HomeContributorsFundamental AnalysisChina CPI Comes In As Expected, Firms Yuan Setting

China CPI Comes In As Expected, Firms Yuan Setting

General Trend:

  • Asian equity markets trade mixed; Shanghai pares gain
  • Tech sector weighs on the Hang Seng
  • Japan markets supported by gains in Real Estate, Iron/Steel and IT companies
  • Softbank rises after declines of over 6% in prior session
  • Rio Tinto rises after Q3 production update
  • New Zealand Q3 CPI above ests, remains below mid-point of 1-3% target
  • China Sept CPI data in line, core inflation slows
  • China fixed the yuan firmer for the first time in over 3 weeks
  • Chipmaker Nanya Technology expected to report Q3 results
  • US companies expected to report on Tuesday (including afterhours) include BlackRock, CSX, Domino’s Pizza, Goldman Sachs, IBM, J&J, Lam Research, Morgan Stanley, Netflix, United Continental, UnitedHealth and WW Grainger
  • BHP is expected to issue its quarterly production update on Wed (Oct 17th)

Headlines/Economic Data

  • Japan
  • Nikkei 225 opened +0.1%
  • (JP) Moody’s: Outlook for Japan’s banking system is stable, although challenges are apparent
  • (JP) Japan Trade Min Seko: Finance ministers can handle any US/Japan currency talks
  • 4552.JP Receives FDA Orphan Designation for treatment of Mucopolysaccharidosis Type II (MPS II) or Hunter Syndrome [-1%]
  • (JP) Japan Fin Min Aso: US and Japan have agreed FX chiefs to talk about currency; Downside risks posed by emerging market economies are increasing
  • (JP) Japan MOF sells ÂĄ2.0T v ÂĄ2.0T indicated in 0.10% 5-yr JGB: avg yield: -0.055% v -0.076% prior, bid to cover: 4.88x v 3.95x prior
  • 5002.JP To merge with Idemitsu: Share Exchange Ratio 1 Idemitsu share to 0.41 Showa shares; to be delisted March 27th ahead of merger

Korea

  • Kospi opened +0.5%
  • (KR) South Korea to announce a set of measures in Oct to help generate new jobs; views employment as being “at a critical situation” based on data – Korean press
  • (KR) South Korea brokerages expect BOK to keep policy on hold at Thursday’s meeting; 4 companies see 25bp hike in November meeting – Korean press

China/Hong Kong

  • Hang Seng opened +0.6%, Shanghai Composite flat
  • (CN) CHINA SEPT CPI Y/Y: 2.5% V 2.5%E (7-month high); PPI y/y: 3.6% v 3.5%e
  • (CN) China should curb the pace of IPOs in order to ease stock supply – Chinese press
  • (CN) China PBoC Open Market Operation (OMO): Skips OMO v skipped prior: Net: nil v nil prior
  • (CN) China PBoC set yuan reference rate: 6.9119 v 6.9154 prior
  • (HK) Certain home purchases in Hong Kong said to have forfeited their deposits in the past 2 weeks – Local Press
  • (CN) China the largest recipient of foreign direct investment (FDI) in H1 of 2018, with estimated $70B of inflows – China press citing UN data
  • (CN) S&P: China local governments’ debts kept off balance sheet could be as high as CNY40T ($6.0T) or more

Australia/New Zealand

  • ASX 200 opened +0.1%
  • (NZ) NEW ZEALAND Q3 CPI Q/Q: 0.9% V 0.7%E; Y/Y: 1.9% V 1.7%E
  • (AU) Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Oct Meeting Minutes: Uncertain consumption outlook still important consideration
  • VAH.AU Shareholder HNA rejected US consortium offer of A$0.175 for 19.8% stake – Australian
  • RIO.AU Reports Q3 Pilbara iron ore production 82.5Mt (100% basis) v 85.0Mt y/y; shipments 81.9Mt (100% basis) v 82.5Mte v 85.8Mt y/y
  • TLS.AU Affirms FY19 (A$) EBITDA 8.7-9.4B v 8.8Be; Rev 26.2-28.1B v 26.6Be; CAPEX 3.9-4.4B – AGM
  • (AU) Australia ANZ Roy Morgan Weekly Consumer Confidence: 119.5 v 117.3 prior
  • (NZ) Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ): Has invited Treasury Secretary to observe policy decisions from Oct, invitation accepted by Treasury Sec Makhlouf
  • (NZ) NEW ZEALAND RBNZ Q3 SECTORAL FACTOR MODEL INFLATION Y/Y: 1.7% V 1.7% PRIOR; SECTORAL FACTOR MODEL NON-TRADEABLE (CORE) Y/Y: 2.8% V 2.7% PRIOR

Other

  • (MY) Think tank Malaysian Institute of Economic Research (MIER):: Cuts 2018 GDP Malaysia growth forecast to 4.7% from 5.5% – financial press
  • (PH) Philippines Budget Sec: Cuts 2018 GDP growth forecast to 6.5-6.9% (7-8% prior); Sees 2018 CPI at 4.8-5.2%

North America

  • (US) Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) proposes rule to require manufacturers to disclose drug prices in TV ads (as suggested earlier by Pres Trump)
  • (MX) US said to seek to impose quotas on Mexico steel exports – financial press
  • AAPL Reportedly investigating Apple ID thefts in China – Chinese press

Europe

  • (UK) Ministers held meeting to discuss concerns on PM May Brexit plan – UK press
  • (EU) Analysts continue to expect the ECB to end bond buying program within 3-months – press

Levels as of 01:30ET

  • Hang Seng -0.1%; Shanghai Composite +0.1%; Kospi +0.2%; Nikkei225 +0.9%; ASX 200 +0.6%
  • Equity Futures: S&P 500 +0.4%; Nasdaq100 +0.6%, Dax +0.5%; FTSE100 +0.4%
  • EUR 1.1592-1.1567; JPY 112.11-111.74 ; AUD 0.7143-0.7119;NZD 0.6593-0.6562
  • Dec Gold -0.1% at $1,229/oz; Nov Crude Oil +0.2% at $71.92/brl; Dec Copper -0.1% at $2.77/lb
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