Donald Trump fulfilled a campaign promise by announcing the US departure from the Iran nuclear deal in a move thatwas largely expected but still sent oil traders for a ride. The Swiss franc was the top performer while the commodity currencies lagged. The latest Premium Video signals which trades Ashraf will be taking, featuring the 6-week curse trade.

After weeks of speculation and international lobbying, Trump opted to quit the Iran deal, formally known as JCPOA. Throughout the day Tuesday, rumors and denials bounced WTI crude oil prices around. From as high as $70.40 to as low as $67.63 before ultimately finishing close to unchanged and near $70. Monday’s high of $70.76 will be a key level to watch in the days ahead.

Other markets also fluctuated out of genuine fear or elation. One reason for the largely-muted market reaction suggested there is still room for negotiation. The sanctions have mandatory 90-day and 180-day notice periods to give companies a chance to tidy up so nothing has been imposed yet. In his announcement, Trump invited Iran back to the negotiating table at any future point.

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Another interesting move was in USD/CAD as the pair rallied to 1.2998 as oil dropped to the lows of the day. The inability to break above followed by a slide down to 1.2948 suggests firm resistance ahead of the big figure.

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Ashraf Laidi is an independent strategist and trader, founder of Intermarket Strategy Ltd and author of "Currency Trading & Intermarket Analysis". He is the former chief global strategist at City Index / FX Solutions, where he focused on foreign exchange and global macro developments pertaining to central bank policies, sovereign debt and intermarket dynamics. Ashraf had also served as Chief Strategist at CMC Markets, where he headed a global team of analysts and led seminars and trainings in four continents. His insights on currencies and commodities won him several #1 rankings with FXWeek and Reuters. Prior to CMC Markets, Laidi monitored the performance of a multi-FX portfolio at the United Nations, assessed sovereign and project investment risk with Hagler Bailly and the World Bank, and analyzed emerging market bonds at Reuters. Laidi also created the first 24-hour currency web site for traders and researchers alike on the eve of the creation of the euro. Laidi's analysis of currency markets stand out based on his distinct style in bridging the fundamental and technical aspects of the markets. Laidi regularly appears on CNBC TV (US, Europe, Arabia and Asia/Pacific), Bloomberg TV (US, Asia/Pacific, France and Spain), BNN, PBSs Nightly Business Report, and BBC. His insights also appear in the Financial Times, the Wall Street Journal and Barrons. He has given numerous interviews and lectures in Arabic, French, and to audiences spanning from Canada, Central America and Asia/Pacific.


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