USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

USD/JPY gyrated higher to 138.16 last week but failed to extend the rally. Initial bias is turned neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 138.16 will resume the rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 140.30). On the downside, however, firm break of 133.61 support and 133.07 medium term fibonacci level will confirm resumption of whole fall from 151.93.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 151.93 medium term could be just a corrective pattern to up trend from 102.58 (2021 low). Strong support from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 133.07 and 55 week EMA (now at 131.71) will set the range for such corrective pattern. However, sustained break of 55 week EMA will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 121.43.

In the long term picture, rise from 102.58, as part of the up trend from 75.56 (2011 low) was put to a halt at 151.93, just ahead of 100% projection of 75.56 to 125.85 from 102.58 at 152.87. There is no clear sign of long term reversal yet. Such up trend is expected to resume at a later stage, as long as 125.85 resistance turned support holds.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.97; (P) 137.07; (R1) 138.90; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains mildly on the upside at this point. Rebound from 133.61 should extend higher to 142.24 resistance. On the downside, however, firm break of 133.61 support and 133.07 medium term fibonacci level will confirm resumption of whole fall from 151.93.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 151.93 medium term could be just a corrective pattern to up trend from 102.58 (2021 low). Strong support from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 133.07 and 55 week EMA (now at 131.71) will set the range for such corrective pattern. However, sustained break of 55 week EMA will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 121.43.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.97; (P) 137.07; (R1) 138.90; More…

Break of 137.95 suggests resumption of rebound from 133.61. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 142.24 resistance next. On the downside, however, firm break of 133.61 support and 133.07 medium term fibonacci level will confirm resumption of whole fall from 151.93.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 151.93 medium term could be just a corrective pattern to up trend from 102.58 (2021 low). Strong support from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 133.07 and 55 week EMA (now at 131.71) will set the range for such corrective pattern. However, sustained break of 55 week EMA will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 121.43.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 134.66; (P) 135.32; (R1) 136.13; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral first as range trading continues. On the downside, firm break of 133.61 support and 133.07 medium term fibonacci level will confirm resumption of whole fall from 151.93. On the upside, however, break of 137.95 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound to 142.24 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 151.93 medium term could be just a corrective pattern to up trend from 102.58 (2021 low). Strong support from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 133.07 and 55 week EMA (now at 131.71) will set the range for such corrective pattern. However, sustained break of 55 week EMA will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 121.43.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 134.66; (P) 135.32; (R1) 136.13; More…

USD/JPY is losing downside momentum again and intraday bias is turned neutral. On the downside, firm break of 133.61 support and 133.07 medium term fibonacci level will confirm resumption of whole fall from 151.93. On the upside, however, break of 137.95 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound to 142.24 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 151.93 medium term could be just a corrective pattern to up trend from 102.58 (2021 low). Strong support from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 133.07 and 55 week EMA (now at 131.71) will set the range for such corrective pattern. However, sustained break of 55 week EMA will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 121.43.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 134.18; (P) 136.08; (R1) 137.48; More…

Outlook is USD/JPY remains unchanged and intraday bias is mildly on the downside for retesting 133.61 support and then 133.07 medium term fibonacci level. On the upside, however, break of 137.95 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound to 142.24 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 151.93 medium term could be just a corrective pattern to up trend from 102.58 (2021 low). Strong support from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 133.07 and 55 week EMA (now at 131.71) will set the range for such corrective pattern. However, sustained break of 55 week EMA will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 121.43.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 134.18; (P) 136.08; (R1) 137.48; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays on the downside for retesting 133.61 support and then 133.07 medium term fibonacci level. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 137.95 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 151.93 medium term could be just a corrective pattern to up trend from 102.58 (2021 low). Strong support from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 133.07 and 55 week EMA (now at 131.71) will set the range for such corrective pattern. However, sustained break of 55 week EMA will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 121.43.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.84; (P) 137.34; (R1) 138.16; More…

USD/JPY’s break of 135.59 minor support indicates that recovery from 133.61 has completed much earlier than expected at 137.95. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 133.61, and then 133.07 medium term fibonacci level. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 137.95 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 151.93 medium term could be just a corrective pattern to up trend from 102.58 (2021 low). Strong support from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 133.07 and 55 week EMA (now at 131.71) will set the range for such corrective pattern. However, sustained break of 55 week EMA will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 121.43.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.84; (P) 137.34; (R1) 138.16; More…

Break of 137.84 suggests that USD/JPY is resuming the rebound from 133.61. The development also affirms that case of short term bottoming at 133.61. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 38.2% retracement of 151.93 to 133.61 at 140.60, which is close to 55 day EMA (now at 140.80). On the downside, however, break of 135.59 minor support will bring retest of 133.61 low instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 151.93 medium term could be just a corrective pattern to up trend from 102.58 (2021 low). Strong support from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 133.07 and 55 week EMA (now at 131.71) will set the range for such corrective pattern. However, sustained break of 55 week EMA will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 121.43.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.83; (P) 136.37; (R1) 137.13; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. On the upside, break of 137.84 resistance will revive the case of short term bottoming at 133.61, and turn bias back to the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 140.89). However, break of 133.61 will resume the decline form 151.93 through 133.07 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 151.93 medium term could be just a corrective pattern to up trend from 102.58 (2021 low). Strong support from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 133.07 and 55 week EMA (now at 131.71) will set the range for such corrective pattern. However, sustained break of 55 week EMA will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 121.43.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.83; (P) 136.37; (R1) 137.13; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 137.84 resistance will revive the case of short term bottoming at 133.61, and turn bias back to the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 140.89). However, break of 133.61 will resume the decline form 151.93 through 133.07 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 151.93 medium term could be just a corrective pattern to up trend from 102.58 (2021 low). Strong support from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 133.07 and 55 week EMA (now at 131.71) will set the range for such corrective pattern. However, sustained break of 55 week EMA will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 121.43.

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

USD/JPY retreated after recovering to 137.84 but there was no clear downside momentum. Initial bias is neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 137.84 resistance will revive the case of short term bottoming at 133.61, and turn bias back to the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 141.02). However, break of 133.61 will resume the decline form 151.93 through 133.07 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 151.93 medium term could be just a corrective pattern to up trend from 102.58 (2021 low). Strong support from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 133.07 and 55 week EMA (now at 131.52) will set the range for such corrective pattern. However, sustained break of 55 week EMA will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 121.43.

In the long term picture, rise from 102.58, as part of the up trend from 75.56 (2011 low) was put to a halt at 151.93, just ahead of 100% projection of 75.56 to 125.85 from 102.58 at 152.87. There is no clear sign of long term reversal yet. Such up trend is expected to resume at a later stage, as long as 125.85 resistance turned support holds.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.21; (P) 136.72; (R1) 137.20; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains mildly on the downside for retesting 133.61 low. Firm break there will resume the decline from 151.93. On the upside, above 137.84 resistance will revive the case of short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 141.02).

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be formed at 151.93. Fall from there is correcting larger up trend from 102.58. It’s too early to call for bearish trend reversal. But even as a corrective move, such decline should target 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 133.07, or further to 55 week EMA (now at 131.33). Some support should be seen around this zone to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 55 week EMA will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 121.43.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.21; (P) 136.72; (R1) 137.20; More…

Breach of 135.95 minor support suggests rejection by 4 hour 55 EMA. Intraday bias in USD/JPY is back on the downside for retesting 133.61 low. Firm break there will resume the decline from 151.93. On the upside, above 137.84 resistance will revive the case of short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 141.02).

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be formed at 151.93. Fall from there is correcting larger up trend from 102.58. It’s too early to call for bearish trend reversal. But even as a corrective move, such decline should target 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 133.07, or further to 55 week EMA (now at 131.33). Some support should be seen around this zone to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 55 week EMA will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 121.43.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.93; (P) 136.89; (R1) 137.57; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY is turned neutral with 4 hour MACD crossed below signal line. On the downside, break of 135.95 minor support will indicate rejection by 4 hour 55 EMA, and turn bias back to the downside for retesting 133.61 low. On the upside, above 137.84 will resume the rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 141.20).

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be formed at 151.93. Fall from there is correcting larger up trend from 102.58. It’s too early to call for bearish trend reversal. But even as a corrective move, such decline should target 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 133.07, or further to 55 week EMA (now at 131.33). Some support should be seen around this zone to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 55 week EMA will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 121.43.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.93; (P) 136.89; (R1) 137.57; More…

With 135.95 minor support intact, USD/JPY’s rise from 133.61 short term bottom is in progress, and should target 55 day EMA (now at 141.20). However, break of 135.95 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 133.61 low instead.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be formed at 151.93. Fall from there is correcting larger up trend from 102.58. It’s too early to call for bearish trend reversal. But even as a corrective move, such decline should target 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 133.07, or further to 55 week EMA (now at 131.33). Some support should be seen around this zone to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 55 week EMA will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 121.43.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.20; (P) 136.81; (R1) 137.66; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays mildly on the upside at this point. Rebound from 133.61 short term bottom should target 55 day EMA (now at 141.41). However, break of 135.95 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 133.61 low instead.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be formed at 151.93. Fall from there is correcting larger up trend from 102.58. It’s too early to call for bearish trend reversal. But even as a corrective move, such decline should target 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 133.07, or further to 55 week EMA (now at 131.33). Some support should be seen around this zone to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 55 week EMA will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 121.43.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.20; (P) 136.81; (R1) 137.66; More…

USD/JPY’s break of 137.66 support turned resistance suggests short term bottoming at 133.61, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, ahead of 133.07 medium term fibonacci level. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 141.41). On the downside, below 135.95 minor support will bring retest of 133.61 instead.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be formed at 151.93. Fall from there is correcting larger up trend from 102.58. It’s too early to call for bearish trend reversal. But even as a corrective move, such decline should target 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 133.07, or further to 55 week EMA (now at 131.33). Some support should be seen around this zone to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 55 week EMA will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 121.43.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 134.98; (P) 135.92; (R1) 137.70; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays neutral first. On the upside, break of 137.66 resistance will indicate short term bottoming, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, ahead of 133.07 medium term fibonacci level. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 142.24 resistance first. However, before, another decline could still be seen to 133.07 medium term fibonacci level or further to 55 week EMA.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be formed at 151.93. Fall from there is correcting larger up trend from 102.58. It’s too early to call for bearish trend reversal. But even as a corrective move, such decline should target 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 133.07, or further to 55 week EMA (now at 131.33). Some support should be seen around this zone to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 55 week EMA will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 121.43.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 134.98; (P) 135.92; (R1) 137.70; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 137.66 resistance will indicate short term bottoming, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, ahead of 133.07 medium term fibonacci level. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 142.24 resistance first. However, before, another decline could still be seen to 133.07 medium term fibonacci level or further to 55 week EMA.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be formed at 151.93. Fall from there is correcting larger up trend from 102.58. It’s too early to call for bearish trend reversal. But even as a corrective move, such decline should target 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 133.07, or further to 55 week EMA (now at 131.33). Some support should be seen around this zone to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 55 week EMA will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 121.43.