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Elliott Wave View: Rally In NIKKEI Should Fail And See Sellers

Short Term Elliott Wave View in Nikkei suggests the bounce to 21805 ended wave (2). The Index has resumed lower and ended wave (3) at 19900. The internal of wave 3 unfolded as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Down from 21805, wave 1 ended at 21245 and rally to wave 2 ended at 21570. Index then continues the decline in wave 3 at 20485, wave 4 ended at 20690 and wave 5 of (3) ended at 19900. Further subdivision of wave 1 and wave 3 is also in the form of an impulse structure of lesser degree and can be seen at the chart below.

Near term, expect Index to rally higher within wave (4) as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Up from 19900, wave A ended at 20650 and wave B ended at 20220. While above there, Index has scope to extend higher towards 20977 – 21447 area to end wave C of (4) before the decline resumes. We don’t like buying the Index. As far as pivot at 21805 high stays intact, expect Index to extend lower from above area or pullback in 3 waves at least. Potential target to the downside is 19085 – 19607 area which is the 100%-123.6% extension from May 2019 high.

NIKKEI 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart

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