Ignore Fed’s Powell
New Zealand Dollar plunged sharply after RBNZ's more dovish than expected statement caught the market off guard. RBNZ's indication of potential future rate cuts was unexpected, even though it's not a hint on an imminent move.
The central bank's timing of this shift in tone is puzzling, as Q2 CPI...
Markets Await Fed Powell’s Insights, RBNZ on Deck
As US session kicks off, Dollar is trading mildly higher, with traders eagerly anticipating Fed Chair Jerome Powell's two-day semiannual testimony before Congress. The key questions looming over the markets are whether the Fed will initiate interest rate cuts in September and if there will be a total of...
Dollar Recovers Ahead of Powell’s Testimony; Market Awaits Clues on Rate Cuts
Dollar is recovering mildly overnight, as traders prepare for Fed Chair Jerome Powell's highly anticipated two-day Congressional testimony. Powell is scheduled to address the Senate today and the House tomorrow. Fed's latest dot plot suggests median expectation of just one rate cut this year. However, recent soft economic data...
Pound Gains on Hawkish BoE Remarks; Euro Regains Lost Ground
Sterling strengthened broadly today, support by comments from Jonathan Haskel, a known hawk on BoE's MPC. Haskel indicated his preference to maintain interest rates until there is clear evidence that inflationary pressures have subsided sustainably. This stance has introduced some uncertainty regarding the widely anticipated BoE rate cut in...
Euro Edges Down Following Left-Wing Triumph in French Elections
Euro dips mildly a in Asian session after French parliamentary elections on Sunday delivered unexpected results. The markets had anticipated a challenging outcome for centrist President Emmanuel Macron, including a hung parliament. Yet, the outcome was particularly surprising for Marine Le Pen's National Rally. Despite being a frontrunner, her...
Pound Outshines as Dollar Sinks, Yen Stabilizing
The past week marked a significant downturn for Dollar, which found itself at the bottom of the currency performance chart. A slew of unfavorable economic reports has highlighted the tangible effects of sustained high interest rates on the American economy, fostering a growing consensus that Fed may begin to...
NFP Revisions Hits Dollar; But September Fed Cut Still Uncertain
Dollar weakened broadly after the release of the US Non-Farm Payroll report, though the initial selloff was far from decisive. June's employment data showcased a robust labor market with near-average job and solid earnings growth , coupled with just a slight uptick in unemployment rate. However, significant downward revisions...
Dollar Under Pressure Ahead of NFP Data; Sterling Strengthens with Labour Victory
Dollar's broad-based decline continues in Asian session today as market attention shifts to the highly anticipated US Non-Farm Payroll data. Traders are eager to see a weak report on job and wage growth to reinforce the expectation that the Fed will initiate a rate cut in September. If these...
Dollar’s Decline Slows as Selling Momentum Eases
Dollar remains subdued today, but selling momentum has turned weak. With US markets closed for the holiday, trading activity is expected to be light. Meanwhile, traders are also gearing up for tomorrow's key US non-farm payroll data, which will be crucial. Further cooling in the job market and wage...
Dollar Down on Fed Cut Bets, Eyes on Swiss CPI
Dollar faced significant selloff overnight as market participants ramped up bets on a September rate cut by Fed. This shift in sentiment propelled S&P 500 and NASDAQ to record highs too. However, the greenback managed to stabilize in Asian session as the forex markets quieted down in observance of...
Dollar Weakens Against European Majors Ahead of Key Economic and Political Events
Dollar weakens notably against European majors in early US session, partially due to worse-than-expected ADP private job data. However, the primary reason seems to be traders becoming cautious ahead of several key events this week, including UK general elections, US non-farm payroll report, and French parliamentary elections. Traders are...
Yen Falls Again: How Much Lower Could It Go?
Yen's renewed selloff captured some attention in the otherwise subdued Asian session today. With no new comments from Japanese authorities, market participants are left to speculate on when and where the next intervention might occur. A pivotal moment on the horizon is BoJ's meeting on July 31, where the...
Dollar Struggles to Keep Momentum in Indecisive Markets
In the forex market, clear weakness of Yen, Swiss Franc, and Kiwi contrasts with a broader sense of indecision elsewhere. Dollar's rally attempt quickly lost momentum as it struggled to break through near-term resistance levels against both the Euro and Sterling. Additionally, the greenback remains stuck within familiar ranges...