Fri, Sep 20, 2019 @ 14:23 GMT
On the 100th day of Hong Kong’s anti-extradition movement, Moody’s downgraded the territory’s outlook to negative from stable. Although the credit rating stayed unchanged at Aa2 (two notches above China's A1), a negative outlook signals that a rating downgrade...
As suggested in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended September 10, NET LENGTH in USD Index added +296 contracts to 32 032. Speculative long positions ell -4 927 contracts and short positions also declined -5...
As suggested in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended September 3, NET LENGTH in USD Index added +1 839 contracts to 31 336. Speculative long positions rose +6 308 contracts and short positions also added...
The Brexit drama continues. The bill that allows MPs to take over the parliamentary business on September 4 was passed with a 328-301 vote. This has paved the way for debate on whether MPs reject a “no-deal” Brexit. This...
As suggested in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended August 27, NET LENGTH in USD Index added +398 contracts to 29 897. Speculative long positions dropped -961 contracts while short positions fell -1 359 contracts...
japan's inflation has stayed very weak. Despite hopes that the upcoming increase in consumption tax could boost the general price levels, the impact this time is likely limited. Tokyo CPI signals that Japan’s inflation outlook remains dismal.Although consumption tax hike...
As suggested in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended August 20, NET LENGTH in USD Index slipped -343 contracts to 29 499. Speculative long positions gained +1 189 contracts while short positions rose +1 532...
Ongoing massive protests in Hong Kong against extradition to China have raised concerns about a rapid deterioration in the city’s economy and, more importantly, the collapse of the HKD-USD linked exchange rate system (LERS). This report suggests that the...
As suggested in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended August 13, NET LENGTH in USD Index declined -1 487 contracts to 29 842. Speculative long positions dropped -1 457 contracts while short positions added +30...
Risk to Canadian dollar is skewed to the downside in the near term. Disappointing economic data since the July BOC meeting have raised speculations of a rate cut, although the consensus remains no change in the monetary policy for...
Matteo Salvini, the Deputy Prime Minister of Italy, announced last Friday that he would submit a no-confidence motion against Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte. This marks the collapse of the M5S- League coalition government. Two possibilities arise after Salvini’s move:...
As suggested in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended August 6, NET LENGTH in USD Index added +1 046 contracts to 31 329. Speculative long positions added +26 contracts while short positions dropped -1 020...
US Treasury Department on Monday labeled as currency manipulator, first time since 1994. Before the announcement, Trump has threatened to label as currency manipulator while the Treasury Department has long placed China in its monitoring list. According to the...
As suggested in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended August 1, NET LENGTH in USD Index added +1 155 contracts to 30 283. Speculative long positions rose +7 087 contracts while short positions gained +5...
As suggested in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended July 24, NET LENGTH in USD Index gained +1 796 contracts to 29 128. Speculative long positions gained +5 766 contracts while short positions added +3...
As trade tensions between Japan and Korea evolve, the latest development is that Japan is preparing to remove Korea from its “white list”. Countries in the list can enjoy preferential treatment on trade with minimum retractions. The move marks...
UK’s new Prime Minister Boris Johnson has about 3 months to deliver Brexit. With the EU reiterating refusal to amend the Withdrawal Agreement (the deal), Johnson should face the same challenge as his predecessor, Theresa May. We continue to...
As suggested in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended July 17, NET LENGTH in USD Index added +276 contracts to 27 332. Speculative long positions slid -27 contracts while short positions dropped -303 contracts during...
As suggested in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended July 9, NET LENGTH in USD Index jumped +4 639 contracts to 27 056. Speculative long positions gained +2 982 contracts while short positions fell -1...
For that first time since March 2018, CAD futures recorded NET LENGTH of 6 293 contracts, as suggested in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended July 2. Recent bullish sentiment about the loonie has been...
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