Mon, May 21, 2018 @ 20:38 GMT

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.55; (P) 110.82; (R1) 111.02; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remain son the upside. Current rally should extend to trend line resistance at 112.33. Firm break there will target 114.73 resistance next. On the downside, below 110.60 minor support will turn bias neutral again and bring consolidations. But strong support should be seen from 109.14/110.02 support zone to bring rally resumption.

In the bigger picture, corrective decline from 118.65 (2016 high) has completed with three waves down to 104.62. Rise from 104.62 is possibly resuming the up trend from 98.97 (2016 low). This will be the preferred case as long as 55 day EMA (now at 108.65) holds. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will confirm our view and target 118.65 and above.

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USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.55; (P) 110.82; (R1) 111.02; More…

USD/JPY’s rally resumed after very brief consolidation and reaches as high as 111.37 so far. Intraday bias is back on the upside for trend line resistance at 112.33. Firm break there will target 114.73 resistance next. On the downside, below 110.60 minor support will turn bias neutral again and bring consolidations. But strong support should be seen from 109.14/110.02 support zone to bring rally resumption.

In the bigger picture, corrective decline from 118.65 (2016 high) has completed with three waves down to 104.62. Rise from 104.62 is possibly resuming the up trend from 98.97 (2016 low). This will be the preferred case as long as 55 day EMA (now at 108.65) holds. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will confirm our view and target 118.65 and above.

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USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

USD/JPY surged to as high as 111.07 last week and met 61.8% retracement of 114.73 to 104.62 at 110.86 already. As a temporary top is formed, initial bias is neutral this week for consolidation. We’d expect downside of retreat to be contained above 110.02 resistance turned support to bring another rally. Above 111.07 will extend the rise from 104.62 for trend line resistance at 112.33.

In the bigger picture, corrective decline from 118.65 (2016 high) has completed with three waves down to 104.62. Rise from 104.62 is possibly resuming the up trend from 98.97 (2016 low). This will be the preferred case as long as 55 day EMA (now at 108.55) holds. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will confirm our view and target 118.65 and above.

In the long term picture, the rise from 75.56 (2011 low) long term bottom to 125.85 top is viewed as an impulsive move, no change in this view. Price actions from 125.85 are seen as a corrective move which could still extend. In case of deeper fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 75.56 to 125.85 at 94.77. Up trend from 75.56 is expected to resume at a later stage for above 135.20/147.68 resistance zone.

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USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.27; (P) 110.57; (R1) 110.06; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the upside at this point. Current rally from 104.62 is in progress for trend line resistance at 112.43. On the downside, below 110.45 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will stay bullish as long as 109.14 support holds.

In the bigger picture, corrective decline from 118.65 (2016 high) has completed with three waves down to 104.62. Rise from 104.62 is possibly resuming the up trend from 98.97 (2016 low). This will be the preferred case as long as 55 day EMA (now at 108.30) holds. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will confirm our view and target 118.65 and above.

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USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.27; (P) 110.57; (R1) 110.06; More…

USD/JPY’s rally is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the upside. 61.8% retracement of 114.73 to 104.62 at 110.86 is already met. Next target is trend line resistance at 112.43. On the downside, below 110.45 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will stay bullish as long as 109.13 support holds.

In the bigger picture, corrective decline from 118.65 (2016 high) has completed with three waves down to 104.62. Rise from 104.62 is possibly resuming the up trend from 98.97 (2016 low). This will be the preferred case as long as 55 day EMA (now at 108.30) holds. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will confirm our view and target 118.65 and above.

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USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.16; (P) 110.28; (R1) 110.54; More…

USD/JPY’s rally continues today and reaches as high as 110.79 so far. Intraday bias remains on the upside for target 61.8% retracement of 114.73 to 104.62 at 110.86 next. Firm break there will target medium term trend line resistance at 112.43. On the downside, below 110.06 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will stay bullish as long as 109.13 support holds.

In the bigger picture, corrective decline from 118.65 (2016 high) has completed with three waves down to 104.62. Rise from 104.62 is possibly resuming the up trend from 98.97 (2016 low). This will be the preferred case as long as 55 day EMA (now at 108.30) holds. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will confirm our view and target 118.65 and above.

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USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.16; (P) 110.28; (R1) 110.54; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the upside at this point. Current rally from 104.62 is still in progress and should target 61.8% retracement of 114.73 to 104.62 at 110.86 next. Firm break there will target medium term trend line resistance at 112.43. On the downside, below 109.14 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, corrective decline from 118.65 (2016 high) has completed with three waves down to 104.62. Rise from 104.62 is possibly resuming the up trend from 98.97 (2016 low). This will be the preferred case as long as 55 day EMA (now at 108.30) holds. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will confirm our view and target 118.65 and above.

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USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 109.84; (P) 110.15; (R1) 110.66; More…

Despite today’s retreat, intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the upside for further rally. Current rise from 104.62 should target 61.8% retracement of 114.73 to 104.62 at 110.86 next. Firm break there will target medium term trend line resistance at 112.43. On the downside, below 109.14 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, corrective decline from 118.65 (2016 high) has completed with three waves down to 104.62. Rise from 104.62 is possibly resuming the up trend from 98.97 (2016 low). This will be the preferred case as long as 55 day EMA (now at 108.30) holds. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will confirm our view and target 118.65 and above.

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USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 109.84; (P) 110.15; (R1) 110.66; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the upside for the moment. Current rise from 104.62 is in progress for 61.8% retracement of 114.73 to 104.62 at 110.86 next. Firm break there will target medium term trend line resistance at 112.43. On the downside, below 109.14 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, corrective decline from 118.65 (2016 high) has completed with three waves down to 104.62. Rise from 104.62 is possibly resuming the up trend from 98.97 (2016 low). This will be the preferred case as long as 55 day EMA (now at 108.30) holds. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will confirm our view and target 118.65 and above.

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USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 109.33; (P) 109.50; (R1) 109.82; More…

USD/JPY rises to as high as 110.29 so far and the strong break of 110.02 resistance confirms rally resumption. Intraday bias is back on the upside as rise from 104.62 should now target 61.8% retracement of 114.73 to 104.62 at 110.86 next. Firm break there will target medium term trend line resistance at 112.43. On the downside, below 109.14 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, corrective decline from 118.65 (2016 high) has completed with three waves down to 104.62. Rise from 104.62 is possibly resuming the up trend from 98.97 (2016 low). This will be the preferred case as long as 55 day EMA (now at 108.30) holds. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will confirm our view and target 118.65 and above.

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USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 109.33; (P) 109.50; (R1) 109.82; More…

USD/JPY drew support from 4 hour 55 EMA again and recovered. But it’s staying below 110.02 short term top and intraday bias remains neutral. In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 104.62 to 110.02 at 107.95 to bring rally resumption. On the upside, break of 110.02 will resume the rise from 104.62 to 61.8% retracement of 114.73 to 104.62 at 110.86 next.

In the bigger picture, corrective decline from 118.65 (2016 high) has completed with three waves down to 104.62. Rise from 104.62 is possibly resuming the up trend from 98.97 (2016 low). This will be the preferred case as long as 38.2s% retracement of 104.62 to 110.02 at 107.95 holds. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will confirm our view and target 118.65 and above.

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USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 109.15; (P) 109.35; (R1) 109.56; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 110.02 short term top continues. Below 1108.64 will bring deeper pull back. But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 104.62 to 110.02 at 107.95 to bring rally resumption. On the upside, break of 110.02 will resume the rise from 104.62 to 61.8% retracement of 114.73 to 104.62 at 110.86 next.

In the bigger picture, corrective decline from 118.65 (2016 high) has completed with three waves down to 104.62. Rise from 104.62 is possibly resuming the up trend from 98.97 (2016 low). This will be the preferred case as long as 38.2s% retracement of 104.62 to 110.02 at 107.95 holds. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will confirm our view and target 118.65 and above.

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USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 109.15; (P) 109.35; (R1) 109.56; More…

USD/JPY recovers mildly today after drawing support from 4 hour 55 EMA. But it’s staying in range below 110.02 short term top and intraday bias remains neutral. More consolidation could be seen with risk of another fall. Still, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 104.62 to 110.02 at 107.95 to bring rally resumption. On the upside, break of 110.02 will resume the rise from 104.62 to 61.8% retracement of 114.73 to 104.62 at 110.86 next.

In the bigger picture, corrective decline from 118.65 (2016 high) has completed with three waves down to 104.62. Rise from 104.62 is possibly resuming the up trend from 98.97 (2016 low). This will be the preferred case as long as 38.2s% retracement of 104.62 to 110.02 at 107.95 holds. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will confirm our view and target 118.65 and above.

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USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

USD/JPY stayed in 110.02 short term top last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Deeper fall could be seen as the consolidation extends. But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 104.62 to 110.02 at 107.95 to bring rally resumption. On the upside, break of 110.02 will resume the rise from 104.62 to 61.8% retracement of 114.73 to 104.62 at 110.86 next.

In the bigger picture, corrective decline from 118.65 (2016 high) has completed with three waves down to 104.62. Rise from 104.62 is possibly resuming the up trend from 98.97 (2016 low). This will be the preferred case as long as 38.2s% retracement of 104.62 to 110.02 at 107.95 holds. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will confirm our view and target 118.65 and above.

In the long term picture, the rise from 75.56 (2011 low) long term bottom to 125.85 top is viewed as an impulsive move, no change in this view. Price actions from 125.85 are seen as a corrective move which could still extend. In case of deeper fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 75.56 to 125.85 at 94.77. Up trend from 75.56 is expected to resume at a later stage for above 135.20/147.68 resistance zone.

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USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 108.85; (P) 109.10; (R1) 109.38; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Consolidation from 110.02 is extending and deeper fall could be seen through 108.64. But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 104.62 to 110.02 at 107.95 to bring rally resumption. On the upside, break of 110.02 will resume the rise from 104.62 to 61.8% retracement of 114.73 to 104.62 at 110.86 next.

In the bigger picture, corrective decline from 118.65 (2016 high) has completed with three waves down to 104.62. Rise from 104.62 is possibly resuming the up trend from 98.97 (2016 low). This will be the preferred case as long as 55 day EMA (now at 107.95) holds. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will confirm our view and target 118.65 and above. However, sustained break of 55 day EMA will dampen this bullish view and turn focus back to 104.62 low instead.

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USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 108.85; (P) 109.10; (R1) 109.38; More…

USD/JPY is staying in consolidation below 110.02 short term top. Intraday bias remains neutral. Deeper pull back cannot be ruled out. But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 104.62 to 110.02 at 107.95 to bring rally resumption. On the upside, break of 110.02 will resume the rise from 104.62 to 61.8% retracement of 114.73 to 104.62 at 110.86 next.

In the bigger picture, corrective decline from 118.65 (2016 high) has completed with three waves down to 104.62. Rise from 104.62 is possibly resuming the up trend from 98.97 (2016 low). This will be the preferred case as long as 55 day EMA (now at 107.95) holds. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will confirm our view and target 118.65 and above. However, sustained break of 55 day EMA will dampen this bullish view and turn focus back to 104.62 low instead.

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USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 108.85; (P) 109.10; (R1) 109.38; More…

USD/JPY drops sharply after failing to break through 110.02 short term top. Consolidation from there is extending with another falling leg. Break of 108.64 will bring deeper decline. Still, we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 104.62 to 110.02 at 107.95 to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, on the upside, break of 110.02 will resume the rise from 104.62 to 61.8% retracement of 114.73 to 104.62 at 110.86 next.

In the bigger picture, corrective decline from 118.65 (2016 high) has completed with three waves down to 104.62. Rise from 104.62 is possibly resuming the up trend from 98.97 (2016 low). This will be the preferred case as long as 55 day EMA (now at 107.95) holds. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will confirm our view and target 118.65 and above. However, sustained break of 55 day EMA will dampen this bullish view and turn focus back to 104.62 low instead.

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USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 108.85; (P) 109.10; (R1) 109.38; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Consolidation from 110.02 short could extend with another decline. But in that case, we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 104.62 to 110.02 at 107.95 to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, on the upside, break of 110.02 will resume the rise from 104.62 to 61.8% retracement of 114.73 to 104.62 at 110.86 next.

In the bigger picture, corrective decline from 118.65 (2016 high) has completed with three waves down to 104.62. Rise from 104.62 is possibly resuming the up trend from 98.97 (2016 low). This will be the preferred case as long as 55 day EMA (now at 107.95) holds. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will confirm our view and target 118.65 and above. However, sustained break of 55 day EMA will dampen this bullish view and turn focus back to 104.62 low instead.

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USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 108.85; (P) 109.10; (R1) 109.38; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral as it’s staying in range below 110.02. Consolidation from 110.02 could extend with another fall. But in that case, we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 104.62 to 110.02 at 107.95 to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, on the upside, break of 110.02 will resume the rise from 104.62 to 61.8% retracement of 114.73 to 104.62 at 110.86 next.

In the bigger picture, corrective decline from 118.65 (2016 high) has completed with three waves down to 104.62. Rise from 104.62 is possibly resuming the up trend from 98.97 (2016 low). This will be the preferred case as long as 55 day EMA (now at 107.95) holds. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will confirm our view and target 118.65 and above. However, sustained break of 55 day EMA will dampen this bullish view and turn focus back to 104.62 low instead.

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USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 108.85; (P) 109.10; (R1) 109.38; More…

USD/JPY recovers to as high as 109.63 so far as it’s continuing to draw support from near term channel. Nonetheless, upside is limited below 110.02 short term top so far. Thus, intraday bias remains neutral and more consolidation would be seen. On the downside, below 108.64 will bring deeper pull back. But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 104.62 to 110.02 at 107.95 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 110.02 will resume the rise from 104.62 to 61.8% retracement of 114.73 to 104.62 at 110.86 next.

In the bigger picture, corrective decline from 118.65 (2016 high) has completed with three waves down to 104.62. Rise from 104.62 is possibly resuming the up trend from 98.97 (2016 low). This will be the preferred case as long as 55 day EMA (now at 107.95) holds. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will confirm our view and target 118.65 and above. However, sustained break of 55 day EMA will dampen this bullish view and turn focus back to 104.62 low instead.

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