EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY’s rebound from 153.32 extended higher last week and it’s now pressing 157.99 high. Decisive break there will confirm resumption of larger up trend, and target 162.82 projection level next. Further rally will now in favor as long as 155.57 minor support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, as long as 151.60 resistance turned support holds, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. On resumption, next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 162.82. Nevertheless, sustained break of 151.60 will argue that larger correction is already underway.

In the long term picture, rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as the third leg of the whole up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). Next target is 100% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 109.03 at 164.68, and possibly further to 169.96 (2008 high).

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