Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5796; (P) 1.5876; (R1) 1.5922; More….
EUR/AUD’s decline from 1.6765 extends to as low as 1.5806 so far and intraday bias remains on the downside. With 61.8% retracement of 1.5346 to 1.6765 at 1.5888 taken out, further decline should be seen to 1.5346 key support next. On the upside, break of 1.6154 resistance is needed to confirm completion of the fall from 1.6765. Otherwise, near term outlook is mildly bearish even in case of recovery.
In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high), argues that up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low), is not ready to resume yet. But still, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will remain bullish. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.
