General Trend:
- Australia Financials index rises over 5%, AMP up over 10% ; Banking recommendations seen as not as bad as feared
- Australian Finance Group and Mortgage Choice decline after release of banking report
- Australian building materials firm James Hardie rises over 5% post earnings
- Nasdaq futures decline, Google drops post earnings
- Nikkei-weighted Fast Retailing drops over 3% after Jan sales figures
- Panasonic declines over 3%, cut operating earnings forecast
- Apple supplier Largan Precision Jan sales -4.8% y/y
- Aussie drops after weaker than expected retail sales, Dec exports decline
- Aussie rebounds after RBA statement
- RBA remains in focus this week: Gov Lowe expected to speak on Feb 6th (Wed), RBA quarterly statement on monetary policy seen on Feb 8th (Friday)
- Philippines inflation slows again in Jan, central bank sees more policy space
- US companies expected to report earnings on Tuesday include Electronic Arts, Ralph Lauren, SNAP, Disney (includes after hours)
Headlines/Economic Data
Japan
- Nikkei 225 opened +0.4%
- (JP) Japan PM Abe has asked China President Xi to visit Japan two times in 2019 – Japan press
- (JP) Togo Securities offices raided by investigators for allegedly offsetting Forex losses – Nikkei
- (JP) Japan Jan PMI Services: 51.6 v 51.0 prior; PMI Composite 50.9 v 52.0 prior
- (JP) Japan MoF sells ÂĄ2.2T v ÂĄ2.2T indicated in 0.10% (prior 0.10%) 10-yr JGBs, avg yield -0.013% v 0.015% prior, bid to cover 4.80x v 4.04x prior
- (JP) BoJ Gov Kuroda: Wage data issue does not affect BOJ’s view on economy, has limited impact on BOJ’s output gap
Korea
- Kospi closed, re-opens Feb 7th
- (KR) US envoy to North Korea to visit Pyongyang Feb 6th – US State Dept
- 042670.KR May report 2018 net profit at record high due to increased sales of excavators in China and emerging markets – Yonhap
- (KR) US and South Korea reach agreement in principal on cost of troops; US thought to have accepted S. Korea’s request to contribute less than $1.0B – CNN
- (KR) UN Sanctions Monitor Report: North Korea nuclear, ballistic missile program is intact; they are working to protect those capabilities from military strikes; N. Korea is violating arms embargo, continues to defy sanctions though use of massive increase in illegal ship to ship transfers or oil and coal
China/Hong Kong
- Hang Seng and Shanghai Composite closed remainder of the week
- (CN) China’s NDRC has invested $219.4B in 27 infrastructure projects since start of 2018 to stimulate economy -Chinese press
- HUAWEI.CN CFO Meng’s lawyers said to consider defense strategy that arrest was due to US political motives – Canadian press
Australia/New Zealand
- ASX 200 opened +0.3%
- (AU) RBA LEAVES CASH RATE TARGET UNCHANGED AT 1.50%; AS EXPECTED; Central scenario is for 2019 GDP ~3%; Central scenario is for 2020 GDP is a little less than 2019
- (AU) AUSTRALIA DEC RETAIL SALES M/M: -0.4% V 0.0%E
- (AU) AUSTRALIA DEC TRADE BALANCE (A$): 3.7B V +2.2BE; Exports m/m: -2% v +1% prior; Imports m/m: -6% v +2% prior
- (AU) AUSTRALIA Q4 RETAIL SALES EX INFLATION Q/Q: 0.1% V 0.5%E
- CIM.AU Reports FY18 (A$) Net 780.6M v 778Me, Rev 17.3B v 16.1B y/y; Guides initial FY19 (A$) net 790-840M
- (NZ) New Zealand Jan ANZ Commodity Price: +2.1% v -0.2% prior
- (AU) Australia Jan AiG Performance of Services Index: 44.3 v 52.1 prior
- JHX.AU Reports 9M Net $228M v $204M y/y; Rev $1.88B v 1.53B y/y
- RVA.AU To reduce employees at San Diego location by 44% to 22 employees, to realigning the organization to align with current business conditions
Other Asia
- (PH) PHILIPPINES JAN CPI M/M: -0.6% V -0.4% PRIOR; Y/Y: 4.4% V 4.5%E (lowest since March 2018)
- (PH) Philippines Central Bank (BSP) Official Guinigundo: Recent CPI data gives more space to review policy, with modest demand pressures monetary policy could be ‘slight on the brake’
North America
- (US) Trump Inaugural committee lawyers receives subpoena from Manhattan US attorney’s office for documents relating to committee’s donors and spending – US press
- (US) Fed Mester (hawk, non-voter in 2019): Current Fed policy is well calibrated to economy
- (US) Fed Chairman Powell met with Trump at White House tonight, discussed economic outlook; told Trump policy will be data dependent, Policy set on dual goals non-political
Europe
- (UK) UK govt indicates that UK would waive through most EU goods at ports in the event of a ‘no deal ‘ Brexit to avoid massive jams – The Sun
- (UK) JAN BRC LFL SALES Y/Y: +1.8% V -0.2%E
Levels as of 12:50ET
- Hang Seng closed; Shanghai Composite closed; Kospi closed; Nikkei225 -0.2%; ASX 200 +2.0%
- Equity Futures: S&P500 -0.1%; Nasdaq100 -0.1%, Dax -0.0%; FTSE100 +0.1%
- EUR 1.1426-1.1455; JPY 109.84-109.05; AUD 0.7195-0.7265; NZD 0.6872-0.6902
- Commodity Futures: Gold -0.0% at $1,319/oz; Crude Oil +0.4% at $54.80/brl; Copper +0.4% at $2.81/lb