Tokyo is trying to preserve the deterrent effect of intervention through warnings and its cooperation with the US Treasury, but a clearer view of Washington’s limited financial contribution could encourage markets to test how far Japan will act independently. With US yields and Fed tightening expectations still favoring the Dollar, a durable Yen recovery may be harder to sustain.
A sharp hawkish repricing of Fed expectations has pushed the US two-year yield toward 5% resistance and dragged precious metals lower, but yields and the Dollar cannot explain silver's whole slide. Whether yields break through 5% or stall there, together with silver's 48.60 support, will shape the next phase.
Global market sentiment came under pressure on Thursday as Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang’s resignation delivered a major shock to the AI industry, while rising oil prices and government bond yields added to concerns over the broader investment environment. Nasdaq-100 futures fell more than 1% ahead of the US session, threatening to interrupt the technology-led rebound earlier this week.
Gold's failed rebound favors a retest of the early-November low near 3,870, but a decisive breakdown may have to wait. Hawkish Fed repricing has already done much of its work, leaving little room for another big shift in rate expectations before the December 4 payrolls unless a fresh catalyst arrives.