Bitcoin is drifting toward the psychologically important $60,000 level in a bearish holding pattern, with September 15's procedural cloture vote on the CLARITY Act setting up an asymmetric outcome — failure would be a clean negative signal, while success would only keep the legislative process moving.
Gold has kept climbing even as Brent rebounded from $70 toward $90, a divergence that reflects markets betting the Fed won't tighten again without proof oil is feeding into core inflation — and Wednesday's CPI is the first test of that bet.
Three currencies sit at the top of Tuesday's FX board, but they aren't telling one story. Australian Dollar strengthened because the RBA refused to declare its tightening cycle finished, while US and Canadian Dollars benefited as Brent briefly broke above $90 before easing back toward $87-88.
A hawkish BoE tailwind has lifted Sterling this week, but Thursday's June monthly GDP — not the flattering Q2 headline — will determine whether that hawkish drift can survive into September, with EUR/GBP downside and GBP/CHF upside both hanging on the answer.