EUR/JPY’s rise from 137.37 resumed last week and hit as high as 147.14. Initial bias remains on the upside for retesting 148.38 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend. On the downside, below 145.77 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But outlook will stay cautiously bullish as long as 142.53 support holds, in case of retreat.
In the bigger picture, as long as 55 W EMA (now at 140.18) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. Decisive break there will resume long term up trend. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40.
In the long term picture, outlook will stay bullish as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds (2021 high). Sustained break of 149.76 (2014 high) will open up further rally, as resumption of the rise from 94.11 (2012 low), towards 169.96 (2008 high).