The Dollar Index closed near 101.03 after a hawkish Fed-driven rally, but it’s now approaching genuine resistance at 101.80–102.86 rather than emerging from support—clearing that zone likely requires the 10-year Treasury yield, not the already-stretched 2-year, to extend further.
The Australian Dollar is the week’s worst-performing major currency even with a September RBA hike to 4.60% essentially fully priced—the weakness reflects position lightening ahead of uncertain vote composition and guidance, not doubt about the hike itself, with AUD/USD now testing 0.7006 support.