GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2236; (P) 1.2268; (R1) 1.2322; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for consolidation above 1.2213 temporary low. We’re still maintaining a bearish view on the pair. That is, consolidation pattern from 1.1946 should have completed with three waves to 1.2705 already. Hence, current recovery should be limited by 1.2382 support resistance and bring another decline. On the downside, break of 1.2213 will target 1.1946/86 support zone. Break of 1.1946 will confirm our bearish view and resume the larger down trend. Nonetheless, on the upside, above 1.2382 minor resistance will delay the bearish case and turn bias back to the upside for 1.2569.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7190 is seen as part of the down trend from 2.1161. There is no sign of medium term bottoming yet. Sustained trading below 61.8% projection of 2.1161 to 1.3503 from 1.7190 at 1.2457 will target 100% projection at 0.9532. Overall, break of 1.3444 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

GBP/USD 4 Hours Chart

GBP/USD Daily Chart

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