Tue, Feb 03, 2026 10:03 GMT
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    HomeContributorsTechnical AnalysisAUDUSD Outlook: Near-Term Risk Skewed Lower While Falling 10SMA Caps

    AUDUSD Outlook: Near-Term Risk Skewed Lower While Falling 10SMA Caps

    The Aussie dollar remains at the back foot on Tuesday and pressures lower pivots at 0.7399/94 (5SMA / base of thick hourly cloud) following Monday’s close in red after repeated upside failure which left a double-top.

    Falling 10SMA capped the action and continues to pressure (currently at 0.7428) as daily studies show MA’s in bearish configuration and 14-d momentum heading south, deeply in negative territory.

    Negative sentiment is helped by risk-off mode and close below 5SMA / hourly cloud base would be negative signal for possible extension towards key supports at 0.7345/25 (19/21 June base / Fibo 61.8% of larger 0.6825/0.8135 ascend).

    Immediate downside risk could be sidelined on close above 10SMA, but break and close above 0.7472 (Fibo 38.2% of 0.7676/0.7345 bear-leg) is needed to confirm continuation of recovery from 0.7345 base.

    Res: 0.7428, 0.7443, 0.7472, 0.7511
    Sup: 0.7394, 0.7383, 0.7368, 0.7345

    Windsor Brokers Ltd
    Windsor Brokers Ltdhttp://www.windsorbrokers.com/
    The information contained in this document was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Any opinions expressed herein are in good faith, but are subject to change without notice. No liability accepted whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from the use of this document.

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