HomeContributorsTechnical AnalysisGold Price Could Struggle In Near Term Below $1,500

Gold Price Could Struggle In Near Term Below $1,500

Key Highlights

  • Gold price declined below the $1,550 and $1,520 support levels.
  • A key bearish trend line is forming with resistance near $1,530 on the 4-hours chart of XAU/USD.
  • EUR/USD and GBP/USD declined heavily below 1.1000 and 1.2000 respectively.
  • The US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending March 07, 2020 could rise from 211K to 220K.

Gold Price Technical Analysis

Earlier this month, gold price topped near the $1,700 resistance area against the US Dollar. As a result, there was a sharp decline below the $1,650 and $1,580 support levels.

The 4-hours chart of XAU/USD indicates that the price extended its decline below the $1,520 support area and the $1,480 pivot level. More importantly, it settled well below the 100 simple moving average (red, 4-hours) and the 200 simple moving average (4-hours, green).

A new monthly low is formed near the $1,451 level and the price is currently correcting higher. It climbed above the $1,500 level, but the bulls are facing a lot of hurdles on the upside near the $1,530 and $1,550 levels.

Besides, there is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near $1,530 on the same chart. The main resistance is near $1,550 level (the previous breakdown zone).

If there is a break above $1,530 and $1,550, the price could continue to rise towards the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1,703 high to $1,451 low.

Conversely, the price could start a fresh decline if it fails to recover above $1,530. An initial support is near the $1,480 level, below which the price could revisit the $1,450 support.

Looking at EUR/USD, the pair declined below the key 1.1000 and 1.0980 support levels. Moreover, GBP/USD fell significantly and it even broke the key 1.2000 support.

Economic Releases to Watch Today

  • SNB Interest Rate Decision – Forecast -0.75%, versus -0.75% previous.
  • US Initial Jobless Claims – Forecast 220K, versus 211K previous.
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