HomeContributorsFundamental AnalysisUSD And Yen Remain Firmer, TRY Declines

USD And Yen Remain Firmer, TRY Declines

General trend

  • Asian indices reversed the higher opens
  • Hang Seng and HK TECH indices reversed the opening gains [TECH index drops over 2.5%; Baidu rises less than 1% in HK debut; Geely extended drop after reporting earnings; Tingyi declined after earnings; Other companies that declined following earnings included Shengmu Organic Milk, ENN Energy, Greentown China, China Molybdenum]
  • Shanghai has also moved lower by over 1% after opening higher [Consumer names decline]
  • Nikkei continues to struggle in the aftermath of Friday’s BOJ decision [TOPIX Banks index drops over 2%]
  • Australian markets are essentially flat [Gainers included REITs and Telecoms, Aussie yields pared rise; Energy, Consumer Discretionary and Financial indices declined; Sigma Health rose on earnings;]
  • Capitaland Ltd rose by over 12% on restructuring plan
  • Top Glove dropped on ex-dividend
  • China issues warning related to overseas funds
  • Japan to use reserve funds to support workers and companies
  • South Korea 10-year yield declines after bond auction
  • Oracle prices $15.0B in bonds (as expected, 6 tranches)
  • Shanghai Aluminum trades limit down
  • Companies that may report earnings during the NY morning include Cheetah Mobile

Headlines/Economic data

Australia/New Zealand

  • ASX 200 opened +0.1%
  • (NZ) New Zealand: To establish NZ$3.8B fund to accelerate infrastructure for new housing and measures to curb speculation in the housing market
  • WHC.AU Shiploading suspended at Newcastle Port due to flooding; Narrows ROM Coal Production guidance 21.4-22.0Mt (prior 21.0-22.5Mt)
  • (AU) Australia sells A$150M v A$150M indicated in 0.75% 2027 Indexed-Bonds, avg yield -0.7882%, bid to cover 5.17x
  • (AU) Summary: Australia New South Wales (NSW) experiencing what may be its largest flooding event in 60 years; costs already exceed A$2.0B with more than 9.5K insurance claims to date

Japan

  • Nikkei 225 opened %
  • 7974.JP Said to be working with Niantic to develop augmented reality apps; To release Pikmin app in 2021 – Press
  • (JP) Bank of Japan (BOJ) Announced changes to ETF purchases will begin in April
  • (JP) Japan Industry Ministry METI said to be providing ¥42B in support for chip development – Nikkei
  • (JP) Tokyo, Japan to continue to request early store closures as part of COVID measures (scheduled to end this month) – Japan press
  • (JP) Japan Cabinet approves additional financial help to industries suffering from the impact of Covid (especially hotels and restaurants)
  • (JP) Japan Finance Ministry: To use ¥2.2T (~$20.2B) of coronavirus reserve funds
  • (JP) Japan Fin Min Aso: True Japan finances in severe state, still not considering raising taxes; 2025 balanced budget goal remains intact

Korea

  • Kospi opened +0.1%
  • (KR) North Korean leader Kim and China President Xi pledged to further develop bilateral ties – Xinhua
  • (KR) South Korea Vice Fin Min Kim: strengthen monitoring of local and overseas state bond market trends even though sentiment has calmed after government and the central bank’s effort; Govt can flexibly adjust state bond issuance volume according to demand-supply dynamics and yield curve movement and take timely action

China/Hong Kong

  • Hang Seng opened +0.4%; Shanghai Composite opened %
  • (CN) China Secutiries Journal: China unlikely to speed up its adjustments to interest rates
  • (CN) China issues retaliatory sanctions on the EU, includes travel bans on 10 individuals from the EU and 4 entities – FT
  • (CN) US confirms issuing sanctions against China officials over human rights abuses (as expected); UK, EU and Canada also added sanctions
  • (CN) China Premier Li: China 2021 economic growth may be higher than target of >6%
  • (CN) China PBOC sets Yuan reference rate: 6.5036 v 6.5191 prior
  • (CN) China PBOC Open Market Operation (OMO): Injects CNY10B in 7-day reverse repos v CNY10B in 7-day reverse repos prior; Net CNY0B v CNY0B prior
  • (CN) China said to continue certain tax breaks that were adopted during coronavirus pandemic – Press

North America

  • (US) Fed Chair Powell: Recovery seems to be strengthening, coming faster than expected; labor market conditions have recently improved; reiterates committed to suing full range of tools to support the economy – testimony for tomorrow
  • (US) SEMI Feb North America-based Manufacturers of Semi Equipment Billings: $3.14B v $3.04B prior, M/M: +3.2% v +13.4% prior; Y/Y: +32% v +29.9% prior
  • (US) Fed’s Bowman (voter): Will take time to reach inflation and employment goals; Easing polixy will remain until economic goals reached
  • (US) Treasury Sec Yellen: Reiterates may see return to full employment in 2021 – prepared testimony for Friday
  • JNJ Biden administration said to be worried JNJ will miss vaccine goal of 20M doses by end of March, now expected to be met by 3rd week of April – Politico
  • AZN.UK Urged by the US NIAID to work with data safety monitoring board (DSMB) to review efficacy data from vaccine clinical trial; concerned that AstraZeneca may have included outdated information from that trial and provided incomplete view of efficacy data – US financial press

Europe

  • (DE) German Chancellor Merkel: confirms tighter lockdown from April 1-5th, supermarkets only to be open April 3rd; Case numbers are rising exponentially due to UK variant, in a race to get vaccinated, in a very serious situation now

Levels as of 01:00ET

  • Hang Seng -1.8%; Shanghai Composite -1.4%; Kospi -0.9%; Nikkei225 -0.5%; ASX 200 -0.1%
  • Equity Futures: S&P500 -0.2%; Nasdaq100 -0.5%, Dax -0.5%; FTSE100 -0.6%
  • EUR 1.1941-1.1923; JPY 108.88-108.69 ;AUD 0.7750-0.7697; NZD 0.7169-0.7084
  • Commodity Futures: Gold -0.2% at $1,734/oz; Crude Oil -1.0% at $60.95/brl; Copper -1.4% at $4.08/lb

 

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