Dollar rebounded after August nonfarm payrolls jumped from a revised 21K in July to 162K, nearly three times the 58K consensus, while June and July were revised up a combined 55K. Yet September Fed hike probability only edged up to around 60%, and Treasury yields have yet to decisively break key resistance levels.
The Dollar’s selloff this week reflects two separate pressures — a Yen repricing tied to faster BoJ tightening and Fed Governor Waller’s lean toward a September hold — and Gold has rebounded sharply as an indirect beneficiary, with Friday’s NFP now the first test of both fronts at once.
USD/JPY broke decisively through 157.99 to around 156, bringing the 155 area back into range, as Yen's rally gathers fresh momentum from speculation that Japan's roughly $2 trillion GPIF could raise its domestic bond allocation, on top of an already-hawkish BoJ repricing. At the same time, Brent climbed to an intraday high around $97.62, its strongest level in six weeks, as the US-Iran conflict shows signs of extending well beyond 2026.
Silver has rebounded from 63.27 as the macro pressures behind its selloff simply stopped worsening, not reversed — leaving the 62.54–62.92 support cluster as the line that decides whether this is the start of the next leg higher or just a pause before deeper support is tested.